• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Price Analysis

Search Result 349, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Risk Spillover between Shipping Company's Stock Price and Marine Freight Index (해운선사 주가와 해상운임지수 사이의 위험 전이효과)

  • Choi Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.115-129
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the risk spillover of BDI on shipping company stock prices through the Copula-CoVaR method based on daily data from January 4, 2010, to October 31, 2022. The main empirical analysis results and policy implications are as follows. First, copula results showed that there was a weak dependence between BDI and shipping company stock prices, and PAN, KOR, and YEN were selected as the most fitting model for dynamic Student-t copula, HMM was selected as the rotated Gumbel copula, and KSS was selected as the best model. Second, in the results of CoVaR, it was confirmed that the upside (downside) CoVaR was significantly different from the upside (downside) VaR in all shipping companies. This means that BDI has a significant risk spillover on shipping companies. In addition, as for the risk spillover, the downside risk is generally lower than the upside risk, so the downside and upside risk spillover were found to be asymmetrical. Therefore, policymakers should strengthen external risk supervision and establish differentiated policies suitable for domestic conditions to prevent systematic risks from BDI shocks. And investors should reflect external risks from BDI fluctuations in their investment decisions and construct optimal investment portfolios to avoid risks. On the other hand, investors propose that the investment portfolio should be adjusted in consideration of the asymmetric characteristics of up and down risks when making investment decisions.

The Effects of Institutional Block Ownership on Market Liquidity (기관투자자의 대량주식보유가 시장유동성에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Kyung-Shick;Jung, Heon-Yong
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.83-97
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study examined the effects institutional block ownership on the stock market liquidity in Korean Stock Market. The two measures of institutional block ownership are used. They are the percentage of a stock owned by institutional blockholder and the number of institutional blockholder that own the stock. This study used the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure to measure stock market liquidity. The results are as fellows. First, this study showed that the number of institutional blockholder is significantly negatively correlated with the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure in the analysis which is used the whole data. But we found no a consistent results between the number of institutional blockholder and the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure in the grouped institutional blockholder's number analysis. This indicates that the effects institutional blockholder on market liquidity is not simple. Second, this study showed that the percentage of a stock owned by institutional blockholder are negatively related with Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure, especially revealed statistically significant in the group 3(11.71%~17.38%) and group 4(7.45%~11.65%). This results suggest that the institutional blockholder have positive effect on the market liquidity in the group 3 and 4. Third, the significance of the percentage of institutional block ownership and the number of institutional block ownership in explaining illiquidity are more showed in the term of the global financial crisis(2008) than the before and the after of the global financial crisis.

  • PDF

A Study on the Development of Lancing Process Method Using Forming Analysis (성형해석을 이용한 랜싱공법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Dong-Won;Ko, Dae-Lim
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.171-177
    • /
    • 2008
  • The characteristics of sheet metal process are little loss of material during process, the short processing time and the excellent price and strength. It has been widely used in autobody, electronic components, aircraftbody, etc. Lancing is a press operation in which a single-line cut or slit is made on part way across the strip stock, without removing any metal. In this paper, we examined the validity of finite element method analysis on the automobile CTR-PLR -L/R stamping process by using the lancing engineering method. As a result, it has shown that the proper lancing engineering method could prevent fracturing by improving sheet metal flow.

Estimating the Determinants for Rate of Arrearage in Domestic Bank: A Panel Data Model Approach (패널 데이터모형을 적용한 국내일반은행 연체율 결정요인 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheu;Park, Hyoung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.272-277
    • /
    • 2010
  • In respect complication of group, rate of arrearage in domestic bank is composed of various factors. This paper studies focus on estimating the determinants of the rate of arrearage in domestic bank using panel data model. The volume of analysis consist of 3 groups(loaned patterns of enterprise, housekeeping, credit card). Analyzing period be formed over a 54 point(2005. 1~ 2009. 06). In this paper dependent variable setting up rate of arrearage in domestic bank, explanatory(independent) variables composed of the consumer price index, composite stock price index, rate of exchange, the coincident composite index, national housing bonds and employment rate. The result of estimating the rate of arrearage in domestic bank provides empirical evidences of significance positive relationships between the consumer price index However this study provides empirical evidences of significance negative relationships between the coincident composite index and the composite stock price index. The explanatory variables, that is, rate of exchange, national housing bonds and the employment rate are non-significance variables of negative factor. Implication of these findings are discussed for content research and practices.

Estimating the Determinants of Loan Amount of Housing Mortgage : A Panel Data Model Approach (주택 담보 가계 대출액 결정요인 추정에 관한 패널 데이터 모형 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.16 no.7
    • /
    • pp.183-190
    • /
    • 2011
  • Loan amount of housing mortgage is composed of various factors. This study paper studies focuses on estimating the determinants of a loan amount of housing mortgage. The region for analysis consist of seven groups, that is, metropolitan city (such as Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangiu, Daejeon, Ulsan.) and Seoul. Analyzing period be formed over a 45 time points(2007. 01.~ 2010. 09). In this paper the dependent variable setting up loan amount of housing mortgage, explanatory(independent) variables are composed of the consumer price index, unemployment rate, average monthly household income per household, expenditure rate of health care, composite stock price index and overdue rate of household loans for commercial bank. In looking at the factors which determine loan amount of housing mortgage, evidence was produced supporting the hypothesis that there is a significant positive relationship between the consumer price index and unemployment rate. The study also produced evidence supporting the view that there is a significant negative relationship between expenditure rate of health care. The study found that average monthly household income per household, expenditure, composite stock price index and overdue rate of household loans for commercial bank were not significant variables. The implications of these findings are discussed for further research.

