• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제34권1호
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• pp.27-50
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• 2024

This paper examines issues concerning conflicts between arbitral awards and public interests, particularly with respect to economic sanctions. Sanctions have been widely used by political entities, such as States and organizations, as means to promote public interests and to resolve cross-border disputes. In particular, economic sanctions have been increasingly more visible in recent years due to the accelerating fragmentation of the international communities, and their magnitude and range of the impacts have grown accordingly. For example, the U.S. and the EU have imposed economic sanctions on Russia and related persons in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The U.S. recently re-introduced a comprehensive economic sanction on Iran. One of the notable impacts of the sanctions, particularly economic sanctions, is that on international arbitration. Sanctions are essentially built on the notion of the protection of public interests, and public interests are some of the few grounds upon which recognition and enforceability or arbitral awards may be rejected. However, jurisprudence on such conflict between sanctions and arbitral awards have not been sufficiently addressed in Korea because court case and administrative decision records on this conflict have not been sufficiently accumulated. In this regard, this paper begins with offering a survey of the concept of public interests, economic and trade sanctions, arbitral awards and their enforceability, and the relationships between them. It then examines the mechanism upon which public interests, trade and economic sanctions may lead certain arbitral awards unenforceable. Next, the paper suggests judiciaries' balanced approach toward the public interests protected by trade and economic sanctions and the predictability and fairness in the enforcement of arbitral awards. Finally, this paper concludes with the methods of the implementation of such balanced approach.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.507-529
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• 2018

This paper evaluates the whole impact of quantitative easing on inflation in Korea implemented by the central banks in four major advanced economies, the U.S., Euro Area, U.K. and Japan. According to the analysis employing a VAR-X model with the security holdings of those central banks an exogenous variable, quantitative easing is estimated to exert downward pressures on inflation in Korea. Considering the impulse responses of Korean macroeconomic variables to a quantitative easing shock, the spillover effect is transmitted through exchange rate channel while trade channel turns out to be ineffective. In an additional analysis assessing the impact of each quantitative easing program of the central banks, only those of the Fed and European Central Bank are estimated to be significant. The empirical results prove to be robust even if using long-term interest rates as an alternative indicator of quantitative easing.

• 융복합기술연구소 논문집
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.33-36
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• 2015

In recent years, developed and developing country such as U.S., Japan, and China push forward to enhance their manufacturing industry through national policies such as advanced manufacturing(U.S.), Industrie 4.0 (Germany), and Made in China 2025. Also, in Korea, Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy(MOTIE) claimed Manufacturing3.0 for encouraging domestic manufacturing industry. Manufacturing industry plays an important role in encouraging economy and employment. In this paper, we survey, analyze and summarize the current national policy for enhancing manufacturing industry.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.24-47
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• 2006

Based on the findings of a study focused on medical institutions(Fama & French, 2002), this study determined possible causality between determinants of capital structure and liability level, while estimating targeted debt ratio. Moreover, it also examined hypotheses about the adjustment of targeted debt ratio and the of fundraising patterns, so that it verified the relative priority of trade-off theory and pecking order theory. First, profitability had positive(+) relationships with liability level, while investment opportunities had negative(-) relationships with liability level. This finding supported pecking order theory, and non-liability tax shield effects had negative(-) relationships with liability level as estimated in both trade-off theory and pecking order theory. Next, this study verified trade-off and pecking order theory at once by means of regression analysis about the variation of liability level in associations with disparity from targeted debt ratio and short-term fluctuation of profit and investment. As a result, it was noted that liability level became mean-reversed to targeted liability ratio but slowly, SO it was difficult to assert that such mean reverse may support trade-off theory. However, the finding that most of short-term fluctuations of profit and investment are absorbed into liabilities supported pecking order theory. On the other hand, it was found that the larger scale of medical institutions is more supportive of pecking order theory in the associations between liability level and profitability and the fundraising patterns than trade-off theory.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.131-145
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• 2020

