• Title/Summary/Keyword: Supervised prediction

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Forecasting of Short Term Photovoltaic Generation by Various Input Model in Supervised Learning (지도학습에서 다양한 입력 모델에 의한 초단기 태양광 발전 예측)

  • Jang, Jin-Hyuk;Shin, Dong-Ha;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.478-484
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    • 2018
  • This study predicts solar radiation, solar radiation, and solar power generation using hourly weather data such as temperature, precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, humidity, cloudiness, sunshine and solar radiation. I/O pattern in supervised learning is the most important factor in prediction, but it must be determined by repeated experiments because humans have to decide. This study proposed four input and output patterns for solar and sunrise prediction. In addition, we predicted solar power generation using the predicted solar and solar radiation data and power generation data of Youngam solar power plant in Jeollanamdo. As a experiment result, the model 4 showed the best prediction results in the sunshine and solar radiation prediction, and the RMSE of sunshine was 1.5 times and the sunshine RMSE was 3 times less than that of model 1. As a experiment result of solar power generation prediction, the best prediction result was obtained for model 4 as well as sunshine and solar radiation, and the RMSE was reduced by 2.7 times less than that of model 1.

Prediction Technique of Energy Consumption based on Reinforcement Learning in Microgrids (마이크로그리드에서 강화학습 기반 에너지 사용량 예측 기법)

  • Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Jiyoung;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Soohwan;Lee, Heung-Jae;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the artificial intelligence-based approach for short-term energy consumption prediction. In this paper, we employ the reinforcement learning algorithms to improve the limitation of the supervised learning algorithms which usually utilize to the short-term energy consumption prediction technologies. The supervised learning algorithm-based approaches have high complexity because the approaches require contextual information as well as energy consumption data for sufficient performance. We propose a deep reinforcement learning algorithm based on multi-agent to predict energy consumption only with energy consumption data for improving the complexity of data and learning models. The proposed scheme is simulated using public energy consumption data and confirmed the performance. The proposed scheme can predict a similar value to the actual value except for the outlier data.

A performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping (조기학습정지를 이용한 원전 SG세관 결함크기 예측 신경회로망의 성능 향상)

  • Jo, Nam-Hoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.11
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    • pp.2095-2101
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider a performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping. Usually, neural network is trained until MSE becomes less than a prescribed error goal. The smaller the error goal, the greater the prediction performance for the trained data. However, as the error goal is decreased, an over fitting is likely to start during supervised training of a neural network, which usually deteriorates the generalization performance. We propose that, for the prediction of an axisymmetric defect size, early stopping can be used to avoid the over-fitting. Through various experiments on the axisymmetric defect samples, we found that the difference bet ween the prediction error of neural network based on early stopping and that of ideal neural network is reasonably small. This indicates that the error goal used for neural network training for the prediction of defect size can be efficiently selected by early stopping.

Sea Ice Type Classification with Optical Remote Sensing Data (광학영상에서의 해빙종류 분류 연구)

  • Chi, Junhwa;Kim, Hyun-cheol
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_2
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    • pp.1239-1249
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    • 2018
  • Optical remote sensing sensors provide visually more familiar images than radar images. However, it is difficult to discriminate sea ice types in optical images using spectral information based machine learning algorithms. This study addresses two topics. First, we propose a semantic segmentation which is a part of the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms to identify ice types by learning hierarchical and spatial features of sea ice. Second, we propose a new approach by combining of semi-supervised and active learning to obtain accurate and meaningful labels from unlabeled or unseen images to improve the performance of supervised classification for multiple images. Therefore, we successfully added new labels from unlabeled data to automatically update the semantic segmentation model. This should be noted that an operational system to generate ice type products from optical remote sensing data may be possible in the near future.

Explanation of Influence Variables and Development of Tight Oil Productivity Prediction Model by Production Period using XAI Algorithm (XAI를 활용한 생산기간에 따른 치밀오일 생산성 예측 모델 개발 및 영향변수 설명)

  • Han, Dong-kwon;An, Yu-bin;Kwon, Sun-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.484-487
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    • 2022
  • This study suggests an XAI-based machine learning method to predict the productivity of tight oil reservoirs according to the production period. The XAI algorithm refers to interpretable artificial intelligence and provides the basis for the predicted result and the validity of the derivation process. In this study, we proposed a supervised learning model that predicts productivity in the early and late stages of production after performing data preprocessing based on field data. and then based on the model results, the factors affecting the productivity prediction model were analyzed using XAI.

