• 제목/요약/키워드: System Uncertainty

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User Perceptions of Uncertainty in the Selection of Information Retrieval System: Implications for System and Service Improvement

  • Kim, Yang-Woo
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2009
  • While numerous studies have suggested the significance of uncertainty during the process of information-seeking, less research has investigated user uncertainty in the actual search process using a real system. This study investigated user perceptions of uncertainty in the process of the selection of information retrieval system in the real information-seeking process. Considering the role of commercial Web search engines as supplementary tools for traditional bibliographic databases in academic research environments, this study analyzed the selection behavior of scholarly researchers, who use such search tools for their academic study. The researchers were limited to the discipline of science in order to understand user perceptions in this field. The findings revealed various dimensions, types, and incidents of uncertainty. Variations appeared in different incidents of uncertainty relating to the unique characteristics of the subjects' information-seeking context. The identification of three principal origins of uncertainty based on the different types of uncertainty generated implications to improve information systems and services.

Long Term Stability of Uncertainty Analysis of Light Oil Elow Standard System (장기 안정성을 고려한 경질유 유량표준장치 불확도 평가)

  • Lim, Ki-Won;Choi, Jong-Oh
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.29 no.10 s.241
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    • pp.1130-1138
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    • 2005
  • A national standard system for the petroleum field has been developed to calibrate and test the oil flow meters in Korea. The operating system and the uncertainty of the system were evaluated by the peer reviewers of foreign national metrology institutes in 2002. Since the characteristics of the system might be changed by time, the uncertainty of the system is reevaluated with the consideration of the long term stability of the system. It is found that the system has a relative expanded uncertainty of 0.048 $\%$ in the range of $15\~120\;m^3/h$. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the final mass measurement, which are temperature dependent, contribute about $94\%$ of the total uncertainty in the oil flow standard system

A Comparative Study of Uncertainty Handling Methods in Knowledge-Based System (지식기반시스템에서 불확실성처리방법의 비교연구)

  • 송수섭
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.45-71
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    • 1997
  • There has been considerable research recently on uncertainty handling in the fields of artificial intelligence and knowledge-based system. Various numerical and non-numerical methods have been proposed for representing and propagating uncertainty in knowledge-based system. The Bayesian method, the Dempster-Shafer's Evidence Theory, the Certainty Factor model and the Fuzzy Set Theory are most frequently appeared in the knowledge-based system. Each of these four methods views uncertainty from a different perspective and propagates it differently. There is no single method which can handle uncertainty properly in all kinds of knowledge-based systems' domain. Therefore a knowledge-based system will work more effectively when the uncertainty handling method in the system fits to the system's environment. This paper proposed a framework for selecting proper uncertainty handling methods in knowledge-based system with respect to characteristics of problem domain and cognitive styles of experts. A schema with strategic/operational and unstructured/structured classification is employed to differenciate domain. And a schema with systematic/intuitive and preceptive/receptive classification is employed to differenciate experts' cognitive style. The characteristics of uncertainty handling methods are compared with characteristics of problem domains and cognitive styles respectively. Then a proper uncertainty handling method is proposed for each category.

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A Suggestion of Fuzzy Estimation Technique for Uncertainty Estimation of Linear Time Invariant System Based on Kalman Filter

  • Kim, Jong Hwa;Ha, Yun Su;Lim, Jae Kwon;Seo, Soo Kyung
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.919-926
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    • 2012
  • In order to control a LTI(Linear Time Invariant) system subjected to system noise and measurement noise, first of all, it is necessary to estimate the state of system with reliability. Kalman filtering technique has been widely used to estimate the state of the stochastic LTI system with stationary noise characteristics because of its estimation ability versus algorithm simplicity. However, it often fails to estimate the state of the LTI system of which system parameter uncertainty exists partly and/or input uncertainty exists. In this paper, a new estimation technique based on Kalman filter is suggested for stochastic LTI system under parameter uncertainty and/or input uncertainty. A fuzzy estimation algorithm against uncertainties is introduced so as to compensate the state estimate filtered by Kalman filter. In order to verify the state estimation performance of the suggested technique, several simulations are accomplished.

Measurement Uncertainty of Vibration Testing Result with Including Uncertainty of Testing Facilities (시험장비의 특성을 고려한 진동시험결과에 대한 측정불확도 추정)

  • Moon, Seok-Jun;Chung, Jung-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.781-786
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    • 2016
  • All measurements are subject to uncertainty and a measurement result is complete only when it is accompanied by a statement of the associated uncertainty. By international agreement, this uncertainty has a probabilistic basis and reflects incomplete knowledge of the quantity value. The "Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement", commonly known as the GUM, is the definitive document on this subject. The requirements for estimation of measurement uncertainty apply to all results provided by calibration laboratories and results produced by testing laboratories under the optional circumstances. In this paper, a procedure for estimation of measurement uncertainty from vibration testing is proposed on KS F 2868:2003 as an example. Both Type A and Type B evaluation of uncertainty are considered to calculate the combined standard uncertainty and expanded uncertainty.

