• 제목/요약/키워드: Time-series change

검색결과 935건 처리시간 0.024초

사람 행동 인식에서 반복 감소를 위한 저수준 사람 행동 변화 감지 방법 (Detection of Low-Level Human Action Change for Reducing Repetitive Tasks in Human Action Recognition)

  • 노요환;김민정;이도훈
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.432-442
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    • 2019
  • Most current human action recognition methods based on deep learning methods. It is required, however, a very high computational cost. In this paper, we propose an action change detection method to reduce repetitive human action recognition tasks. In reality, simple actions are often repeated and it is time consuming process to apply high cost action recognition methods on repeated actions. The proposed method decides whether action has changed. The action recognition is executed only when it has detected action change. The action change detection process is as follows. First, extract the number of non-zero pixel from motion history image and generate one-dimensional time-series data. Second, detecting action change by comparison of difference between current time trend and local extremum of time-series data and threshold. Experiments on the proposed method achieved 89% balanced accuracy on action change data and 61% reduced action recognition repetition.

AR(1) 모형에서 분산변화점의 탐지절차 (A detection procedure for a variance change points in AR(1) models)

  • 류귀열;조신섭
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1987
  • 일반적으로 시계열 자료의 분석은 시간에 대한 모수들의 정상성가정(stationary assumption)하에서 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 예측하기 힘든 시점에서 분산들이 변화할 수 있는 AR(1) 모형에서 분산의 변화점(variance ahange point)을 추정하는 방법을 제안했으며 모의자료 및 실제자료를 이용하여 다른 방법들과 비교하여 보았다.

MODIS NDVI 시계열 패턴 변화를 이용한 산림식생변화 모니터링 방법론 (Method of Monitoring Forest Vegetation Change based on Change of MODIS NDVI Time Series Pattern)

  • 정명희;이상훈;장은미;홍성욱
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2012
  • 정규식생지수(NDVI)는 식생자원을 모니터링할 수 있도록 설계된 식생지수(VI-Vegetation Index) 중 하나로 여러 응용 분야에서 가장 많이 사용되고 있는 지수이다. 산림 분야에서도 NDVI가 많이 활용되고 있는데 본 논문에서는 산림 변화 모니터링을 위해 MODIS NDVI를 활용하는 방법론이 연구되었다. 특정 시점을 기준으로 NDVI 값을 비교 및 분류하여 변화를 탐지하는 방법은 기계나 기상상태의 영향으로 자료의 정확성이 떨어질 수 있고 장기적인 변화를 탐지하는데도 어려움이 있다. 이러한 점을 고려하여 본 논문에서는 하모닉 모형을 이용하여 NDVI 시계열 자료를 통해 NDVI 패턴을 고려하는 방법론을 제시하였다. 먼저 하모닉 모형을 적용하여 미관측 자료나 자료의 오류를 보정한 NDVI 시계열 자료를 재구축하고 추정된 하모닉 요소의 모수를 기준으로 장기적 패턴을 통해 식생의 변화를 모니터링할 수 있다. 제안된 방법은 한반도 지역의 2009년 8월 21일부터 2011년 9월 6일까지 총 49개의 MODIS NDVI 시계열 자료에 적용하여 모형의 유용성을 입증하였다.

A Study on Quick Detection of Variance Change Point of Time Series under Harsh Conditions

  • Choi, Hyun-Seok;Choi, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1091-1098
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    • 2006
  • Park et al.(2005) and Choi et al.(2006) studied quick detection of variance change point for time series data in progress. For efficient detection they used moving variance ratio equipped with two tuning parameters; information tuning parameter p and lag tuning parameter q. In this paper, the moving variance ratio is studied under harsh conditions.

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STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODEL

  • Jun, Duk B.
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 1991
  • The author is currently assistant professor of Management Science at Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, following a few years as assistant professor of Industrial Engineering at Kyung Hee University, Korea. He received his doctorate from the department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, University of California, Berkeley. His research interests are time series and forecasting modelling, Bayesian forecasting and the related software development. He is now teaching time series analysis and econometrics at the graduate level.

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구조적 시계열 모형을 이용한 기온 자료에 대한 기후변화 추세 분석 (Trends in the Climate Change of Surface Temperature using Structural Time Series Model)

  • 이정형;손건태
    • 대기
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2008
  • This study employs a structural time series method in order to model and estimate stochastic trend of surface temperatures of the globe, Northern Hemisphere, and Northeast Asia ($20^{\circ}N{\sim}60^{\circ}N$, $100^{\circ}E{\sim}150^{\circ}E$). For this study the reanalysis data CRUTEM3 (CRU/Hadley Centre gridded land-surface air temperature Version 3) is used. The results show that in these three regions range from $0.268^{\circ}C$ to $0.336^{\circ}C$ in 1997, whereas these vary from $0.423^{\circ}C$ to $0.583^{\circ}C$ in 2007. The annual mean temperature over Northeast Asia has increased by $0.031^{\circ}C$ in 2007 compared to 1997. The climate change in surface temperatures over Northeast Asia is slightly higher than that over the Northern Hemisphere.

