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Predicting the number of confirmed COVID-19 daily using machine learning models (머신러닝 모델을 이용한 일일 COVID-19 확진자 수 예측)

  • Min, song-ha;Oh, myung-ho;Kim, Jong-min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.697-700
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    • 2022
  • Recently, as of March 18, 2022, Corona-19 (COVID-19) has 8,250,000 confirmed persons and 11,481 deaths, and has been increasing since the outbreak in 2020. By limiting the number of people and time, we are showing how our daily life changes depending on the number of confirmed coronas. Therefore, in this study, we implemented an algorithm that predicts the number of confirmed people the next day to help minimize damage to the limits of daily life. This algorithm is an algorithm that predicts the number of confirmed persons on the next day using the number of confirmed persons for 3 days. It is predicted by adding the RNN and Dense layers using the Sequential model, and the number of people is subdivided by region. In order to predict the limit, we matched the personnel limit based on the number of fixed persons per day based on Seoul.

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Design of a Privacy-based Confirmed Case Contact Notification System in the With-Corona Era (With-Corona 시대에 프라이버시 보호 기반의 확진자 접촉 여부 알림 시스템 설계)

  • Mun, Hyung-Jin
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.138-143
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    • 2021
  • As of this moment, we are tracing people who are closed contact with Covid-19 patients and trying to block the spread of Covid-19 through diagnostic tests. However, the incubation period of the confirmed case is two weeks, and it takes a lot of human resources, time, and money to trace the routes of the confirmed case. In particular, as the number of confirmed cases have been increasing, the cost for finding closed contacts and blocking them in advance exponentially have almost reached the limitation of the budget. In finding closed contacts, all citizens must record an electronic access list every time they visit an amenities such as a store or a restaurant. This is likely the invasion of the privacy of personal location information. In this study, we designed a system that keeps one's location in real time, it will download the movement information of the confirmed case which is collected by KDCA, and it will notify the user when there is an overlap. Moreover, then guide for diagnostic test in advance will be used. The proposed method can solve the difficulty of recording in an electronic access list when visiting a store, and it can block infringement of privacy without providing personal information from KDCA.

Investigation of the effect of Blueberry hydrothermal extracts on myoblast differentiation (블루베리 열수 추출물의 근아세포의 근분화에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Youngsoo;Kim, Eunmi;Choi, Sunkyung;Lee, Woonghee;Han, Hyosang;Kim, Keekwang
    • The Korea Journal of Herbology
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2020
  • Objectives : At present, aging-related degenerative muscle diseases are considered a serious problem. However, the effects on muscles regarding the efficacy of blueberry have not been studied. In this study, we tried to find out the correlation between blueberry and muscle. Methods : 2,2'-azino-bis-3-ethylbenzothiazoline-6-sulphonic acid (ABTS) assay was performed to confirm the antioxidant efficacy of blueberry hydrothermal extract. To determine the effect of blueberry hydrothermal extracts (BHE) on myoblast activity, 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-5-(3-carboxymethoxyphenyl)-2-(4-sulfophenyl)-2H-tetrazolium (MTS) assay was performed. To confirm the effect of blueberry hydrothermal extracts on the differentiation of myoblast into myotubes, protein expression levels of myosin heavy chain 3 (Myh3) and paired box 3/7 (pax3/7) were confirmed by immunoblot analysis. In addition, immunofluorescence microscopy was performed to confirm the effect on myotube formation of blueberry hydrothermal extracts. Results : Antioxidative efficacy and low toxicity were confirmed through ABTS assay and MTS assay of blueberry extract for myoblasts. As a result of immunoblot analysis and immunofluorescence analysis, the decrease in myogenic marker Pax3/7 was not confirmed, but myotubes The specific expression inhibitory activity of the forming protein Myh3 was confirmed. Through this, it was confirmed that the blueberry extract has a negative activity against myoblast differentiation. Conclusion : This experiment confirmed that blueberry hydrothermal extract has excellent antioxidant efficacy and negative results in inhibiting the differentiation and proliferation of myoblast. This requires deep study of certain ingredients and requires reassessment of the dietary intake of blueberries.

