• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-series Analysis

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Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

Pattern recognition of time series data based on the chaotic feature extracrtion (카오스 특징 추출에 의한 시계열 신호의 패턴인식)

  • 이호섭;공성곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.294-297
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    • 1996
  • This paper proposes the method to recognize of time series data based on the chaotic feature extraction. Features extract from time series data using the chaotic time series data analysis and the pattern recognition process is using a neural network classifier. In experiment, EEG(electroencephalograph) signals are extracted features by correlation dimension and Lyapunov experiments, and these features are classified by multilayer perceptron neural networks. Proposed chaotic feature extraction enhances recognition results from chaotic time series data.

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Fuzzy Logic-based Modeling of a Score (퍼지 이론을 이용한 악보의 모델링)

  • 손세호;권순학
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.211-214
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we interpret a score as a time series and deal with the fuzzy logic-based modeling of it. The musical notes in a score represent a lot of information about the length of a sound and pitches, etc. In this paper, using melodies, tones and pitches in a score, we transform data on a score into a time series. Once more, we form the new time series by sliding a window through the time series. For analyzing the time series data, we make use of the Box-Jenkinss time series analysis. On the basis of the identified characteristics of time series, we construct the fuzz model.

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Clustering Algorithm for Time Series with Similar Shapes

  • Ahn, Jungyu;Lee, Ju-Hong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.3112-3127
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    • 2018
  • Since time series clustering is performed without prior information, it is used for exploratory data analysis. In particular, clusters of time series with similar shapes can be used in various fields, such as business, medicine, finance, and communications. However, existing time series clustering algorithms have a problem in that time series with different shapes are included in the clusters. The reason for such a problem is that the existing algorithms do not consider the limitations on the size of the generated clusters, and use a dimension reduction method in which the information loss is large. In this paper, we propose a method to alleviate the disadvantages of existing methods and to find a better quality of cluster containing similarly shaped time series. In the data preprocessing step, we normalize the time series using z-transformation. Then, we use piecewise aggregate approximation (PAA) to reduce the dimension of the time series. In the clustering step, we use density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) to create a precluster. We then use a modified K-means algorithm to refine the preclusters containing differently shaped time series into subclusters containing only similarly shaped time series. In our experiments, our method showed better results than the existing method.

Comparison and Analysis of Response of Premature Infants to Auditory Stimulus (일변량 분산 분석과 이변량 시계열 분석을 이용한 미숙아의 목소리 자극에 대한 심박동수와 호흡수 반응의 비교)

  • Lee, Hye-Jung
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare the result of one-way ANOVA with that of cross-correlation time series analysis in order to evaluate physiologic responses of premature infants to human voices. Methods: Four premature infants born prior to 32 weeks gestational age were included in the study. The Gould 4000TA Recording System recorded the preterm infant's heart and respiratory rate while they were listening to a pre-recorded voice recording. Each infant listened to both male and female voices (1 min each) at each testing session. Results: The results of both one-wayANOVA and cross-correlation time series analysis using heart and respiratory rate data were not consistent in some of premature infants. A cross-correlation time series analysis revealed that the responses of premature infant to vocal stimulation occurred at a varying number of seconds after the stimulus was presented and lasted for over 20-30 sec. Conclusion: The results indicate that a time series analysis can provide more detailed information on the rapidly changing physiologic status of premature infant to the auditory stimulus. In addition, the results provide an insight into an auditory responsitivity of premature infants to a naturally occurring sound, the human voice, in the neonatal intensive care unit.

