• Title/Summary/Keyword: Threshold model

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Accuracy of Combined Visual Inspection with Acetic Acid and Cervical Cytology Testing as a Primary Screening Tool for Cervical Cancer: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Chanthavilay, Phetsavanh;Mayxay, Mayfong;Phongsavan, Keokedthong;Marsden, Donald E;White, Lisa J;Moore, Lynne;Reinharz, Daniel
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.14
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    • pp.5889-5897
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    • 2015
  • Background: The performance of combined testing visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) and cervical cytology tests might differ from one setting to another. The average estimate of the testing accuracy across studies is informative, but no meta-analysis has been carried out to assess this combined method. Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the average sensitivity and specificity of the combined VIA and cervical cytology tests for the detection of cervical precancerous lesions. Materials and Methods: We conducted a systematic review and a meta-analysis, according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Review of Diagnostic Test Accuracy. We considered two cases. In the either-positive result case, a positive result implies positivity in at least one of the tests. A negative result implies negativity in both tests. In the both-positive case, a positive result implies having both tests positive. Eligible studies were identified using Pubmed, Embase, Website of Science, CINHAL and COCRANE databases. True positive, false positive, false negative and true negative values were extracted. Estimates of sensitivity and specificity, positive and negative likelihood (LR) and diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) were pooled using a hierarchical random effect model. Hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristics (HSROC) were generated and heterogeneity was verified through covariates potentially influencing the diagnostic odds ratio. Findings: Nine studies fulfilled inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis. Pooled estimates of the sensitivities of the combined tests in either-positive and both-positive cases were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.90) and 0.38 (95% CI: 0.29-0.48), respectively. Corresponding specificities were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.63-0.89) and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.96-0.99) respectively. The DORs of the combined tests in either-positive or both-positive result cases were 27.7 (95% CI: 12.5-61.5) and 52 (95% CI: 22.1-122.2), respectively. When including only articles without partial verification bias and also a high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia as a threshold of the disease, DOR of combined test in both-positive result cases remained the highest. However, DORs decreased to 12.1 (95% CI: 6.05-24.1) and 13.8 (95% CI: 7.92-23.9) in studies without partial verification bias for the combined tests in the either-positive and both-positive result cases, respectively. The screener, the place of study and the size of the population significantly influenced the DOR of combined tests in the both-positive result case in restriction analyses that considered only articles with CIN2+ as disease threshold. Conclusions: The combined test in the either-positive result case has a high sensitivity, but a low specificity. These results suggest that the combined test should be considered in developing countries as a primary screening test if facilities exist to confirm, through colposcopy and biopsy, a positive result.

An Adaptive Load Control Scheme in Hierarchical Mobile IPv6 Networks (계층적 모바일 IP 망에서의 적응형 부하 제어 기법)

  • Pack Sang heon;Kwon Tae kyoung;Choi Yang hee
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.10A
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    • pp.1131-1138
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    • 2004
  • In Hierarchical Mobile Ipv6 (HMIPv6) networks, the mobility anchor point (MAP) handles binding update (BU) procedures locally to reduce signaling overhead for mobility. However, as the number of mobile nodes (MNs) handled by the MAP increases, the MAP suffers from the overhead not only to handle signaling traffic but also to Process data tunneling traffic. Therefore, it is important to control the number of MNs serviced by the MAP, in order to mitigate the burden of the MAP. We propose an adaptive load control scheme, which consists of two sub-algorithms: threshold-based admission control algorithm and session-to-mobility ratio (SMR) based replacement algorithm. When the number of MNs at a MAP reaches to the full capacity, the MAP replaces an existing MN at the MAP, whose SMR is high, with an MN that just requests binding update. The replaced MN is redirected to its home agent. We analyze the proposed load control scheme using the .Markov chain model in terms of the new MN and the ongoing MN blocking probabilities. Numerical results indicate that the above probabilities are lowered significantly compared to the threshold-based admission control alone.

