• 제목/요약/키워드: Stock Network

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Stock Market Forecasting : Comparison between Artificial Neural Networks and Arch Models

  • Merh, Nitin
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2012
  • Data mining is the process of searching and analyzing large quantities of data for finding out meaningful patterns and rules. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is one of the tools of data mining which is becoming very popular in forecasting the future values. Some of the areas where it is used are banking, medicine, retailing and fraud detection. In finance, artificial neural network is used in various disciplines including stock market forecasting. In the stock market time series, due to high volatility, it is very important to choose a model which reads volatility and forecasts the future values considering volatility as one of the major attributes for forecasting. In this paper, an attempt is made to develop two models - one using feed forward back propagation Artificial Neural Network and the other using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) technique for forecasting stock market returns. Various parameters which are considered for the design of optimal ANN model development are input and output data normalization, transfer function and neuron/s at input, hidden and output layers, number of hidden layers, values with respect to momentum, learning rate and error tolerance. Simulations have been done using prices of daily close of Sensex. Stock market returns are chosen as input data and output is the forecasted return. Simulations of the Model have been done using MATLAB$^{(R)}$ 6.1.0.450 and EViews 4.1. Convergence and performance of models have been evaluated on the basis of the simulation results. Performance evaluation is done on the basis of the errors calculated between the actual and predicted values.

인공신경망 모델을 이용한 주식시장에서의 투자전략에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Investment Strategy Using Neural Network Models in the Korean Stock Market)

  • 서영호;이정호
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 1998
  • Since the late 1980s, an Increasing number of neural network models have been studied in the areas of financial prediction and analysis. The purpose of this study is to Investigate the possibility of building a neural network model that is able to construct a profitable trading strategy in the Korean Stock Market. This study classifies stocks into the future market winners and losers from the publicly available accounting information and builds portfolios based on this information. The performances of the winner portfolios and the loser portfolios are compared with each other and against the market index. The empirical result of this research is consistent with the traditional fundamental analysis where it is claimed that the financial statements contain firm values that may not be fully reflected In stock prices without delay. Despite the supporting empirical evidence. It is somewhat Inconclusive as to whether or not the abnormal return in excess of market return is the result of the extra knowledge obtained in the neural network models derived from the historical accounting data. This research attempts to open another avenue using neural network models for searching for evidence against market efficiency where statistics and intuition have played a major role.

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Two-Dimensional Attention-Based LSTM Model for Stock Index Prediction

  • Yu, Yeonguk;Kim, Yoon-Joong
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1231-1242
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a two-dimensional attention-based long short-memory (2D-ALSTM) model for stock index prediction, incorporating input attention and temporal attention mechanisms for weighting of important stocks and important time steps, respectively. The proposed model is designed to overcome the long-term dependency, stock selection, and stock volatility delay problems that negatively affect existing models. The 2D-ALSTM model is validated in a comparative experiment involving the two attention-based models multi-input LSTM (MI-LSTM) and dual-stage attention-based recurrent neural network (DARNN), with real stock data being used for training and evaluation. The model achieves superior performance compared to MI-LSTM and DARNN for stock index prediction on a KOSPI100 dataset.

Arabic Stock News Sentiments Using the Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers Model

  • Eman Alasmari;Mohamed Hamdy;Khaled H. Alyoubi;Fahd Saleh Alotaibi
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2024
  • Stock market news sentiment analysis (SA) aims to identify the attitudes of the news of the stock on the official platforms toward companies' stocks. It supports making the right decision in investing or analysts' evaluation. However, the research on Arabic SA is limited compared to that on English SA due to the complexity and limited corpora of the Arabic language. This paper develops a model of sentiment classification to predict the polarity of Arabic stock news in microblogs. Also, it aims to extract the reasons which lead to polarity categorization as the main economic causes or aspects based on semantic unity. Therefore, this paper presents an Arabic SA approach based on the logistic regression model and the Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model. The proposed model is used to classify articles as positive, negative, or neutral. It was trained on the basis of data collected from an official Saudi stock market article platform that was later preprocessed and labeled. Moreover, the economic reasons for the articles based on semantic unit, divided into seven economic aspects to highlight the polarity of the articles, were investigated. The supervised BERT model obtained 88% article classification accuracy based on SA, and the unsupervised mean Word2Vec encoder obtained 80% economic-aspect clustering accuracy. Predicting polarity classification on the Arabic stock market news and their economic reasons would provide valuable benefits to the stock SA field.

