• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time Series Changes

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Time Series Evaluation of Visual Fatigue and Depth Sensation Using a Stereoscopic Display

  • Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kishi, Shinsuke;Kawai, Takashi;Hatada, Toyohiko
    • Journal of Information Display
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.188-194
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    • 2009
  • Conventional stereoscopic (3D) displays using binocular parallax generate unnatural conflicts between convergence and accommodation. These conflicts can affect the observer's ability to fuse binocular images and may cause visual fatigue. In this study, time series changes in visual fatigue and depth sensation when viewing stereoscopic images with changing parallax were examined. In particular, the physiological changes, including the subjective symptoms of visual fatigue, when viewing five parallax conditions, were examined. Then a comparative analysis of the 2D and 3D conditions was performed based on the visual function. To obtain data regarding the visual function, the time series changes in the spontaneous-blinking rate before and during the viewing of 3D images were measured. The time series change results suggest that 2D and 3D images cause significantly different types of visual fatigue over the range of binocular disparity.

A Study on the Relations among Stock Return, Risk, and Book-to-Market Ratio (주식수익률, 위험, 장부가치 / 시장가치 비율의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Kam, Hyung-Kyu;Shin, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.127-147
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    • 2004
  • This paper examines the time-series relations among expected return, risk, and book-to-market(B/M) at the portfolio level. The time-series analysis is a natural alternative to cross-sectional regressions. An alternative feature of the time-series regressions is that they focus on changes in expected returns, not on average returns. Using the time-series analysis, we can directly test whether the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model. These results should help distinguish between the risk and mispricing stories. We find that B/M is strongly associated with changes in risk, as measured by the Fama and French(1993) three-factor model. After controlling for changes in risk, B/M contains little additional information about expected returns. The evidence suggests that the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model.

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Time-series changes in visual fatigue and depth sensation while viewing stereoscopic images

  • Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kishi, Shinsuke;Kawai, Takashi;Hatada, Toyohiko
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.1099-1102
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    • 2009
  • Conventional stereoscopic (3D) displays using binocular parallax generate unnatural conflicts between convergence and accommodation. Those conflicts can affect the ability to fuse binocular images and may cause visual fatigue. This study examined time-series changes in visual fatigue and depth sensation while viewing stereoscopic images with changing parallax. We examined the physiological changes, including the subjective symptoms of visual fatigue, when viewing five parallax conditions. The time-series results suggest that 2D and 3D images produce significantly different types of visual fatigue over the range of binocular disparity.

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Correlation Analyses of the Temperature Time Series Data from the Heat Box for Energy Modeling in the Automobile Drying Process (자동차 건조 공정 에너지 예측 모형을 위한 공조기 온도 시계열 데이터의 상관관계 분석)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Song, Gensoo;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we investigate the statistical correlation of the time series for temperature measured at the heat box in the automobile drying process. We show, in terms of the sample variance, that a significant non-linear correlation exists in the time series that consist of absolute temperature changes. To investigate further the non-linear correlation, we utilize the volatility, an important concept in the financial market, and induce volatility time series from absolute temperature changes. We analyze the time series of volatilities in terms of the de-trended fluctuation analysis (DFA), a method especially suitable for testing the long-range correlation of non-stationary data, from the correlation perspective. We uncover that the volatility exhibits a long-range correlation regardless of the window size. We also analyze the cross correlation between two (inlet and outlet) volatility time series to characterize any correlation between the two, and disclose the dependence of the correlation strength on the time lag. These results can contribute as important factors to the modeling of forecasting and management of the heat box's temperature.

Sequential Test for Parameter Changes in Time Series Models

  • Lee Sangyeol;Ha Jeongcheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.185-189
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a sequential test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance change, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, we develop a sequential test for parameter changes in a more general framework.

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A Study on the Test and Visualization of Change in Structures Associated with the Occurrence of Non-Stationary of Long-Term Time Series Data Based on Unit Root Test (Unit Root Test를 기반으로 한 장기 시계열 데이터의 Non-Stationary 발생에 따른 구조 변화 검정 및 시각화 연구)

  • Yoo, Jaeseong;Choo, Jaegul
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2019
  • Structural change of time series means that the distribution of observations is relatively stable in the period of constituting the entire time series data, but shows a sudden change of the distribution characteristic at a specific time point. Within a non-stationary long-term time series, it is important to determine in a timely manner whether the change in short-term trends is transient or structurally changed. This is because it is necessary to always detect the change of the time series trend and to take appropriate measures to cope with the change. In this paper, we propose a method for decision makers to easily grasp the structural changes of time series by visualizing the test results based on the unit root test. Particularly, it is possible to grasp the short-term structural changes even in the long-term time series through the method of dividing the time series and testing it.