Purpose - The recent growth of South Korean products in the international market is the benchmark for both developed as well as developing countries. According to the development index, the role of international trade is indeed crucial for the development of the national economy. However, the visualization of the international trade profile of the country is the prerequisite of governmental policy decision-makers and guidance for forecasting of foreign trade. Design/methodology - We have utilized data visualization techniques in order to visualize the import & export product space and trade partners of South Korea. Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) were used to identify the Korean international trade diversification, whereas the time series approach is used to forecast the economy and foreign trade variables. Findings - Our results show that Chine, U.S, Vietnam, Hong Kong, and Japan are the leading trade partners of Korea. Overall, the ECI of South Korea is growing significantly as compared to China, Hong Kong, and other developed countries of the world. The expected values of total import and export volume of South Korea are approximately US$535.21 and US$ 781.23B, with the balance of trade US$ 254.02B in 2025. It was also observed from our analysis that imports & exports are equally substantial to the GDP of Korea and have a significant correlation with GDP, GDP per capita, and ECI. Originality/value - To maintain the growth rate of international trade and efficient competitor for the trade partners, we have visualized the South Korea trade profile, which provides the information of significant export and import products as well as main trade partners and forecasting.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.21-44
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• 2022

Purpose - This study quantifies sources of trade balance dynamics over the business cycle in Korea. Specifically, we quantify the relative importance of domestic and foreign factors on trade balance dynamics using a small open economy real business cycle (SOE-RBC) model and provide policy implications for stabilization policies. Aggregate productivity and interest rate spreads are considered domestic factors affecting the trade balance. A world interest rate (the U.S. interest rate) is considered a foreign factor. Design/methodology - Following Neumeyer and Perri (2005), we build the SOE-RBC model with three types of shocks: aggregate productivity, interest rate spread, and world interest shocks. The model is estimated by the generalized method of moments (GMM) using relevant business cycle statistics. The estimated model is used for quantifying the relative importance of domestic and foreign factors on trade balance dynamics in Korea. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: 85.64% of the trade balance fluctuations in Korea are explained by domestic factors, the remaining 14.35% by foreign factors. Particularly, trade balance dynamics are mostly accounted for by the change in aggregate productivity shocks (85.58%). World interest rate shocks considerably explain trade balance (14.35%), whereas the role of interest rate spread shocks that represent domestic risks is limited (0.08%). Although aggregate productivity is key in explaining trade balance dynamics in Korea, interest rates still have an essential role. This is because aggregate productivity changes induce interest rate spread variations and, thus, the trade balance significantly. The results suggest that government policies mitigating fluctuations in aggregate productivity would be effective for stabilization policies in Korea by reducing the trade balance volatility. Originality/value - Existing studies on the emerging market business cycle examine mostly Latin American countries, and the main object of the studies is the volatility of consumption rather than trade balance dynamics. Conversely, our study examines Korea rather than Latin American countries. Additionally, we examine sources of trade balance dynamics, which are relatively more important in Korea, rather than those of the volatility of consumption. Hence, we estimate the model to explicitly match moments related to trade balance in the data.

• 한국전자거래학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.71-101
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• 2017

미국 무역위원회(United States International Trade Commission)는 불공정 무역으로 인해 무역 질서를 해치는 경우 상계 관세(Countervailing Duties)와 반덤핑 관세(Antidumping Duties) 등을 징수하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 상기 연구 목적을 달성하기 위하여 상계 관세 및 반덤핑 관세와 관련된 데이터를 수집해 양적 분석을 수행하였다. 몇 가지 데이터 마이닝(Data mining) 기법을 활용한 본 연구의 양적 분석 결과, 미국의 상계 관세 및 반덤핑 관세 부과 경향이 우리나라의 중공업 산업의 성장률에 유의한 영향을 미친다고 잠정적으로 결론 내릴 수 있었다. 본 연구의 가장 큰 기여점은 '미국의 보호주의 무역기조가 울산지역의 주력산업의 경영성과에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다'는 직관적인 명제를 과거 데이터를 가지고 객관적으로 검증해보고 그 영향 정도를 계량화해 측정할 수 있도록 한 것이라고 할 수 있다.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.175-197
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• 2017

한 미 FTA 개정 협상이 국가적 현안이 되고 있는 가운데 본 연구는 시장비교우위지수에 의한 경쟁력 분석과 산업내무역 분석을 통해 한 미 FTA 발효를 전후하여 수출산업의 무역구조 변화를 파악하는 데 목적이 있다. 분석 결과, FTA 발효 전후로 대미 상품 및 서비스무역이 각기 흑자와 적자를 지속하고 있으며, 대미 투자는 미국의 대한국 투자를 훨씬 상회하였다. 시장비교우위지수를 활용한 수출상품의 경합보완관계 분석에서 미국과 수출우위의 보완관계를 형성하고 있으며, 산업내무역은 전반적으로 미약하게 나타나고 있는 가운데 일부 품목에서는 저품질 수직적 형태로 이루어지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 분석 결과를 토대로 다음과 같은 정책적 제언 및 시사점을 제시하고 있다. 첫째, 서비스 무역의 경쟁력을 높여가면서 FTA 개정 협상에서 서비스와 상품부문에 대한 손실과 이익의 균형을 추구한다. 둘째, 경합 품목과 비교열위 품목의 경쟁력을 강화해 가면서 수출우위 품목에 대해서는 미국시장의 소비패턴에 대한 대응력을 강화하고, 생산기술 기반 확충과 원가절감을 통한 기술 및 가격경쟁력을 계속 높여 간다. 셋째, 대미 비교우위를 확보하고 있는 품목에서는 수평적 수직적 분업을 진행하고, 비교열위 품목에서는 수평적 분업을 추진한다.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.677-693
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• 2016

본 연구에서는 부가가치 무역 데이터를 이용하여 세계무역 네트워크 내의 구조를 분석하였다. 그 주요 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 부가가치 무역에 있어서 주요 산업은 다음 세 가지 유형이다. 여기에는 중국 등 개도국의 전자산업, 미국과 영국의 R&D 산업, 독일의 자동차, 화학, 기계 산업 등이 해당된다. 즉, 개도국의 조립형 제조업, 미국 등 선진국의 R&D 산업, 독일과 같은 선진국의 첨단 제조업이 포함된다. 둘째, 주요 산업이 글로벌 허브 산업으로 기능하는 유형은 상이하다. 특히, 미국의 서비스산업인 도소매, 물류, R&D 산업 등은 순회자와 연락자가 매우 강하게 나타나며 그 지위를 지속적으로 유지하고 있다는 것이다. 셋째, 중개자 측면에서 한 중 일 3국 주요 산업을 진단하면 한국의 대부분 산업은 중국과 일본에 압도되고 있다. 그러나 순회자 역할에서 금융산업과 R&D 산업은 중국과 일본보다 각각 우위에 있다. 이러한 점에서 서비스산업의 진일보한 개방정책이 한국 산업의 중개자 역할을 강화할 것으로 전망된다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.1-21
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• 2021

The main purpose of this research is to analyze the changes in investment motivation by year through time series and cross-sectional analysis of the factors and investment decisions of Korean manufacturing companies. According to the investment pattern for Asean from the 1980s to the 19th, the first expansion period was 82 to 86, the average increase in overseas investment for securing foreign raw materials due to the second oil shock, and the second expansion period was a gradual increase in exports to the U.S. in 1987 to 1996. During the first stagnation period, direct investment in Asean stagnated in the aftermath of the 1998-05 Asian crisis, and in the third expansion period, part of the production facilities invested in China were relocated to Asean, increasing Asean's investment to become Korea's largest manufacturing investment in 17. Korea's proportion of investment in Asean surpassed that of mass investment since 10 years ago, and the proportion of investment in manufacturing sector has been transferred from China to Asean, and after 17 years, it has served as an overseas production base connecting China. As such, The main purpose of the research will be to extract the determinant factors and key factors for overseas direct investment and investment patterns in conjunction with global manufacturing companies' production base relocation and investment trends through empirical analysis. This research paper gave basic reference to the motivation and determinant of investment 16 years ago, and analyzed the changes in investment motivation by year and content through empirical analysis, contributing some reasonable purpose to the decision of companies and policy makers interested in overseas direct investment.