• 제목/요약/키워드: System Reliability Analysis

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안벽 설계변수의 신뢰성 해석과 생애주기비용 분석 (Life Cycle Cost & Reliability Analysis of Quaywall Design Parameters)

  • 김홍연;윤길림;윤여원
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.508-518
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    • 2008
  • Reliability and sensitivity analysis of the design parameters for a section of caisson type quaywall which is the most applicable in Korea were performed. It was tried to estimate probabilities of failure for the system of the multiple failure modes and to analyze LCC in the quaywall structure. The reliability analysis was performed by FORM. Also, sensitivity indices were estimated using the reliability indices, which may be used inferring effects of each design parameter on the reliability indices. As a result, the coefficient of friction between caisson and rubble, the moment by self weight and the moment of resistance mostly affected on the reliability indices in the sliding, overturning and foundation failure, respectively. System reliability theorem was applied in order to estimate the probabilities of failure for the system of the multiple failure modes. As the results of estimation of the probabilities of failure for the system, all cases were more conservative than those for the elements, according to both failure mode and load combination applied to series system. It entirely exceeded the target reliability index, but it was consistent with the theorem. According to the optimum LCC with the width of the caisson, the probability of failure exceeded the target probability of failure at then time. Therefore, it was judged to be insufficient to the practical application.

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Reliability and Validity of Measurement Using Smartphone-Based Goniometer of Tibial External Rotation Angle in Standing Knee Flexion

  • Jeon, In-Cheol;Kwon, Oh-Yun;Weon, Jong-Hyuck;Ha, Sung-Min;Kim, Si-Hyun
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to assess the intra-rater test-retest reliability of tibial external rotation angle measurement using a smartphone-based photographic goniometer, DrGoniometer (DrG) compared to a three-dimensional motion analysis system (Vicon). The current study showed an interchangeable method using DrG to measure the tibial external rotation angle in standing knee flexion at $90^{\circ}$. Twelve healthy subjects participated in this study. A rest session was conducted 30 minutes later for within-day reliability and five days later for between-day intra-rater test-retest reliability. To assess the validity of the measurement using DrG, we used a three dimensional motion analysis system as a gold standard to measure the angle of tibial external rotation. Intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) and the standard error of measurement (SEM) values were used to determine the within- and between- day intra-rater test-retest reliability of using DrG and a three dimensional motion analysis system. To assess validity, Pearson correlation coefficients were used for two measurement techniques. The measurement for tibial external rotation had high intra-rater test-retest reliability of within-day (ICC=.88) and between-day (ICC=.83) reliability using DrG and of within-day (ICC=.93) and between-day (ICC=.77) reliability using a three-dimentional motion analysis system. Tibial external rotation angle measurement using DrG was highly correlated with those of the three-dimensional motion analysis system (r=.86). These results represented that the tibial external rotation angle measurement using DrG showed acceptable reliability and validity compared with the use of three-dimensional motion analysis system.

FTA를 이용한 전기철도 전차선의 신뢰도 분석 (Reliability Analysis of Catenary of Electric Railway by using FTA)

  • 구본희;차준민;김형철
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권11호
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    • pp.1905-1909
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    • 2008
  • As catenary supply electric power directly to the railway system, it is very important to prevent an accident of a catenary for appropriate train operations. This paper analyzed the outage data for British catenary safety analysis report and Korean data to compare the reliability of the railway systems. The analyzed data were applied to Fault Tree Analysis(FTA) algorithm to calculate the reliability indices of a railway system. Failure rate of an electric railway system through FTA were calculated for each element and the entire railway system. The reliability indices can be used to determine the eqipment to be replaced for the entire system reliability improvement.

DEVS 형식론 기반의 Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram과 GPU 가속 기술을 이용한 신뢰도 분석 방법 (GPU-accelerated Reliability Analysis Method using Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram based on DEVS Formalism)

  • 하솔;구남국;노명일
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • 전통적으로 신뢰도 분석에 사용되는 Fault Tree Analysis의 경우 관련 분야의 전문가가 필요하고 작성자의 판단에 따라 신뢰도 분석 결과가 달라진다. 반면, Reliability Block Diagram의 경우 시스템 구성도나 Process Flow Diagram (PFD), Piping and Instrument Diagram (P&ID)을 기반으로 하기에 작성에 필요한 비용과 시간이 절감되는 장점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram과 이산 사건 시뮬레이션에 널리 사용되는 DEVS 형식론을 이용하는 신뢰도 분석 방법을 제안한다. 또한 시스템 모델링 방법론 중 하나인 System Entity Structure/Model Base의 개념을 도입함으로써 다양한 설계 대안에 대한 신뢰도 분석 모델을 자동으로 생성할 수 있도록 하였다. 그리고 Reliability Block Diagram을 이용한 신뢰도 분석 시 오래 소요되는 계산 시간을 단축시키기 위해 GPU 가속 기술을 신뢰도 분석 시뮬레이션에 접목하였다.

