• 제목/요약/키워드: System Curve

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머신러닝 기반 대학생 중도 탈락 예측 모델의 성능 비교 (Performance Comparison of Machine Learning based Prediction Models for University Students Dropout)

  • 정석봉;김두연
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2023
  • 전국 대학생의 중도 탈락 비율의 증가는 학생 개인 뿐만 아니라 대학과 사회에 심각한 부정적 영향을 끼친다. 본 연구에서는 중도 탈락이 예상되는 학생을 사전에 식별하기 위하여, 각 대학의 학사관리 시스템에서 손쉽게 얻을 수 있는 학적 데이터를 기반으로 머신러닝 분야의 결정트리, 랜덤 포레스트, 로지스틱 회귀 및 딥러닝 기반의 중도 탈락 예측 모델을 구축하고, 그 성능을 비교·분석하였다. 분석 결과 로지스틱 회귀 기반 예측 모델의 재현율이 가장 높았으나 f-1 및 auc 값이 낮은 한계를 보였고, 랜덤 포레스트 기반의 예측 모델의 경우 재현율을 제외한 다른 모든 지표에서 가장 우수한 성능을 보였다. 또한 예측 기간에 따른 예측 모델의 성능을 확인하기 위하여 예측 기간을 단기(1개 학기 이내), 중기(2개 학기 이내) 및 장기(3개 학기 이내)로 나누어 분석해 본 결과, 장기 예측 시 가장 높은 예측력을 보였다. 본 연구를 통해 각 대학은 중도 탈락이 예상되는 학생들을 조기에 식별하고, 이들에 대한 집중 관리를 통해 중도 탈락 비율을 줄이며 나아가 대학 재정 안정화에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Comparison of One- and Two-Region of Interest Strain Elastography Measurements in the Differential Diagnosis of Breast Masses

  • Hee Jeong Park;Sun Mi Kim;Bo La Yun;Mijung Jang;Bohyoung Kim;Soo Hyun Lee;Hye Shin Ahn
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.431-441
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    • 2020
  • Objective: To compare the diagnostic performance and interobserver variability of strain ratio obtained from one or two regions of interest (ROI) on breast elastography. Materials and Methods: From April to May 2016, 140 breast masses in 140 patients who underwent conventional ultrasonography (US) with strain elastography followed by US-guided biopsy were evaluated. Three experienced breast radiologists reviewed recorded US and elastography images, measured strain ratios, and categorized them according to the American College of Radiology breast imaging reporting and data system lexicon. Strain ratio was obtained using the 1-ROI method (one ROI drawn on the target mass), and the 2-ROI method (one ROI in the target mass and another in reference fat tissue). The diagnostic performance of the three radiologists among datasets and optimal cut-off values for strain ratios were evaluated. Interobserver variability of strain ratio for each ROI method was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficient values, Bland-Altman plots, and coefficients of variation. Results: Compared to US alone, US combined with the strain ratio measured using either ROI method significantly improved specificity, positive predictive value, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (all p values < 0.05). Strain ratio obtained using the 1-ROI method showed higher interobserver agreement between the three radiologists without a significant difference in AUC for differentiating breast cancer when the optimal strain ratio cut-off value was used, compared with the 2-ROI method (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.783, 0.693 vs. 0.715, and 0.691 vs. 0.686, respectively, all p values > 0.05). Conclusion: Strain ratios obtained using the 1-ROI method showed higher interobserver agreement without a significant difference in AUC, compared to those obtained using the 2-ROI method. Considering that the 1-ROI method can reduce performers' efforts, it could have an important role in improving the diagnostic performance of breast US by enabling consistent management of breast lesions.

