• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Portfolio

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Comparison of Investment Performance in the Korean Stock Market between Samsung-Group-Funds and Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model Using Nonlinear Programming (한국 주식시장의 삼성그룹주펀드들과 비선형계획법을 이용한 마코위츠의 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 투자 성과 비교)

  • Kim, Seong-Moon;Kim, Hong-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.76-94
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    • 2008
  • This paper investigates performance of the Markowitz's portfolio selection model with applications to Korean stock market. We choose Samsung-Group-Funds and KOSPI index for performance comparison with the Markowitz's portfolio selection model. For the most recent one and a half year period between March 2007 and September 2008, KOSPI index almost remains the same with only 0.1% change, Samsung-Group-Funds shows 20.54% return, and Markowitz's model, which is composed of the same 17 Samsung group stocks, reaches 52% return. We perform sensitivity analysis on the duration of financial data and the period of portfolio change in order to maximize the return of portfolio. In conclusion, according to our empirical research results with Samsung-Group-Funds, investment by Markowitz's model, which periodically changes portfolio by using nonlinear programming with only financial data, outperforms investment by the fund manager who possesses rich experiences on stock trading and actively changes portfolio based on minute-by-minute market news and business information.

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Clustering-driven Pair Trading Portfolio Investment in Korean Stock Market (한국 주식시장에서의 군집화 기반 페어트레이딩 포트폴리오 투자 연구)

  • Cho, Poongjin;Lee, Minhyuk;Song, Jae Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2022
  • Pair trading is a statistical arbitrage investment strategy. Traditionally, cointegration has been utilized in the pair exploring step to discover a pair with a similar price movement. Recently, the clustering analysis has attracted many researchers' attention, replacing the cointegration method. This study tests a clustering-driven pair trading investment strategy in the Korean stock market. If a pair detected through clustering has a large spread during the spread exploring period, the pair is included in the portfolio for backtesting. The profitability of the clustering-driven pair trading strategies is investigated based on various profitability measures such as the distribution of returns, cumulative returns, profitability by period, and sensitivity analysis on different parameters. The backtesting results show that the pair trading investment strategy is valid in the Korean stock market. More interestingly, the clustering-driven portfolio investments show higher performance compared to benchmarks. Note that the hierarchical clustering shows the best portfolio performance.

A Study on Information Efficiency in Stock Selection by Various Investor Type (투자자집단별 선택적 종목거래활동의 정보효율성 검증)

  • Lee, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Jung-Jin;Lee, Jae-Hyun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2015
  • In previous studies concerning turnover, they argue individual stock's turnover must be identical to market portfolio's turnover under one condition where 2 funds separation theorem holds. In this kind of world, all market participants hold and trade the same portfolio and this should be only market portfolio. If one's trading portfolio's shape is different from market portfolio's, this would mean he or she has an advantage over others in information and this kind of information would be private. In accordance with this theory, we develop a metric which measures how far one's trading portfolio from market's and name it as Stock Selection by Investor(SSI). We apply this measurement to the various types of investor groups classified as individual, institutional and foreign who participate in Korea stock market. To test the validity of measure, we regress price ratio on this measurement using SUR method. As a result, individual investor group shows large number in SSI, but the coefficient in regression is not significant and economically meaningless. In case of institutional investor group, the coefficient proves to be significantly negative. We can infer from this fact that their trading is somehow far from informed trading. Stock selection activity by foreign investor groups proves to be informed trading by showing significantly positive coefficient and the magnitude of coefficient is economically meaningful, especially in sell activity.

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주가수익률에 대한 각국별 거시경제변수의 영향분석 - VAR모형 사용 -

  • Kim, Jong-Gwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.537-557
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    • 2005
  • The estimate on volatility of stock price is related with optimum of portfolio and Important for allocation of capital asset. If the volatility of stock price is varied according to macroeconomic variables on monetary policy and industrial production, it will assist capital asset to allocate. This paper is related with stock market volatilities on macroeconomic variables in U.S. and Europe, Korea. And, it Is pertain to vary in time of this variables. Thus, this paper is related with volatilities of monetary and physical macroeconomic variables on basis of statistics. And, it is ranged front capital investment to portfolio allocation. Also, this paper takes out of sample forecast and study more after this. In case Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands, the relative importance of monetary policy and Industrial production Is different from these countries. In case Italy and the Netherlands, monetary policy is primary factor at stabilizing for volatility of stock price. In case Korea, increasing monetary policy and industrial production is positively affected stock market. It is that the positive effect of stock price is caused by mollifying monetary policy and economic growth. Specially, this conclusion is similar to US. In Korea, gradual increase in monetary and industrial production is necessary to stability of stock market. It is different to previous results on basis of increasing stock price of money in long period.

