• Title/Summary/Keyword: Survival Model

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Bayesian Survival Analysis of High-Dimensional Microarray Data for Mantle Cell Lymphoma Patients

  • Moslemi, Azam;Mahjub, Hossein;Saidijam, Massoud;Poorolajal, Jalal;Soltanian, Ali Reza
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2016
  • Background: Survival time of lymphoma patients can be estimated with the help of microarray technology. In this study, with the use of iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) method, survival time of Mantle Cell Lymphoma patients (MCL) was estimated and in reference to the findings, patients were divided into two high-risk and low-risk groups. Materials and Methods: In this study, gene expression data of MCL patients were used in order to select a subset of genes for survival analysis with microarray data, using the iterative BMA method. To evaluate the performance of the method, patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk based on their scores. Performance prediction was investigated using the log-rank test. The bioconductor package "iterativeBMAsurv" was applied with R statistical software for classification and survival analysis. Results: In this study, 25 genes associated with survival for MCL patients were identified across 132 selected models. The maximum likelihood estimate coefficients of the selected genes and the posterior probabilities of the selected models were obtained from training data. Using this method, patients could be separated into high-risk and low-risk groups with high significance (p<0.001). Conclusions: The iterative BMA algorithm has high precision and ability for survival analysis. This method is capable of identifying a few predictive variables associated with survival, among many variables in a set of microarray data. Therefore, it can be used as a low-cost diagnostic tool in clinical research.

Survival Factors and Survival Rates of Foreign-invested Companies (외국인투자기업 생존율 및 영향요인)

  • Seong, Kil-Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to analyze firm survival rate and impact factors of survival of Foreign-invested Companies in Korea which is between 2006 and 2017. An empirical analysis of the survival factors of firms used explanatory variables such as characteristics of the and 3 firm dummy and 2 firm factors, financial variables of 3 profitability and 3 stability factors. The Kaplan-Meier method was chosen to perform analyses on the survival rates, Cox Proportional Hazard Model took to conduct on the impact factors. As a result of the impact factors of Foreign-invested Companies survival, Ownership (OS), Labour (NE ) of characteristics of the firm had positive effects. The Gross Sales Profit (GSP), Net Profit (NP ) and Operating Profit (OP ) of the financial characteristics had a positive effect. Additional Asset (LA ) had positive effects and Capital (LC), Debt (LB ) had a negative effect. Other factors did not produce significant results.

Regression Quantile Estimations on Censored Survival Data

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2002
  • In the case of multiple survival times which might be censored at each covariate vector, we study the regression quantile estimations in this paper. The estimations are based on the empirical distribution functions of the censored times and the sample quantiles of the observed survival times at each covariate vector and the weighted least square method is applied for the estimation of the regression quantile. The estimators are shown to be asymptotically normally distributed under some regularity conditions.

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Factors Affecting Survival in Patients with Colorectal Cancer in Shiraz, Iran

  • Zare-Bandamiri, Mohammad;Khanjani, Narges;Jahani, Yunes;Mohammadianpanah, Mohammad
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.159-163
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    • 2016
  • Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer in the world, and the fourth in Iran in both genders. The aim of this study was to find predictive factors for CRC survival. Materials and Methods: Medical records of 570 patients referred to the radiotherapy oncology department of Shiraz Namazi hospital from 2005 to 2010 were retrospectively analysed. Data were collected by reviewing medical records, and by telephone interviews with patients. Survival analysis was performed using the Cox's regression model with survival probability estimated with Kaplan-Meier curve. The log-rank test was used to compare survival between strata. Data was analyzed with Stata 12. Results: The five-year survival rate and the mean survival time after cancer diagnosis were 58.5% and $67{\pm}4months$. On multivariate analysis, age of diagnosis, disease stage and primary tumor site, lymphovascular invasion and type of treatment (in colon cancer) were significant factors for survival. Conclusions: Age of diagnosis and type of treatment (adjuvant therapy in patients with colon cancer) were two modifiable factors related to survival of CRC patients. Therefore earlier diagnosis might help increase survival.

V-t Characteristics and Survival Probability of Turn-to-Turn Models for HTS Transformer (고온초전도 변압기를 위한 턴간 모델의 V-t 특성 및 생존 확률)

  • Baek, Seung-Myeong;Cheon, Hyeon-Gweon;Nguyen, Van-Dung;Seok, Bok-Yeol;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.356-362
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    • 2004
  • Using multi wrapped copper by polyimide film for HTS transformer, the breakdown and V-t characteristics of two type models for turn-to-turn, one is point contact model, the other is surface contact model, were investigated under ac and impulse voltage at 77 K. A material that is Polyimide film (Kapton) 0.025 mm thickness is used for multi wrapping of the electrode. Statistical analysis of the results using Weibull distribution to examine the wrapping number effects on V-t characteristics under at voltage as well as breakdown voltage under ac and impulse voltage in $LN_2$ was carried. Also, survival analysis was performed according to the Kaplan-Meier method. The breakdown voltages for surface contact model are lower than that of the point contact model, because the contact area of surface contact model is wider than that of point contact model. At the same time, the shape parameter of the point contact model is a little bit larger than the of the surface contact model. The time to breakdown tn is decreased as the applied voltage is increased, and the lifetime indices slightly are increased as the number of layers is increased. According to the increasing applied voltage and decreasing wrapping number, the survival probability is increased.

