• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Price Data

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Market Risk Premium in Korea: Analysis and Policy Implications (한국의 시장위험 프리미엄: 분석과 시사점)

  • Se-hoon Kwon;Sang-Buhm Hahn
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.71-88
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study provides an overview of existing research and practices related to market risk premiums(MRP), and empirically estimates the MRP in Korea, particularly using the related option prices. We also seek to improve the current MRP practices and explore alternative solutions. Design/methodology/approach - We present the option price-based MRP estimation method, as proposed by Martin (2017), and implement it within the context of the Korean stock market. We then juxtapose these results with those derived from other methods, and compare the characteristics with those of the United States. Findings - We found that the lower limit of the MRP in the Korean stock market shows a much lower value compared to the US. There seems to be the possibility of a market crash, exchange rate volatility, or a lack of option trading data. We investigated the predictive power of the estimated values and discovered that the weighted average of the results of various methodologies using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is superior to the individual method's results. Research implications or Originality - It is required to explore various methods of estimating MRP that are suitable for the Korean stock market. In order to improve the estimation methodology based on option prices, it is necessary to develop the methods using the higher-order(third order or above) moments, or consider additional risk factors such as the possibility of a crash.

Public Building Value Evaluation Using Contingent Valuation Method Based on Market Value Estimation

  • PARK, Jieun;YU, Jungho
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.367-370
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    • 2015
  • Building deterioration reflects the degradation of basic building performance including structural performance, energy performance, durability, and safety, and it also includes perceived deterioration, which considers a user-based perspective. More than 50% of the existing buildings in Korea are over 15 years old and public buildings compose 2.5% of all buildings domestically. Therefore, there are several different problems, such as poor energy efficiency, structural performance, and safety. To address the challenges of increasing stock in deteriorated buildings, it is necessary to make decisions about reconstruction or renovation. In this study, we propose a new method to evaluate public building value with a contingent valuation method (CVM). By estimating willing-to-pay (WTP) from users of private buildings in similar situation with the public building, it is possible to compare market prices and calculate a correction factor to adjust the WTP data. Finally, we apply the correction factor to the WTP of a public building and estimate market price, willingness to pay (WTP). Finally, we apply the correction factor to willing to pay (WTP) of public building and estimate market price.

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Performance Analysis on Trading System using Foreign Investors' Trading Information (외국인 거래정보를 이용한 트레이딩시스템의 성과분석)

  • Kim, Sunwoong;Choi, Heungsik
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2015
  • It is a familiar Wall Street adage that "It takes volume to make prices move." Numerous researches have found the positive correlation between trading volume and price changes. Recent studies have documented that informed traders have strong influences on stock market prices through their trading with distinctive information power. Ever since 1992 capital market liberalization in Korea, it is said that foreign investors make consistent profits with their superior information and analytical skills. This study aims at whether we can make a profitable trading strategy by using the foreign investors' trading information. We analyse the relation between the KOSPI index returns and the foreign investors trading volume using GARCH models and VAR models. This study suggests the profitable trading strategies based on the documented relation between the foreign investors' trading volume and KOSPI index returns. We simulate the trading system with the real stock market data. The data include the daily KOSPI index returns and foreign investors' trading volume for 2001~2013. We estimate the GARCH and VAR models using 2001~2011 data and simulate the suggested trading system with the remaining out-of-sample data. Empirical results are as follows. First, we found the significant positive relation between the KOSPI index returns and contemporaneous foreign investors' trading volume. Second, we also found the positive relation between the KOSPI index returns and lagged foreign investors' trading volume. But the relation showed no statistical significance. Third, our suggested trading system showed better trading performance than B&H strategy, especially trading system 2. Our results provide good information for uninformed traders in the Korean stock market.

Prediction of KOSPI using Data Editing Techniques and Case-based Reasoning (자료편집기법과 사례기반추론을 이용한 한국종합주가지수 예측)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a novel data editing techniques with genetic algorithm (GA) in case-based reasoning (CBR) for the prediction of Korea Stock Price Index (KOSPI). CBR has been widely used in various areas because of its convenience and strength in compelax problem solving. Nonetheless, compared to other machine teaming techniques, CBR has been criticized because of its low prediction accuracy. Generally, in order to obtain successful results from CBR, effective retrieval of useful prior cases for the given problem is essential. However. designing a good matching and retrieval mechanism for CBR system is still a controversial research issue. In this paper, the GA optimizes simultaneously feature weights and a selection task for relevant instances for achieving good matching and retrieval in a CBR system. This study applies the proposed model to stock market analysis. Experimental results show that the GA approach is a promising method for data editing in CBR.

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Distribution and Improvement of the Capital Market in Indonesia: A Comparative Study of Risk Management

  • Murtiadi AWALUDDIN;Rustan DM;HASBIAH;Muhammad Akil RAHMAN;Sri Prilmayanti AWALUDDIN;Nadya Yuni BAHRA
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this article is to determine whether there are differences in the level of return and risk of the conventional and Islamic capital markets. Research design, data and methodology: This study takes data on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and the Liquid-45 (LQ45) stock groups in the 2017 to 2020 period. The research approach used is quantitative research with a type of comparison. The data used secondary data sourced from the closing price of shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The statistical method used to test the hypothesis is a different test or independent sample t-test. Results: There is a significant difference between the rate of return and investment risk in JII and LQ-45. The rate of return and risk of investing in LQ-45 is higher than that of JII. Conclusions: There is a significant difference in the rate of return on investment in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and LQ-45, including conventional stock Liquid-45 (LQ-45) is higher than the rate of return on shares of JII shares. There is a significant difference in the level of investment risk in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and the Liquid-45 (LQ-45), where the risk level for the LQ-45 is higher than that of the JII shares.