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Stock Selection Model in the Formation of an Optimal and Adaptable Portfolio in the Indonesian Capital Market

  • SETIADI, Hendri;ACHSANI, Noer Azam;MANURUNG, Adler Haymans;IRAWAN, Tony
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.351-360
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to determine the factors that can influence investors in selecting stocks in the Indonesian capital market to establish an optimal portfolio, and find phenomena that occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic so that buying interest / the number of investors increased in the Indonesian capital market. This study collection technique uses primary data obtained from the survey questionnaire and secondary data which is market data, stock price movement data sourced from the Indonesia Stock Exchange, Indonesian Central Securities Depository, and Bank Indonesia, as well as empirical literature on behavior finance, investment decision, and interest in buying stock. The method used in this research is the survey questionnaire analysis with the SEM (statistical approach). The results of the analysis using SEM show that investor behavior influences the stock-buying interest, investor behavior, and the stock-buying interest influences investor decision-making. However, risk management does not influence investor-decision making. This occurs when the investigator's psychological capacity produces more decision information by decreasing all potential biases, allowing the best stock selection model to be selected. When the investigator's psychological capacity creates more decision information by reducing biases, the optimum stock selection model can be chosen.

Optimizing Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return (1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Choon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first degree stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. An algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

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An Algorithm to Optimize Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance (1차 확률적 지배를 하는 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • 류춘호
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2003
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach Is to form a portfolio that first-degree stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio, e.g. KOSPI. Analytically defining the first derivative of the objective function, an optimal algorithm of nonlinear programming was developed to search a set of optimal weights systematically and tested with promising results against veal data sets from Korean stock market.

Foreign Capital Inflows and Stock Market Development in Pakistan

  • SAJID, Ali;HASHMI, Muhammad Arsalan;ABDULLAH, A.;HASAN, Muhammad Amin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2021
  • The study examines how foreign capital inflows affect stock market development in Pakistan for the period from July 2008 to June 2018. Several components of foreign capital inflows were used for empirical analysis, namely, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and remittances. Further, market capitalization was used as a proxy for stock market development. The study uses an ARDL model for examining the long-run and short-run relationships between variables. We also analyze the bi-directional causality between the variables through the Granger causality test. Further, the presence of structural breaks was analyzed through the CUSUM and CUSUM Square test. The results suggest that in the long run, remittances have a positive and significant relationship with stock market development. However, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and USD-PKR exchange rate do not have a significant impact on stock market development. The results also suggest that in the short run there is a negative relationship between FDI, USD-PKR exchange rate and market capitalization. Contrarily, we found a positive relationship between FPI and market capitalization. The results of Granger causality test suggest that remittances and USD-PKR exchange rate have a causal relationship with stock market development. Finally, we found no evidence of structural breaks in the dataset.

Idiosyncratic Volatility, Conditional Liquidity, and Cross-section of Stock Returns in Korea (고유변동성, 조건부 유동성, 그리고 주식수익률의 횡단면에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Sang-Yong;Cho, Seong-Soon;Park, Soon-hong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study examines whether flight-to-liquidity (FTL) explains the dynamic liquidity risk on stock returns, and whether it has a significant influence on determinants the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study suggests a new risk factor, dynamic liquidity hedge portfolio (DLP), to reflect the dynamic impact of liquidity risk on stock returns and the Fama-MacBeth 2 stage regression analysis is employed in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, the DLP factor shows more positive and significant beta for the small or illiquidity stocks. Second, the DLP shows a different influence than SMB (size risk factor), HML (value risk factor), NMP (liquidity risk factor), FTVOL (total volatility factor) in determining the cross-section of stock returns. In addition, the DLP has a statistically significant risk premium of around 5%, which is relatively larger than other risk factors. Research implications or Originality - This study has academic value in terms of newly confirming that the DLP factor has a more significant impact on cross-sectional determination of stock returns than other risk factors by proposing a conditional liquidity factor that can explain the FTL phenomenon.

Effects of Additional Constraints on Performance of Portfolio Selection Models with Incomplete Information : Case Study of Group Stocks in the Korean Stock Market (불완전 정보 하에서 추가적인 제약조건들이 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 성과에 미치는 영향 : 한국 주식시장의 그룹주 사례들을 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyungchan;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.15-33
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    • 2015
  • Under complete information, introducing additional constraints to a portfolio will have a negative impact on performance. However, real-life investments inevitably involve use of error-prone estimations, such as expected stock returns. In addition to the reality of incomplete data, investments of most Korean domestic equity funds are regulated externally by the government, as well as internally, resulting in limited maximum investment allocation to single stocks and risk free assets. This paper presents an investment framework, which takes such real-life situations into account, based on a newly developed portfolio selection model considering realistic constraints under incomplete information. Additionally, we examined the effects of additional constraints on portfolio's performance under incomplete information, taking the well-known Samsung and SK group stocks as performance benchmarks during the period beginning from the launch of each commercial fund, 2005 and 2007 respectively, up to 2013. The empirical study shows that an investment model, built under incomplete information with additional constraints, outperformed a model built without any constraints, and benchmarks, in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio.