• Title/Summary/Keyword: Tight oil

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해운이슈 - 엘지경제연(硏), 셰일혁명으로 부상한 Tight Oil 발표

  • 한국선주협회
    • 해운
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    • s.99
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2013
  • 석유생산이 정점을 짝은 후 감소한다는 피크오일(Peak Oil)의 대표사례로 지목되던 미국에서 원유생산이 39년 만에 증가세로 전환됐다(<그림 1> 참조). 2012년에는 WTI 유가 1% 하락에도 불구하고 미국은 주요 신유국 중에서 이라크에 이어 세계 두 번째로 빠른 석유생산 증가율(8.9%)을 기록하면서 세계 최대 석유 생산국으로 발돋움했다. 최근 들에서는 멜릴린치와 삭소은행 등 일부 투자은행들이 2년 내에 WTI 유가가 배럴당 50달러로까지 하락할 수 있다는 견해를 내 놓았다. 석유 생산 확대세가 이어지면서 미국내에서 거래되는 유가가 절반 가까이 하락할 수 있다는 것이다. 미국이 빠른 석유 생산 확대를 보이는 데에는 비전통 석유인 타이트 오일(Tight Oil)의 역할이 크다. 타이트 오일은 셰일가스가 매장된 셰일층, 즉 모래와 진흙이 굳어진 지하 퇴적암층에 존재하는 원유다. 탄소 함유량이 많고 황 함량이 적은 경질유이기 때문에 LTO(Light Tight Oil)라고 지칭되기도 한다. 일부에서는 셰일층이라는 매장위치를 감안해 셰일오일(Shale Oil)이라 부르기도 한다. IEA와 EIA 등 주요 에너지 기관들은 동식물의 사체가 원유로 변하기 전 단계인 케로젠(Kerogen)이 주성분인 오일셰일(Oil Shale)과 오일셰일에 열을 가해 합성 석유로 만든 셰일오일을 타이트 오일과 구분하고 있다. 타이트 오일의 잠재력을 평가하고 중장기 생산 전망과 이로 인한 국제석유시장 파급효과를 살펴본다. 다음은 엘지경제연구원에서 발표한 '셰일혁명으로 부상한 Tight Oil, 유가 안정 역할 커진다'의 주요 내용을 요약 정리한 것이다.

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Recurrent Neural Network Model for Predicting Tight Oil Productivity Using Type Curve Parameters for Each Cluster (군집 별 표준곡선 매개변수를 이용한 치밀오일 생산성 예측 순환신경망 모델)

  • Han, Dong-kwon;Kim, Min-soo;Kwon, Sun-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.297-299
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    • 2021
  • Predicting future productivity of tight oil is an important task for analyzing residual oil recovery and reservoir behavior. In general, productivity prediction is made using the decline curve analysis(DCA). In this study, we intend to propose an effective model for predicting future production using deep learning-based recurrent neural networks(RNN), LSTM, and GRU algorithms. As input variables, the main parameters are oil, gas, water, which are calculated during the production of tight oil, and the type curve calculated through various cluster analyzes. the output variable is the monthly oil production. Existing empirical models, the DCA and RNN models, were compared, and an optimal model was derived through hyperparameter tuning to improve the predictive performance of the model.

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Application of Plastic Analysis Method to Ship Grillage Design (소성해석법의 선체 GRILLAGE 설계에의 응용)

  • Kim, Ki-Sung;Shin, Sung-Uk
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.792-802
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    • 2010
  • A plastic analysis method is commonly used in ship and offshore structural system to utilize the ultimate strength. In this paper, the basic principle of plastic analysis method is applied to ship grillages such as transverse oil-tight bulkheads. The main emphasis is placed on the optimum arrangement of grillage system to give minimum weight. Additional parametric study is carried out to find the effect of various arrangement of grillage system. The above methods are applied to oil-tight bulkhead design, and results are compared with the existing one.

Antioxidative Effects of Some Antioxidants according to Storage Conditions of Cooked Soybean Oil (가열유지의 저장조건에 따른 일부 항산화제의 항산화 효과)

  • Yoon, Soo-Hong;Lee, Myoune-Jin;Park, Byoung-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.158-163
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    • 1988
  • The changes of the physico-chemical properties and fatty acid compositions of cooked soybean oil, 30 min at $180{\pm}5^{\circ}C$, were investigated to compare the antixidative effects of some antioxidants such as BHA, ${\alpha}-tocopherol$ and sesamol according to various storage conditions(room temperature, room temperature with a air tight in the dark and low temperature with air tight) for 4 weeks. The order of antioxidative effects according to different storage conditions was low temperature with air tight, room temperature with air tight in the dark and room temperature. Acid values, peroxide values and carbonyl values of soybean oil stored under low temperature with air tight after ${\alpha}-tocopherol$ treatment were similar to those of soybean oil stored under room temperature after BHA treatment. The relative contents of linoleic acid and linolenic acid decreased during storage, wheras those of oleic acid and palmitic acid increased. The contents of linoleic acid in soybean oil treated with ${\alpha}-tocopherol$ and BHA under low temperature with air tight storage were $53.61{\sim}50.29%$ and $53.78{\sim}50.68%$, respectively. These contents were very high in comparison with those in untreated oil under room temperature storage, $52.09{\sim}43.96%$.