Estimating the Determinants for the Sales of Retail Trade:A Panel Data Model Approach (페널 데이터모형을 적용한 소매업 매출액 결정요인 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2008
  • In respect complication of group and period, the sales of retail trade is composed of various factors. This paper studies focus on estimating the determinants of the sales of retail trade. The volume of analysis consist of 7 groups. Analyzing period be formed over a 36 point(2005. 1$\sim$2007. 12). In this paper dependent variable setting up sales of retail trade, explanatory(independent) variables composed of composite stock price index, the number of the consumer's online buying behavior company, the coincident composite index, the index of trading price of APT, employment rate, an average of the rate of operation(the manufacturing industry), the consumer price index. The result of estimating the determinants of sales of retail trade provides empirical evidences of significance positive relationships between the coincident composite index, the index of trading price of APT, employment rate, an average of the rate of operation(the manufacturing industry). However this study provides empirical evidences of significance negative relationships between the consumer price index. The explanatory variables, that is, composite stock price and the number of the consumer's online buying behavior company, are non-significance variables. Implication of these findings are discussed for content research and practices.

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Do the Price Limits in KOSDAQ Market change on the Volatility? (코스닥시장의 가격제한폭 확대는 변동성을 증가시키는가?)

  • Park, Jong-Hae;Jung, Dae-Sung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2014
  • This Research focuses on the effect of the price limits change in KOSDAQ market change on the volatility. The sample period ranges from 22 May 2000 to 24 March 2010 for daily data. We construct two subsample periods for comparing with the effect of the change of the price limit. These limits were relaxed from 12% to 15% on March 25, 2005. The first subsample period is from 25 March 2000 to 24 March 2005. The second subsample period is from 25 March 2005. to 24 March 2010. We employee four different volatility, which are the range-based volatility of Parkinson(1980; PK), Garman and Klass(1980; GK) Rogers and Satchell(1991; RS), Yang and Zhang(2008; YZ). The empirical result as follows. The major findings are summarized as follows; First, the volatility of individual stocks in KOSDAQ market reduces significantly after the price limit change. Second, There is so high volatile especially when the volatility of stock prices is high. Third, There is no meaningful relationship between volatility and market capitalization. Fourth, the more volume stocks reduce the volatility. Our results show the volatility decreased the more large volume, the more trading amount and the high price stock.

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Retail Sale Advertising: Effects of Reference Price, Price Rationale and Price-Quality Inference on Evaluation of Apparel Attributes (비교가격 광고의 준거가격과 소매점의 가격할인취지 및 소비자의 가격 -품질 연상 심리 수준이 의류제품 속성 평가에 미치는 영향-)

  • Hyun, Ji-Eun;Hong, Hee-Sook
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.9
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    • pp.47-75
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the effects of reference price, price rationale and price-quality inference of consumer on the evaluation of apparel quality. The experimental materials developed for this study were a set of stimulus and response sheet. The stimuli were six print ads, which was manipulated by reference price and price rationale for a jacket of national brand. This study used a 2(reference price: offer and non offer)$\times$3(price rationale: non offer, stock disposal, sales promotion) $\times$2(price-quality inference of consumer: high and low level) between-subjects experiment. Subjects were 371 female university students. The data were analyzed by factor analysis, ANOVA and t-test. The results were as follows. First, three apparel attributes were identified: sewing/fabrics and label by factor analysis. Second, the significant interaction effects of reference price, price rationale and price-quality inference of consumer were found on evaluating quality of sewing/fabrics and label of apparel. So, reference price effect differed to depending on type of price rationale and levels of price-quality inference. Third, the significant main effect of price-quality inference of consumer existed on evaluating construction quality of apparel.

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The Relationship Between Intellectual Capital and Accounting Conservatism: A Case Study in Jordan

  • OWAIS, Walid Omar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.735-740
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to assess how accounting conservatism is practiced in the Jordanian pharmaceuticals and medical industry. It assesses the association between accounting conservatism and intellectual capital (IC) in this industry. This study measures IC performance using the market price per share less book value. Accounting conservatism is measured using the book-to-price ratio, and the data was collected from company annual reports and the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) website. The data was collected for the period of six years (2014 to 2019). The sample was made up of four companies in the industry listed in the ASE. The data was analyzed using the SPSS program though the ordinary least squares regression model to assess how accounting conservatism is associated with IC. The findings indicate a negative association with companies having higher IC performance and reporting lower accounting conservatism. IC is applied more in these companies, although it might be lower than in other companies in other sectors. This study provides empirical evidence on how IC is applied in the industry and how it might be negatively associated with accounting conservatism. Findings indicate the need for more effective policies to promote recognition of intangible assets in the sector.

A Study on the Dynamic Correlation between the Korean ETS Market, Energy Market and Stock Market (한국 ETS시장, 에너지시장 및 주식시장 간의 동태적 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Guo-Dong Yang;Yin-Hua Li
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.189-208
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzed the dynamic conditional correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market and stock market. This paper conducted an empirical analysis using daily data of Korea's carbon credit trading price, WTI crude oil futures price, and KOSPI index from February 2, 2015 to December 30, 2021. First, the volatility of the three markets was analyzed using the GARCH model, and then the dynamic conditional correlations between the three markets were studied using the bivariate DCC-GARCH model. The research results are as follows. First, it was found that the Korean ETS market has a higher rate of return and higher investment risk than the stock market. Second, the yield volatility of the Korean ETS market was found to be most affected by external shocks and least affected by the volatility information of the market itself. Third, the correlation between the Korean ETS market and the stock market was stronger than that of the WTI crude oil futures market. This paper analyzed the correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market, and stock market and confirmed that the level of financialization in the Korean ETS market is quite low.