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Developing a Multiclass Classification and Intelligent Matching System for Cold Rolled Steel Wire using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 냉간압조용 선재의 다중 분류 및 지능형 매칭 시스템 개발)

  • K.W. Lee;D.K. Lee;Y.J. Kwon;K.H, Cho;S.S. Park;K.S. Cho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we present a system for identifying equivalent grades of standardized wire rod steel based on alloy composition using machine learning techniques. The system comprises two models, one based on a supervised multi-class classification algorithm and the other based on unsupervised autoencoder algorithm. Our evaluation showed that the supervised model exhibited superior performance in terms of prediction stability and reliability of prediction results. This system provides a useful tool for non-experts seeking similar grades of steel based on alloy composition.

Comparison and analysis of prediction performance of fine particulate matter(PM2.5) based on deep learning algorithm (딥러닝 알고리즘 기반의 초미세먼지(PM2.5) 예측 성능 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Younghee;Chang, Kwanjong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2021
  • This study develops an artificial intelligence prediction system for Fine particulate Matter(PM2.5) based on the deep learning algorithm GAN model. The experimental data are closely related to the changes in temperature, humidity, wind speed, and atmospheric pressure generated by the time series axis and the concentration of air pollutants such as SO2, CO, O3, NO2, and PM10. Due to the characteristics of the data, since the concentration at the current time is affected by the concentration at the previous time, a predictive model for recursive supervised learning was applied. For comparative analysis of the accuracy of the existing models, CNN and LSTM, the difference between observation value and prediction value was analyzed and visualized. As a result of performance analysis, it was confirmed that the proposed GAN improved to 15.8%, 10.9%, and 5.5% in the evaluation items RMSE, MAPE, and IOA compared to LSTM, respectively.

Optimal Design of Semi-Active Mid-Story Isolation System using Supervised Learning and Reinforcement Learning (지도학습과 강화학습을 이용한 준능동 중간층면진시스템의 최적설계)

  • Kang, Joo-Won;Kim, Hyun-Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2021
  • A mid-story isolation system was proposed for seismic response reduction of high-rise buildings and presented good control performance. Control performance of a mid-story isolation system was enhanced by introducing semi-active control devices into isolation systems. Seismic response reduction capacity of a semi-active mid-story isolation system mainly depends on effect of control algorithm. AI(Artificial Intelligence)-based control algorithm was developed for control of a semi-active mid-story isolation system in this study. For this research, an practical structure of Shiodome Sumitomo building in Japan which has a mid-story isolation system was used as an example structure. An MR (magnetorheological) damper was used to make a semi-active mid-story isolation system in example model. In numerical simulation, seismic response prediction model was generated by one of supervised learning model, i.e. an RNN (Recurrent Neural Network). Deep Q-network (DQN) out of reinforcement learning algorithms was employed to develop control algorithm The numerical simulation results presented that the DQN algorithm can effectively control a semi-active mid-story isolation system resulting in successful reduction of seismic responses.

Identifying Temporal Pattern Clusters to Predict Events in Time Series

  • Heesoo Hwang
    • KIEE International Transaction on Systems and Control
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    • v.2D no.2
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a method for identifying temporal pattern clusters to predict events in time series. Instead of predicting future values of the time series, the proposed method forecasts specific events that may be arbitrarily defined by the user. The prediction is defined by an event characterization function, which is the target of prediction. The events are predicted when the time series belong to temporal pattern clusters. To identify the optimal temporal pattern clusters, fuzzy goal programming is formulated to combine multiple objectives and solved by an adaptive differential evolution technique that can overcome the sensitivity problem of control parameters in conventional differential evolution. To evaluate the prediction method, five test examples are considered. The adaptive differential evolution is also tested for twelve optimization problems.

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A Novel Feature Selection Approach to Classify Breast Cancer Drug using Optimized Grey Wolf Algorithm

  • Shobana, G.;Priya, N.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.258-270
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    • 2022
  • Cancer has become a common disease for the past two decades throughout the globe and there is significant increase of cancer among women. Breast cancer and ovarian cancers are more prevalent among women. Majority of the patients approach the physicians only during their final stage of the disease. Early diagnosis of cancer remains a great challenge for the researchers. Although several drugs are being synthesized very often, their multi-benefits are less investigated. With millions of drugs synthesized and their data are accessible through open repositories. Drug repurposing can be done using machine learning techniques. We propose a feature selection technique in this paper, which is novel that generates multiple populations for the grey wolf algorithm and classifies breast cancer drugs efficiently. Leukemia drug dataset is also investigated and Multilayer perceptron achieved 96% prediction accuracy. Three supervised machine learning algorithms namely Random Forest classifier, Multilayer Perceptron and Support Vector Machine models were applied and Multilayer perceptron had higher accuracy rate of 97.7% for breast cancer drug classification.