Fuzzy discretization with spatial distribution of data and Its application to feature selection (데이터의 공간적 분포를 고려한 퍼지 이산화와 특징선택에의 응용)

  • Son, Chang-Sik;Shin, A-Mi;Lee, In-Hee;Park, Hee-Joon;Park, Hyoung-Seob;Kim, Yoon-Nyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2010
  • In clinical data minig, choosing the optimal subset of features is such important, not only to reduce the computational complexity but also to improve the usefulness of the model constructed from the given data. Moreover the threshold values (i.e., cut-off points) of selected features are used in a clinical decision criteria of experts for differential diagnosis of diseases. In this paper, we propose a fuzzy discretization approach, which is evaluated by measuring the degree of separation of redundant attribute values in overlapping region, based on spatial distribution of data with continuous attributes. The weighted average of the redundant attribute values is then used to determine the threshold value for each feature and rough set theory is utilized to select a subset of relevant features from the overall features. To verify the validity of the proposed method, we compared experimental results, which applied to classification problem using 668 patients with a chief complaint of dyspnea, based on three discretization methods (i.e., equal-width, equal-frequency, and entropy-based) and proposed discretization method. From the experimental results, we confirm that the discretization methods with fuzzy partition give better results in two evaluation measures, average classification accuracy and G-mean, than those with hard partition.

Prediction of Rice Yield Loss by Aneilema keisak and Aeschynomene indica Competition in Flooded Direct-Seeded Rice (벼 담수직파재배에서 사마귀풀과 자귀풀 경합에 따른 수량감소 예측)

  • Cho, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Ki-Kwon;Song, Young-Eun;Lee, Deok-Ryeol;Jeung, Jong-Sung;Song, Young-Ju;Chun, Jae-Chul;Moon, Byeong-Chul
    • Weed & Turfgrass Science
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to make the rice yield prediction model system as affected by densities of Aneilema keisak and Aeschynomene indica and to determine their economic threshold levels in flooded direct-seeded rice. When the density of A. keisak was 8 plants per $m^2$, the yield of rice reduced to 8% and as the density increased up to 96 plants per $m^2$, the reduced rate of rice yield reached to 45% and in A. indica, the reduced rate of rice yield were 20 and 77%, respectively. The rice yield loss models of A. keisak and A. indica were predicted as Y=553.2 kg (1+0.00913X), $R^2=0.912^{**}$ and Y=567.9 kg/(1+0.04434X), $R^2=0.961^{**}$, respectively. Economic threshold levels calculated using cousens' equation were 3.0 plants per $m^2$ in A. keisak and 0.6 plants per $m^2$ in A. indica.

Emergence Timing of overwintered adults laid eggs and Control Effect by Eco-friendly materials to Cacopsyllapyricola (꼬마배나무이 월동성충 산란 알의 부화 및 유기농업자재에 의한 방제효과)

  • Cho, Young-Sik;Song, Jang-Hoon;Lim, Kyeong-Ho;Choi, Jin-Ho;Lee, Han-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.445-455
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    • 2014
  • The pear sucker (Cacopsylla pyricola) is the most important insect pest in Korea. The hatching rates of overwintered adults laid eggs were observed at 10, 13, 18, and $22^{\circ}C$. The liner model was draw as Y=0.00277X+0.00146(Y=developmental rate, X=temperature) about temperature and developmental rate to eggs. The developmental threshold temperature to eggs was assumed about $-0.83^{\circ}C$. The egg hatching timing over 50% as the accumulated temperature by day maximum temperature $6^{\circ}C$ over from 1st February in 2008, 2009 and 2011 was 429.7, 417.6, and 424.3 degree $^{\circ}C$, respectively, was 3 to 7days before full blooming in pear orchard. On the other hand, the abamectin 1.8EC, lime sulfer, machine oil and 13 kinds of eco-friendly materials were not shown the control effect to the eggs. To mixed stage of pear sucker, the eco-friendly materials over 90% control value were 4 kinds such as a mixture of Azadiractin A+B, Nimbin, Salanin, Meliantriol and Vepol after twice application as 21st May and 5th June in pear growing season, in 2012.

