• 제목/요약/키워드: Time prediction

검색결과 5,881건 처리시간 0.034초

제어 시지연이 있는 고성능 PI 전류제어기에 대한 예측전류의 적용방법 (A Novel Utilization Method of the Predicted Current in the High Performance PI Current Controller with a Control time delay)

  • 이진우
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.426-430
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 제어 시지연을 갖는 고성능 PI 전류제어기에 대한 새로운 예측전류 적용방법을 모색한다. 먼저 선형 영구자석 동기전동기를 사용한 선형 서보 제어시스템에 존재하는 불가피한 전류예측 오차원인을 분석하고, 전류예측 오차와 제어 시지연을 고려한 전류제어 성능 개선 방법으로 수정된 동기좌표계 비간섭 PI 전류제어기를 제안한다. 그리고 시뮬레이션 및 실험 결과를 통하여 제안된 전류제어기가 서보 제어시스템에 존재하는 전류예측 오차와 제어 시지연이 있는 경우에도 개선된 전류제어응답을 보임을 검증하였다.

Adaptive Input Traffic Prediction Scheme for Absolute and Proportional Delay Differentiated Services in Broadband Convergence Network

  • Paik, Jung-Hoon;Ryoo, Jeong-Dong;Joo, Bheom-Soon
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.227-237
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, an algorithm that provides absolute and proportional differentiation of packet delays is proposed with the objective of enhancing quality of service in future packet networks. It features an adaptive scheme that adjusts the target delay for every time slot to compensate the deviation from the target delay, which is caused by prediction error on the traffic to arrive at the next time slot. It predicts the traffic to arrive at the beginning of a time slot and measures the actual arrived traffic at the end of the time slot. The difference between them is utilized by the delay control operation for the next time slot to offset it. Because the proposed algorithm compensates the prediction error continuously, it shows superior adaptability to bursty traffic and exponential traffic. Through simulations we demonstrate that the algorithm meets the quantitative delay bounds and is robust to traffic fluctuation in comparison with the conventional non-adaptive mechanism. The algorithm is implemented with VHDL on a Xilinx Spartan XC3S1500 FPGA, and the performance is verified under the test board based on the XPC860P CPU.

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Personalized Battery Lifetime Prediction for Mobile Devices based on Usage Patterns

  • Kang, Joon-Myung;Seo, Sin-Seok;Hong, James Won-Ki
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.338-345
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    • 2011
  • Nowadays mobile devices are used for various applications such as making voice/video calls, browsing the Internet, listening to music etc. The average battery consumption of each of these activities and the length of time a user spends on each one determines the battery lifetime of a mobile device. Previous methods have provided predictions of battery lifetime using a static battery consumption rate that does not consider user characteristics. This paper proposes an approach to predict a mobile device's available battery lifetime based on usage patterns. Because every user has a different pattern of voice calls, data communication, and video call usage, we can use such usage patterns for personalized prediction of battery lifetime. Firstly, we define one or more states that affect battery consumption. Then, we record time-series log data related to battery consumption and the use time of each state. We calculate the average battery consumption rate for each state and determine the usage pattern based on the time-series data. Finally, we predict the available battery time based on the average battery consumption rate for each state and the usage pattern. We also present the experimental trials used to validate our approach in the real world.

자기 회귀 웨이블릿 신경 회로망을 이용한 비선형 혼돈 시계열의 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of the Nonlinear Chaotic Time Series Using a Self-Recurrent Wavelet Neural Network)

  • 이혜진;박진배;최윤호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2209-2211
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    • 2004
  • Unlike the wavelet neural network, since a mother wavelet layer of the self-recurrent wavelet neural network (SRWNN) is composed of self-feedback neurons, it has the ability to store past information of the wavelet. Therefore we propose the prediction method for the nonlinear chaotic time series model using a SRWNN. The SRWNN model is learned for the modeling of a function such that the inputs arc known values of the time series and the output is the value in the future. The parameters of the network are tuned to minimize the difference between the nonlinear mapping of the chaotic time series and the output of SRWNN using the gradient-descent method for the adaptive backpropagation algorithm. Through the computer simulations, we demonstrate the feasibility and the effectiveness of our method for the prediction of the logistic map and the Mackey-Glass delay-differential equation as a nonlinear chaotic time series.

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뇌졸중 환자의 기능회복에 대한 예측모델 (A Prediction Model for Functional Recovery After Stroke)

  • 원종임;이미영
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2010
  • Mortality rates from stroke have been declining. Because of this, more people are living with residual disability. Rehabilitation plays an important role in functional recovery of stroke survivors. In stroke rehabilitation, early prediction of the obtainable level of functional recovery is desirable to deliver efficient care, set realistic goals, and provide appropriate discharge planning. The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of functional outcome after stroke using inpatient rehabilitation as measured by Functional Independence Measure (FIM) total scores. Correlation and stepwise multiple regression analyses were performed on data collected retrospectively from two-hundred thirty-five patients. More than moderate correlation was found between FIM total scores at the time of hospital admission and FIM total scores at the time of discharge from the hospital. Significant predictors of FIM at the time of discharge were FIM total scores at the time of hospital admission, age, and onset-admission interval. The equation was as follows: expected discharge FIM total score = $76.12+.62{\times}$(admission FIM total score)-$.38{\times}(age)-.15{\times}$(onset-admission interval). These findings suggest that FIM total scores at the time of hospital admission, age, and onset-admission interval are important determinants of functional outcome.