Accuracy of Digital Breast Tomosynthesis for Detecting Breast Cancer in the Diagnostic Setting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Min Jung Ko;Dong A Park;Sung Hyun Kim;Eun Sook Ko;Kyung Hwan Shin;Woosung Lim;Beom Seok Kwak;Jung Min Chang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권8호
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    • pp.1240-1252
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To compare the accuracy for detecting breast cancer in the diagnostic setting between the use of digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT), defined as DBT alone or combined DBT and digital mammography (DM), and the use of DM alone through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Materials and Methods: Ovid-MEDLINE, Ovid-Embase, Cochrane Library and five Korean local databases were searched for articles published until March 25, 2020. We selected studies that reported diagnostic accuracy in women who were recalled after screening or symptomatic. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A bivariate random effects model was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity. We compared the diagnostic accuracy between DBT and DM alone using meta-regression and subgroup analyses by modality of intervention, country, existence of calcifications, breast density, Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System category threshold, study design, protocol for participant sampling, sample size, reason for diagnostic examination, and number of readers who interpreted the studies. Results: Twenty studies (n = 44513) that compared DBT and DM alone were included. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-0.93) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84-0.94), respectively, for DBT, which were higher than 0.76 (95% CI 0.68-0.83) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.73-0.89), respectively, for DM alone (p < 0.001). The area under the summary receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.95 (95% CI 0.93-0.97) for DBT and 0.86 (95% CI 0.82-0.88) for DM alone. The higher sensitivity and specificity of DBT than DM alone were consistently noted in most subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Conclusion: Use of DBT was more accurate than DM alone for the diagnosis of breast cancer. Women with clinical symptoms or abnormal screening findings could be more effectively evaluated for breast cancer using DBT, which has a superior diagnostic performance compared to DM alone.

Improving the Performance of Radiologists Using Artificial Intelligence-Based Detection Support Software for Mammography: A Multi-Reader Study

  • Jeong Hoon Lee;Ki Hwan Kim;Eun Hye Lee;Jong Seok Ahn;Jung Kyu Ryu;Young Mi Park;Gi Won Shin;Young Joong Kim;Hye Young Choi
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.505-516
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    • 2022
  • Objective: To evaluate whether artificial intelligence (AI) for detecting breast cancer on mammography can improve the performance and time efficiency of radiologists reading mammograms. Materials and Methods: A commercial deep learning-based software for mammography was validated using external data collected from 200 patients, 100 each with and without breast cancer (40 with benign lesions and 60 without lesions) from one hospital. Ten readers, including five breast specialist radiologists (BSRs) and five general radiologists (GRs), assessed all mammography images using a seven-point scale to rate the likelihood of malignancy in two sessions, with and without the aid of the AI-based software, and the reading time was automatically recorded using a web-based reporting system. Two reading sessions were conducted with a two-month washout period in between. Differences in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, and reading time between reading with and without AI were analyzed, accounting for data clustering by readers when indicated. Results: The AUROC of the AI alone, BSR (average across five readers), and GR (average across five readers) groups was 0.915 (95% confidence interval, 0.876-0.954), 0.813 (0.756-0.870), and 0.684 (0.616-0.752), respectively. With AI assistance, the AUROC significantly increased to 0.884 (0.840-0.928) and 0.833 (0.779-0.887) in the BSR and GR groups, respectively (p = 0.007 and p < 0.001, respectively). Sensitivity was improved by AI assistance in both groups (74.6% vs. 88.6% in BSR, p < 0.001; 52.1% vs. 79.4% in GR, p < 0.001), but the specificity did not differ significantly (66.6% vs. 66.4% in BSR, p = 0.238; 70.8% vs. 70.0% in GR, p = 0.689). The average reading time pooled across readers was significantly decreased by AI assistance for BSRs (82.73 vs. 73.04 seconds, p < 0.001) but increased in GRs (35.44 vs. 42.52 seconds, p < 0.001). Conclusion: AI-based software improved the performance of radiologists regardless of their experience and affected the reading time.