Wavelet-based Statistical Noise Detection and Emotion Classification Method for Improving Multimodal Emotion Recognition (멀티모달 감정인식률 향상을 위한 웨이블릿 기반의 통계적 잡음 검출 및 감정분류 방법 연구)

  • Yoon, Jun-Han;Kim, Jin-Heon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.1140-1146
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    • 2018
  • Recently, a methodology for analyzing complex bio-signals using a deep learning model has emerged among studies that recognize human emotions. At this time, the accuracy of emotion classification may be changed depending on the evaluation method and reliability depending on the kind of data to be learned. In the case of biological signals, the reliability of data is determined according to the noise ratio, so that the noise detection method is as important as that. Also, according to the methodology for defining emotions, appropriate emotional evaluation methods will be needed. In this paper, we propose a wavelet -based noise threshold setting algorithm for verifying the reliability of data for multimodal bio-signal data labeled Valence and Arousal and a method for improving the emotion recognition rate by weighting the evaluation data. After extracting the wavelet component of the signal using the wavelet transform, the distortion and kurtosis of the component are obtained, the noise is detected at the threshold calculated by the hampel identifier, and the training data is selected considering the noise ratio of the original signal. In addition, weighting is applied to the overall evaluation of the emotion recognition rate using the euclidean distance from the median value of the Valence-Arousal plane when classifying emotional data. To verify the proposed algorithm, we use ASCERTAIN data set to observe the degree of emotion recognition rate improvement.

Effect Analysis of Offshore Wind Farms on VHF band Communications (VHF 대역 통신에 대한 해상풍력 발전단지의 영향성 분석)

  • Oh, Seongwon;Park, Taeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2022
  • As the development of renewable energy expands internationally to cope with global warming and climate change, the share of wind power generation has been gradually increasing. Although wind farms can produce electric power for 24 h a day compared to solar power plants, Their interfere with the operation of nearby radars or communication equipment must be analyzed because large-scale wind power turbines are installed. This study analyzed whether a land radio station can receive sufficient signals when a ship sailing outside the offshore wind farm transmits distress signals on the VHF band. Based on the geographic information system digital map around the target area, wind turbine CAD model, and wind farm layout, the area of interest and wind farm were modeled to enable numerical analysis. Among the high frequency analysis techniques suitable for radio wave analysis in a wide area, a dedicated program applying physical optics (PO) and shooting and bouncing ray (SBR) techniques were used. Consequently, the land radio station could receive the electromagnetic field above the threshold of the VHF receiver when a ship outside the offshore wind farm transmitted a distress communication signal. When the line of sight between the ships and the land station are completely blocked, the strength of the received field decreases, but it is still above the threshold. Hence, although a wind farm is a huge complex, a land station can receive the electromagnetic field from the ship's VHF transmitter because the wave length of the VHF band is sufficiently long to have effects such as diffraction or reflection.

Establishment of Crowd Management Safety Measures Based on Crowd Density Risk Simulation (군중 밀집 위험도 시뮬레이션 기반의 인파 관리 안전대책 수립)

