• 제목/요약/키워드: System Uncertainty

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User Perceptions of Uncertainty in the Selection of Information Retrieval System: Implications for System and Service Improvement

  • Kim, Yang-Woo
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2009
  • While numerous studies have suggested the significance of uncertainty during the process of information-seeking, less research has investigated user uncertainty in the actual search process using a real system. This study investigated user perceptions of uncertainty in the process of the selection of information retrieval system in the real information-seeking process. Considering the role of commercial Web search engines as supplementary tools for traditional bibliographic databases in academic research environments, this study analyzed the selection behavior of scholarly researchers, who use such search tools for their academic study. The researchers were limited to the discipline of science in order to understand user perceptions in this field. The findings revealed various dimensions, types, and incidents of uncertainty. Variations appeared in different incidents of uncertainty relating to the unique characteristics of the subjects' information-seeking context. The identification of three principal origins of uncertainty based on the different types of uncertainty generated implications to improve information systems and services.

장기 안정성을 고려한 경질유 유량표준장치 불확도 평가 (Long Term Stability of Uncertainty Analysis of Light Oil Elow Standard System)

  • 임기원;최종오
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제29권10호
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    • pp.1130-1138
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    • 2005
  • A national standard system for the petroleum field has been developed to calibrate and test the oil flow meters in Korea. The operating system and the uncertainty of the system were evaluated by the peer reviewers of foreign national metrology institutes in 2002. Since the characteristics of the system might be changed by time, the uncertainty of the system is reevaluated with the consideration of the long term stability of the system. It is found that the system has a relative expanded uncertainty of 0.048 $\%$ in the range of $15\~120\;m^3/h$. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the final mass measurement, which are temperature dependent, contribute about $94\%$ of the total uncertainty in the oil flow standard system

지식기반시스템에서 불확실성처리방법의 비교연구 (A Comparative Study of Uncertainty Handling Methods in Knowledge-Based System)

  • 송수섭
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.45-71
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    • 1997
  • There has been considerable research recently on uncertainty handling in the fields of artificial intelligence and knowledge-based system. Various numerical and non-numerical methods have been proposed for representing and propagating uncertainty in knowledge-based system. The Bayesian method, the Dempster-Shafer's Evidence Theory, the Certainty Factor model and the Fuzzy Set Theory are most frequently appeared in the knowledge-based system. Each of these four methods views uncertainty from a different perspective and propagates it differently. There is no single method which can handle uncertainty properly in all kinds of knowledge-based systems' domain. Therefore a knowledge-based system will work more effectively when the uncertainty handling method in the system fits to the system's environment. This paper proposed a framework for selecting proper uncertainty handling methods in knowledge-based system with respect to characteristics of problem domain and cognitive styles of experts. A schema with strategic/operational and unstructured/structured classification is employed to differenciate domain. And a schema with systematic/intuitive and preceptive/receptive classification is employed to differenciate experts' cognitive style. The characteristics of uncertainty handling methods are compared with characteristics of problem domains and cognitive styles respectively. Then a proper uncertainty handling method is proposed for each category.

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A Suggestion of Fuzzy Estimation Technique for Uncertainty Estimation of Linear Time Invariant System Based on Kalman Filter

  • Kim, Jong Hwa;Ha, Yun Su;Lim, Jae Kwon;Seo, Soo Kyung
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제36권7호
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    • pp.919-926
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    • 2012
  • In order to control a LTI(Linear Time Invariant) system subjected to system noise and measurement noise, first of all, it is necessary to estimate the state of system with reliability. Kalman filtering technique has been widely used to estimate the state of the stochastic LTI system with stationary noise characteristics because of its estimation ability versus algorithm simplicity. However, it often fails to estimate the state of the LTI system of which system parameter uncertainty exists partly and/or input uncertainty exists. In this paper, a new estimation technique based on Kalman filter is suggested for stochastic LTI system under parameter uncertainty and/or input uncertainty. A fuzzy estimation algorithm against uncertainties is introduced so as to compensate the state estimate filtered by Kalman filter. In order to verify the state estimation performance of the suggested technique, several simulations are accomplished.

시험장비의 특성을 고려한 진동시험결과에 대한 측정불확도 추정 (Measurement Uncertainty of Vibration Testing Result with Including Uncertainty of Testing Facilities)

  • 문석준;정정훈
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.781-786
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    • 2016
  • All measurements are subject to uncertainty and a measurement result is complete only when it is accompanied by a statement of the associated uncertainty. By international agreement, this uncertainty has a probabilistic basis and reflects incomplete knowledge of the quantity value. The "Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement", commonly known as the GUM, is the definitive document on this subject. The requirements for estimation of measurement uncertainty apply to all results provided by calibration laboratories and results produced by testing laboratories under the optional circumstances. In this paper, a procedure for estimation of measurement uncertainty from vibration testing is proposed on KS F 2868:2003 as an example. Both Type A and Type B evaluation of uncertainty are considered to calculate the combined standard uncertainty and expanded uncertainty.

