• 제목/요약/키워드: Time uncertainty analysis

검색결과 510건 처리시간 0.023초

CFD의 불확실성 해석에 대한 고찰 및 소스 공개 코드를 이용한 선박저항성능에의 적용 (A Study on CFD Uncertainty Analysis and its Application to Ship Resistance Performance Using Open Source Libraries)

  • 서성욱;송성진;박선호
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.329-335
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    • 2016
  • In the present paper, Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) uncertainty analysis proposed by ITTC was investigated and applied to ship resistance performance using open source libraries, called OpenFOAM. Uncertainties for grid size, time step and iteration number were studied. Wave patterns and hull wave profile were compared for various uncertainty parameters. From results, grid size uncertainty was mainly contributed to simulation numerical uncertainty.

표면거칠기측정에 대한 측정불확도 추정방법 (Verification on the Measurement Uncertainty for Surface Roughness)

  • 김창순;박민원
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2010
  • Evaluation of uncertainty is an ongoing process that can consume time and resources. It can also require the service of someone who is familiar with data analysis techniques. Therefore, it is important for laboratory personnel who are approaching uncertainty analysis for the first time to be aware of the resources required. International inclination of measurement filed to guarantee the traceability and confidence of measurement results discards the error concept and instead analyzes the measurement uncertainty. In this paper, we analyzed the elements of measurement uncertainty on surface roughness test which are the important things in mechanical parts test. Repeat the test by 3 men, the measurement uncertainty could be calculated.

An improvement on fuzzy seismic fragility analysis using gene expression programming

  • Ebrahimi, Elaheh;Abdollahzadeh, Gholamreza;Jahani, Ehsan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권5호
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    • pp.577-591
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    • 2022
  • This paper develops a comparatively time-efficient methodology for performing seismic fragility analysis of the reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in the presence of uncertainty sources. It aims to appraise the effectiveness of any variation in the material's mechanical properties as epistemic uncertainty, and the record-to-record variation as aleatory uncertainty in structural response. In this respect, the fuzzy set theory, a well-known 𝛼-cut approach, and the Genetic Algorithm (GA) assess the median of collapse fragility curves as a fuzzy response. GA is requisite for searching the maxima and minima of the objective function (median fragility herein) in each membership degree, 𝛼. As this is a complicated and time-consuming process, the authors propose utilizing the Gene Expression Programming-based (GEP-based) equation for reducing the computational analysis time of the case study building significantly. The results indicate that the proposed structural analysis algorithm on the derived GEP model is able to compute the fuzzy median fragility about 33.3% faster, with errors less than 1%.

Time uncertainty analysis method for level 2 human reliability analysis of severe accident management strategies

  • Suh, Young A;Kim, Jaewhan;Park, Soo Yong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.484-497
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes an extended time uncertainty analysis approach in Level 2 human reliability analysis (HRA) considering severe accident management (SAM) strategies. The method is a time-based model that classifies two time distribution functions-time required and time available-to calculate human failure probabilities from delayed action when implementing SAM strategies. The time required function can be obtained by the combination of four time factors: 1) time for diagnosis and decision by the technical support center (TSC) for a given strategy, 2) time for strategy implementation mainly by the local emergency response organization (ERO), 3) time to verify the effectiveness of the strategy and 4) time for portable equipment transport and installation. This function can vary depending on the given scenario and includes a summation of lognormal distributions and a choice regarding shifting the distribution. The time available function can be obtained via thermal-hydraulic code simulation (MAAP 5.03). The proposed approach was applied to assess SAM strategies that use portable equipment and safety depressurization system valves in a total loss of component cooling water event that could cause reactor vessel failure. The results from the proposed method are more realistic (i.e., not conservative) than other existing methods in evaluating SAM strategies involving the use of portable equipment.

뇌전증 환자의 불확실성 개념분석 (A Concept Analysis of Uncertainty in Epilepsy)

  • 이준아;이인숙
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.499-513
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: This concept analysis was done to clarify 'uncertainty in epilepsy'. Methods: Walker and Avant's methodology guided the analysis. In addition, the concept was compared with uncertainty in other health problems. Results: 'Uncertainty in epilepsy' was defined as being in the condition as seen from the epilepsy experience where cues were difficult to understand because they changed, were in discord with past ones, or they had two or more contradictory values at the same time. Uncertainty in epilepsy is evolved from appraisal of the epilepsy experience. As a result, uncertainty leads epilepsy patients, their family or health care providers to impaired functioning and proactive/passive coping behavior. Conclusion: Epilepsy patients with uncertainty need to be supported by nursing strategies for proactive, rational coping behavior. This achievement has implications for interventions aimed at changing perception of epilepsy patients, their families or health care providers who must deal with uncertainty.

