• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical estimation

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Prevalence Rate and Etiologic Risk Factors of Atopic Dermatitis in the Preschool Children in Changwon (창원시 학동 전기 소아들의 아토피 피부염 유병률과 그 원인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Keun;Lee, Ho-Sung;Ha, Jin-Sil;Park, Dong-Jin;Paik, Do-Hyun;Ha, Kwon-Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2009
  • In the past decade there has been increasing concern about the atopic dermatitis (AD) associated with environmental diseases. AD has been increased in the last decade and known as one of the multifactoral diseases, which has the genetic background and environmental factors at the same time. The purposes of this study were to investigate the prevalence rate and etiologic risk factors of atopic dermatitis in preschool children in Changwon, which is a one of the Korean cities and has a large industrial complex. We reviewed and analyzed the statistical data, obtained from Korea National Health Insurance Corporation, related to prevalence rate by age and administrative district. A cross-sectional questionnaire survey, based on ISAAC (International Study of Allergy and Asthma in Childhood), was conducted on random samples of preschool children (5 to 8 years old) of large sized kindergartens in Changwon. The lifetime and last one years prevalence of AD in preschool children in Changwon was increased from 1998 to 2008. The prevalence rate of AD in the preschool children in Changwon city was 9.6%. The prevalence rate in boys was 9.7% and that in girls was 9.4%. The one year prevalence of AD was ranked as middle among other provincial cities in Korea in 2008. This study showed that the prevalence rate of the atopic disease in Changwon was 9% in 2008, which was increased especially compare to 2000. More active governmental approaches for control and prevention of atopic dermatitis for children are recommended. Further studies are needed for more accurate estimation of the prevalence of AD in Korea including different regional and age population.

Study on the 2G High Temperature Superconducting Coil for Large Scale Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage Systems (대용량 에너지 저장장치용 2세대 고온 초전도 코일의 특성해석)

  • Lee, Ji-Young;Lee, Seyeon;Kim, Yungil;Park, Sang Ho;Choi, Kyeongdal;Lee, Ji-Kwang;Kim, Woo-Seok
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2015
  • Large scale superconducting magnetic energy storage (SMES) system requires very high magnetic energy density in its superconducting coils to enhance the energy capacity and efficiency of the system. The recent high temperature superconducting (HTS) conductors, so called 2G conductors, show very good performance under very high magnetic field so that they seem to be perfect materials for the large scale SMES coils. A general shape of the coil system with the 2G HTS conductor has been a tor oid, because the magnetic field applied perpendicularly to the surface of the 2G HTS conductor could be minimized in this shape of coil. However, a toroid coil requires a 3-dimensional computation to acquire the characteristics of its critical current density - magnetic field relations which needs very complicated numerical calculation, very high computer specification, and long calculation time. In this paper, we suggested an analytic and statistical calculation method to acquire the maximum magnetic flux density applied perpendicularly to the surface of the 2G HTS conductor and the stored energy in the toroid coil system. Although the result with this method includes some errors but we could reduce these errors within 5 percent to get a reasonable estimation of the important parameters for design process of the HTS toroid coil system. As a result, the calculation time by the suggested method could be reduced to 0.1 percent of that by the 3-dimensional numerical calculation.

Uncertainty evaluation of the analysis of 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol in hair by GC-NCI-MS/MS (GC-NCI-MS/MS를 이용한 모발 중 대마 대사체 분석의 측정불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Lee, Jae-Il;Cheong, Jae-Chul;Suh, Yong-Jun;In, Moon-Kyo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2011
  • We described an estimation of measurement uncertainty in quantitative analysis of 11-nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC-COOH), the metabolite of ${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol, in hair samples by using the bead-assisted liquid-liquid extraction and gas chromatography-tandem mass spectrometric (GC-NCI-MS/MS) detection. Traceability of measurement was established through the use of reference materials, calibrated volumetric tubes, volume measuring devices, and measuring instruments. The analytical results were compared and the different contributions to the uncertainty were evaluated. Inter-day variation was performed by using statistical analysis of several indicative factors. Measurement uncertainty associated with the analyte in real forensic hair samples were estimated using QC data. The major factor of contribution to combined standard uncertainty was inter-day repeatability, while those associated with preparation of analytical standard and also sample of weight were insignificant considering the degree of contribution. Relative uncertainty of relative extended standard uncertainty divided into the measured concentration of the analyte was 17% in a hair sample. The uncertainty of result evaluation will be invaluable to improve quality of the analysis.

