• Title/Summary/Keyword: Success Run Test

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Success Run Test for Reliability Demonstration of 1100℃ Gas Turbine Blades (1100℃급 가스터빈 동익의 무고장시험을 통한 HCF 신뢰성 평가)

  • Lee, Dooyoung;Goo, Jaeryang;Kim, Doosoo;Kim, Donghwan
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 2017
  • The reliability on high cycle fatigue damage mechanism for new blades manufactured by reverse-engineering is demonstrated by success-run test. Turbine blades always experience various dynamic loads in turbine operation, as well as being in resonance condition and forced by fluid-induced vibrations mostly during run-up/down, which may accumulate high cycle damage to the blades. The accidents caused by blade failure especially incur not only a lot of troubles to the machinery but also huge financial losses. Therefore it is necessary to verify the reliability of blades in advance for the safe use. The success run test for the reliability demonstration is designed and performed for the new blades using the technique known as resonant high cycle fatigue testing.

A Study on the Long-Run Consumption Risk in Foreign Currency Risk Premia (장기소비 위험을 이용한 통화포트폴리오 수익률에 관한 연구)

  • Liu, Won-Suk;Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to suggest a risk factor that significantly explains foreign currency risk premia. In recent years, some studies have found that the performance of the simultaneous consumption risk model improves considerably when tested on foreign currency portfolios, which are constructed based on the international interest rates differentials. However, this paper focuses on the long-run consumption risk factor. In our empirical research, we found that the real excess returns of high interest rate currency portfolios depreciate on average, when the future American long-run consumption growth rate appears low. This makes the high interest rate currency portfolios have relatively high risk premia. Meanwhile, the real excess returns of low interest rate currency portfolios appreciate on average, under the same conditions, which results in relatively low risk premia for these portfolios. Therefore, this long-run consumption risk factor might explain why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential, and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Research design, data, methodology - In our explanation, we provide new evidence on the success of long-run consumption risks in currency risk premia by focusing on the long-run consumption risks borne by American representative investors. To uncover the hidden link between exchange rates and long-run consumption growth, we set the eight currency portfolios as our basic assets, which have been built based on the foreign interest rates of eighty countries. As these eight currency portfolios are rebalanced every year, the first group always contains the lowest interest rate currencies, and the last group contains the highest interest rate currencies. Against these basic eight currency portfolios, we estimate the long-run consumption risk model. We use recursive utility framework and the stochastic discount factor that depends on the present value of expected future consumption growth rates. We find that our model is optimized in the two-year period of constructing the durable consumption expectation factor. Our main results surprisingly surpass the performance of the existing benchmark simultaneous consumption model in terms of R2, relatively risk aversion coefficient γ, and p-value of J-test. Results - The performance of our model is superior. R2, relatively risk aversion coefficient γ, and p-value of J-test of our long-run durable consumption model are 90%, 93%, and 65.5%, respectively, while those of EZ-DCAPM are 87%, 113%, and 62.8%, respectively. Thus, we can speculate that the risk premia in foreign currency markets have been determined by the long-run consumption risk. Conclusions - The aggregate long-run consumption growth risk explains a large part of the average change in the real excess returns of foreign currency portfolios. The real excess returns of high interest rate currency portfolios depreciate on average when American long-run consumption growth rate is low, and the real excess returns of low interest rate currency portfolios appreciate under the same conditions. Thus, the low interest rate currency portfolios allow investors to hedge against aggregate long-run consumption growth risk.

Gravitational-wave EM Counterpart Korean Observatory (GECKO): Network of Telescopes and Follow-up Result for S190425z

  • Paek, Gregory SungHak;Im, Myungshin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.76.2-76.2
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    • 2019
  • Recent observation of the neutron star merger event, GW170817, through both gravitational wave (GW) and electromagnetic wave (EM) observations opened a new way of exploring the universe, namely, multi-messenger astronomy (MMA). One of the keys to the success of MMA is a rapid identification of EM counterpart. We will introduce the strategy for prioritization of GW source host galaxy candidates. Our method relies on recent simulation results regarding plausible properties of GW source host galaxies and the low latency localization map from LIGO/Virgo. We will show the test results for both NS merger and BH merger events using previous events and describe observing strategy with our facilities for GW events during the ongoing LIGO/Virgo O3 run. Finally, we report the result of follow-up observation on, the first neutron star merger event, S190425z, during LIGO/VIrgo O3 run.

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Calculation of Sample Size for Guided Missile Considering Test Method and Reliability Growth (유도무기 시험평가 방법과 신뢰성 성장을 고려한 시험 수량 산출)

  • Lee, Youn-ho;Kim, Jae-hwang;Lee, Kye-shin;Lee, Jong-sin;Lee, Myoung-jin;Kim, Doo-hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.844-852
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    • 2017
  • Since guided weapon is high-cost and one-shot device which is non-reusable, it requires a lot of resources to prove required accuracy as a part of reliability demonstration. Once a test for proving accuracy rate of guided missile fails, it causes an additional cost and delay of schedule. This study introduces an equation for proper sample size and plan for guided-missile accuracy rate test in order to minimize the risk of test failure. Proper sample size for the test is derived by considering the reliability growth. Furthermore, each task for accuracy rate test is defined according to the development step. Therefore, this study can contribute to reduce sample size for accuracy rate test in order to meet the reliability requirement and assure transparency in the test process.