Design of Adaptive Observer for Power System with Structured Uncertainty (구조화된 불확실성을 갖는 전력 계통의 적응 관측기 설계)

  • Hwang, Jung-Rok;Kim, Do-Woo;Kim, Hong-Pil;Yang, Hai-Won
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1211-1214
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    • 1999
  • Power system operating conditions vary with system configuration and loading conditions. Coefficients in nominal system model change in a complex manner with different operating point and so does system dynamic behavior. With the aid of unstructured and structured uncertainty descriptions the worst system variations can be estimated and formulated into two different uncertainty models multiplicative unstructured uncertainty in the form of transfer function and structured uncertainty with the parametric uncertainty description. in frequency domain

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Uncertainty assessment for a towed underwater stereo PIV system by uniform flow measurement

  • Han, Bum Woo;Seo, Jeonghwa;Lee, Seung Jae;Seol, Dong Myung;Rhee, Shin Hyung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.596-608
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    • 2018
  • The present study aims to assess test uncertainty assessment method of nominal wake field measurement by a Stereoscopic Particle Image Velocimetry (SPIV) system in a towing tank. The systematic uncertainty of the SPIV system was estimated from repeated uniform flow measurements. In the uniform flow measurement case, time interval between image frames and uniform flow speed were varied to examine the effects of particle displacement and flow around the SPIV system on the systematic standard uncertainty. The random standard uncertainty was assessed by repeating nominal wake field measurements and the estimated random standard uncertainty was compared with that of laser Doppler velocimetry. The test uncertainty assessment method was applied to nominal wake measurement tests of a very large crude oil carrier model ship. The nominal wake measurement results were compared with existing experimental database by other measurement methods, with its assessed uncertainty.

A Study on the Development and the Uncertainty Analysis of Oil Flow Standard System (기름 유량표준장치의 개발 및 측정 불확도에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Ki-Won;Choi, Jong-Oh
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.1071-1080
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    • 2003
  • A national standard system was developed in order to calibrate and test the oil flowmeters for the petroleum field. A stop valve and a gyroscopic weighing scale were employed for the primary standard of the flow quantity. It is operated by the standing start and finish mode and the static weighing method. The model equation for uncertainty evaluation was based on the calibration principle of standard system. The sources of the uncertainties were quantified and combined according to the GUM(Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement). It was found that the standard system had the relative expanded uncertainty of 0.04 % in the range of 18 - 350 ㎥/h. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the volume of pipeline, which were temperature dependent, contributed 92% of final uncertainty in the oil flow standard system.

Prediction of the Performance Distributions and Manufacturing Yields of a MEMS Accelerometer (MEMS 가속도계의 성능분포 및 제조수율 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-Il;Yoo, Hong-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.7
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    • pp.791-798
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    • 2011
  • All mechanical-system parameters have uncertainty, and this uncertainty directly affects system performances and results in a decrease in the manufacturing outputs. In particular, since the size of a MEMS system is extremely small, the manufacturing tolerances of a MEMS system are relatively large when compared to the tolerances of a macro-scale system. High manufacturing tolerances result from an increase in the uncertainty of the system parameters, thereby affecting the performances and manufacturing yields. In this paper, the performance uncertainty of a MEMS accelerometer due to system parameter uncertainty is analyzed by using several uncertainty analysis methods. Finally, the performance distributions and manufacturing yields of the MEMS accelerometer are predicted.

Assessing the Effects of Supply Uncertainty on Inventory-Related Costs (공급업자의 공급불확실성이 재고관리 비용에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구)

  • 박상욱
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2001
  • This paper models supply uncertainty in the dynamic Newsboy problem context. The system consists of one supplier and one retailer who places an order to the supplier every period to meet stochastic demand. Supply uncertainty is modeled as the uncertainty in quantities delivered by the supplier. That is, the supplier delivers exactly the amount ordered by the retailer with probability of $\beta$ and the amount minus K with probability of (1-$\beta$). We formulate the problem as a dynamic programming problem and prove that retailer’s optimal replenishment policy is a stationary base-stock policy. Through a numerical study, we found that the cost increase due to supply uncertainty is significant and that the costs increase more rapidly as supply uncertainty increases. We also identified the effects of various system parameters. One of the interesting results is that as retailer’s demand uncertainty, the other uncertainty in our model, increases, the cost increase due to supply uncertainty becomes less significant.

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