구조화된 불확실성을 갖는 전력 계통의 적응 관측기 설계 (Design of Adaptive Observer for Power System with Structured Uncertainty)

  • 황정록;김도우;김홍필;양해원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1211-1214
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    • 1999
  • Power system operating conditions vary with system configuration and loading conditions. Coefficients in nominal system model change in a complex manner with different operating point and so does system dynamic behavior. With the aid of unstructured and structured uncertainty descriptions the worst system variations can be estimated and formulated into two different uncertainty models multiplicative unstructured uncertainty in the form of transfer function and structured uncertainty with the parametric uncertainty description. in frequency domain

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Uncertainty assessment for a towed underwater stereo PIV system by uniform flow measurement

  • Han, Bum Woo;Seo, Jeonghwa;Lee, Seung Jae;Seol, Dong Myung;Rhee, Shin Hyung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.596-608
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    • 2018
  • The present study aims to assess test uncertainty assessment method of nominal wake field measurement by a Stereoscopic Particle Image Velocimetry (SPIV) system in a towing tank. The systematic uncertainty of the SPIV system was estimated from repeated uniform flow measurements. In the uniform flow measurement case, time interval between image frames and uniform flow speed were varied to examine the effects of particle displacement and flow around the SPIV system on the systematic standard uncertainty. The random standard uncertainty was assessed by repeating nominal wake field measurements and the estimated random standard uncertainty was compared with that of laser Doppler velocimetry. The test uncertainty assessment method was applied to nominal wake measurement tests of a very large crude oil carrier model ship. The nominal wake measurement results were compared with existing experimental database by other measurement methods, with its assessed uncertainty.

기름 유량표준장치의 개발 및 측정 불확도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development and the Uncertainty Analysis of Oil Flow Standard System)

  • 임기원;최종오
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제27권8호
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    • pp.1071-1080
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    • 2003
  • A national standard system was developed in order to calibrate and test the oil flowmeters for the petroleum field. A stop valve and a gyroscopic weighing scale were employed for the primary standard of the flow quantity. It is operated by the standing start and finish mode and the static weighing method. The model equation for uncertainty evaluation was based on the calibration principle of standard system. The sources of the uncertainties were quantified and combined according to the GUM(Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement). It was found that the standard system had the relative expanded uncertainty of 0.04 % in the range of 18 - 350 ㎥/h. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the volume of pipeline, which were temperature dependent, contributed 92% of final uncertainty in the oil flow standard system.

MEMS 가속도계의 성능분포 및 제조수율 예측 (Prediction of the Performance Distributions and Manufacturing Yields of a MEMS Accelerometer)

  • 김용일;유홍희
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제35권7호
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    • pp.791-798
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    • 2011
  • 모든 기계 시스템의 변수는 불확실성을 가지고 이는 시스템 성능에 직접적인 영향을 미칠 뿐 아니라 생산성 감소를 야기한다. 특히 MEMS 시스템의 크기는 매우 작으므로 일반적인 기계 시스템에 비해 제조 공차는 상대적으로 커질 수 밖에 없다. 이 제조 공차에 의한 시스템 변수 불확실성은 MEMS 시스템의 성능과 제조 수율에 영향을 미친다. 본 연구에서는 두 가지의 불확실성 해석법을 이용하여 MEMS 가속도계의 시스템 변수 불확실성에 의한 성능의 불확실성 해석을 수행하고 성능분포 및 제조수율을 예측하였다.

공급업자의 공급불확실성이 재고관리 비용에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구 (Assessing the Effects of Supply Uncertainty on Inventory-Related Costs)

  • 박상욱
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2001
  • This paper models supply uncertainty in the dynamic Newsboy problem context. The system consists of one supplier and one retailer who places an order to the supplier every period to meet stochastic demand. Supply uncertainty is modeled as the uncertainty in quantities delivered by the supplier. That is, the supplier delivers exactly the amount ordered by the retailer with probability of $\beta$ and the amount minus K with probability of (1-$\beta$). We formulate the problem as a dynamic programming problem and prove that retailer’s optimal replenishment policy is a stationary base-stock policy. Through a numerical study, we found that the cost increase due to supply uncertainty is significant and that the costs increase more rapidly as supply uncertainty increases. We also identified the effects of various system parameters. One of the interesting results is that as retailer’s demand uncertainty, the other uncertainty in our model, increases, the cost increase due to supply uncertainty becomes less significant.

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