Use of Artificial Intelligence for Reducing Unnecessary Recalls at Screening Mammography: A Simulation Study

  • Yeon Soo Kim;Myoung-jin Jang;Su Hyun Lee;Soo-Yeon Kim;Su Min Ha;Bo Ra Kwon;Woo Kyung Moon;Jung Min Chang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권12호
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    • pp.1241-1250
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    • 2022
  • Objective: To conduct a simulation study to determine whether artificial intelligence (AI)-aided mammography reading can reduce unnecessary recalls while maintaining cancer detection ability in women recalled after mammography screening. Materials and Methods: A retrospective reader study was performed by screening mammographies of 793 women (mean age ± standard deviation, 50 ± 9 years) recalled to obtain supplemental mammographic views regarding screening mammography-detected abnormalities between January 2016 and December 2019 at two screening centers. Initial screening mammography examinations were interpreted by three dedicated breast radiologists sequentially, case by case, with and without AI aid, in a single session. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and recall rate for breast cancer diagnosis were obtained and compared between the two reading modes. Results: Fifty-four mammograms with cancer (35 invasive cancers and 19 ductal carcinomas in situ) and 739 mammograms with benign or negative findings were included. The reader-averaged AUC improved after AI aid, from 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.85) to 0.89 (95% CI, 0.85-0.94) (p < 0.001). The reader-averaged specificities before and after AI aid were 41.9% (95% CI, 39.3%-44.5%) and 53.9% (95% CI, 50.9%-56.9%), respectively (p < 0.001). The reader-averaged sensitivity was not statistically different between AI-unaided and AI-aided readings: 89.5% (95% CI, 83.1%-95.9%) vs. 92.6% (95% CI, 86.2%-99.0%) (p = 0.053), although the sensitivities of the least experienced radiologists before and after AI aid were 79.6% (43 of 54 [95% CI, 66.5%-89.4%]) and 90.7% (49 of 54 [95% CI, 79.7%-96.9%]), respectively (p = 0.031). With AI aid, the reader-averaged recall rate decreased by from 60.4% (95% CI, 57.8%-62.9%) to 49.5% (95% CI, 46.5%-52.4%) (p < 0.001). Conclusion: AI-aided reading reduced the number of recalls and improved the diagnostic performance in our simulation using women initially recalled for supplemental mammographic views after mammography screening.

Development and Validation of MRI-Based Radiomics Models for Diagnosing Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy

  • Kyung Min Kim;Heewon Hwang;Beomseok Sohn;Kisung Park;Kyunghwa Han;Sung Soo Ahn;Wonwoo Lee;Min Kyung Chu;Kyoung Heo;Seung-Koo Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권12호
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    • pp.1281-1289
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    • 2022
  • Objective: Radiomic modeling using multiple regions of interest in MRI of the brain to diagnose juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) has not yet been investigated. This study aimed to develop and validate radiomics prediction models to distinguish patients with JME from healthy controls (HCs), and to evaluate the feasibility of a radiomics approach using MRI for diagnosing JME. Materials and Methods: A total of 97 JME patients (25.6 ± 8.5 years; female, 45.5%) and 32 HCs (28.9 ± 11.4 years; female, 50.0%) were randomly split (7:3 ratio) into a training (n = 90) and a test set (n = 39) group. Radiomic features were extracted from 22 regions of interest in the brain using the T1-weighted MRI based on clinical evidence. Predictive models were trained using seven modeling methods, including a light gradient boosting machine, support vector classifier, random forest, logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, gradient boosting machine, and decision tree, with radiomics features in the training set. The performance of the models was validated and compared to the test set. The model with the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was chosen, and important features in the model were identified. Results: The seven tested radiomics models, including light gradient boosting machine, support vector classifier, random forest, logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, gradient boosting machine, and decision tree, showed AUROC values of 0.817, 0.807, 0.783, 0.779, 0.767, 0.762, and 0.672, respectively. The light gradient boosting machine with the highest AUROC, albeit without statistically significant differences from the other models in pairwise comparisons, had accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 scores of 0.795, 0.818, 0.931, and 0.871, respectively. Radiomic features, including the putamen and ventral diencephalon, were ranked as the most important for suggesting JME. Conclusion: Radiomic models using MRI were able to differentiate JME from HCs.