Discontinuity in GNSS Coordinate Time Series due to Equipment Replacement

  • Sohn, Dong-Hyo;Choi, Byung-Kyu;Kim, Hyunho;Yoon, Hasu;Park, Sul Gee;Park, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2022
  • The GNSS coordinate time series is used as important data for geophysical analysis such as terrestrial reference frame establishment, crustal deformation, Earth orientation parameter estimation, etc. However, various factors may cause discontinuity in the coordinate time series, which may lead to errors in the interpretation. In this paper, we describe the discontinuity in the coordinate time series due to the equipment replacement for domestic GNSS stations and discuss the change in movement magnitude and velocity vector difference in each direction before and after discontinuity correction. To do this, we used three years (2017-2019) of data from 40 GNSS stations. The average magnitude of the velocity vector in the north-south, east-west, and vertical directions before correction is -12.9±1.5, 28.0±1.9, and 4.2±7.6 mm/yr, respectively. After correction, the average moving speed in each direction was -13.0±1.0, 28.2±0.8, and 0.7±2.1 mm/yr, respectively. The average magnitudes of the horizontal GNSS velocity vectors before and after discontinuous correction was similar, but the deviation in movement size of stations decreased after correction. After equipment replacement, the change in the vertical movement occurred more than the horizontal movement variation. Moreover, the change in the magnitude of movement in each direction may also cause a change in the velocity vector, which may lead to errors in geophysical analysis.

Online condition assessment of high-speed trains based on Bayesian forecasting approach and time series analysis

  • Zhang, Lin-Hao;Wang, You-Wu;Ni, Yi-Qing;Lai, Siu-Kai
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.705-713
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    • 2018
  • High-speed rail (HSR) has been in operation and development in many countries worldwide. The explosive growth of HSR has posed great challenges for operation safety and ride comfort. Among various technological demands on high-speed trains, vibration is an inevitable problem caused by rail/wheel imperfections, vehicle dynamics, and aerodynamic instability. Ride comfort is a key factor in evaluating the operational performance of high-speed trains. In this study, online monitoring data have been acquired from an in-service high-speed train for condition assessment. The measured dynamic response signals at the floor level of a train cabin are processed by the Sperling operator, in which the ride comfort index sequence is used to identify the train's operation condition. In addition, a novel technique that incorporates salient features of Bayesian inference and time series analysis is proposed for outlier detection and change detection. The Bayesian forecasting approach enables the prediction of conditional probabilities. By integrating the Bayesian forecasting approach with time series analysis, one-step forecasting probability density functions (PDFs) can be obtained before proceeding to the next observation. The change detection is conducted by comparing the current model and the alternative model (whose mean value is shifted by a prescribed offset) to determine which one can well fit the actual observation. When the comparison results indicate that the alternative model performs better, then a potential change is detected. If the current observation is a potential outlier or change, Bayes factor and cumulative Bayes factor are derived for further identification. A significant change, if identified, implies that there is a great alteration in the train operation performance due to defects. In this study, two illustrative cases are provided to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method for condition assessment of high-speed trains.

일별 환율데이터에 대한 시계열 모형 적합 및 비교분석 (Time Series Models for Daily Exchange Rate Data)

  • 김보미;김재희
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • 미국 달러에 대한 한국원화의 17년간 일별 원/달러 환율 시계열 데이터에 대하여 정상 시계열 ARIMA 모형과 변동성을 포함한 시계열 모형인 ARIMA+IGARCH 모형을 적합하여 비교하고 예측을 실시하였다. 또한 환율 데이터에 구조변화가 있어 보이므로 선형구조를 포함한 구조 변화 모형과 자기상관 구조를 포함한 구조 변화 모형을 이용하여 변화점을 추정하고자 한다.

NDVI time series analysis over central China and Mongolia

  • Park, Youn-Young;Lee, Ga-Lam;Yeom, Jong-Min;Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2008년도 International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.224-227
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    • 2008
  • Land cover and its changes, affecting multiple aspects of the environmental system such as energy balance, biogeochemical cycles, hydrological cycles and the climate system, are regarded as critical elements in global change studies. Especially in arid and semiarid regions, the observation of ecosystem that is sensitive to climate change can improve an understanding of the relationships between climate and ecosystem dynamics. The purpose of this research is analyzing the ecosystem surrounding the Gobi desert in North Asia quantitatively as well as qualitatively more concretely. We used Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) derived from SPOT-VEGETATION (VGT) sensor during 1999${\sim}$2007. Ecosystem monitoring of this area is necessary because it is a hot spot in global environment change. This study will allow predicting areas, which are prone to the rapid environmental change. Eight classes were classified and compare with MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) global land cover. The time-series analysis was carried out for these 8 classes. Class-1 and -2 have least amplitude variation with low NDVI as barren areas, while other vegetated classes increase in May and decrease in October (maximum value occurs in July and August). Although the several classes have the similar features of NDVI time-series, we detected a slight difference of inter-annual variation among these classes.

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