• Title/Summary/Keyword: Storm-Surge

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Regional Extension of the Neural Network Model for Storm Surge Prediction Using Cluster Analysis (군집분석을 이용한 국지해일모델 지역확장)

  • Lee, Da-Un;Seo, Jang-Won;Youn, Yong-Hoon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2006
  • In the present study, the neural network (NN) model with cluster analysis method was developed to predict storm surge in the whole Korean coastal regions with special focuses on the regional extension. The model used in this study is NN model for each cluster (CL-NN) with the cluster analysis. In order to find the optimal clustering of the stations, agglomerative method among hierarchical clustering methods was used. Various stations were clustered each other according to the centroid-linkage criterion and the cluster analysis should stop when the distances between merged groups exceed any criterion. Finally the CL-NN can be constructed for predicting storm surge in the cluster regions. To validate model results, predicted sea level value from CL-NN model was compared with that of conventional harmonic analysis (HA) and of the NN model in each region. The forecast values from NN and CL-NN models show more accuracy with observed data than that of HA. Especially the statistics analysis such as RMSE and correlation coefficient shows little differences between CL-NN and NN model results. These results show that cluster analysis and CL-NN model can be applied in the regional storm surge prediction and developed forecast system.

Patterns of Water Level Increase by Storm Surge and High Waves on Seawall/Quay Wall during Typhoon Maemi (태풍 매미 내습시 해일$\cdot$고파랑에 의한 호안$\cdot$안벽에서의 수위증가 패턴 고찰)

  • Kang, Yoon-Koo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.6 s.67
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2005
  • We investigated the characteristics of the overflow/wave overtopping, induced by the storm surge and high waves in Masan bay and Busan Coast during Typhoon 'Maemi', which landed at the southeast coast of the Korean peninsula on September, of 2003, causing a severe inundation disaster. Characteristics of the water level, increase by the overflow / wave overtopping, were discussed in two patterns. One is the increase of water level in the region, located inside of a bay, like Masan fishing port, and the waves are relatively small. The other is in the open sea, in which the waves act directly, as on the seawall in Suyong bay. In the former region, the water level increase was affected by the storm surge, as well as the long period oscillation and waves. In Masan fishing port, about $80\%$ of the water level increase on the quay wall was caused by the storm surge. In the latter one, it was greatly affected by the wave run-up. In Suyong bay, about $90\%$ of the water level increase on the seawall was caused by the wave run-up.

Wave Responses of Buoyant Flap-typed Storm Surge Barriers - Numerical Simulation (부유 플랩형 고조방파제의 파랑응답 - 수치모의)

  • Jeong, Shin-Taek;Ko, Dong-Hui;Park, Woo-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.196-208
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, wave responses of buoyant flap-typed storm surge barriers was studied numerically. Wave motions were modeled by using a linear potential wave theory, and behaviors of structures were represented as a Newton's 2nd law of motion. The near field region of the fluid was discretized as conventional quadratic iso-parametric elements, while the far field was modeled as infinite elements. Comparisons with the results from hydraulic model tests show that the present model gives good results. By using the model, the applicability of a buoyant flap-typed storm surge barrier in Masan bay was investigated considering field environmental conditions.

Realtime Tide and Storm-Surge Computations for the Yellow Sea Using the Parallel Finite Element Model (병렬 유한요소 모형을 이용한 황해의 실시간 조석 및 태풍해일 산정)

  • Byun, Sang-Shin;Choi, Byung-Ho;Kim, Kyeong-Ok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2009
  • Realtime tide and storm-surge computations for the Yellow Sea were conducted using the Parallel Finite Element Model. For these computations a high resolution grid system was constructed with a minimum node interval of loom in Gyeonggi Bay. In the modeling, eight main tidal constituents were analyzed and their results agreed well with the observed data. The realtime tide computation with the eight main tidal constituents and the storm-surge simulation for Typhoon Sarah(1959) were also conducted using parallel computing system of MPI-based LINUX clusters. The result showed a good performance in simulating Typhoon Sarah and reducing the computation time.

