• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic order

검색결과 581건 처리시간 0.042초

Rain-wind induced vibration of inclined stay cables -Part II: Mechanical modeling and parameter characterisation

  • Cosentino, Nicola;Flamand, Olivier;Ceccoli, Claudio
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.485-498
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a mechanical model of Rain-Wind Induced Vibration (RWIV) of stay cables. It is based on the physical interpretation of the phenomenon as given in Cosentino, et al. (2003, referred as Part I). The model takes into account all the main forces acting on cable, on the upper water rivulet (responsible of the excitation) and the cable-rivulet interaction. It is a simplified (cable cross-sectional and deterministic) representation of the actual (stochastic and three-dimensional) phenomenon. The cable is represented by its cross section and it is subjected to mechanical and aerodynamic (considering the rivulet influence) forces. The rivulet is supposed to oscillate along the cable circumference and it is subjected to inertial and gravity forces, pressure gradients and air-water-cable frictions. The model parameters are calibrated by fitting with experimental results. In order to validate the proposed model and its physical basis, different conditions (wind speed and direction, cable frequency, etc.) have been numerically investigated. The results, which are in very good agreement with the RWIV field observations, confirm the validity of the method and its engineering applicability (to evaluate the RWIV sensitivity of new stays or to retrofit the existing ones). Nevertheless, the practical use of the model probably requires a more accurate calibration of some parameters through new and specifically oriented wind tunnel tests.

김발형 초음파 이동음원 추적센서 개발을 위한 의사최적 도래각 추정기법 (Quasi-Optimal DOA Estimation Scheme for Gimbaled Ultrasonic Moving Source Tracker)

  • 한슬기;이혜경;나원상;박진배;임재일
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권2호
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    • pp.276-283
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a practical quasi-optimal DOA(direction of arrival) estimator is proposed in order to develop a one-axis gimbaled ultrasonic source tracker for mobile robot applications. With help of the gimbal structure, the ultrasonic moving source tracking problem can be simply reduced to the DOA estimation. The DOA estimation is known as one of the representative long-pending nonlinear filtering problems, but the conventional nonlinear filters might be restrictive in many actual situations because it cannot guarantee the reliable performance due to the use of nonlinear signal model. This motivates us to reformulate the DOA estimation problem in the linear robust state estimation setting. Based on the assumption that the received ultrasonic signals are noisy sinusoids satisfying linear prediction property, a linear uncertain measurement model is newly derived. To avoid the DOA estimation performance degradation caused by the stochastic parameter uncertainty contained in the linear measurement model, the recently developed NCRKF (non-conservative robust Kalman filter) scheme [1] is utilized. The proposed linear DOA estimator provides excellent DOA estimation performance and it is suitable for real-time implementation for its linear recursive filter structure. The effectiveness of the suggested DOA estimation scheme is demonstrated through simulations and experiments.

강우의 모의발생에 관한 연구 (2차원 무작위 호우장에서) (A Study on the Rainfall Generation (In Two-dimensional Random Storm Fields))

  • 이재형;선우중호;항만하
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 1991
  • 최근 몇년동안 2차원 무작위 강우장의 확률특성치인 환상스펙트럼에 대한 논의가 있었고, 2차원 강우장의 모의 모형도 제안되었다. 본 연구는 맨처음 G.Matheron에 의해 소재된 회전띠기법(TBM)을 도입하여 앞서 제시된 환상스펙트럼이나 동방성 공분산 함수를 2차원 강우장으로 전환하는 문제를 다루었다. 특히 Bras의 강우 모의 모형에서 잔차 발생치의 보존특성에 중점을 두었는데 표본수의 증가에 따라 TBM에 의해 발생한 값을 토대로 산정한 평균과 공분산이 이론치에 접근해감을 보였다. 또한 표본의 갯수를 경제적인 규모로 선택하여 실시한 진행성 강우의 모의예도 제시하였다.

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EEDARS: An Energy-Efficient Dual-Sink Algorithm with Role Switching Mechanism for Event-Driven Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Eslaminejad, Mohammadreza;Razak, Shukor Abd;Ismail, Abdul Samad Haji
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제6권10호
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    • pp.2473-2492
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    • 2012
  • Energy conservation is a vital issue in wireless sensor networks. Recently, employing mobile sinks for data gathering become a pervasive trend to deal with this problem. The sink can follow stochastic or pre-defined paths; however the controlled mobility pattern nowadays is taken more into consideration. In this method, the sink moves across the network autonomously and changes its position based on the energy factors. Although the sink mobility would reduce nodes' energy consumption and enhance the network lifetime, the overhead caused by topological changes could waste unnecessary power through the sensor field. In this paper, we proposed EEDARS, an energy-efficient dual-sink algorithm with role switching mechanism which utilizes both static and mobile sinks. The static sink is engaged to avoid any periodic flooding for sink localization, while the mobile sink adaptively moves towards the event region for data collection. Furthermore, a role switching mechanism is applied to the protocol in order to send the nearest sink to the recent event area, hence shorten the path. This algorithm could be employed in event-driven and multi-hop scenarios. Analytical model and extensive simulation results for EEDARS demonstrate a significant improvement on the network metrics especially the lifetime, the load and the end-to-end delay.

Interpretation of the Basic and Effective Reproduction Number

  • Lim, Jun-Sik;Cho, Sung-il;Ryu, Sukhyun;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.405-408
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    • 2020
  • In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number (R0) is a term that describes the expected number of infections generated by 1 case in a susceptible population. At the beginning of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, R0 was frequently referenced by the public health community and the wider public. However, this metric is often misused or misinterpreted. Moreover, the complexity of the process of estimating R0 has caused difficulties for a substantial number of researchers. In this article, in order to increase the accessibility of this concept, we address several misconceptions related to the threshold characteristics of R0 and the effective reproduction number (Rt). Moreover, the appropriate interpretation of the metrics is discussed. R0 should be considered as a population-averaged value that pools the contact structure according to a stochastic transmission process. Furthermore, it is necessary to understand the unavoidable time lag for Rt due to the incubation period of the disease.

