• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical Nature

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Online Learning Control for Network-induced Time Delay Systems using Reset Control and Probabilistic Prediction Method (네트워크 기반 시간지연 시스템을 위한 리세트 제어 및 확률론적 예측기법을 이용한 온라인 학습제어시스템)

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Sim, Kwang-Yeul;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.929-938
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel control methodology for communication network based nonlinear systems with time delay nature. We construct a nominal nonlinear control law for representing a linear model and a reset control system which is aimed for corrective control strategy to compensate system error due to uncertain time delay through wireless communication network. Next, online neural control approach is proposed for overcoming nonstationary statistical nature in the network topology. Additionally, DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network) technique is accomplished for modeling of its dynamics in terms of casuality, which is then utilized for estimating prediction of system output. We evaluate superiority and reliability of the proposed control approach through numerical simulation example in which a nonlinear inverted pendulum model is employed as a networked control system.

Inappropriate Survey Design Analysis of the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey May Produce Biased Results

  • Kim, Yangho;Park, Sunmin;Kim, Nam-Soo;Lee, Byung-Kook
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.96-104
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The inherent nature of the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) design requires special analysis by incorporating sample weights, stratification, and clustering not used in ordinary statistical procedures. Methods: This study investigated the proportion of research papers that have used an appropriate statistical methodology out of the research papers analyzing the KNHANES cited in the PubMed online system from 2007 to 2012. We also compared differences in mean and regression estimates between the ordinary statistical data analyses without sampling weight and design-based data analyses using the KNHANES 2008 to 2010. Results: Of the 247 research articles cited in PubMed, only 19.8% of all articles used survey design analysis, compared with 80.2% of articles that used ordinary statistical analysis, treating KNHANES data as if it were collected using a simple random sampling method. Means and standard errors differed between the ordinary statistical data analyses and design-based analyses, and the standard errors in the design-based analyses tended to be larger than those in the ordinary statistical data analyses. Conclusions: Ignoring complex survey design can result in biased estimates and overstated significance levels. Sample weights, stratification, and clustering of the design must be incorporated into analyses to ensure the development of appropriate estimates and standard errors of these estimates.

A Study on the Statistical Probability Instruction through Computer Simulation (컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통한 통계적 확률 지도에 대한 연구)

  • Shin Bo-Mi;Lee Kyung-Hwa
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.139-156
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    • 2006
  • The concept of probability in current school mathematics has been dealt with in the classic viewpoint (mathematical probability) and part of the frequency viewpoint and axiomatic viewpoint have been introduced. However, since the exact understanding of the probability concepts is not possible only with the classic viewpoint, we need to research further on methods to complement classic viewpoint and emphasize various aspects of probability concepts (Lee, Kyung Hwa, 1996). Therefore, this study is to find out optimal computer simulation plans in teaching statistical probability. For the purpose, it examines how the nature of mathematical knowledge may be changed when statistical probability is taught with a use of computer simulation based on the Theory of Didactical Situation presented by Brousseau(1997). Next, it identifies how probability curriculum should be reconstituted for introducing statistical probability through computer simulation. Finally, it develops specific teaching materials that introduce statistical probability using computer simulation based on the results obtained.

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Assessment of Slope Stability With the Uncertainty in Soil Property Characterization (지반성질 불확실성을 고려한 사면안정 해석)

  • 김진만
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2003
  • The estimation of key soil properties and subsequent quantitative assessment of the associated uncertainties has always been an important issue in geotechnical engineering. It is well recognized that soil properties vary spatially as a result of depositional and post-depositional processes. The stochastic nature of spatially varying soil properties can be treated as a random field. A practical statistical approach that can be used to systematically model various sources of uncertainty is presented in the context of reliability analysis of slope stability Newly developed expressions for probabilistic characterization of soil properties incorporate sampling and measurement errors, as well as spatial variability and its reduced variance due to spatial averaging. Reliability analyses of the probability of slope failure using the different statistical representations of soil properties show that the incorporation of spatial correlation and conditional simulation leads to significantly lower probability of failure than obtained using simple random variable approach.

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Analysis of cause-of-death mortality and actuarial implications

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Sung;Nguyen, Vu Hai
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2019
  • Mortality study is an essential component of actuarial risk management for life insurance policies, annuities, and pension plans. Life expectancy has drastically increased over the last several decades; consequently, longevity risk associated with annuity products and pension systems has emerged as a crucial issue. Among the various aspects of mortality study, a consideration of the cause-of-death mortality can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the nature of mortality/longevity risk. In this case study, the cause-of-mortality data in Korea and the US were analyzed along with a multinomial logistic regression model that was constructed to quantify the impact of mortality reduction in a specific cause on actuarial values. The results of analyses imply that mortality improvement due to a specific cause should be carefully monitored and reflected in mortality/longevity risk management. It was also confirmed that multinomial logistic regression model is a useful tool for analyzing cause-of-death mortality for actuarial applications.

