• Title/Summary/Keyword: Three-parameter Weibull distribution

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Mathematical representation to assess the wind resource by three parameter Weibull distribution

  • Sukkiramathi, K.;Rajkumar, R.;Seshaiah, C.V.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2020
  • Weibull distribution is a conspicuous distribution known for its accuracy and its usage for wind energy analysis. The two and three parameter Weibull distributions are adopted in this study to fit wind speed data. The daily mean wind speed data of Ennore, Tamil Nadu, India has been used to validate the procedure. The parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood method, least square method and moment method. Four statistical tests namely Root mean square error, R2 test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Anderson-Darling test are employed to inspect the fitness of Weibull probability density functions. The value of shape factor, scale factor, wind speed and wind power are determined at a height of 100m using extrapolation of numerical equations. Also, the value of capacity factor is calculated mathematically. This study provides a way to evaluate feasible locations for wind energy assessment, which can be used at any windy site throughout the world.

A Mathematical model to estimate the wind power using three parameter Weibull distribution

  • Seshaiah, C.V.;Sukkiramathi, K.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.393-408
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    • 2016
  • Weibull distribution is a suitable distribution to use in modeling the life time data. It has been found to be a exact fit for the empirical distribution of the wind speed measurement samples. In brief this paper consist of important properties and characters of Weibull distribution. Also we discuss the application of Weibull distribution to wind speed measurements and derive an expression for the probability distribution of the power produced by a wind turbine at a fixed location, so that the modeling problem reduces to collecting data to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull distribution using Maximum likelihood Method.

Evaluation of wind power potential for selecting suitable wind turbine

  • Sukkiramathi, K.;Rajkumar, R.;Seshaiah, C.V.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2020
  • India is a developing nation and heavily spends on the development of wind power plants to meet the national energy demand. The objective of this paper is to investigate wind power potential of Ennore site using wind data collected over a period of two years by three parameter Weibull distribution. The Weibull parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood, least square method and moment method and the accuracy is determined using R2 and root mean square error values. The site specific capacity factor is calculated by the mathematical model developed by three parameter Weibull distribution at different hub heights above the ground level. At last, the wind energy economic analysis is carried out using capacity factor at 30 m, 40 m and 50 m height for different wind turbine models. The analysis showed that the site has potential to install utility wind turbines to generate energy at the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour at height of 50 m. This research provides information of wind characteristics of potential sites and helps in selecting suitable wind turbine.

Parameter Estimation and Confidence Limits for the WeibulI Distribution (Weibull 확률분포함수(確率分布函數)의 매개변수(媒介變數) 추정(推定)과 신뢰한계(信賴限界) 유도(誘導))

  • Heo, Jun Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 1993
  • For the three parameter Weibull distribution, the parameter estimation techniques are applied and the asymptotic variances of the quantile to obtain the confidence limits for a given return period are derived. Three estimation techniques are used for these purposes: the methods of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments. The three parameter Weibull distribution as a flood frequency model is applied to actual flood data.

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Goodness-of-fit Test for the Weibull Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.349-361
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the shape parameter and the scale parameter in a Weibull distribution under multiply Type-II censoring by the approximate maximum likelihood estimation method. We develop three modified empirical distribution function type tests for the Weibull distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We also propose modified normalized sample Lorenz curve plot and new test statistic.

Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution

  • Kang, S.B.;Cho, Y.S.;Choi, S.H.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2001
  • We obtain the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (AMLEs) for the scale and location parameters $\theta$ and $\mu$ in the three-parameter Weibull distribution based on Type-II censored samples. We also compare the AMLEs with the modified maximum likelihood estimators (MMLEs) in the sense of the mean squared error (MSE) based on complete sample.

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Development of Probabilistic Models Optimized for Korean Marine Environment Varying from Sea to Sea Based on the Three-parameter Weibull Distribution (우리나라 해역별 해양환경에 최적화된 확률모형 개발)

  • Yong Jun Cho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.20-36
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    • 2024
  • In this study, probabilistic models for the wave- and lifting forces were derived directly from long-term in-situ wave data embedding the Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea based on the Three-Parameter Weibull distribution. Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea carved out their presence on the probability coefficients of probabilistic models for wave- and lifting forces. Energetic wave conditions along the southern coast of Korea distinguish themselves from the others with a relatively large scale coefficient, small location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.3. On the other hand, mild marine environment along the western coast has a small variability, leading to small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient and shape coefficient around 2.0. In the sea off Mokpo, near the boundary between the South- and West Seas, marine environment was characterized by small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.2, implying that marine environments characteristics of the South-and West Sea coexist in the sea off Mokpo.

Analysis on fatigue life distribution of composite materials (복합재료 피로 수명 분포에 관한 고찰)

  • 황운봉;한경섭
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.790-805
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    • 1988
  • Static strength and fatigue life scattering of glass fiber reinforced epoxy composite materials has been studied. Normal, lognormal, two-parameter and three-parameter Weibull distribution functions are used for strength and one-stress fatigue life distribution. The value of mean fatigue life is analysed using mean fatigue life, mean log fatigue life and expected value of 2 and 3-parameter Weibull distribution functions. Modification on non-statistical cumulative damage models is made in order to interpret the result of two-stress level fatigue life scattering. The comparison results show that 3-parameter Weibull distribution has better predictions in static strength and one-stress level fatigue life distributions. However, no advantage of 3-parameter Weibll distribution is found over 2-parameter Weibull distribution in two-stress level fatigue life predictions. It is found that two-stress level fatigue life prediction by the expanded equal rank assumption is close to the experimental data.

Prediction of Extreme Sloshing Pressure Using Different Statistical Models

  • Cetin, Ekin Ceyda;Lee, Jeoungkyu;Kim, Sangyeob;Kim, Yonghwan
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the extreme sloshing pressure was predicted using various statistical models: three-parameter Weibull distribution, generalized Pareto distribution, generalized extreme value distribution, and three-parameter log-logistic distribution. The estimation of sloshing impact pressure is important in design of liquid cargo tank in severe sea state. In order to get the extreme values of local impact pressures, a lot of model tests have been carried out and statistical analysis has been performed. Three-parameter Weibull distribution and generalized Pareto distribution are widely used as the statistical analysis method in sloshing phenomenon, but generalized extreme value distribution and three-parameter log-logistic distribution are added in this study. Additionally, statistical distributions are fitted to peak pressure data using three different parameter estimation methods. The data were obtained from a three-dimensional sloshing model text conducted at Seoul National University. The loading conditions were 20%, 50%, and 95% of tank height, and the analysis was performed based on the measured impact pressure on four significant panels with large sloshing impacts. These fittings were compared by observing probability of exceedance diagrams and probability plot correlation coefficient test for goodness-of-fit.