A Study on the Generation of Datasets for Applied AI to OLED Life Prediction

  • CHUNG, Myung-Ae;HAN, Dong Hun;AHN, Seongdeok;KANG, Min Soo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.7-11
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    • 2022
  • OLED displays cannot be used permanently due to burn-in or generation of dark spots due to degradation. Therefore, the time when the display can operate normally is very important. It is close to impossible to physically measure the time when the display operates normally. Therefore, the time that works normally should be predicted in a way other than a physical way. Therefore, if you do computer simulations based on artificial intelligence, you can increase the accuracy of prediction by saving time and continuous learning. Therefore, if we do computer simulations based on artificial intelligence, we can increase the accuracy of prediction by saving time and continuous learning. In this paper, a dataset in the form of development from generation to diffusion of dark spots, which is one of the causes related to the life of OLED, was generated by applying the finite element method. The dark spots were generated in nine conditions, such as 0.1 to 2.0 ㎛ with the size of pinholes, the number was 10 to 100, and 50% with water content. The learning data created in this way may be a criterion for generating an artificial intelligence-based dataset.

시스템 복잡도를 반영한 한국형 정비도 예측 방법론 (Korean Maintainability Prediction Methodology Reflecting System Complexity)

  • 권재언;허장욱
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2021
  • During the development of a weapon system, the concept of maintainability is used for quantitatively predicting and analyzing the maintenance time. However, owing to the complexity of a weapon system, the standard maintenance time predicted during the system's development differs significantly from the measured time during the operation of the equipment after the system's development. According to the analysis presented in this paper, the maintenance time can be predicted by considering the system's complexity on the basis of the military specifications, and the procedure can be Part B of Procedure II and Method B of Procedure V. The maintenance work elements affected by the system complexity were identified by the analytic hierarchy process technique, and the system-complexity-reflecting weights of the maintenance work elements were calculated by the Delphi method, which involves expert surveys. Based on MIL-HDBK-470A and MIL-HDBK-472, it is going to present a Korean-style maintainability prediction method that reflects system complexity of weapons systems.

A real-time unmeasured dynamic response prediction for nuclear facility pressure pipeline system

  • Seungin Oh ;Hyunwoo Baek ;Kang-Heon Lee ;Dae-Sic Jang;Jihyun Jun ;Jin-Gyun Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권7호
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    • pp.2642-2649
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    • 2023
  • A real-time unmeasured dynamic response prediction process for the nuclear power plant pressure pipeline is proposed and its performance is tested in the test-loop system (KAERI). The aim of the process is to predict unmeasurable or unreachable dynamic responses such as acceleration, velocity, and displacement by using a limited amount of directly measured physical responses. It is achieved by combining a well-constructed finite element model and robust inverse force identification algorithm. The pressure pipeline system is described by using the displacement-pressure vibro-acoustic formulation to consider fully filled liquid effect inside the pipeline structure. A robust multiphysics modal projection technique is employed for the real-time sensor synchronized prediction. The inverse force identification method is also derived and employed by using Bathe's time integration method to identify the full-field responses of the target system from the modal domain computation. To validate the performance of the proposed process, an experimental test is extensively performed on the nuclear power plant pressure pipeline test-loop under operation conditions. The results show that the proposed identification process could well estimate the unmeasured acceleration in both frequency and time domain faster than 32,768 samples per sec.

병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측 (A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information)

  • 문영전;양동현
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

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이동하는 사용자를 위한 이동성 예측을 이용하는 UPnP A/V 멀티미디어 시스템 (A UPnP A/V Multimedia System using Prediction of Mobility for Mobile User)

  • 김경덕;정의균
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제12권11호
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    • pp.1509-1520
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    • 2009
  • 사용자의 이동성을 제공하는 유비쿼터스 환경과 달리 홈 네트워크와 같은 실내 컴퓨팅 환경에서는 사용자 이동성이 제공되지 않는다. 본 논문은 다양한 단말 장치에서 끊김 없는 멀티미디어 서비스 적응을 위해 사용자 이동 예측을 이용하는 UPnP A/V 멀티미디어 시스템을 제안한다. 본 시스템은 실내에서 이동 중인 사용자에게 이동 중 인접 장치로 세션을 자동으로 옮겨 사용자가 끊김 없이 멀티미디어 서비스를 받을 수 있게 한다. 이를 위해 사용자 상황정보를 6하 원칙으로 표현하고 이 상황정보와 이동 경로 정보를 바탕으로 사용자 이동을 예측한다. 이때 하나 이상의 이동 위치를 예측하여 기본적으로 예측 정확도를 높였다. 그리고 제안한 시스템에 대하여 사용자 이동성의 예측 정확도, 예측에 걸리는 시간, 예측을 통해 사용자에게 서비스하는데 걸리는 시간을 평가하여 이동 사용자의 이동 예측으로 끊김 없는 멀티미디어 서비스 적응을 제공할 수 있음을 보였다.

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