마르코프 연쇄 몬테 카를로 샘플링과 부분집합 시뮬레이션을 사용한 컨테이너 크레인 계류 시스템의 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Stowage System of Container Crane using Subset Simulation with Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampling)

  • 박원석;옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents an efficient finite analysis model and a simulation-based reliability analysis method for stowage device system failure of a container crane with respect to lateral load. A quasi-static analysis model is introduced to simulate the nonlinear resistance characteristics and failure of tie-down and stowage pin, which are the main structural stowage devices of a crane. As a reliability analysis method, a subset simulation method is applied considering the uncertainties of later load and mechanical characteristic parameters of stowage devices. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is applied to sample random variables. Analysis result shows that the proposed model is able to estimate the probability of failure of crane system effectively which cannot be calculated practically by crude Monte Carlo simulation method.

System and member reliability of steel frames

  • Zhou, W.;Hong, H.P.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제4권6호
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    • pp.419-435
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    • 2004
  • The safety level of a structural system designed per code specifications can not be inferred directly from the reliability of members due to the load redistribution and nonlinear inelastic structural behavior. Comparison of the system and member reliability, which is scarce in the literature, is likely to indicate any possible inconsistency of design codes in providing safe and economical designs. Such a comparative study is presented in this study for moment resisting two-dimensional steel frames designed per AISC LRFD Specifications. The member reliability is evaluated using the resistance of the beam-column element and the elastic load effects that indirectly accounts for the second-order effects. The system reliability analysis is evaluated based on the collapse load factor obtained from a second-order inelastic analysis. Comparison of the system and member reliability is presented for several steel frames. Results suggest that the failure probability of the system is about one order of magnitude lower than that of the most critically loaded structural member, and that the difference between the system and member reliability depends on the structural configuration, degree of redundancy, and dead to live load ratio. Results also suggest that the system reliability is less sensitive to initial imperfections of the structure than the member reliability. Therefore, the system aspect should be incorporated in future design codes in order to achieve more reliability consistent designs.

보호시스템을 고려한 배전계통의 신뢰도 평가 (Distribution System Reliability Evaluation Considering Protective System)

  • 김세호;좌종근;최병윤;조시형;김정구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.1003-1005
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    • 1997
  • To evaluate the quality of a system or its ability to perform a required function, it is necessary to quantify the reliability of that system. The reliability techniques are based on the concept of expected failure rate and average-outage-duration method. For each load point, the expected failure rate, average outage duration and average annual outage time are evaluated. This paper deals with the reliability evaluation for distribution system including the protection relay system. In evaluating the reliability, it suggests a method for the analysis of protective system reliability, that provides a probabilistic measure of the success of the protective apparatus to perform its intended function. The analysis shows the dependency of success on the reliability of many components, and the way this reliability may be enhanced by redundancy.

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공급량 배분기법을 이용한 갈수기 병렬저수지 해석 (Parallel Reservoir Analysis of Drought Period by Water Supply Allocation Method)

  • 박기범;이순탁
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2006
  • In this study, an optimization technique was developed from the application of allocation rule. The results obtained from the water supply analysis and reliability indices analysis of Andong dam and Imha dam which are consist of parallel reservoir system are summarized as the followings; Allocation rule(C) is effective technique at the parallel reservoir system because results of the water supply analysis, storage analysis and reliability indices analysis is calculated reasonable results. Also, reliability indices analysis results are not sufficient occurrence based reliability or quantity based reliability. Thus reliability indices analysis are need as occurrence based reliability, quantity based reliability vulnerability, resilience, average water supply deficits and average storage. And water supply condition is better varying water supply condition than constant water supply condition.

교량구조의 체계 신뢰성 해석을 위한 중요도 표본추출 기법 (Importance Sampling Technique for System Reliability Analysis of Bridge Structures)

  • 조효남;김인섭
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1991년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 1991
  • This study is directed for the development of an efficient system-level Importance Sampling Technique for system reliability analysis of bridge structures Many methods have been proposed for structural reliability assessment purposes, such as the First-order Second-Moment Method, the Advanced Second-Moment Method, Computer Simulation, etc. The Importance Sampling Technique can be employed to obtain accurate estimates of the required probability with reasonable computation effort. Based on the observation and the results of application, it nay be concluded that Importance Sampling Method is a very effective tool for the system reliability analysis.

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원자력발전소 위험도 평가를 위한 인간신뢰도분석 (Human Reliability Analysis for Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 정원대;김재환
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2011
  • Objective: The aim of this paper is to introduce the activities and research trends of human reliability analysis including brief summary about contents and methods of the analysis. Background: Various approaches and methods have been suggested and used to assess human reliability in field of risk assessment of nuclear power plants. However, it has noticed that there is high uncertainty in human reliability analysis which results in a major bottleneck for risk-informed activities of nuclear power plants. Method: First and second generation methods of human reliability analysis are reviewed and a few representative methods are discussed from the risk assessment perspective. The strength and weakness of each method is also examined from the viewpoint of reliability analyst as a user. In addition, new research trends in this field are briefly summarized. Results: Human reliability analysis has become an important tool to support not only risk assessment but also system design of a centralized complex system. Conclusion: Human reliability analysis should be improved by active cooperation with researchers in field of human factors. Application: The trends of human reliability analysis explained in this paper will help researchers to find interest topics to which they could contribute.