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Explanation of Influence Variables and Development of Tight Oil Productivity Prediction Model by Production Period using XAI Algorithm (XAI를 활용한 생산기간에 따른 치밀오일 생산성 예측 모델 개발 및 영향변수 설명)

  • Han, Dong-kwon;An, Yu-bin;Kwon, Sun-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.484-487
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    • 2022
  • This study suggests an XAI-based machine learning method to predict the productivity of tight oil reservoirs according to the production period. The XAI algorithm refers to interpretable artificial intelligence and provides the basis for the predicted result and the validity of the derivation process. In this study, we proposed a supervised learning model that predicts productivity in the early and late stages of production after performing data preprocessing based on field data. and then based on the model results, the factors affecting the productivity prediction model were analyzed using XAI.

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Study for Structural Behavior of O. T. Bulkhead Due to Discontinued Vertical Stiffeners in COT (COT에서의 Vertical Stiffener 단락에 따른 O. T. Bulkhead 구조 거동에 대한 고찰)

  • Lee, Dae-Sung;Kim, Jung-Hee;Chung, Sang-Youl
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2011.09a
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    • pp.21-24
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    • 2011
  • Oil Tight Bulkhead (O. T. Bulkhead) is one of the most important structural members of oil tankers in the views of vessel's strength and safety. Therefore O.T. bulkhead's strength should be sufficient against relevant loadings, which is normally verified by local scantling requirement and structural strength analysis defined in CSR (Common Structure Rules for Double Hull Oil Tankers). However, there is a weak-able situation when the vertical stiffeners are cut due to the penetration of cargo pipes through O. T. Bulkhead. In addition, CSR does not define how to prove the strength of this case. Therefore it is necessary to verify the structural adequacy in case that several vertical stiffeners are discontinued. This article intends to prove the strength of O. T. Bulkhead with five (5) vertical stiffeners discontinued due to pipes' penetration using the grillage analysis and the finite element analysis and to provide proper reinforcement.

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Characterization of gas-water flow in tight sandstone based on authentic sandstone micro-model

  • Liu, Yuqiao;Lyu, Qiqi;Luo, Shunshe
    • Geosystem Engineering
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.318-325
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    • 2018
  • Eight tight sandstone reservoir samples from $He_8$ and $Shan_1$ Formations of the Sulige Gas field were selected to perform gas-water micro-displacement experiment based on authentic sandstone micro-model. The gas pressure-relief experiment was proposed for the first time to simulate the pressure change and gas-water percolation characteristics in the process of gas exploitation. The experiment results show that: (1) In the process of gas accumulation, the gas preferentially flows into the well-connected pores and throats with large radius, but rarely flows into the area without pores and throats. (2) Under sufficient gas drive, the water in pores and throats usually exists in the forms of 'thin water film', 'thick water film', and 'water column', but under insufficient gas drive, gas fails to flow into new pathways in time, so that the reservoirs with large pores and throats are high in water cut. (3) Under the same water saturation, the reservoirs with better petrophysical properties has higher gas recovery factor within unit time. Under the same petrophysical conditions, the reservoirs with lower water saturation show higher gas recovery factor within unit time. The higher the permeability, the stronger the liquid carrying capacity of reservoirs.

Study on the pressure self-adaptive water-tight junction box in underwater vehicle

  • Huang, Haocai;Ye, Yanying;Leng, Jianxing;Yuan, Zhuoli;Chen, Ying
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.302-312
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    • 2012
  • Underwater vehicles play a very important role in underwater engineering. Water-tight junction box (WJB) is one of the key components in underwater vehicle. This paper puts forward a pressure self-adaptive water-tight junction box (PSAWJB) which improves the reliability of the WJB significantly by solving the sealing and pressure problems in conventional WJB design. By redundancy design method, the pressure self-adaptive equalizer (PSAE) is designed in such a way that it consists of a piston pressure-adaptive compensator (PPAC) and a titanium film pressure-adaptive compensator (TFPAC). According to hydro-mechanical simulations, the operating volume of the PSAE is more than or equal to 11.6 % of the volume of WJB liquid system. Furthermore, the required operating volume of the PSAE also increases as the gas content of oil, hydrostatic pressure or temperature difference increases. The reliability of the PSAWJB is proved by hyperbaric chamber tests.

Suitability of Palm Based Oil as Dielectric Insulating Fluid in Transformers

  • Azis, Norhafiz;Jasni, Jasronita;Kadir, Mohd Zainal Abidin Ab;Mohtar, Mohd Nazim
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.662-669
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    • 2014
  • Mineral oil has been widely used as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers due to its excellent performance in-service. However, there are few issues with mineral oil such as it has poor biodegradability and could contaminate the environment if a spillage occurs. With the increasing tight regulation on safety and environment, alternative fluids for mineral oil are currently being investigated and among the suitable candidate is the vegetable oil. There are different types of vegetable oils and one of them is the palm based oil. At the moment, extensive research works are carried out to examine its feasibility to be applied in transformers. This paper will review the previous research works that were carried out to examine the suitability of palm based oil as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers. The physical and chemical properties of palm based oil are studied based on viscosity, acidity, oxidation stability and flash point. Next, the electrical characteristics of palm based oil are examined based on AC breakdown voltage, relative permittivity, dissipation factor and partial discharge.

Case Study for pitting of elevator's worm gear type traction machine (승강기용 웜기어 방식 권상기의 점식 발생 사례)

  • Seo, Sang-Yoon;Yang, Bo-Seok;Lee, Seon-Sun;Kim, Sung-Hyeob;Kim, Jae-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2012.04a
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes the pitting's cause of elevator's worm gear type traction machine. To find a cause of pitting problem, we analyzed vibration, a proper design allowance and lubrication. We brought a conclusion that the cause of pitting is not a simple vibration problem, such as misalignment of worm reducer and rail, but mostly related to a designed allowance. In this case, the allowance is tight. In general, the allowance of traction machine and lubrication is varied by manufacturers. When the allowance is tight, a proper lubrication can diminish the pitting problem.

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