Motion Vector Coding Using Adaptive Motion Resolution (적응적인 움직임 벡터 해상도를 이용한 움직임 벡터 부호화 방법)

  • Jang, Myung-Hun;Seo, Chan-Won;Han, Jong-Ki
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2012
  • In most conventional video codecs, such as MPEG-2 and MPEG-4, inter coding is performed with the fixed motion vector resolution. When KTA software was developed, resolution for MVs can be selected in each slice. Although KTA codec uses a variety of resolutions for ME, the selected resolution is applied over the entire pixels in the slice and the statistical property of the local area is not considered. In this paper, we propose an adaptive decision scheme for motion vector resolution which depends on region, where MV search area is divided to multiple regions according to the distance from PMV. In each region, the assigned resolution is used to estimate MV. Each region supports different resolution for ME from other regions. The efficiency of the proposed scheme is affected from threshold values to divide the search area and the entropy coding method to encode the estimated MV. Simulation results with HM3.0 which is the reference software of HEVC show that the proposed scheme provides bit rate gains of 0.9%, 0.6%, and 2.9% in Random Access, Low Delay with B picture, and Low Delay with P picture structures, respectively.

An Analysis of Sectoral GHG Emission Intensity from Energy Use in Korea (기후변화 협약 대응을 위한 산업별 온실가스 배출 특성 분석)

  • Chung, Whan-Sam;Tohno, Susumu;Shim, Sang-Yul
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.264-286
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    • 2008
  • In 2006, the share of energy in Korea amounted to 28% from the total import, 97% from overseas dependency, and 83% for the national Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission in 2004. Thus, from the aspects of economical and environmental policies, an energy analysis is very important, for the industry to cope with the imminent pressure for climate change. However, the estimation of GHG gas emissions due to an energy use is still done in a primitive way, whereby each industry's usage is multiplied by coefficients recommended from international organizations in Korea. At this level, it is impossible to formulate the prevailing logic and policies in face of a new paradigm that seeks to force participation of developing countries through so called post-Kyoto Protocol. In this study, a hybrid energy input-output (E-IO) analysis is conducted on the basis of the input-output(IO) table of 2000 issued by the Bank of Korea in 2003. Furthermore, according to economic sectors, emission of the GHG relative to an energy use is characterized. The analysis is accomplished from four points of view as follows: 1) estimating the GHG emission intensity by 96 sectors, 2) measuring the contribution ratio to GHG emissions by 14 energy sources, 3) calculating the emission factor of 3 GHG compounds, and 4) estimating the total amount of national GHG emission. The total amount estimated in this study is compared with a national official statistical number. The approach could be an appropriate model for the recently spreading concept of a Life Cycle Analysis as it analyzes not only a direct GHG emission from a direct energy use but also an associated emission from an indirect use. We expect this model can provide a form for the basis of a future GHG reduction policy making.

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Modeling of Visual Attention Probability for Stereoscopic Videos and 3D Effect Estimation Based on Visual Attention (3차원 동영상의 시각 주의 확률 모델 도출 및 시각 주의 기반 입체감 추정)

  • Kim, Boeun;Song, Wonseok;Kim, Taejeong
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 2015
  • Viewers of videos are likely to absorb more information from the part of the screen that attracts visual attention. This fact has led to the visual attention models that are being used in producing and evaluating videos. In this paper, we investigate the factors that are significant to visual attention and the mathematical form of the visual attention model. We then estimated the visual attention probability using the statistical design of experiments. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) verifies that the motion velocity, distance from the screen, and amount of defocus blur affect human visual attention significantly. Using the response surface modeling (RSM), we created a visual attention score model that concerns the three factors, from which we calculate the visual attention probabilities (VAPs) of image pixels. The VAPs are directly applied to existing gradient based 3D effect perception measurement. By giving weights according to our VAPs, our algorithm achieves more accurate measurement than the existing method. The performance of the proposed measurement is assessed by comparing them with subjective evaluation as well as with existing methods. The comparison verifies that the proposed measurement outperforms the existing ones.

