• Title/Summary/Keyword: The number of failures

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Predicting the future number of failures based on the field failure summary data (필드 고장 요약 데이터를 활용한 미래 고장수의 예측)

  • Baik, Jai-Wook;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.755-764
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    • 2011
  • In many companies field failure data is used to predict the future number of failures, especially when an unexpected failure mode happens to be a problem. It is because they want to predict the number of spare parts needed and the future quality warranty cost associated with the part based on the predictions of the future number of failures. In this paper field summary data is used to predict the future number of failures based on an appropriate distribution. Other types of data are also investigated to identify the appropriate distribution.

A Checkpointing Framework for Dependable Real-Time Systems (고신뢰 실시간 시스템을 위한 체크포인팅 프레임워크)

  • Lee, Hyo-Soon;Shin, Heonshik-Sin
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.176-184
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    • 2002
  • We provide a checkpointing framework reflecting both the timeliness and the dependability in order to make checkpointing applicable to dependable real-time systems. The predictability of real-time tasks with checkpointing is guaranteed by the worst case execution time (WCET) based on the allocated number of checkpoints and the permissible number of failures. The permissible number of failures is derived from fault tolerance requirements, thus guaranteeing the dependability of tasks. Using the WCET and the permissible number of failures of tasks, we develop an algorithm that determines the minimum number of checkpoints allocated to each task in order to guarantee the schedulability of a task set. Since the framework is based on the amount of time redundancy caused by checkpointing, it can be extended to other time redundancy techniques.

Incorporating Station Related Aging Failures in Bulk System Reliability Analysis

  • Billinton Roy;Yang Hua
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.5A no.4
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    • pp.322-330
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes methods to incorporate station related aging failures in composite system reliability assessment. Aging failures of station components, such as circuit breakers and bus bars, are a major concern in composite power system planning and operation as an increasing number of station components approach the wear-out phase. This paper presents probabilistic models for circuit breakers involving aging failures and relevant evaluation techniques to examine the effects of station related aging outages. The technique developed to incorporate station related aging failures are illustrated by application to a small composite test system. The paper illustrates the effects of circuit breaker aging outages on bulk system reliability evaluation and examines the relative effects of variations in component age. System sensitivity analysis is illustrated by varying selected component parameters. The results show the implications of including component aging failure considerations in the overall analysis of a composite system.

Preventive Replacement Policy under Increasing Minimal Repair Costs at Failure (수리비용이 증가할 때의 수리 사용 후 교환정책)

  • Park Sung-Bum;Kim Young-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with two forms of preventive replacement policy with minimal repair at failure. Those are, 1. the replacement policy I based on the cumulative operating time. 2. the replacement policy II based on the number of failures. The basic assumptions are; (1) the cost of minimal repair at failure is increasing with the number of failures since the last replacement, (2) the equipment fails stochastically with time.

A Classification Structure of Information Systems Failures: An Empirical Investigation of IS developers' perception (정보시스템 실패의 구조 규명을 위한 실증연구: 프로그래머를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Uk
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 1998
  • Many cases of information systems (IS) failure have still continued to be reported ever since computer-based information systems were introduced to process business transactions in the early 1950s. Because an enormous amount of budgets is currently invested on information technology in many organizations, failures and problems of information systems may serve as key culprits to serious business problems which will face the organizations. Thus, there have been a number of studies on IS failures which aimed to identify causes and reasons for such failures and reveal their inherent nature, Some studies developed conceptual frameworks to classify categories of diverse IS failure phenomena. However, little research performed an empirical study to investigate the underlying structure of IS failures perceived by IS professionals by measuring their perception. In this regard, the current study collected systems developers perceptual data towards IS failure phenomena to identify what constitute IS failure. The data was analyzed using a multidimensional scaling program and ten categories of problems were identified to constitute the IS failure structure, It was found that most categories were related to problems with users, hardware, and systems quality.

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Optimal Number of Failures before Group Replacement under Minimal Repair

  • Young Kwan, Yoo
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a group replacement policy based on a failure count is analysed. For a group of identical repairable units, a maintenance policy is performed with two phase considerations: a repair interval phase and a waiting interval phase. Each unit undergoes minimal repair at failure during the repair interval. Beyond the interval, no repair is made until a number of failures. The expected cost rate expressions under the policy is derived. A method to obtain the optimal values of decision variables are explored. Numerical examples are given to demonstrate the results.

A Study of Generalized Model for Determining the Optimal Number of Minimal Repairs before Replacement Considering Inherent Availability (가용도를 고려한 교체전 최소수리횟수 결정모델에 관한 연구)

  • 강호신;조남호;유왕진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.47
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 1998
  • This paper proposes a maintenance model considering the Inherent availability of certain requirement and two types of failures, repairable or irrepairable. In this model, the system is replaced in time when it doesn't meet the inherent availability requirement despite of all repairable failures; Otherwise it is replaced by the first irrepairable failure. Assuming that the j-th failure is repairable with probability ${\alpha}_j$, minimal repairs are performed for repairable failures between replacements. We drive the expected cost rate through the application of NHPP(Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process) in order to determine the optimal number $n^*$. The model includes some previous studies as special cases.

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A Generalized Model for Determining Optimal Number of Minimal Repairs before Replacement (교체전 최소수리회수의 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Suh, Yong-Sung;Park, Young-Taek;Son, Eun-il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 1995
  • A replacement policy under two types of failures, repairable or irrepairable, is considered, In the policy, the system is replaced at the n-th failure if all the previous (n-1) failures are repairable; Otherwise it is replaced at the first irrepairable failure. Assuming that the j-th failure is repairable with probability ${\alpha}_j$ and minimal repairs are performed for repairable failures between replacements, we derive the expected cost rate through the application of NHPP in order to determine the optimal number $n^*$. The policy includes some previous studies as special cases.

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Sensitivity Analysis for Reliability Growth Projection Model based on NHPP (NHPP 기반의 신뢰성 성장 예측 모델에 대한 민감도 분석)

  • Cho, K.H.;Lee, H.C.;Jang, J.S.;Park, S.C.
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide a sensitivity analysis of system reliability for recognizing effectiveness of changing of BD mode failures using reliability growth projection model based on NHPP. Methods: Crow extended reliability projection model (CERPM) is used to analyze the changing of two factors 1) the number of BD mode failures, 2) fix effectiveness factor (FEF) values. Results: The system reliability has increased in accordance with the number of BD mode failures and FEF values have increased. Conclusion: It is necessary to design failure modes and FEF values to supervise the reliability.

A Reliability Growth Prediction for a One-Shot System Using AMSAA Model (AMSAA 모델을 이용한 일회성 체계의 신뢰도성장 예측)

  • Kim, Myung Soo;Chung, Jae Woo;Lee, Jong Sin
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2014
  • A one-shot device is defined as a product, system, weapon, or equipment that can be used only once. After use, the device is destroyed or must undergo extensive rebuild. Determining the reliability of a one-shot device poses a unique challenge to the manufacturers and users due to the destructive nature and costs of the testing. This paper presents a reliability growth prediction for a one-shot system. It is assumed that 1) test duration is discrete(i.e. trials or rounds); 2) trials are statistically independent; 3) the number of failures for a given system configuration is distributed according to a binomial distribution; and 4) the cumulative expected number of failures through any sequence of configurations is given by AMSAA model. When the system development is represented by three configurations and the number of trials and failures during configurations are given, the AMSAA model parameters and reliability at configuration 3 are estimated by using a reliability growth analysis software. Further, if the reliability growth predictions do not meet the target reliability, the sample size of an additional test is determined for achieving the target reliability.