Changes of Flowering Time in the Weather Flora in Susan Using the Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 이용한 부산지역 계절식물의 개화시기 변화)

  • Choi, Chul-Mann;Moon, Sung-Gi
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2009
  • To examine the trend on the flowering time in some weather flora including Prunus serrulata var. spontanea, Cosmos bipinnatus, and Robinia pseudo-acacia in Busan, the changes in time series and rate of flowering time of plants were analyzed using the method of time series analysis. According to the correlation between the flowering time and the temperature, changing pattern of flowering time was very similar to the pattern of the temperature, and change rate was gradually risen up as time goes on. Especially, the change rate of flowering time in C. bipinnatus was 0.487 day/year and showed the highest value. In flowering date in 2007, the difference was one day between measurement value and prediction value in C. bipinnatus and R. pseudo-acacia, whereas the difference was 8 days in P. mume showing great difference compared to other plants. Flowering time was highly related with temperature of February and March in the weather flora except for P. mume, R. pseudo-acacia and C. bipinnatus. In most plants, flowering time was highly related with a daily average temperature. However, the correlation between flowering time and a daily minimum temperature was the highest in Rhododendron mucronulatum and P. persica, otherwise the correlation between flowering time and a daily maximum temperature was the highest in Pyrus sp.

Adaptive Reconstruction of NDVI Image Time Series for Monitoring Vegetation Changes (지표면 식생 변화 감시를 위한 NDVI 영상자료 시계열 시리즈의 적응 재구축)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2009
  • Irregular temporal sampling is a common feature of geophysical and biological time series in remote sensing. This study proposes an on-line system for reconstructing observation image series including bad or missing observation that result from mechanical problems or sensing environmental condition. The surface parameters associated with the land are usually dependent on the climate, and many physical processes that are displayed in the image sensed from the land then exhibit temporal variation with seasonal periodicity. An adaptive feedback system proposed in this study reconstructs a sequence of images remotely sensed from the land surface having the physical processes with seasonal periodicity. The harmonic model is used to track seasonal variation through time, and a Gibbs random field (GRF) is used to represent the spatial dependency of digital image processes. In this study, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) image was computed for one week composites of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) imagery over the Korean peninsula, and the adaptive reconstruction of harmonic model was then applied to the NDVI time series from 1996 to 2000 for tracking changes on the ground vegetation. The results show that the adaptive approach is potentially very effective for continuously monitoring changes on near-real time.

An Adaptive Structural Model When There is a Major Level Change (수준에서의 변화에 적응하는 구조모형)

  • 전덕빈
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1987
  • In analyzing time series, estimating the level or the current mean of the process plays an important role in understanding its structure and in being able to make forecasts. The studies the class of time series models where the level of the process is assumed to follow a random walk and the deviation from the level follow an ARMA process. The estimation and forecasting problem in a Bayesian framework and uses the Kalman filter to obtain forecasts based on estimates of level. In the analysis of time series, we usually make the assumption that the time series is generated by one model. However, in many situations the time series undergoes a structural change at one point in time. For example there may be a change in the distribution of random variables or in parameter values. Another example occurs when the level of the process changes abruptly at one period. In order to study such problems, the assumption that level follows a random walk process is relaxed to include a major level change at a particular point in time. The major level change is detected by examining the likelihood raio under a null hypothesis of no change and an alternative hypothesis of a major level change. The author proposes a method for estimation the size of the level change by adding one state variable to the state space model of the original Kalman filter. Detailed theoretical and numerical results are obtained for th first order autoregressive process wirth level changes.

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Statistical Tests for the Flow Change in Sumjin River (섬진강의 유량변화 통계 검정)

  • Lee, Gwang-Man;Yun, La-Young;Lee, Seung-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1067-1077
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    • 2008
  • An understanding of temporal trends of stream flows can help in the river management and the water resources planning for natural circumstances and human communities. Changes in temperature, precipitation, flow, and land use (agriculture, flood prevention activities, reservoir operation, interbasin diversion, etc.) are all eventually reflected in the flow pattern of the river. An assumption that the stationarity of the hydrologic series implying time-invariant characteristics of the time series accepted in water structure designs can no longer be valid if the flow changes as a result of the climate change or the stream flow use. Therefore, the identification and description of the characteristics of changes in hydrologic time series is a very important task in the river basin management. In this study, the statistical tests on the flow change forced by excess water diversions in the Sumjin River basin were performed by ways of single variable and time series variable comparisons. The tests showed that currently the Sumjin River basin statistically keeps its homogeneity in annual streamflow series, but the changed situation has been appeared in dry season streamflow series.