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Effect of Ginkgo biloba extract on the survival rate in lipopolysaccharide-induced sepsis model mice (Lipopolysaccharide로 유도한 패혈증 모델에서 Ginkgo biloba extract 투여가 생존율에 미치는 영향)

  • Rhee, Ki-Jong;Kim, Hyeon-Cheol;Jung, Bae-Dong
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Service
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.191-195
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    • 2012
  • Accumulated evidence indicate that Ginkgo biloba extract (EGb 761) acts as an antioxidant and scavenger of free radicals as well as influencing apoptotis. Earlier studies have employed the inflammatory agent lipopolysaccharide (LPS) to induce severe sepsis. In the present study, we examined whether the intraperitoneal injection of EGb 761 increases the survival rate of mice in the LPS-induced severe sepsis model. The survival rate was significantly increased by 30% in mice administered with 100 mg/kg of EGb 761 but not in mice administered with 50 mg/kg EGb 761. In addition, pre-treatment with EGb 761 increased the survival rate (30%) but post-treatment with EGb 761 did not. These results suggest that EGb 761 may have clinical potential in preventing sepsis induced mortality.

The Effect of Physical Aspects of Quality Improvement in Medical Services on Premature Infants' Survival Rate (물리적 의료서비스 품질 개선이 미숙아 생존율에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Jin;Jeong, Kwan-Yong;Park, Ji-Yun
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.73-93
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    • 2005
  • This paper on an experiment, using System Dynamics, on the affect of increase in number of beds and medical instruments used for the care of premature infants, which constitute the physical requirements in quality of medical services, on changes in the survival rate of premature in ants that leads to demographic changes of Newborn infants. The model has four sectors: take-in capacity, survival rate of premature infants, demographics without newborn infants and demographics with newborn infants. The model simulates the changes in demographics of the newborn infants from 2002 to 2022. The study results show that the survival rate of premature infants can be increased by improving the physical aspects in the quality of medical services. An average of 1,900 premature infants can survive as a result of the physical quality improvements in medical services, adding up to an increase of 37,300 newborn infants by the year 2022.

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Imaging-Based Versus Pathologic Survival Stratifications of Diffuse Glioma According to the 2021 WHO Classification System

  • So Jeong Lee;Ji Eun Park;Seo Young Park;Young-Hoon Kim;Chang Ki Hong;Jeong Hoon Kim;Ho Sung Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.772-783
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    • 2023
  • Objective: Imaging-based survival stratification of patients with gliomas is important for their management, and the 2021 WHO classification system must be clinically tested. The aim of this study was to compare integrative imaging- and pathology-based methods for survival stratification of patients with diffuse glioma. Materials and Methods: This study included diffuse glioma cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (training set: 141 patients) and Asan Medical Center (validation set: 131 patients). Two neuroradiologists analyzed presurgical CT and MRI to assign gliomas to five imaging-based risk subgroups (1 to 5) according to well-known imaging phenotypes (e.g., T2/FLAIR mismatch) and recategorized them into three imaging-based risk groups, according to the 2021 WHO classification: group 1 (corresponding to risk subgroup 1, indicating oligodendroglioma, isocitrate dehydrogenase [IDH]-mutant, and 1p19q-codeleted), group 2 (risk subgroups 2 and 3, indicating astrocytoma, IDH-mutant), and group 3 (risk subgroups 4 and 5, indicating glioblastoma, IDHwt). The progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated for each imaging risk group, subgroup, and pathological diagnosis. Time-dependent area-under-the receiver operating characteristic analysis (AUC) was used to compare the performance between imaging-based and pathology-based survival model. Results: Both OS and PFS were stratified according to the five imaging-based risk subgroups (P < 0.001) and three imaging-based risk groups (P < 0.001). The three imaging-based groups showed high performance in predicting PFS at one-year (AUC, 0.787) and five-years (AUC, 0.823), which was similar to that of the pathology-based prediction of PFS (AUC of 0.785 and 0.837). Combined with clinical predictors, the performance of the imaging-based survival model for 1- and 3-year PFS (AUC 0.813 and 0.921) was similar to that of the pathology-based survival model (AUC 0.839 and 0.889). Conclusion: Imaging-based survival stratification according to the 2021 WHO classification demonstrated a performance similar to that of pathology-based survival stratification, especially in predicting PFS.

Survival Probability of the Patients with Cerebral Vascular Disease Who Visited an Oriental Hospital (모 한방병원에 내원한 뇌혈관 질환자들의 예후)

  • 김지용;서운교
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2002
  • Objective: This study was conducted to know the survival probability of the patients with cerebrovascular disease. Method: 1,341 patients who were suspected of having cerebrovascular disease clinically were investigated by telephone and NHIC (National Health Insurance Corporation) data. Conclusion: 1. The study population was grouped as 'Negative Brain CT findings' (11.8%), 'Hemorrhage' (12.4%) and 'Infarction' (75.7%). 2. The survival probabilities calculated by the Life Table method were statistically significant among brain CT finding groups (P<0.01). 3. The mean survival time calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method were also statistically significant among brain CT finding groups (P<0.01). 4. The result of Cox regression model was that sex (OR=0.7), age (OR=1.07), diabetes mellitus (OR=1.38), and heart disease (OR=1.69) affected the survival of the patients with cerebrovascular disease.

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ESTIMATION AND SENSITIVITY OF GOMPERTZ PARAMETERS WITH MORTALITY DECELERATION RATE

  • PITCHAIMANI M.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.18 no.1_2
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2005
  • Studies in the evolutionary biology of aging require good estimates of the age-dependent mortality rate coefficient (one of the Gompertz parameters). In this paper we introduce an alternative algorithm for estimating this parameter. And we discuss the sensitivity of the estimates to changes in the other model parameters.