The Role of Open Innovation for SME's R&D Success (중소기업 R&D 성공에 있어서 개방형 혁신의 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, In-Jin;Seo, Bong-Goon;Park, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.89-117
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    • 2018
  • The Korean companies are intensifying competition with not only domestic companies but also foreign companies in globalization. In this environment, it is essential activities not only for large companies but also Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) to get and develop the core competency. Particularly, SMEs that are inferior to resources of various aspects, such as financial resources etc., can make innovation through effective R&D investment. And then, SMEs can occupy a competency and can be survive at the environment. Conventionally, the method of "self-development" by using only the internal resources of the company has been dominant. Recently, however, R&D method through cooperation, also called "Open Innovation", is emerging. Especially SMEs are relatively short of available internal resources. Therefore, it is necessary to utilize technology and resources through cooperation with external companies(such as joint development or contract development etc.) rather than self-development R&D. In this context, we confirmed the effect of SMEs' factors on sales in Korea. Specifically, the factors that SMEs hold are classified as 'Technical characteristic', 'Company competency', and 'R&D activity' and analyzed how they influence the sales achieved as a result of R&D. The analysis was based on a two-year statistical survey conducted by the Korean government. In addition, we confirmed the influence of the factors on the sales according to the R&D method(Self-Development vs. Open Innovation), and also observed the influence change in 29 industrial categories. The results of the study are summarized as follows: First, regression analysis shows that twelve factors of SMEs have a significant effect on sales. Specifically, 15 factors included in the analysis, 12 factors excluding 3 factors were found to have significant influence. In the technical characteristic, 'imitation period' and 'product life cycle' of the technology were confirmed. In the company competency, 'R&D led person', 'researcher number', 'intellectual property registration status', 'number of R&D attempts', and 'ratio of success to trial' were confirmed. The R&D activity was found to have a significant impact on all included factors. Second, the influence of factors on the R&D method was confirmed, and the change was confirmed in four factors. In addition, these factors were found that have different effects on sales according to the R&D method. Specifically, 'researcher number', 'number of R&D attempts', 'performance compensation system', and 'R&D investment' were found to have significant moderate effects. In other words, the moderating effect of open innovation was confirmed for four factors. Third, on the industrial classification, it is confirmed that different factors have a significant influence on each industrial classification. At this point, it was confirmed that at least one factor, up to nine factors had a significant effect on the sales according to the industrial classification. Furthermore, different moderate effects have been confirmed in the industrial classification and R&D method. In the moderate effect, up to eight significant moderate effects were confirmed according to the industrial classification. In particular, 'R&D investment' and 'performance compensation system' were confirmed to be the most common moderating effect by each 12 times and 11 times in all industrial classification. This study provides the following suggestions: First, it is necessary for SMEs to determine the R&D method in consideration of the characteristics of the technology to be R&D as well as the enterprise competency and the R&D activity. In addition, there is a need to identify and concentrate on the factors that increase sales in R&D decisions, which are mainly affected by the industry classification to which the company belongs. Second, governments that support SMEs' R&D need to provide guidelines that are fit to their situation. It is necessary to differentiate the support for the company considering various factors such as technology and R&D purpose for their effective budget execution. Finally, based on the results of this study, we urge the need to reconsider the effectiveness of existing SME support policies.

Tracing some enzymatic activities in three virulent pathogenic erwiniae

  • Saleh, Youssry E.
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.105-107
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    • 1990
  • The absence, in the biomass, of glutamic-oxalacetic and glutamic-pyruvic transaminases and the prevalance of gamma-glutamic transpeptidase were taken as basic criteria to differentiate between Erwinia carotovora var. carorovora from E. carotovora var, citrullis and E. toxica. For further identification, detection of cholesterol in the biomass confirmed the toxica species whereas the absence of glucose confirmed the citrullis variety.

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The Material Analysis and Conservation of Porcelain Enamel - Focus of Porcelain Enamel Excavated at Former President Yoon Bosun's Birthplace -

  • Lee, Jung-Min
    • Journal of Conservation Science
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2019
  • During the conservation and maintenance of the birthplace center yard of President Asan Yoon Bosun, four porcelain enamel dishware were excavated from the central yard well. The glaze layer of excavated enamel was severely damaged; hence, the conservation process was done rapidly. In addition, scientific investigation and analysis were conducted to confirm the material properties of the glaze layer. It was confirmed that the outer surface was inverted and dried, while the inner surface was upright and fired during the glazing and drying process by measuring the film thickness. By examining the breakup phenomenon, the breaking up of the white enamel on the colored enamel was confirmed. This indicates that the colored glaze rose to the surface depending on the density of the colored glaze and white glaze. The investigation of the cross-section of the film confirmed that the lower layer formed according to the bonding properties with metal during the glazing process. Analysis of the constituents of the identified lower layer confirmed that there are differences between the specific components of the metal oxide of the lower layer and the surface color development of the upper layer.

