• Title/Summary/Keyword: The number of Deaths

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한국의 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Forecasting Model for Traffic Accident in Korea)

  • 이일병;임헌정
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 1990
  • This study aims to develop a traffic accident forecasting model using the data, which are based on the past accidents in Korea. The regression analysis was used in conjuction with the variables of the traffic accidents and social behaviours. The objectives of this study are as follows; 1. The number of behicles has given a strong affect to increase the traffic accidents in Korea since a factor of vehicles has shown 86% over of total accidents. 2. The forecasting model regarding the traffic accidents, deaths and injuries, which was formulated for this study, proved to be useful in light of the results of the regression diagnostics. 3. It is expected that the traffic accidents in Korea in 1991 may take place as follows on condition that the traffic environment would worsen ; 274,000 cases of accidents with 13,600 deaths and 367,000 injuries, in 1994, 451,000 cases with 24,900 deaths and 71,500 injuries respectively.

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어린이 보호구역의 안전성 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Safety Improvement of Child Protected Zone)

  • 주석준;정명진;곽철;송태승;차주희
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2020
  • 우리나라 어린이 교통사고 사망자 수는 현재 OECD 회원국 평균 수치 보다 높게 나타나고 있으며 이에 어린이 보호구역 사고율을 감소시키기 위해 주의를 기울일 필요가 있다. 교통사고분석시스템 TAAS 통계에 따르면 2015년 ~ 2019년 어린이(12세이하) 교통사고 통계자료에서 보이는 바와 같이 최근 우리나라 어린이 교통사고 사망자 수는 꾸준히 감소하고 있으나 사고건 수와 부상자 수는 지속적으로 증가, 감소를 반복하고 있다. 우리나라 어린이 교통사고의 사고건 수와 부상자 수가 증감을 지속적으로 반복하고 있는 상황에서 위의 통계와 동일하게 어린이 보호구역 내 어린이(12세이하) 교통사고 사고건 수와 사망자 수, 부상자 수 또한 2019년도부터 크게 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 따라서 본 연구는 선행연구(어린이 보호구역 사고위험도 실태조사를 통한 개선방안에 관한 연구, 시뮬레이션 프로그램을 통한 어린이 교통안전시설 개선방안에 관한 연구)와 달리 어린이 교통사고 중 가장 높은 사고율을 보이고 있는 어린이 보호구역 내 어린이 교통사고를 예방하기 위해 교통안전시설물 실태조사와 더불어 운전자의 안전의식에 관한 설문조사를 통해 연구를 진행한 후, 이를 통해 문제점을 분석하여 어린이 보호구역 내의 교통 안전성 향상 및 운전자의 안전의식 개선을 위한 방안을 제시하고자한다.

A Study on Safe School Zone System using LabVIEW

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwa;Shim, Joon-Hwan
    • 공학교육연구
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.20-24
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    • 2010
  • The total number of deaths by traffic accidents is decreasing every year in our country. However, in 2009, children died in traffic accidents at a rate of 2.3 deaths per 100,000 children, which was higher than the average of OECD countries (1.9 deaths per 100,000 children). In particular, traffic accidents are showing rapid increase in school zone during the past 2 years because of problems in the designation and management of school zone. Traffic safety facilities such as road sign, reflector mirror, speed bump have the ultimate limit of vehicle accidents prevention. Thus, in school zone, children safety is still not guaranteed due to illegal parking and the absence of driver's awareness of safety. Therefore, In order to protect children from traffic accidents within school zones, we have realized a safe school zone system, which enables the drivers to better know the intended school zones and creates pedestrian environment through unmanned monitoring camera, using LabVIEW.

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우리나라 폭염 인명피해 발생특징 (Characteristics of Heat wave Mortality in Korea)

  • 김도우;정재학;이종설;이지선
    • 대기
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2014
  • Analysis of the cause of death (Statistics Korea) showed that heat wave caused 442 deaths (21 per a year) from 1991 to 2011 in Korea. The number of summer heat-related deaths (heat disorders) increased exponentially as heat wave prolonged. In 1994 when the extreme heat wave prevailed, there were 92 heat-related deaths. Seasonally, heat-related deaths occurred most frequently in early August when air temperature is highest for a year, but it is frequent as well in late July when air temperature increases rapidly after withdrawal of Changma. The frequency of deaths by age has begun to increase from 40s and more than half of total deaths were occurred in the elderly (${\geq}60$). Except retired elderly, the most vulnerable group (job and age) was the elderly agricultural workers and the next was the jobless people in 40 s~50 s, assumed as homeless people. The most vulnerable regions were Hapcheon-gun, Uiryong-gun, and Sanchen-gun, which are inland rural area in Gyeongsang-do where the heat wave occurs most frequently in Korea. The heat-related death rate increased rapidly when air temperature exceeded $33^{\circ}C$ in both of the urban and rural area. Interestingly, the heat-related death were observed in the relatively lower temperature in the cities ($29^{\circ}C$), as compare to the rural area ($31^{\circ}C$).