불확실성을 고려한 교량 하부구조 최적설계 (Optimal Design of Bridge Substructure Considering Uncertainty)

  • 박장호;신영석;신욱범;이재우
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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    • pp.387-390
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    • 2008
  • The importance of the life cycle cost analysis for construction projects of bridge has been recognized over the last decades. Accordingly, theoretical models, guidelines, and supporting softwares have been developed for the life cycle cost analysis of bridges. However, it is difficult to predict life cycle cost considering uncertainties precisely. This paper presents methodology for optimal design of substructure for a steel box bridge. Total life cycle cost for the service life is calculated as sum of initial cost, damage cost considering uncertainty, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost. The optimization method is applied to design of a bridge substructure with minimal cost, in which the objective function is set to life cycle cost and constraints are formulated on the basis of Korean Bridge Design Specification. Initial cost is calculated based on standard costs of the Korea Construction Price Index and damage cost on the damage probabilities to consider the uncertainty of load and resistance. An advanced first-order second moment method is used as a practical tool for reliability analysis using damage probability. Maintenance cost and cycle is determined by a stochastic method and user cost includes traffic operation costs and time delay costs.

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실제 임상 데이터를 이용한 NONMEM 7.2에 도입된 추정법 비교 연구 (Comparison of Estimation Methods in NONMEM 7.2: Application to a Real Clinical Trial Dataset)

  • 윤휘열;채정우;권광일
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.137-141
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This study compared the performance of new NONMEM estimation methods using a population analysis dataset collected from a clinical study that consisted of 40 individuals and 567 observations after a single oral dose of glimepiride. Method: The NONMEM 7.2 estimation methods tested were first-order conditional estimation with interaction (FOCEI), importance sampling (IMP), importance sampling assisted by mode a posteriori (IMPMAP), iterative two stage (ITS), stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM), and Markov chain Monte Carlo Bayesian (BAYES) using a two-compartment open model. Results: The parameters estimated by IMP, IMPMAP, ITS, SAEM, and BAYES were similar to those estimated using FOCEI, and the objective function value (OFV) for diagnosing the model criteria was significantly decreased in FOCEI, IMPMAP, SAEM, and BAYES in comparison with IMP. Parameter precision in terms of the estimated standard error was estimated precisely with FOCEI, IMP, IMPMAP, and BAYES. The run time for the model analysis was shortest with BAYES. Conclusion: In conclusion, the new estimation methods in NONMEM 7.2 performed similarly in terms of parameter estimation, but the results in terms of parameter precision and model run times using BAYES were most suitable for analyzing this dataset.

Utilization of Energy Storage System based on the Assessment of Area of Severity in Islanded Microgrid

  • Lee, Kyebyung;Yoon, Minhan;Park, Chang-Hyun;Jang, Gilsoo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a method to utilize an energy storage system (ESS) based on the assessment of an area of severity (AOS) to voltage sag. The AOS is defined as a set of the fault positions that can cause voltage sags at many buses simultaneously. The assessment of AOS helps to determine an optimal location of ESS installation to minimize the expected sag frequency (ESF) at concerned buses. The ESS has the ability not only to play traditionally known roles but also to mitigate voltage sag impact on renewable energy sources (RES) in the islanded microgrid. Accordingly, using the proposed method the ESS has additional features to prevent the operation failure of RESs and improve the stability of the microgrid. In order to verify the presented method, a case study was conducted on the sample microgrid system that is modified from an IEEE 57-bus system.

A Study on the Voltage Stabilization Method of Distribution System Using Battery Energy Storage System and Step Voltage Regulator

  • Kim, Byung-ki;Park, Jae-Beom;Choi, Sung-Sik;Jang, Moon-Seok;Rho, Dae-Seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2017
  • In order to maintain customer voltages within the allowable limit($220{\pm}13V$) as much as possible, tap operation strategy of SVR(Step Voltage Regulator) which is located in primary feeder, is widely used for voltage control in the utilities. However, SVR in nature has operation characteristic of the delay time ranging from 30 to 150 sec, and then the compensation of BESS (Battery Energy Storage System) during the delay time is being required because the customer voltages in distribution system may violate the allowable limit during the delay time of SVR. Furthermore, interconnection of PV(Photovoltaic) system could make a difficultly to keep customer voltage within the allowable limit. Therefore, this paper presents an optimal coordination operation algorithm between BESS and SVR based on a conventional LDC (Line Drop Compensation) method which is decided by stochastic approach. Through the modeling of SVR and BESS using the PSCAD/EMTDC, it is confirmed that customer voltages in distribution system can be maintained within the allowable limit.

라그랑지 관점에 입각한 난류유동장 내의 관성입자운동 모사 모델 (Lagrangian Simulation Model of Heavy Particle Motion in a Turbulent Flow)

  • 문선;맹주성
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 이런 점들을 고려, 난류유동장 내의 실제 입자운동을 좀더 사 실에 가깝도록 해석할 수 있는 모델을 제시하여 아직 실험에 의존하고 있는 관계분야 에 그 이론적 응용범위를 넓히는데 그 목적을 두었따. 본 연구의 목적상 입자가 존 재하는 난류장의 통계적 특성은 이미 알고 있는 것으로 가장하였으며 유체 내의 입자 농도가 충분히 낮고 입자의 크기가 충분히 작아서 입자가 유동장에 미치는 영향은 무 시할 수 있다고 간주하였다.