The Bandwidth from the Density Power Divergence

  • Pak, Ro Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.435-444
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    • 2014
  • The most widely used optimal bandwidth is known to minimize the mean integrated squared error(MISE) of a kernel density estimator from a true density. In this article proposes, we propose a bandwidth which asymptotically minimizes the mean integrated density power divergence(MIDPD) between a true density and a corresponding kernel density estimator. An approximated form of the mean integrated density power divergence is derived and a bandwidth is obtained as a product of minimization based on the approximated form. The resulting bandwidth resembles the optimal bandwidth by Parzen (1962), but it reflects the nature of a model density more than the existing optimal bandwidths. We have one more choice of an optimal bandwidth with a firm theoretical background; in addition, an empirical study we show that the bandwidth from the mean integrated density power divergence can produce a density estimator fitting a sample better than the bandwidth from the mean integrated squared error.

Comparison of Jump-Preserving Smoothing and Smoothing Based on Jump Detector

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.519-528
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of discontinuous regression curve. Quite number of researches about this topic have been done. These researches are classified into two categories, the indirect approach and direct approach. The major goal of the indirect approach is to obtain good estimates of jump locations, whereas the major goal of the direct approach is to obtain overall good estimate of the regression curve. Thus it seems that two approaches are quite different in nature, so people say that the comparison of two approaches does not make much sense. Therefore, a thorough comparison of them is lacking. However, even though the main issue of the indirect approach is the estimation of jump locations, it is too obvious that we have an estimate of regression curve as the subsidiary result. The point is whether the subsidiary result of the indirect approach is as good as the main result of the direct approach. The performance of two approaches is compared through a simulation study and it turns out that the indirect approach is a very competitive tool for estimating discontinuous regression curve itself.

Implementation of Efficient Weather Forecasting Model Using the Selecting Concentration Learning of Neural Network (신경망의 선별학습 집중화를 이용한 효율적 온도변화예측모델 구현)

  • 이기준;강경아;정채영
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.6B
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    • pp.1120-1126
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    • 2000
  • Recently, in order to analyze the time series problems that occur in the nature word, and analyzing method using a neural electric network is being studied more than a typical statistical analysis method. A neural electric network has a generalization performance that is possible to estimate and analyze about non-learning data through the learning of a population. In this paper, after collecting weather datum that was collected from 1987 to 1996 and learning a population established, it suggests the weather forecasting system for an estimation and analysis the future weather. The suggested weather forecasting system uses 28*30*1 neural network structure, raises the total learning numbers and accuracy letting the selecting concentration learning about the pattern, that is not collected, using the descending epsilon learning method. Also, the weather forecasting system, that is suggested through a comparative experiment of the typical time series analysis method shows more superior than the existing statistical analysis method in the part of future estimation capacity.

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Korean Listeners' Perception of English /i/, /I/, and /$\epsilon$/

  • Yun, Yung-Do
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • In this study I investigate how native Korean listeners perceive English vowels /i/, /I/, and /$\epsilon$/. I extend Flege et al's (1997) study with synthesized /i/-/I/ and /I/-/$\epsilon$/ continua, and apply the results to Flege's (1995) Speech Learning Model (SLM). The statistical results show that native speakers of English rely more on spectral steps than on vowel duration when they identify the /i/-/I/ continuum, whereas native speakers of Korean rely more on vowel duration than on spectral steps when they identify the same continuum. In the case of the /I/-/$\epsilon$/ continuum, both groups rely on spectral steps when they identify the /$\epsilon$/, which supports the SLM; Koreans identified the /$\epsilon$/ categorically since Korean has the equivalent vowel. However, there was not statistical difference between Korean subjects with more English experience (KE) and those with less English experience in the identification of both continua. This contradicts the SLM, which posits that experienced L2 learners are better than inexperienced L2 learners in perception of L2 sounds. The exact nature of this should be further investigated in the SLM.

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Crack Retardation byt Load Reduction During Fatigue Crack Propagation (피로균열전파 동안 하중감소에 의한 균열지연)

  • Kim, Hyun-Soo;Nam, Ki-Woo;Ahn, Seok-Hwan;Do, Jae-Yoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.12
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    • pp.2004-2010
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    • 2003
  • Fracture life and crack retardation behavior were examined experimentally using CT specimens of aluminum alloy 5083. Crack retardation life and fracture life were a wide difference. between 0.8 and 0.6 in proportion to ratio of load reduction. The wheeler model retardation parameter was used successfully to predict crack growth behavior. By using a crack propagation rule, prediction of fracture life can be evaluated quantitatively. A statistical approach based on Weibull distribution was applied to the test data to evaluate the dispersion in the retardation life and fracture life by the change of load reduction.