도시형 생활주택신축공사의 추락재해 발생대비 모의훈련 실시 매뉴얼 개발 및 적용 (Development of a Manual for Simulation Training in Preparation for the Fall Disasters of Urban Residential Housing Construction Works and Apply)

  • 김성수
    • 한국방재안전학회논문집
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2021
  • 고용노동부가 최근 발표한 '2020년 12월 말 산업재해 현황'에 따르면 산업별로 산업재해 대상이 되고 있다. 건설업별 사고사망자 수, 사고유형별 사고사망자 수, 사업장 규모별 사고사망자 수는 5~49명으로 소규모 건설현장에서 추락사고가 대부분 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 도시형 생활주택은 소규모 건설현장으로 낙상사고 발생 확률이 매우 높다. 재해 발생을 위한 가을 모의훈련은 공공부문의 대형 건설 발주기관 위주로 실시되며 소규모 건설현장에서 주택건설업체가 실시하는 것은 국내 최초다. 본 연구는 도시생활주택의 정의, 시공특성, 안전관리 실태 등을 분석·제시하고 추락사고 발생시 긴급구호절차 매뉴얼을 개발·확산하여 사망을 최소화하였다.

Mortality Attributable to Second Hand Smoking in Morocco: 2012 Results of a National Prevalence Based Study

  • Tachfouti, Nabil;Najdi, Adil;Lyoussi, Badiaa;Nejjari, Chakib
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.2827-2832
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: To estimate the number of deaths attributable to second hand smoking (SHS) in Morocco in 2012. Materials and Methods: prevalence based study focusing on mortality from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and lung cancer among non-smokers aged 35 and over. Prevalence of SHS among never smokers was gathered from a national cross sectional survey on tobacco and population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated by applying PARs to mortality. The analyses were stratified by sex, age and area of exposure. Results: Rates for exposure to SHS among men aged 35-64 years ranged from 20.0% at home to 57.4% at work. Among non-smoking Moroccans aged 35 and over, 233 (IC: 147 - 246) deaths were attributable to exposure to SHS; 156 (IC: 100 - 221) in women and 77 (IC: 44 -125) in men. A total of 173 (122 - 222) deaths were estimated to have been caused by exposure only at home, 34 (9 - 76) by exposure only at the work place and 26 (15 - 58) by exposure both at home and work places. Exposure to SHS could be responsible for 182 (128 - 237) deaths from IHD and 51 (19 - 109) from lung cancer. Conclusions: These data confirm that SHS needs urgent attention in Morocco.

Modeling Exponential Growth in Population using Logistic, Gompertz and ARIMA Model: An Application on New Cases of COVID-19 in Pakistan

  • Omar, Zara;Tareen, Ahsan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.192-200
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    • 2021
  • In the mid of the December 2019, the virus has been started to spread from China namely Corona virus. It causes fatalities globally and WHO has been declared as pandemic in the whole world. There are different methods which can fit such types of values which obtain peak and get flattened by the time. The main aim of the paper is to find the best or nearly appropriate modeling of such data. The three different models has been deployed for the fitting of the data of Coronavirus confirmed patients in Pakistan till the date of 20th November 2020. In this paper, we have conducted analysis based on data obtained from National Institute of Health (NIH) Islamabad and produced a forecast of COVID-19 confirmed cases as well as the number of deaths and recoveries in Pakistan using the Logistic model, Gompertz model and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA) model. The fitted models revealed high exponential growth in the number of confirmed cases, deaths and recoveries in Pakistan.

대기환경부문 건강위해평가의 국내 연구 동향과 발전방향 (The Domestic Research Trend and the Road Map of Health Risk Assessment of the Air Quality in Korea)

  • 신동천
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.528-535
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    • 2013
  • Air pollution in large cities is reduced through the environmental health policies, but due to increased population and automobile, some pollutants are still a problem. These air pollutants are known to cause asthma and respiratory diseases. According to an OECD report, the number of premature deaths will increase. Hazardous air pollutants should be managed through a systematic monitoring, risk assessment, and many studies are in progress. In order to manage hazardous air pollutants, transformation of policy for the protection of human health is required. management policy through the calculation of the excess number of deaths that occur from hazardous air pollutants for the public health is necessary. Korea has put a lot of efforts for air quality, but health risk assessment should be more considered.