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Impact of District Medical Insurance Plan on Number of Hospital Patients: Using Box-Jenkins Time Series Analysis (Box-Jenkins 시계열 분석을 이용한 지역의료보험 실시가 병원 환자 수에 미친 영향)

  • Kim, Yong-Jun;Chun, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.22 no.2 s.26
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 1989
  • In January 1988, district medical insurance plan was executed on a national scale in Korea. We conducted an evaluation of the impact of execution of district medical insurance plan on number of hospital patients: number of outpatients; and occupancy rate. This study was carried out by Box-Jenkins time series analysis. We tested the statistical significance with intervention component added to ARIMA model. Results of our time series analysis showed that district medical insurance plan had a significant effect on the number of outpatients and occupancy rate. Due to this plan the number of outpatients had increased by 925 patients every month which is equivalent to 8.3 percents of average monthly insurance outpatients in 1987, and occupancy rate had also increased by 0.12 which is equivalent to 16 percents of that in 1987.

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Fuzzy Logic-based Modeling of a Score (퍼지 이론을 이용한 악보의 모델링)

  • 손세호;권순학
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we interpret a score as a time series and deal with the fuzzy logic-based modeling of it. The musical notes in a score represent a lot of information about the length of a sound and pitches, etc. In this paper, using melodies, tones and pitches in a score, we transform data on a score into a time series. Once more, we foml the new Lime series by sliding a window through the time series. For analyzing the time series data, we make use of the Box-Jenkins s time series analysis. On the basis of the identified characteristics of time series, we construct the fuzzy model.

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Bayes Inference for the Spatial Bilinear Time Series Model with Application to Epidemic Data

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Kim, Duk-Ki
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.641-650
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    • 2012
  • Spatial time series data can be viewed as a set of time series simultaneously collected at a number of spatial locations. This paper studies Bayesian inferences in a spatial time bilinear model with a Gibbs sampling algorithm to overcome problems in the numerical analysis techniques of a spatial time series model. For illustration, the data set of mumps cases reported from the Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention monthly over the years 2001~2009 are selected for analysis.

A Machine Learning Model for Predicting Silica Concentrations through Time Series Analysis of Mining Data (광업 데이터의 시계열 분석을 통해 실리카 농도를 예측하기 위한 머신러닝 모델)

  • Lee, Seung Hoon;Yoon, Yeon Ah;Jung, Jin Hyeong;Sim, Hyun su;Chang, Tai-Woo;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.511-520
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to devise an accurate machine learning model for predicting silica concentrations following the addition of impurities, through time series analysis of mining data. Methods: The mining data were preprocessed and subjected to time series analysis using the machine learning model. Through correlation analysis, valid variables were selected and meaningless variables were excluded. To reflect changes over time, dependent variables at baseline were treated as independent variables at later time points. The relationship between independent variables and the dependent variable after n point was subjected to Pearson correlation analysis. Results: The correlation (R2) was strongest after 3 hours, which was adopted as a dependent variable. According to root mean square error (RMSE) data, the proposed method was superior to the other machine learning methods. The XGboost algorithm showed the best predictive performance. Conclusion: This study is important given the current lack of machine learning studies pertaining to the domestic mining industry. In addition, using time series analysis in mining data will show further improvement. Before establishing a predictive model for the proposed method, predictions should be made using data with time series characteristics. After doing this work, it should also improve prediction accuracy in other domains.

A systematic review of studies using time series analysis of health and welfare in Korea (체계적 문헌고찰을 통한 국내 보건복지 분야의 시계열 분석 연구 동향)

  • Woo, Kyung-Sook;Shin, Young-Jeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.579-599
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the trends and risk of bias of research using time series analysis on health and welfare in Korea and to suggest a direction for future health and welfare research. The database searches identified 6,543 papers. Following the process for screening and selecting, a total of 91 papers were included in the systematic review. There has been a steady increase in the number of articles using time series analysis from 1987 to 2013. Time series analysis was applied in medicine and health science journals. The main goals were explanation and description. Most of the subjects were heath status and utilization of healthcare services. The main model used in the time series analysis was ARIMA followed by time series regression. The data were gathered from various sources, including the national statistical office and government agencies. For assessing risk of bias, some studies were found to have inadequate sample sizes or showed no time series graphs and plots. These findings suggest greater widespread utilization of time series analysis in the field of health and welfare and to use the appropriate analysis methods and statistical procedures to obtain more reliable results to improve the quality of research.