A Send-ahead Policy for a Semiconductor Wafer Fabrication Process

  • Moon, Ilkyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1993
  • We study a manufacturing process that is quite common in semiconductor wafer fabrication of semiconductor chip production. A machine is used to process a job consisting of J wafers. Each job requires a setup, and the i$_{th}$ setup for a job is sucessful with probability P$_{i}$. The setup is prone to failure, which results in the loss of expensive wafers. Therefore, a tiral run is first conducted on a small batch. If the set up is successful, the test is passed and the balance of the job can be processed. If the setup is unsuccessful, the exposed wafers are lost to scrap and the mask is realigned. The process then repeats on the balance of the job. We call this as send-ahead policy and consider general policies in which the number of wafers that are sent shead depend on the cost of the raw wafer, the sequence of success probabilities, and the balance of the job. We model this process and determine the expected number of good wafers per job,the expected time to process a job, and the long run average throughput. An algorithm to minimize the cost per good wafer subject to a demand constraint is provided.d.d.

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A Study on the Successful Factors in the Application of RIMS Project for the Safe Operation of Rolling Stocks in the Public Transportation (공공교통 전동차 안전운행을 위한 RIMS 프로젝트 적용의 성공요인 연구)

  • Lee, Kang-Won;Bhang, Youn-Keun;Son, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.5 s.36
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    • pp.555-560
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    • 2006
  • This study finds out and suggests success factors for the application of RIMS project through the case study of Seoul Metro and literature survey. The successful application of RIMS needs expert knowledge and concept of BOM, standardization of maintenance planning, check lists of heavy maintenance inspection, organization structure of rolling stock maintenance offices, material management system of warehousing and the process of parts repairing between offices, connection of material ordering system, problem solving of circular spare parts administration among inspection, maintenance, and material organizational units, systemic serial number management of parts with RFID, daily closing diary connected with work process chart, and sufficient period of RIMS's test run. RIMS contributes to real time management of rolling stock maintenance, transparency of management, reliability of train operation, customer satisfaction, and management innovation.

Observing strategy for electromagnetic counterpart of gravitational wave source

  • Paek, Gregory SungHak;Im, Myungshin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.58.2-58.2
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    • 2019
  • Recent observation of the neutron star merger event, GW170817, through both gravitational wave (GW) and electromagnetic wave (EM) observations opened a new way of exploring the universe, namely, multi-messenger astronomy (MMA). One of the keys to the success of MMA is a rapid identification of EM counterpart through optical/NIR observations. We will present the strategy for prioritization of GW source host galaxy candidates to be observed with narrow-field optical telescopes. Our method relies on recent simulation results regarding plausible properties of GW source host galaxies and the low latency localization map from LIGO/Virgo. We will show the test results for both NS merger and BH merger events using previous events and possible future events and describe observing strategy with our facilities for GW events during the ongoing LIGO/Virgo O3 run.

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Gravitational-wave Electromagnetic Counterpart Korean Observatory (GECKO): Network of Telescopes and Follow-up Observation of GW190425

  • Paek, Gregory S.H.;Im, Myungshin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.36.3-37
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    • 2020
  • Recent observation of the neutron star merger event, GW170817, through both gravitational wave (GW) and electromagnetic wave (EM) observations opened a new way of exploring the universe, namely, multi-messenger astronomy (MMA). One of the keys to the success of MMA is a rapid identification of EM counterpart. We will introduce GW follow-up observation project in Korea for hunting GW EM counterpart rapidly and its strategy for prioritization of GW source host galaxy candidates. Our method relies on recent simulation results regarding plausible properties of GW source host galaxies and the low latency localization map from LIGO/Virgo. We will show a test result for both binary neutron star merger events using previous event and describe observing strategy with our facilities for GW events during the ongoing LIGO/Virgo O3 run. Finally, we report the results of optical/NIR follow-up observation of GW190425, the first neutron.

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Spin Testing for the Endurance Verification of Gas Turbine Blades (고속회전시험기를 활용한 가스터빈 동익의 내구성 시험)

  • Lee, Dooyoung;Kim, Doosoo;Son, Taeha;Goo, Jaeryang
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2018
  • The long-term research and development for the production of domestic blades has been consistently performed. As the direct and indirect results of its nationwide technologies in precision casting have been improved as well as maintenance costs for turbine machinery has been reduced. Whereas, there are still not a few concerns about the reliability of newly manufactured blades in spite of the quality certificate in metallurgical and mechanical properties. A spin tester is a machine that gives centrifugal loading to a rotating part, and its practical application is the overspeed test that is usually used to check the quality of products. A new spin rig has been constructed in KEPCO Research Institute for the purpose of evaluating the reliability of blades. In this paper, the test methodology for low cycle fatigue damage mechanism as well as the overspeed test for newly developed blades is described, and their reliability is evaluated too.

Association analysis between sports talent test scores and KOSTASS scores (스포츠영재성 검사 항목과 코스타스 점수간의 연관성 분석)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong;Lee, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2011
  • The Korea Sport Talent Search System (KOSTASS) can easily assess potential of Korean youth in 23 sport events and to identify sports talents who have high potential in track-and-field, swimming and gymnastics. The purpose of present study was to analysis relationship between sports talent test scores and KOSTASS scores. Physique, physical fitness, motor ability and physiological tests including skeletal age were administrated. Data of 201 elementary students who aged 7 to 12 living in Seoul area were collected. For pure association analysis, Pearson correlation coefficient and partial correlation coefficient are used and stepwise regression analysis is used for selecting important sports talent test scores. The results show that skeletal age, weight, chest circumference, 50-meter run, and half-squat jump have relatively low impact on six KOSTASS scores. The KOSTASS program would contribute to identify talented youth in sports among Korean youth population and success for international sports competition.