A study on synthetic risk management on market risk of financial assets(focus on VaR model) (시장위험에 대한 금융자산의 종합적 위험관리(VaR모형 중심))

  • 김종권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.22 no.49
    • /
    • pp.43-57
    • /
    • 1999
  • The recent trend is that risk management has more and more its importance. Neverthless, Korea's risk management is not developed. Even most banks does gap, duration in ALM for risk management, development and operation of VaR stressed at BIS have elementary level. In the case of Fallon and Pritsker, Marshall, gamma model is superior to delta model and Monte Carlo Simulation is improved at its result, as sample number is increased. And, nonparametric model is superior to parametric model. In the case of Korea's stock portfolio, VaR of Monte Carlo Simulation and Full Variance Covariance Model is less than that of Diagonal Model. The reason is that VaR of Full Variance Covariance Model is more precise than that of Diagonal Model. By the way, in the case of interest rate, result of monte carlo simulation is less than that of delta-gamma analysis on 95% confidence level. But, result of 99% is reversed. Therefore, result of which method is not dominated. It means two fact at forecast on volatility of stock and interest rate portfolio. First, in Delta-gamma method and Monte Carlo Simulation, assumption of distribution affects Value at Risk. Second, Value at Risk depends on test method. And, if option price is included, test results will have difference between the two. Therefore, If interest rate futures and option market is open, Korea's findings is supposed to like results of other advanced countries. And, every banks try to develop its internal model.

  • PDF

Antecedents and Consequence of Murabaha Funding in Islamic Banks of Indonesia

  • BULUTODING, Lince;BIDIN, Cici Rianti K.;SYARIATI, Alim;QARINA, Qarina
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.487-495
    • /
    • 2021
  • As Islam supports fair trade, the Murabaha is the most popular and most common mode of Islamic financing. It is a contract of sale between the bank and its client for the sale of goods at a price plus an agreed profit margin for the bank. The contract involves the purchase of goods by the bank which then sells them to the client at an agreed mark-up. While their characteristics and values are unique, they are also subject to conventional measurement of efficacies. This study investigates how the primary health predictors of conventional banks under the Basel III regime could provide a positive means to assess the Murabaha funding and subsequently secure long-term profitability. This study constructed a path analysis (from 120 databases) to assess whether Islamic banks' leverage and capital adequacy may alter the Murabaha funding and increase stock equity directly and indirectly. The research findings are mixed where leverage does not alter the Murabaha funding but only affects the profitability; besides, capital adequacy increases the outgoing funding significantly but does not increase stock equity. Murabaha funding is essential to Islamic bank equity. This study implies Murabaha funding are expensed, despite increasing debts in Islamic banks.

The Role of Corporate Social Responsibility on the Relationship between Financial Performance and Company Value

  • UTAMI, Elok Sri;HASAN, Muhamad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1249-1256
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study investigates the company value determinant by observing the effect of financial performance and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and its role in moderating performance achievement. The macro-economy variables such as inflation and interest rate are also used as the controlling variable. This research employs the sample of manufacturing companies of the food and beverage sub-sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study used panel data from 2013 to 2017, with the moderating regression analysis. The result shows that the profitability of the current or previous period affects the company's value. CSR and company size affect the company value at the next period shows that stock price, which reflects the investor's perception today, will be affected by the CSR, Size, and Return On Asset of the previous year. CSR also shows that it can be the substitute for profitability since a company that performs CSR is the one that has a good performance. The regression moderating model and the profitability of the previous period have a higher explanatory power than the higher R square value in explaining company value.

Inter-Factor Determinants of Return Reversal Effect with Dynamic Bayesian Network Analysis: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • HAQUE, Abdul;RAO, Marriam;QAMAR, Muhammad Ali Jibran
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.203-215
    • /
    • 2022
  • Bayesian Networks are multivariate probabilistic factor graphs that are used to assess underlying factor relationships. From January 2005 to December 2018, the study examines how Dynamic Bayesian Networks can be utilized to estimate portfolio risk and return as well as determine inter-factor relationships among reversal profit-generating components in Pakistan's emerging market (PSX). The goal of this article is to uncover the factors that cause reversal profits in the Pakistani stock market. In visual form, Bayesian networks can generate causal and inferential probabilistic relationships. Investors might update their stock return values in the network simultaneously with fresh market information, resulting in a dynamic shift in portfolio risk distribution across the networks. The findings show that investments in low net profit margin, low investment, and high volatility-based designed portfolios yield the biggest dynamical reversal profits. The main triggering aspects related to generation reversal profits in the Pakistan market, in the long run, are net profit margin, market risk premium, investment, size, and volatility factor. Investors should invest in and build portfolios with small companies that have a low price-to-earnings ratio, small earnings per share, and minimal volatility, according to the most likely explanation.

Study on Effects of Alternative Investment Goods in the Era of IT in Relation to Bid Rate of Neighboring Shopping Area (IT 시대의 대체투자재가 근린상가 낙찰가율에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Chan-Kook;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.377-386
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study analyzed how alternative investment goods would affect a market in a neighboring shopping area in order to provide parties involved in the investment market of this neighboring shopping area with standards which would help them when they try to make a reasonable determination. The study estimated forms and explanation power of the effects of a bid rate of a neighboring shopping area, and came up with those results as follows. Increases in the representative macro economic indicators, the composite stock price index and the fluctuation rate of land price, including the real estate business would have a positive influence on the market of the neighboring shopping area as playing a circumstantial evidence of market recovery and yet, the increase in interest rate, the alternative investment goods, would reduce the relative price-earnings ratio which would, eventually, negatively affect the charm of the investment in the market of the neighboring shopping area. The study, now, understands that housing with a feature of consumers' goods and neighboring shopping area with a feature of investment goods would not have great concern with each other as they are observed to be two different markets from an aspect of interactionism.