간접 교정에 의한 다회선 초음파유량계 UR-1000 불확도 분석 (Uncertainty Analysis for the Multi-path Ultrasonic Flowmeter UR- 1000 with Dry Calibration)

  • 황상윤;박성하;박경암
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 유체기계공업학회 2002년도 유체기계 연구개발 발표회 논문집
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    • pp.378-386
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    • 2002
  • Multi-path ultrasonic Sow measurement system uncertainty is determined by assigning an expected error of each component of flow measurement and then defining the total flow measurement uncertainty as square root of the sum of squared values of the individual error. Sources of uncertainty for flow measurement are geometry, transit time and velocity profile integration uncertainty. A theoretical uncertainty model for multi-path ultrasonic transit time flowmeter configured with parallel 5 chords, is derived from and calculated by dry calibration method.

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유한요소 해석을 이용한 3상 유도전동기의 효율 불확도 평가 (Evaluation of Efficiency Uncertainty for Three-phase Induction Motor using Finite Element Analysis)

  • 이호현;박한석;전희득;우경일
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제66권4호
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2017
  • This paper presented an evaluation method for the efficiency uncertainty of a three-phase induction motor using finite element analysis. The motor efficiency in the finite element analysis is calculated by the loss separation method as in the actual test. In the process of evaluating the efficiency uncertainty, the difference between the finite element analysis and the actual test is the method of calculating the type-A / B standard uncertainty of the input quantity to estimate the efficiency and each losses. For the input quantities which can confirm the instantaneous values with respect to time, the type-A standard uncertainty in the finite element analysis is calculated from the RMS values or average values having separate periods in the steady state. And, the type-B standard uncertainty in the finite element analysis is assumed to be zero. Also, this paper compared and analyzed the efficiency uncertainty evaluated by the proposed method and the efficiency uncertainty through the actual test.

생의학 학술 문헌의 불확실성 기반 지식 동향 분석에 관한 연구 (Knowledge Trend Analysis of Uncertainty in Biomedical Scientific Literature)

  • 허고은;송민
    • 정보관리학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.175-199
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    • 2019
  • 불확실성이란 정보의 합의나 현존하는 지식 부족으로 인해 명제의 지식이 불완전한 상태를 의미한다. 과학적 지식의 불확실성을 연구하는 학술문헌의 양은 시간이 흐름에 따라 기하급수적으로 증가하고 있으며, 이에 따라 새로운 지식이 발견되고 연구가 발전하고 있다. 이처럼 시간의 흐름은 지식의 불확실성의 패턴을 발견하는데 중요한 요인이 될 수 있음에도 불구하고 기존의 연구들은 불확실성 단어의 단순 출현 빈도를 기반으로 특정 학문 영역에서 불확실성의 특성을 파악해왔다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 구축한 불확실성 단어를 생의학 영역의 불확실성 연구에 적용하여 시간의 흐름에 따른 불확실성의 변화와 패턴을 파악하고자 한다. 시간의 흐름에 따른 생의학 지식의 패턴을 분석하기 위해 대표 개체 페어, 동사 유형, 대표 개체의 패턴을 살펴보았으며 선형회귀 분석을 통해 유의성 검증을 수행했다. 개체 페어 분석에서는 17건 중 7건의 개체 페어가 유의하게 감소하는 패턴을 보였다. 10개의 대표적인 동사 유형은 모두 시간이 흐름에 따라 유의하게 감소했다. 대표 개체의 연도별 상대적 중요도 분석에서는 유의하게 상승과 하강 패턴을 보이는 개체들의 불확실성 증감을 분석했다.

콘크리트 구조물의 시간 의존적 효과의 불확실성 (Uncertainty of Time-Dependent Effects in Concrete Structures)

  • 양인환
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집(I)
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    • pp.462-465
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    • 2006
  • This paper is aimed at proposing the sampling method to reduce variance of statistical parameters in uncertainty analysis of concrete structures. The proposed method is a modification of Latin Hypercube sampling method. This uses specially modified tables of random permutations of rank number. Also, the Spearman coefficient is used to make modified tables. Numerical analysis is carried out to predict the uncertainty of axial shortening in prestressed concrete bridge. The numerical results show that the method is efficient for uncertainty analysis of complex structural system such as prestressed concrete bridges.

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Uncertainties impact on the major FOMs for severe accidents in CANDU 6 nuclear power plant

  • R.M. Nistor-Vlad;D. Dupleac;G.L. Pavel
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권7호
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    • pp.2670-2677
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    • 2023
  • In the nuclear safety studies, a new trend refers to the evaluation of uncertainties as a mandatory component of best-estimate safety analysis which is a modern and technically consistent approach being known as BEPU (Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty). The major objectives of this study consist in performing a study of uncertainties/sensitivities of the major analysis results for a generic CANDU 6 Nuclear Power Plant during Station Blackout (SBO) progression to understand and characterize the sources of uncertainties and their effects on the key figure-of-merits (FOMs) predictions in severe accidents (SA). The FOMs of interest are hydrogen mass generation and event timings such as the first fuel channel failure time, beginning of the core disassembly time, core collapse time and calandria vessel failure time. The outcomes of the study, will allow an improvement of capabilities and expertise to perform uncertainty and sensitivity analysis with severe accident codes for CANDU 6 Nuclear Power Plant.