The Connectedness between COVID-19 and Trading Value in Stock Market: Evidence from Thailand

  • GONGKHONKWA, Guntpishcha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the connectedness between the number of COVID-19 cases in Thailand and trading value among investors in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. Daily data of COVID-19 cases and trading value were sourced from the Thailand ministry of public health and the Stock Exchange of Thailand, from January 12, 2020 to May 11, 2021. This study applies a multiple linear regression analysis to explain the relationship between variables. Empirical evidence clearly shows that the volatility of trading value was affected by COVID-19's new, confirmed, and deaths cases within the first pandemic period more than during the second pandemic period. Nevertheless, during the third pandemic period there is no evidence that the new, confirmed, and deaths cases significantly influenced trading value. Furthermore, the results show that COVID-19's new and deaths cases have a negative coefficient that indicated the trading value-buy/sell decreased in response to COVID-19's new and deaths cases, whereas the confirmed COVID-19 cases have a positive coefficient that indicated the trading value-buy/sell increased in response to COVID's confirmed cases. In summary, this study suggests that the number of COVID-19 cases have a significant impact on the trading value in the short term more than in the intermediate and long term.

Experimental Study on the Spray Characteristics of Low Pressure Fog Nozzles in Cooling Fog System (쿨링 포그 시스템의 저압 안개 노즐 분무특성에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Ji Yeop, Kim;Cheol, Jeong;Won Jun, Kang;Jeong Ung, Kim;Jung Goo, Hong
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2022
  • Cooling fog is being used in various parts of society such as fine dust reduction, cleanliness, and temperature drop. Cooling fog has the advantage of low flow rate and ease of use compared to other spray systems. In the case of cooling fog, it was confirmed that the injection angle increased as the pressure increased and the nozzle diameter increased. In this study, the minimum injection angle was 33.61 degrees and the maximum injection angle was 107.38 degrees. It was confirmed that the larger the nozzle diameter and the smaller the pressure, the larger the droplet size. In addition, it was confirmed that the Sauter Mean Diameter (SMD) increased along the X and Y axis directions. It was confirmed that the size of the droplet decreases as it approaches the nozzle tip due to the characteristics of the nozzle design factor.

Analyzing the Impact of Lockdown on COVID-19 Pandemic in Saudi Arabia

  • Gyani, Jayadev;Haq, Mohd Anul;Ahmed, Ahsan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2022
  • The spread of Omicron, a mutated version of COVID-19 across several countries is leading to the discussion of lockdown once again for curbing the spread of the new virus. In this context, this research is showing the impact of lockdown for the successful control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Saudi Arabia. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic around the globe has affected Saudi Arabia with around 2,37,803 confirmed cases within the initial 4 months of transmission. Saudi Arabia has announced a 21-day lockdown from March 23, 2020, to reduce the transmission of the COVID-19 pandemic. Machine Learning-based, Multinomial logistic regression was applied to understand the relationship between daily COVID-19 confirmed cases and lockdown in the 17 most-affected cities of KSA. We used secondary published data from the Ministry of Health, KSA daily dataset of COVID-19 confirmed case counts. These 17 cities were categorized into 4 classes based on lockdown dates. A total of three scenarios such as night lockdown, full lockdown, and no lockdown have been analyzed with the total number of confirmed cases with 4 classes. 15 out of 17 cities have shown a strong correlation with a confidence interval of 95%. These findings provide evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic may be partially suppressed with lockdown measures.

Compression of the Variables Classifying Domestic Marine Accident Data

  • Park, Deuk-Jin;Yang, Hyeong-Sun;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.92-98
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    • 2022
  • Maritime accidents result in enormous economic loss and loss of life; thus, such accidents must be prevented, and risks must be managed to prevent these occurrences Risk management must be based on statistical evidence such as variables. Because calculating when variables increase statistically can be difficult, compressing the designated variables is necessary to use the maritime accident data in Korea. Thus, in this study, variables of marine accident data are compressed using statistical methods. The date, ship type, and marine accident type included in all maritime accident data were extracted, the number of optimal variables was confirmed using the hierarchical clustering analysis method, and the data were compressed. For the compressed variables, the validity of the data use was statistically confirmed using analysis of variance, and the data of the variables identified using the variable compression method were designated. Consequently, among the monthly and yearly data, statistical significance was confirmed in yearly data, and compression was possible. The significance of the data was confirmed in six and eight types of ships and accidents, respectively, and these were compressed. These results can be directly used for prevention or prediction based on past maritime accident data. Additionally, the data range extracted from past maritime accidents and the number of applicable data will be studied in the future.