A novel method for determining dose distribution on panoramic reconstruction computed tomography images from radiotherapy computed tomography

  • Hiroyuki Okamoto;Madoka Sakuramachi;Wakako Yatsuoka;Takao Ueno;Kouji Katsura;Naoya Murakami;Satoshi Nakamura;Kotaro Iijima;Takahito Chiba;Hiroki Nakayama;Yasunori Shuto;Yuki Takano;Yuta Kobayashi;Hironori Kishida;Yuka Urago;Masato Nishitani;Shuka Nishina;Koushin Arai;Hiroshi Igaki
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) who undergo dental procedures during radiotherapy (RT) face an increased risk of developing osteoradionecrosis (ORN). Accordingly, new tools must be developed to extract critical information regarding the dose delivered to the teeth and mandible. This article proposes a novel approach for visualizing 3-dimensional planned dose distributions on panoramic reconstruction computed tomography (pCT) images. Materials and Methods: Four patients with HNC who underwent volumetric modulated arc therapy were included. One patient experienced ORN and required the extraction of teeth after RT. In the study approach, the dental arch curve (DAC) was defined using an open-source platform. Subsequently, pCT images and dose distributions were generated based on the new coordinate system. All teeth and mandibles were delineated on both the original CT and pCT images. To evaluate the consistency of dose metrics, the Mann-Whitney U test and Student t-test were employed. Results: A total of 61 teeth and 4 mandibles were evaluated. The correlation coefficient between the 2 methods was 0.999, and no statistically significant difference was observed (P>0.05). This method facilitated a straightforward and intuitive understanding of the delivered dose. In 1 patient, ORN corresponded to the region of the root and the gum receiving a high dosage (approximately 70 Gy). Conclusion: The proposed method particularly benefits dentists involved in the management of patients with HNC. It enables the visualization of a 3-dimensional dose distribution in the teeth and mandible on pCT, enhancing the understanding of the dose delivered during RT.

계측결과에 의한 절토사면의 거동 및 파괴예측 (Failure Prediction and Behavior of Cut-Slope based on Measured Data)

  • 장서용;한희수;김종렬;마봉덕
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2006
  • 사면거동 및 파괴를 분석하기 위하여, 일반적으로 암반사면에는 Polynomial model, 토사사면에는 Growth model을 별도로 적용하여 사용하여 왔다. 이 기법은 사면의 파괴예측보다 사면의 누적변위를 묘사하기 위한 그래프 형태 위주이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 사면의 거동보다는 파괴 예측에 초점을 맞추어 일반적으로 사용되는 두 모델을 병합하여 파괴예측을 위한 Asymptote(점근선)과 누적변위량도 같이 묘사할 수 있는 3차 방정식 모델 (3-degree polynomial model)로 단일화 할 것을 제안하여 현장 계측 data를 분석하였다. 국도 절취 사면부인 단양군 고수재 사면과 영덕군 축산면에 위치한 영덕 사면에 본 해석 모델을 적용하였다. 고수재는 토사사면으로 Growth model에 다른 거동을 나타내었고, 영덕사면은 Polynomial model에 따른 거동을 나타내었다. 분석결과, Polynomial model 과 Growth model로 구분된 해석 모델 형태를 $y=ax^3+bx^2+cx+d$ 의 형태를 가지는 3차 방정식을 사용하면, 하나의 모델로 사면의 거동 및 파괴를 해석할 수 있으며, 그 거동 해석 및 파괴 예측능력이 더 우수하다는 것이 증명되었다. Polynomial model의 경우, 방정식의 차수를 증가시켜도, 그래프의 $R^2$값과 형태가 유사함을 알 수 있었다.