A Study on Extending Successive Observation Coverage of MODIS Ocean Color Product (MODIS 해색 자료의 유효관측영역 확장에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jeong-Won;Kim, Hyun-Cheol;Park, Kyungseok;Lee, Sangwhan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.513-521
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    • 2015
  • In the processing of ocean color remote sensing data, spatio-temporal binning is crucial for securing effective observation area. The validity determination for given source data refers to the information in Level-2 flag. For minimizing the stray light contamination, NASA OBPG's standard algorithm suggests the use of large filtering window but it results in the loss of effective observation area. This study is aimed for quality improvement of ocean color remote sensing data by recovering/extending the portion of effective observation area. We analyzed the difference between MODIS/Aqua standard and modified product in terms of chlorophyll-a concentration, spatial and temporal coverage. The recovery fractions in Level-2 swath product, Level-3 daily composite product, 8-day composite product, and monthly composite product were $13.2({\pm}5.2)%$, $30.8({\pm}16.3)%$, $15.8({\pm}9.2)%$, and $6.0({\pm}5.6)%$, respectively. The mean difference between chlorophyll-a concentrations of two products was only 0.012%, which is smaller than the nominal precision of the geophysical parameter estimation. Increase in areal coverage also results in the increase in temporal density of multi-temporal dataset, and this processing gain was most effective in 8-day composite data. The proposed method can contribute for the quality enhancement of ocean color remote sensing data by improving not only the data productivity but also statistical stability from increased number of samples.

A Study on the Estimation of Pedestrian Signal Timing (횡단보도 보행신호시간 산정에 관한 연구)

  • An, Gye-Hyeong;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Lee, Yong-Il;Jeong, Jun-Ha;Kim, Yeong-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents new pedestrian signal timings considering pedestrian demand Pedestrian characteristics, and land use which were obtained by Pedestrian characteristics field survey and pedestrian signal operation survey. Pedestrian signal timings suggested were compared to the existing pedestrian signal timings by using real field data. pedestrian characteristics field survey was conducted to collect pedestrian crossing speed data and reaction time data. Sixteen areas in Seoul were selected for the data collection. The average pedestrian crossing speed was 1.30m/sec and the 15th Percentile speed was 1.11m/sec. The average reaction time was 2.24 seconds. Pedestrian crossing speed differs by land use, road width. pedestrian age, sex, and number of Pedestrians. Reaction time also differs by road width, pedestrian age, and number of pedestrians. Statistical testing was performed to secure reliability of the collected data.

Estimation of Diffusion Direction and Velocity of PM10 in a Subway Station (For Gaehwasan Station of Subway Line 5 in Seoul) (지하철 역사 미세먼지(PM10)의 확산방향과 확산속도 추정 (서울 지하철 5호선 개화산역을 대상으로))

  • Park, Jong-Heon;Park, Jae-Cheol;Eum, Seong-Jik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2010
  • In order to prepare an efficient solution for PM10 reduction in underground stations, the authors measured PM10 concentration levels every 30 minutes in the concourse, platform, and tunnel of Gaehwasan Station of Seoul's subway line 5. Through a correlation analysis of each changing pattern of PM10 concentration, the direction and velocity of diffusion in underground stations were estimated. The PM10 concentration levels were highest in the tunnel, followed by the platform and concourse. PM10 concentrations in the tunnel, platform, and concourse showed a pattern of increasing in the rush hours and decreasing in the non-rush hours. According to the statistical analysis of PM10 concentrations and changing patterns in each location, the higher PM10 concentration in the tunnel expanded to the platform, and some from the platform expanded to the concourse. Therefore, to efficiently reduce PM10 concentrations, it is essential to detect the centralized generation, diffusion factor, expanding route, expanding measure, and other variables and to remove or reduce the diffusion factor and level. Through operating the ventilation system in the right time frame while the PM10 concentration level increases, the power consumption and peak power consumption can be reduced.

Estimation of Lane Utilization Adjustment Factors for Signalized Intersections Adjacent to an Off-ramp-Street Junction (연결로-일반도로 합류부와 인접한 신호교차로의 차로이용률 계수 산출)

  • Chae, Chandle;Jung, Dongwoo;Kim, Youngho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2013
  • This paper investigated the influences of ramp traffic flow on the lane utilization for signalized intersection approaches which are adjacent to an off-ramp-street junction. The statistical test showed a correlation between lane utilization and the ramp traffic flow. As the ramp traffic flow increases, the left lanes are less utilized and the right lanes are more utilized. The lane utilization factors are calculated by applying traffic data collected from the Seoul Metropolitan area. The utilization factors are 1.113 for 2 lanes, 1.124 for 3 lanes, and 1.131 for 4 lanes. The lane utilization factors proposed in the paper show higher values than those in current Korea Highway Capacity Manual (KHCM) under the conditions that the number of lanes is 2 or 3. However, the lane utilization factor for 4 lanes in the paper shows lower value than in KHCM. The ramp traffic flow causes more utilization of the right lanes than at normal signalized intersections and the extent gets larger as the number of lanes decreases. Based on the results of the paper, the lane utilization factors at signalized intersection approaches should be revised and reasonable capacity should be recalculated if the signalized intersection is adjacent to an off-ramp-street junction.