  • Hyuncheol Kim;Hyungjun Im;Seunghyun Lee;Youngbeom Ju;Soonjo Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.96-103
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    • 2023
  • Generally, human stampedes and crowd collapses occur when people press against each other, causing falls that may result in death or injury. Particularly, crowd accidents have become increasingly common since the 1990s, with an average of 380 deaths annually. For instance, in Korea, a stampede occurred during the Itaewon Halloween festival on October 29, 2022, when several people crowded onto a narrow, downhill road, which was 45 meters long and between 3.2 and 4 meters wide. Precisely, this stampede was primarily due to the excessive number of people relative to the road size. Essentially, stampedes can occur anywhere and at any time, not just at events, but also in other places where large crowds gather. More specifically, the likelihood of accidents increases when the crowd density exceeds a turbulence threshold of 5-6 /m2. Meanwhile, festivals and events, which have become more frequent and are promoted through social media, garner people from near and far to a specific location. Besides, as cities grow, the number of people gathering in one place increases. While stampedes are rare, their impact is significant, and the uncertainty associated with them is high. Currently, there is no scientific system to analyze the risk of stampedes due to crowd concentration. Consequently, to prevent such accidents, it is essential to prepare for crowd disasters that reflect social changes and regional characteristics. Hence, this study proposes using digital topographic maps and crowd-density risk simulations to develop a 3D model of the region. Specifically, the crowd density simulation allows for an analysis of the density of people walking along specific paths, which enables the prediction of danger areas and the risk of crowding. By using the simulation method in this study, it is anticipated that safety measures can be rationally established for specific situations, such as local festivals, and preparations may be made for crowd accidents in downtown areas.

Detecting Nonlinearity of Hydrologic Time Series by BDS Statistic and DVS Algorithm (BDS 통계와 DVS 알고리즘을 이용한 수문시계열의 비선형성 분석)

  • Choi, Kang Soo;Kyoung, Min Soo;Kim, Soo Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2009
  • Classical linear models have been generally used to analyze and forecast hydrologic time series. However, there is growing evidence of nonlinear structure in natural phenomena and hydrologic time series associated with their patterns and fluctuations. Therefore, the classical linear techniques for time series analysis and forecasting may not be appropriate for nonlinear processes. In recent, the BDS (Brock-Dechert-Scheinkman) statistic instead of conventional techniques has been used for detecting nonlinearity of time series. The BDS statistic was derived from the statistical properties of the correlation integral which is used to analyze chaotic system and has been effectively used for distinguishing nonlinear structure in dynamic system from random structures. DVS (Deterministic Versus Stochastic) algorithm has been used for detecting chaos and stochastic systems and for forecasting of chaotic system. This study showed the DVS algorithm can be also used for detecting nonlinearity of the time series. In this study, the stochastic and hydrologic time series are analyzed to detect their nonlinearity. The linear and nonlinear stochastic time series generated from ARMA and TAR (Threshold Auto Regressive) models, a daily streamflow at St. Johns river near Cocoa, Florida, USA and Great Salt Lake Volume (GSL) data, Utah, USA are analyzed, daily inflow series of Soyang dam and the results are compared. The results showed the BDS statistic is a powerful tool for distinguishing between linearity and nonlinearity of the time series and DVS plot can be also effectively used for distinguishing the nonlinearity of the time series.

Effects of Temperature on the Development of Gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar) (매미나방(Lymantria dispar) 발육에 미치는 온도의 영향)

  • A-Hae Cho;Hyo-Jeong Kim;Jin-Hee Lee;Ji-in Kim
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.385-388
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    • 2023
  • Gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar), a polyphagous insect pest belonging to the family Lymantriidae, is widely distributed in Korea, Japan, Siberia, Europe, and North America. They pose a threat to various host plants including pear trees, apple trees, and blueberries. Traditionally considered a forest pest, the increasing incursion of gypsy moths into agricultural land near forested areas has intensified damage to crops lacking effective control methods. This study aimed to investigate the temperature-dependent development of gypsy moths to enhance outbreak prediction and advance technology development. The effects of temperature on development of each life stage were investigated under constant temperature conditions of 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, and 33℃ (14L:10D, RH 60±5%) utilizing egg masses collected in Jeollanam-do Jangheung-gun in 2021. The results revealed that higher temperatures accelerated the development rate of the gypsy moth larvae with optimal development occurring at 30℃. However, the survival rate was lowest at 33℃. At the favorable temperature of 30℃, the total development period was 43.8 days for females and 42.5 days for males. The developmental threshold temperature were 13.1℃ for females and 12.5℃ for males, with effective accumulated temperature of 641.1 DD and 657.8 DD, respectively.