• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
• /
• v.8 no.1
• /
• pp.71-76
• /
• 1982

A procedure is established for combining a regression model and a time series model to fit to a set of autocorrelated data. This procedure is based on an iterative method to compute regression parameter estimates and time series parameter estimates simultaneously. The time series model which is discussed is basically AR(p) model, since MA(q) model or ARMA(p,q) model can be inverted to AR({$\infty$) model which can be approximated by AR(p) model. The procedure discussed in this articled is applied in general to any combination of regression model and time series model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
• /
• 1996.10a
• /
• pp.294-297
• /
• 1996

This paper proposes the method to recognize of time series data based on the chaotic feature extraction. Features extract from time series data using the chaotic time series data analysis and the pattern recognition process is using a neural network classifier. In experiment, EEG(electroencephalograph) signals are extracted features by correlation dimension and Lyapunov experiments, and these features are classified by multilayer perceptron neural networks. Proposed chaotic feature extraction enhances recognition results from chaotic time series data.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2004.08a
• /
• pp.631-634
• /
• 2004

In this paper, the Bayesian recurrent neural network (BRNN) is proposed to predict time series data. Among the various traditional prediction methodologies, a neural network method is considered to be more effective in case of non-linear and non-stationary time series data. A neural network predictor requests proper learning strategy to adjust the network weights, and one need to prepare for non-linear and non-stationary evolution of network weights. The Bayesian neural network in this paper estimates not the single set of weights but the probability distributions of weights. In other words, we sets the weight vector as a state vector of state space method, and estimates its probability distributions in accordance with the Bayesian inference. This approach makes it possible to obtain more exact estimation of the weights. Moreover, in the aspect of network architecture, it is known that the recurrent feedback structure is superior to the feedforward structure for the problem of time series prediction. Therefore, the recurrent network with Bayesian inference, what we call BRNN, is expected to show higher performance than the normal neural network. To verify the performance of the proposed method, the time series data are numerically generated and a neural network predictor is applied on it. As a result, BRNN is proved to show better prediction result than common feedforward Bayesian neural network.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
• /
• 2004.10a
• /
• pp.426-429
• /
• 2004

To reconstruct the 3-D information of a irregular object, this paper proposes a new method applying the composition focus measure to time-series image. A focus measure function is carefully selected because a focus measure is apt to be affected by the working environment and the characteristics of an object. The proposed focus measure function combines the variance measure which is robust to noise and the Laplacian measure which, regardless of an object shape, has a good performance in calculating the focus measure. And the time-series image, which considers the object shape, is proposed in order to efficiently applying the interesting window. This method, first, divides the image frame by the window. Second, the composition focus measure function be applied to the windows, and the time-series image is constructed. Finally, the 3-D information of an object is reconstructed from the time-series images considering the object shape. The experimental results have shown that the proposed method is suitable algorithm to 3-D reconstruction of an irregular object.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
• /
• v.14D no.7
• /
• pp.727-732
• /
• 2007

Most of previous work on indexing and searching time series focused on the similarity matching and retrieval of one-attribute time series. However, multimedia databases such as music, video need to handle the similarity search in multi-attribute time series. The limitation of the current similarity models for multi-attribute sequences is that there is no consideration for attributes' sequences. The multi-attribute sequences are composed of several attributes' sequences. Since the users may want to find the similar patterns considering attributes's sequences, it is more appropriate to consider the similarity between two multi-attribute sequences in the viewpoint of attributes' sequences. In this paper, we propose the similarity search method based on attributes's sequences in multi-attribute time series databases. The proposed method can efficiently reduce the search space and guarantees no false dismissals. In addition, we give preliminary experimental results to show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
• /
• v.19 no.2
• /
• pp.149-163
• /
• 2023

Affected by external factors, errors in time series data collected by sensors are common. Using the traditional method of constraining the speed change rate to clean the errors can get good performance. However, they are only limited to the data of stable changing speed because of fixed constraint rules. Actually, data with uneven changing speed is common in practice. To solve this problem, an online cleaning algorithm for time series data based on dynamic speed change rate constraints is proposed in this paper. Since time series data usually changes periodically, we use the extreme learning machine to learn the law of speed changes from past data and predict the speed ranges that change over time to detect the data. In order to realize online data repair, a dual-window mechanism is proposed to transform the global optimal into the local optimal, and the traditional minimum change principle and median theorem are applied in the selection of the repair strategy. Aiming at the problem that the repair method based on the minimum change principle cannot correct consecutive abnormal points, through quantitative analysis, it is believed that the repair strategy should be the boundary of the repair candidate set. The experimental results obtained on the dataset show that the method proposed in this paper can get a better repair effect.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.18 no.1
• /
• pp.79-87
• /
• 2011

A spatial time series model was used for analyzing the method of spatial time series (not the ARIMA model that is popular for analyzing spatial time series) by using chicken pox data which is a highly contagious disease and grid data due to ARIMA not reflecting the spatial processes. Time series model contains a weighting matrix, because that spatial time series model influences the time variation as well as the spatial location. The weighting matrix reflects that the more geographically contiguous region has the higher spatial dependence. It is hypothesized that the weighting matrix gives neighboring areas the same influence in the study of the spatial time series model. Therefore, we try to present the conclusion with a weighting matrix in a way that gives the same weight to existing neighboring areas in the study of the suitability of the STARMA model, spatial time series model and STBL model, in the comparative study of the predictive power for statistical inference, and the results. Furthermore, through the Kalman-Filter method we try to show the superiority of the Kalman-Filter method through a parameter assumption and the processes of prediction.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• v.13 no.5
• /
• pp.845-860
• /
• 2017

It is very important to study displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering. Nowadays, the grey system method, time series analysis method and artificial neural network method are three main methods. Based on the brief introduction, the three methods are analyzed comprehensively. Their merits and demerits, applied ranges are revealed. To solve the shortcomings of the artificial neural network method, a new prediction method based on new evolutionary neural network is proposed. Finally, through two real engineering applications, the analysis of three main methods and the new evolutionary neural network method all have been verified. The results show that, the grey system method is a kind of exponential approximation to displacement sequence, and time series analysis is linear autoregression approximation, while artificial neural network is nonlinear autoregression approximation. Thus, the grey system method can suitably analyze the sequence, which has the exponential law, the time series method can suitably analyze the random sequence and the neural network method almostly can be applied in any sequences. Moreover, the prediction results of new evolutionary neural network method is the best, and its approximation sequence and the generalization prediction sequence are all coincided with the real displacement sequence well. Thus, the new evolutionary neural network method is an acceptable method to predict the measurement displacements of geotechnical engineering.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2007.04a
• /
• pp.152-154
• /
• 2007

Anew discretization method for the input-driven nonlinear continuous-time system with time delay is proposed. It is based on the combination of Taylor series expansion and first-order hold assumption. The mathematical structure of the new discretization scheme is explored. The performance of the proposed discretization procedure is evaluated by case studies. The results demonstrate that the proposed discretization scheme can assure the system requirements even though under a large sampling period. A comparison between first order hold and zero-order hold is simulated also.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
• /
• v.7 no.10
• /
• pp.47-51
• /
• 1984

In many forecasting problem, there is little or no useful historical information available at the time the initial forecast is required, The propose of this paper is study on Bayesian Method in forecasting. I : Introduction. II : Bayesian estimation. III : Constant Model. IV : General time series Models. V : Conclusion. The Bayesian procedure are then used to revise parameter estimates when time series information is available, in this paper we give a general description of the bayesian approach and demonstrate the methodology with several specific cases.