• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-series data prediction

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A Study on the UI Design Method for Monitoring AI-Based Demand Prediction Algorithm (AI 기반 수요예측알고리즘 모니터링 UI 디자인 방안 연구)

  • Im, So-Yeon;Lee, Hyo-won;Kim, seong-Ho;Lee, Seung-jun;Lee, Young-woo;Park, Cheol-woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.447-449
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    • 2022
  • This study was based on Android, one of the representative mobile platforms with the characteristics of connecting to the network anytime, anywhere and flexible mobility. In addition, using a demand prediction algorithm that can know the data of defective products based on AI, we will study the real-time monitoring UI design method based on Android studio with demand prediction data and company time series data.

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A Study on Time Series Analysis of Membrane Fouling by using Genetic Algorithm in the Field Plant (유전자알고리즘을 이용한 막오염 시계열 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Jin Sook;Kim, Jun Hyun;Jun, Yong Seong;Kwak, Young Ju;Lee, Jin Hyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.38 no.8
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    • pp.444-451
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    • 2016
  • Most research on membrane fouling models in the past are based on theoretical equations in lab-scale experiments. But these studies are barely suitable for applying on the full-scale spot where there is a sequential process such as filtration, backwash and drain. This study was conducted in submerged membrane system which being on operation auto sequentially and treating wastewater from G-water purification plant in Incheon. TMP had been designated as a fouling indicator in constant flux conditions. Total volume of inflow and SS concentration are independent variables as major operation parameters and time-series analysis and prediction of TMP were conducted. And similarity between simulated values and measured values was assessed. Final prediction model by using genetic algorithm was fully adaptable because simulated values expressed pulse-shape periodicity and increasing trend according to time at the same time. As results of twice validation, correlation coefficients between simulated and measured data were $r^2=0.721$, $r^2=0.928$, respectively. Although this study was conducted limited to data for summer season, the more amount of data, better reliability for prediction model can be obtained. If simulator for short range forecast can be developed and applied, TMP prediction technique will be a great help to energy efficient operation.

Development of Prediction Model for Nitrogen Oxides Emission Using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능 기반 질소산화물 배출량 예측을 위한 연구모형 개발)

  • Jo, Ha-Nui;Park, Jisu;Yun, Yongju
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.588-595
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    • 2020
  • Prediction and control of nitrogen oxides (NOx) emission is of great interest in industry due to stricter environmental regulations. Herein, we propose an artificial intelligence (AI)-based framework for prediction of NOx emission. The framework includes pre-processing of data for training of neural networks and evaluation of the AI-based models. In this work, Long-Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one of the recurrent neural networks, was adopted to reflect the time series characteristics of NOx emissions. A decision tree was used to determine a time window of LSTM prior to training of the network. The neural network was trained with operational data from a heating furnace. The optimal model was obtained by optimizing hyper-parameters. The LSTM model provided a reliable prediction of NOx emission for both training and test data, showing an accuracy of 93% or more. The application of the proposed AI-based framework will provide new opportunities for predicting the emission of various air pollutants with time series characteristics.

Mean-VaR Portfolio: An Empirical Analysis of Price Forecasting of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Markets

  • Liu, Ximei;Latif, Zahid;Xiong, Daoqi;Saddozai, Sehrish Khan;Wara, Kaif Ul
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1201-1210
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    • 2019
  • Stock price is characterized as being mutable, non-linear and stochastic. These key characteristics are known to have a direct influence on the stock markets globally. Given that the stock price data often contain both linear and non-linear patterns, no single model can be adequate in modelling and predicting time series data. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model cannot deal with non-linear relationships, however, it provides an accurate and effective way to process autocorrelation and non-stationary data in time series forecasting. On the other hand, the neural network provides an effective prediction of non-linear sequences. As a result, in this study, we used a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model to forecast the monthly closing price of the Shanghai composite index and Shenzhen component index.

The Development of the Short-Term Predict Model for Solar Power Generation (태양광발전 단기예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Kwang-Deuk
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, Korea Institute of Energy Research, building integrated renewable energy monitoring system that utilizes solar power generation forecast data forecast model is proposed. Renewable energy integration of real-time monitoring system based on monitoring data were building a database and the database of the weather conditions and to study the correlation structure was tailoring. The weather forecast cloud cover data, generation data, and solar radiation data, a data mining and time series analysis using the method developed models to forecast solar power. The development of solar power in order to forecast model of weather forecast data it is important to secure. To this end, in three hours, including a three-day forecast today Meteorological data were used from the KMA(korea Meteorological Administration) site offers. In order to verify the accuracy of the predicted solar circle for each prediction and the actual environment can be applied to generation and were analyzed.

Analysis of Fashion Design Characteristics and Cycles of Knit Fashion Trends (디자인 특성에 따른 니트 패션 트렌드의 주기 분석)

  • Ko, Soon-Young;Park, Young-Sun;Park, Myung-Ja
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1274-1290
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the design elements and fashion images of women's knitwear in collections of Paris, Milan, London and New York between 2003 and 2008, and examined knitwear trends in an effort to verify whether knitwear trends are repeated in certain cycles, whether they show complicated patterns in cycles and yet occur in quasi cycles, or whether they occur non-periodically in complicated forms of chaotic cycles. Trend cycle analysis results are deemed to identify the time series attribute of knit fashions. It also sought to categorize the attribute of various factors influencing knitwear trends with a view to determining relevancy between design elements, and to present the direction of predicting knitwear fashion trends and the progression of short-term knitwear trends. This study reached the following conclusion. According to design elements or fashion images, knitwear fashion trends occur in cycles, quasi cycles, non-periodical cycles. These cyclic characteristics can be used as scientific data for planning knitwear products. The study confirmed close relevancy between fashion images and fashion elements. It identified close relevancy between designs with similar fashion elements and images through coordinates by year and season, and it is possible to make short-term prediction of trend direction through the flow of coordinates. Time series data were insufficient, thereby making it difficult to perfectly verify chaos indices and giving limitations to this study. A study with more time series data will produce a more effective method of predicting and using knitwear fashion trends.

Deep Learning Model for Electric Power Demand Prediction Using Special Day Separation and Prediction Elements Extention (특수일 분리와 예측요소 확장을 이용한 전력수요 예측 딥 러닝 모델)

  • Park, Jun-Ho;Shin, Dong-Ha;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2017
  • This study analyze correlation between weekdays data and special days data of different power demand patterns, and builds a separate data set, and suggests ways to reduce power demand prediction error by using deep learning network suitable for each data set. In addition, we propose a method to improve the prediction rate by adding the environmental elements and the separating element to the meteorological element, which is a basic power demand prediction elements. The entire data predicted power demand using LSTM which is suitable for learning time series data, and the special day data predicted power demand using DNN. The experiment result show that the prediction rate is improved by adding prediction elements other than meteorological elements. The average RMSE of the entire dataset was 0.2597 for LSTM and 0.5474 for DNN, indicating that the LSTM showed a good prediction rate. The average RMSE of the special day data set was 0.2201 for DNN, indicating that the DNN had better prediction than LSTM. The MAPE of the LSTM of the whole data set was 2.74% and the MAPE of the special day was 3.07 %.