Hindcast of Storm Surge in the Southeastern Coast Using a Three-Dimensional Numerical Model (3차원 수치모형을 이용한 남동해안 폭풍해일 산정)

  • Kim, Cha-Kyum;Lee, Jong Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.4B
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2011
  • A three and two dimensional (3D and 2D) numerical models were established to study the storm surge induced by Typoon Maemi in Masan and Pusan Ports. The typhoon landed on the southern coast of Korean Peninsula at 21:00, September 12, 2003 with a central pressure of 950 hPa. The observed maximum storm surge in Masan Port was 230 cm, and the computed peak storm surge using the 3D and the 2D models were 238 cm and 208 cm, respectively. The observed maximum storm surge in Pusan Port was 89 cm, and the peak storm surge of the 3D and the 2D models were 91 cm and 79 cm, respectively. The hindcasted storm surge using 3D model was in good agreement with the observed data, and the 3D model at peak time was more accurate than the 2D. The storm-induced currents were computed using the 3D model. The currents in the surface layer of Masan Bay went into the inner bay with 30~60 cm/sec, while the currents in the bottom layer flowed out with 20~40 cm/sec.

Characteristics of Storm Surge by Forward Speed of Typhoon in the South Coast of Korea (태풍의 이동속도에 따른 한국 남해안 폭풍해일고의 특성)

  • Park, Young Hyun;Park, Woo-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2021
  • The damage caused by typhoons is gradually increasing due to the climate change recently. Hence, many studies have been conducted over a long period of time on various factors that determine the characteristics of storm surge, and most of relationships have been discovered. Because storm surge is complexly determined by various factors, it often show different results and draw different conclusions. For this reason, this study was conducted to understand the various characteristics of storm surge caused by changes in the forward speed of typhoons. This study was carried out with a numerical model, and the effect of forward speed could be analyzed by simplifying other factors as much as possible. When forward speed is increased, storm surges caused by typhoons tended to increase gradually. The storm surge showed a wide and gentle increase at a slow speed, but a narrow and steep one at a fast speed. In the case of the same forward speed, it was found that the storm surge was significantly influenced by the water depth of actual sea area. It was confirmed that the change in forward speed after passing Jeju Island did not significant affect on the storm surge in the south coast of Korea.

Analysis of Flood due to Storm Surge at Masan Bay (마산만에서 고조로 인한 침수원인 분석)

  • 황호동;이중우;권소현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2004
  • Open-coast storm surge computations are of value in planning and constructing engineering works, especially in coastal regions. Prediction of typhoon surge elevations is based primarily on the use of a numerical model in this study, since it is difficult to study these events in real time or with use of physical models. A simple quasi-two dimensional numerical model for storm surge is considered. In order to understand the model's underlying assumptions, range of validity, and application, we discussed several aspects of typhoons and the physical factors governing storm generation processes. We also followed the basic governing equation, together with the assumption generally taken in their development, to see the principle characteristics of the model from a physical as well as a mathematical point of view. The equations consistent with the model described here are reduced forms of the basic equations and their effects on the resulting numerical scheme are discussed. Finally we applied the model discussed above to a storm surge problem at Masan Bay, the south coast of Korea Effects of astronomical tide, initial water level, and atmospheric pressure setup are considered. We then analyzed the flood at the coastal city and proposed a reasonable way of flood control.

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Frequency analysis of storm surge using Poisson-Generalized Pareto distribution (Poisson-Generalized Pareto 분포를 이용한 폭풍해일 빈도해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Shin, Young-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2019
  • The Korean Peninsula is considered as one of the most typhoon related disaster prone areas. In particular, the potential risk of flooding in coastal areas would be greater when storm surge and heavy rainfall occurred at the same time. In this context, understanding the mechanism of the interactions between them and estimating the risk associated with the concurrent occurrence are of particular interests especially in low-lying coastal areas. In this study, we developed a Poisson-Generalized Pareto (Poisson-GP) distribution based storm surge frequency analysis model to combine the occurrence of the exceedance of a threshold, that is the peaks over threshold (POT), within a Bayesian framework. The storm surge frequency analysis technique developed through this study might contribute to the improvement of disaster prevention technology related to storm surge in the coastal area.