Neural network heterogeneous autoregressive models for realized volatility

  • Kim, Jaiyool;Baek, Changryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.659-671
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we consider the extension of the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility by incorporating a neural network (NN) structure. Since HAR is a linear model, we expect that adding a neural network term would explain the delicate nonlinearity of the realized volatility. Three neural network-based HAR models, namely HAR-NN, $HAR({\infty})-NN$, and HAR-AR(22)-NN are considered with performance measured by evaluating out-of-sample forecasting errors. The results of the study show that HAR-NN provides a slightly wider interval than traditional HAR as well as shows more peaks and valleys on the turning points. It implies that the HAR-NN model can capture sharper changes due to higher volatility than the traditional HAR model. The HAR-NN model for prediction interval is therefore recommended to account for higher volatility in the stock market. An empirical analysis on the multinational realized volatility of stock indexes shows that the HAR-NN that adds daily, weekly, and monthly volatility averages to the neural network model exhibits the best performance.

Cascade-Correlation Network를 이용한 종합주가지수 예측

  • 지원철;박시우;신현정;신홍섭
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1996년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 공군사관학교, 청주; 26-27 Apr. 1996
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    • pp.745-748
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    • 1996
  • Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was predicted using Cascade Correlation Network (CCN) model. CCN was suggested, by Fahlman and Lebiere [1990], to overcome the limitations of backpropagation algorithm such as step size problem and moving target problem. To test the applicability of CCN as a function approximator to the stock price movements, CCN was used as a tool for univariate time series analysis. The fitting and forecasting performance fo CCN on the KOSPI was compared with those of Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP).

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필드버스를 이용한 전동차 차량간 통신 시스템 연구 (A Study on Train Communication Network for EMU using FieldBus)

  • 이수길;한성호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.1266-1268
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    • 2001
  • ProfiBus provides real-time data communication among field devices in the EMU (Electrical Multiple Unit) and TCMS (Train Control Monitoring System). This paper presents an adapt to Train Communication Network for EMU using ProfiBus DP(Decentralized Periphery) mathod, which is the layer 2 DDLM(Direct Data Link Mapper) protocol of ProfiBus.

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History of The Legal Developments of Corporations in Saudi Arabia

  • Alzhrani, Abdulrahman AA
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권8호
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    • pp.420-424
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    • 2022
  • The Arab Automotive Company was the first corporation in Saudi Arabia and was founded in 1928. Since then, the number of Saudi corporations had increased. In 1985, Tadawul (The Saudi Stock Exchange ) was instituted under the supervision of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority (SAMA) and the base value of the index was 1000. This decision came as a response to accelerated growth in the number of Saudi corporations which had increased during the 1970s as the Saudi's economy developed.

전동차 견인용 IGBT VVVF 인버터 (IGBT VVVF INVERTER AS A PROPULSION SYSTEM FOR ELECTRIC CAR)

  • 정은성;박윤환;장경현;이상준;배본호;김진선;김상훈
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.373-375
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we present IGBT VVVF inverters as a 1C1M propulsion system for electric car. These inverters are composed of high power IGBT's and controlled by compact control units. The control unit performs full digital control by using 32bit DSP and microcontroller. By using CAN-bus, high speed network is constructed within four control units. The stack is simplified and optimized by using plate bus and IGBT driver units of hybrid-type.

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가격할인하 안전재고 합리화를 위한 분배시스템 운영에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Operation of Distribution System for the Rationalization of Safety Stock under the Price Discount)

  • 김병찬;김홍기
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this was to improve a transportation cost relation between Central Distribution Centers(CDCs) and Regional Distribution Centers(RDCs), to control inventory cost concerning safety stock for each service level, by reviewing distribution steps connecting CDCs and RDCs under the price discount. It was also to examine and compare operating costs for the following two alternative suggestions for setting the service standard as a counter measure for a stock-out of the distribution network system management. First, provision by dispersing the safety stock to the CDCs and RDCs; and second, exclusive provision of the safety stock only to the RDCs. The cost comparison analysis was made for each category of purchase costs, regular transportation costs, express transportation costs, and inventory holding costs.