• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.233-239
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• 2013

Understanding the temporal variability of agricultural parameters derived from historical climate data is important for planning in agriculture. Therefore, this study assessed the magnitude and recent trends of the transpiration ratio defined as the crop water use per harvested yield for the period from 1980 to 2010. The crop water use was estimated using the Food and Agriculture Organization's Crop Wat model for eight administrative provinces in Korea. The temporal trends and spatial uncertainty were explored using the Mann-Kendall and Theil Sen's methods. The regional average rice yield was $6.31t\;ha^{-1}$(range 5.9 to $6.9t\;ha^{-1}$). The results showed that the rice yield in Korea increased by $26kg\;ha^{-1}yr^{-1}$. Overall, the regional average transpiration ratio was $1,298m^3t^{-1}$ (range 1,162 to $1,470m^3t^{-1}$). From 1980 to 2010, the transpiration ratio decreased by $8.2m^3t^{-1}$ (range 2.7 to $14.4m^3t^{-1}$), largely as a result of the increasing yield. The statistical approach to historical data used in this study also provides a basis for simulating the future transpiration ratio.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.120-128
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• 2011

Korea Groundwater Quality Monitoring Network is a database of annual groundwater quality survey results to prevent groundwater pollution. We estimated contamination index (CI) values for each type of land use, and analyzed temporal trends of pollutant concentration data in the Groundwater Quality Monitoring Network from 2001 to 2009. Among the pollutants considered in the database, the concentrations of nitrate and chloride were higher than their standards. In the case of nitrate, recreation parks, golf courses and general waste dumping regions showed increasing trends according to linear regression analysis, whereas industrial complexes and residential regions of urgan and recreation parks showed increasing trends in the chloride concentration data. According to multiple variable linear regression analysis, EC, pH and topography were major factors influencing CI values. These results suggest that groundwater with a high CI value and increasing trend is vulnerable for potential contamination, which requires more careful groundwater pollution control.

• 대한지리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한지리학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.75-78
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• 2003

A recent rise in mean global temperatures suggests a shift in the temporal cycles of natural seasons. The impacts of warming trends can alter the temporal and spatial distribution of flora and fauna. Especially, phenological cycles are very sensitive to the occurrence of alternation of hot and cold seasons. Phenological calendars reflect the natural seasonality. In more detail, phenological cycles affects agriculture and human health (i.e. the amount of fruit production and allergies), as well as tourism industries like flower fairs or festivals. (omitted)

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제57권1호
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• pp.37-45
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• 2015

Recent droughts in South Korea have had large economic and environmental impacts across the country. Changes in rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can potentially increase the occurrence of extreme droughts and affect the future availability of water resources. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate drought vulnerability for water resources planning and management, and identify the appropriate mitigation actions to conduct a drought risk analysis in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics in South Korea to examine drought impacts under climate change. First, the changes of drought occurrence were analyzed by applying the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions. These results show the high influence of climate change on drought phenomenon, and will contribute to water resources management and drought countermeasures to climate change.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제9D권3호
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• pp.365-380
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• 2002

시간 데이타마이닝은 기존 데이타마이닝에 시간 개념을 추가하여 "시간값을 가진 대용량 데이타로부터 이전에 잘 알려지지는 않았지만, 묵시적이고 잠재적으로 유용한 시간 지식을 탐사하는 기술"로 정의된다. 시간 지식이란 주기적 패턴, 캘린더 패턴, 경향 등과 같이 시간 의미와 시간 관계를 가진 지식을 말한다. 실세계에서는 환자의 병력, 상품 구매 이력, 웹 로그 등과 같은 다양한 시간 데이타가 존재하며 이로부터 여러 형태의 유용한 시간 지식을 찾아낼 수 있다. 데이타마이닝에 대한 연구가 진행되면서 순차 패턴, 유사 시계열 탐사, 주기적 연관규칙 탐사 등과 같이 시간 지식을 탐사하고자 하는 시간 데이타마이닝에 대한 부분적인 연구가 수행되었다. 그러나 기존 연구는 단순히 데이타의 발생 순서 및 유사한 패턴을 찾아내는데 중점을 두고 있어 데이타가 포함하고 있는 시간 의미와 시간 관계를 탐사하는데 부족하며, 시간 지식의 전체적인 측면보다는 연관 규칙과 같은 일부분만을 다루고 있다는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 시간 데이타마이닝에 대한 체계적인 연구를 위하여 시간 데이타마이닝에 대한 기존 연구 내용과 해결해야 할 문제점을 분석하고 이를 바탕으로 전체적인 프레임워크를 제시하였다. 또한 그 구현 방안 및 적용평가를 수행하였다. 프레임워크에서는 시간 데이타마이닝 모델을 제안하고, 이를 바탕으로 시간 데이타마이닝 질의어와 시간 지식을 탐사할 수 있는 시간 데이타마이닝 시스템을 설계하였다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.137-149
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• 2015