익사(溺死) ($WHO-E_{929},\;E_{934}$)의 역학적(疫學的) 관찰(觀察) (An Observation on the Incidence of Drowning Death in Korea)

  • 지창용;김영춘;이병주;주인호
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 1968
  • This paper describes the incidence and some epidemiological features of drowning accident out of a series of our study on the epidemiology of various accidents in Korea. By the daily press it is apparent from the frequent reporting of swimming accidents that the incidence would be high. In the rural areas, there are, at present, about 1,250 artificial lakes and farm ponds to be utlized for rice production. The reservoirs, irrigation ditches and riversides are also used for recreation. In most places facilities for aquatic activities is meager, and safety measures for the prevention of drowning is not sufficiently enforced. In the survey crude data on drownings were collected from the concerned governmental statistic books for the period 1955 to 1967 which were compiled not in a uniform way. Drownings were classfied into two categories, one is accidental drowning, E 929 and the other is due to cataclysm, E 934, according to the WHO international classification of diseases. Epidemiological variables in relation to drowning accident were obtained through qualitative analysis of informations from the popular news papers. The following summary may be drawn; 1. The average number of deaths due to accidental drowning totaled 1,088 annually and the mortality rate per 100,000 population was 3.4, The 42.0% of all drownings were rescued and the remaining were not saved. 2. The sex ratio (M/F) of the victims for all ages was 5 to 1, which had a wide range of difference among the age groups. The young ages less than 20 years occupied 68.0% of all deaths. 3. The percentage distribution of the causes of accidents revealed 31.9% for careless swimming, 45.5% for unskilled, 10.6% for swimmer's cramp and 6.0% for drunked. The distribution of places where accidents occurred showed 88.0% for rivers, water reservoirs, irrigation ditches and 12.0% for regular swimming pools. The seasonal distribution of cases indicated 85.0% of the total were seen during the summer months, June-August, and 50.0% of them occurred on Sundays, 4. The average annual deaths due to cataclysm were 402 and mortality rate per 100,000 population was 1.6, but the number of victims due to cataclysm varied greatly each year. 5. The accident cases due to cataclysm were classified into 60.0% for injuries, 40.0% for deaths. The 26.8% of all deaths were missing cases. 6. The deaths due to either accidental drowning or cataclysm totaled 1,490, and the death rate per 100,000 for the whole country was 5.0.

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2002년 봄 서울 지역에 발생한 심한 황사가 일별 사망에 미치는 영향 (Effects of the Severe Asian Dust Events on Daily Mortality during the Spring of 2002, in Seoul, Korea)

  • 황승식;권호장;조수헌
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.197-202
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    • 2005
  • Objectives: During the spring of 2002, an unprecedented 2 Asian dust events were experienced in Seoul. On those days, the $PM_{10}$ was surprisingly increased, with daily $PM_{10}$ averages exceeding $600\;and\;700{\mu}g/m^3$ on March 21 and April 8, respectively. Accordingly, public concern relating to the possible adverse health effects of these dust events has increased, as the dust arrives in Korea after having flown over heavily industrialized eastern China. We investigated the effects of these Asian dust events on the mortality during the spring of 2002, in Seoul, Korea. Methods: The total number of deaths per day during the spring of 2002 in Seoul was extracted form the mortality records of the National Statistical Office. We constructed 14 Asian dust days (March 17-March 23, April 7-April 13) and 42 control days during the 56 day study period (March 3-April 27) with respect to the days of the week. The daily average numbers of deaths between the Asian dust and control days were analyzed, with adjustment for meteorological variables and pollutants. Results: The daily PM10 average during the Asian dust weeks was $295.2{\mu}g/m^3$, which was significantly higher than during the control days (p<0.001). The daily average number of deaths from all causes during the Asian dust days was 109.9; 65.6 for those aged 65 years and older, 6.7 from respiratory causes (J00-J99) and 25.6 from cardiovascular causes (I00-I99). The estimated percentage increases in the rate of deaths were 2.5% (95% CI=-5.0-10.6) from all causes; 2.2% (95% CI=-7.4-12.8) for those aged 65 years and older, and 36.5% (95% CI=0.7-85.0) from respiratory causes, but with a 6.1% (95% CI=-19.7-9.7) decrease in deaths from cardiovascular causes. Conclusion: The Asian dust events were found to be weakly associated with the risk of death from all causes. However, the association between dust events and deaths from respiratory causes was stronger. This suggests that persons with advanced respiratory diseases may be susceptible to Asian dust events.