효율적인 양식 모니터링을 향하여: YOLOv7 및 SORT를 사용한 실시간 물고기 감지 및 추적을 위한 지상 기반 카메라 구현 (Towards Efficient Aquaculture Monitoring: Ground-Based Camera Implementation for Real-Time Fish Detection and Tracking with YOLOv7 and SORT)

  • 노태경;하상현;김기환;강영진;정석찬
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2023
  • 현재 수산업 종사자의 78%를 차지하고 있는 인력 고령화에 따른 노동력 부족 문제를 해결하기 위해 객체 검출 및 추적 알고리즘을 주요 내용으로 하는 스마트 양식 기술에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 이러한 기술들은 어류의 크기 분석, 행동 패턴 예측 등의 작업이 가능하여 실시간 모니터링 및 자동화 시스템의 구축이 용이할 것으로 기대된다. 본 연구에서는 양식 시설 외부에 설치된 카메라로부터 수집된 영상 데이터를 기반으로 어류 검출 및 추적 알고리즘을 활용하였다. 수중 조건, 암모니아, pH 농도에 따른 카메라 부식 문제로 인한 높은 유지보수 비용 문제를 극복하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 어류 객체 검출을 위해 YOLOv7 모델을 활용한 실시간 모니터링 시스템의 성능을 분석하였고, 어류의 움직임을 추적하기 위해 SORT 알고리즘을 활용하였다. YOLOv7 훈련 결과 PR Curve 기반의 Recall과 Precision 값의 상충 관계를 밝혀내 조명에 의한 물줄기와 그림자의 오검출을 최소화하였음을 알 수 있다. 어류 추적을 위해 우리는 재식별화를 통해 효과적인 추적을 확인하였다. 이러한 연구 결과는 스마트 양식 산업의 운영 효율성을 높이고 양식 시설의 어류 관리 개선을 용이하게 할 것으로 기대된다.

구조물의 진동 제어를 위한 압착식 MR 감쇠기의 동적 모델링 (Dynamic Modeling of Semi-active Squeeze Mode MR Damper for Structural Vibration Control)

  • 허광희;전준용
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제13권2호통권54호
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    • pp.172-180
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    • 2009
  • 일반적으로 MR 감쇠기를 이용한 준능동 제어 시스템을 구축하기 위해서는 감쇠장치의 동적모델이 요구된다. 여기서, 동적모델링은 감쇠장치의 발생 감쇠력 및 거동 성향 등을 수치적으로 예측하는 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 MR 감쇠기의 동적거동을 실무적인 관점에서 합리적으로 모델링하기 위하여 다양한 동적모델 중 Power 모델 및 Bingham 모델을 적용해 MR 감쇠기의 동적거동특성을 예측 평가하였다. 이때 활용한 MR 감쇠기의 실험결과는 압착식 형태로 개발된 MR 감쇠기를 대상으로 동하중 실험을 수행하여 획득하였으며, 힘-변위 이력곡선으로부터 준능동 제어장치로의 타당성을 확인하였다. 또한, 각 동적모델의 예측성능을 평가하기 위하여 우선 실험결과를 이용해 각 동적모델 별 모델변수를 규명하였고, 이를 바탕으로 힘-속도 관계곡선 및 예측된 발생 감쇠력의 오차율을 산출하여 개발된 압착식 MR 감쇠기의 실험결과와 상호 비교 평가하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구에서 개발한 압착식 MR 감쇠기는 준능동 제어장치로 활용 가능함을 확인하였고, 평가된 두 가지 동적모델은 모두 우수한 예측성능을 보임으로써 본 연구에서 개발한 압착식 MR 감쇠기는 물론 MR유체를 이용한 다양한 형태의 감쇠장치의 거동특성을 수치적으로 예측하기 위하여 간단히 활용될 수 있는 가능성을 제시하였다.