본 논문에서는 비정상 극치 강수 자료에 대해 계층적 베이지안 모형을 적용하여 시간에 따른 모수의 변화를 추정하며, 미래 확률 강수량에 대한 극단값 분포를 예측하고 더 나아가 반환기간에 대한 경향과 예측 값을 얻고자 한다. 이전의 고전적 통계 방법을 통한 강수 자료의 모수 추정연구의 경우, 자료의 정상성 가정 하에 고정된 모수를 추정하는 방법으로, 최근 나타난 비정상 강수 사상과 같이 강수량이 가지는 분포의 모수적 변화가 예상되는 경우 해석상 문제가 발생한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모형의 관심모수에 시간에 따른 자기 상관 선형 회귀 함수를 적합한 계층적 베이지안 모형을 고려한다. 제안된 모형의 효율성을 확인하기 위해서 1973년부터 2011년까지 39년 동안의 우리나라 여러지역의 기상 관측소에서 관측된 일일 강우량 자료가 사용하여 대표적인 극단값 분포인 Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) 분포에 적합시키고, 계층적 베이지안 모형을 이용하여 이들 분포의 모수들에 자기상관 시간모형을 소개한 후 우리나라 여러지역에 대한 반환기간에 대한 시간에 따른 경향을 확인하였다.

• Journal of Veterinary Science
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.13.1-13.9
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• 2024

Background: Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious viral disease in livestock that has tremendous economic impact nationally. After multiple FMD outbreaks, the South Korean government implemented a vaccination policy for efficient disease control. However, during active surveillance by quarantine authorities, pig farms have reported an insufficient antibody positivity rate to FMD. Objective: In this study, the spatial and temporal trends of insufficiency among pig farms were analyzed, and the effect of the number of government veterinary officers was explored as a potential preventive factor. Methods: Various data were acquired, including national-level surveillance data for antibody insufficiency from the Korea Animal Health Integrated System, the number of veterinary officers, and the number of local pig farms. Temporal and geographical descriptive analyses were conducted to overview spatial and temporal trends. Additionally, logistic regression models were employed to investigate the association between the number of officers per pig farm with antibody insufficiency. Spatial cluster analysis was conducted to detect spatial clusters. Results: The results showed that the incidence of insufficiency tended to decrease in recent years (odds ratio [OR], 0.803; 95% confidence interval [95% CIs], 0.721-0.893), and regions with a higher density of governmental veterinary officers (OR, 0.942; 95% CIs, 0.918-0.965) were associated with a lower incidence. Conclusions: This study implies that previously conducted national interventions would be effective, and the quality of government-provided veterinary care could play an important role in addressing the insufficient positivity rate of antibodies.

• 항공우주기술
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.149-155
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• 2011

세계적 기후온난화와 이상기온현상으로 최근 급변하는 농업환경에 대응하기 위해서는 농작물 작황관리 및 예측시스템의 과학화를 통한 정부차원의 대처능력 개선이 시급하다. 농업분야에서 위성정보의 활용은 고해상도 광학 및 레이더 영상의 상용화와 더불어 정밀농업이라는 새로운 가능성을 열어주고 있다. 본 연구에서는 최근 농업분야에서 주목을 받고 있는 RapidEye 위성영상을 사용하여 우리나라 농촌지역의 토지이용유형별 분광식생지수의 시계열 특성을 살펴보았다. 식생과 비식생지역 간에 뚜렷한 시계열 변화양상이 나타났으며, 식생지역 내에서도 산림 수종별, 논 그룹별로 식생지수의 시계열 변화에 차이가 관찰되었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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• pp.515-517
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• 2004

Although sustainable development of a city should in theory be based on updated spatial information like land cover/use changes, in practice there are no effective tools to get such information. However the development of satellite and sensor technologies has increased the supply of high resolution satellite data, allowing cost-effective, multi-temporal monitoring. Especially KOMPSAT-1(KOrea Multi-Purpose SATellite) acquired a large number of images of the whole Korean peninsula and covering some large cities a number of times. In this study land-use patterns and trends of Daejeon from the year 2000 to the year 2003 will be considered using land use maps which are generated by manual interpretation of multi-temporal KOMPSAT EOC imagery and to show the possibility of using high resolution satellite remote sensing data for urban analysis.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.1557-1561
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• 2014

Background: Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer in women and estimating its relative risks and trends of incidence at the area-level is helpful for health policy makers. However, traditional methods of estimation which do not take spatial heterogeneity into account suffer from drawbacks and their results may be misleading, as the estimated maps of incidence vary dramatically in neighboring areas. Spatial methods have been proposed to overcome drawbacks of traditional methods by including spatial sources of variation in the model to produce smoother maps. Materials and Methods: In this study we analyzed the breast cancer data in Iran during 2004-2008. We used a method proposed to cover spatial and temporal effects simultaneously and their interactions to study trends of breast cancer incidence in Iran. Results: The results agree with previous studies but provide new information about two main issues regarding the trend of breast cancer in provinces of Iran. First, this model discovered provinces with high relative risks of breast cancer during the 5 years of the study. Second, new information was provided with respect to overall trend trends o. East-Azerbaijan, Golestan, North-Khorasan, and Khorasan-Razavi had the highest increases in rates of breast cancer incidence whilst Tehran, Isfahan, and Yazd had the highest incidence rates during 2004-2008. Conclusions: Using spatial methods can provide more accurate and detailed information about the incidence or prevalence of a disease. These models can specify provinces with different health priorities in terms of needs for therapy and drugs or demands for efficient education, screening, and preventive policy into action.