• 제목/요약/키워드: Statistical Modelling

검색결과 168건 처리시간 0.023초

New techniques for estimating the shut-in pressure in hydro-fracturing pressure-time curves

  • Choi Sung O.
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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    • pp.272-280
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    • 2003
  • A definite shut-in pressure in hydraulic fracturing techniques is needed for obtaining the correct information on the in-situ stress regimes in rock masses. The relation between the behaviour of hydraulically induced fractures and the condition of remote stress is considered to be major reasons of an ambiguous shut-in pressure in hydraulic fracturing pressure-time history curves. This paper describes the results of a series of numerical analyses carried out using UDEC(Universal Distinct Element Code, Itasca), which is based on the discrete element method, to compare several methods for determining the shut-in pressure during hydraulic fracturing. The fully coupling of hydraulic and mechanical analysis was applied, and the effects of four different discontinuity geometries in numerical modelling have been investigated for this purpose. The effects of different remote stress regimes and different physical properties on hydraulic fracture propagation have been also analyzed. Several methods for obtaining shut-in pressure from the ambiguous shut-in curves have been applied to all the numerical models. The graphical intersection methods, such as (P vs. t) method, (P vs. log(t)) method, (log(P) vs. log(t)) method, give smaller values of the shut-in pressure than the statistical method, (dP/dt vs. P). Care should be taken in selecting a method for shut-in pressure, because there can be existed a stress anomaly around the wellbore and fracturing from the wellbore by a constant flow rate may have a more complicate mechanism.

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일반화 파레토 모형에서의 베이지안 예측 (A Bayesian Prediction of the Generalized Pareto Model)

  • 판허;손중권
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1069-1076
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    • 2014
  • 기후 온난화의 한 현상으로 받아들여지는 집중호우로 인한 관심이 늘어난 만큼 강우량에 대한 예측 모형이 필요하다. 이러 환경 문제를 다룰 때, 모형을 설정하는 방법 중에 하나로 일반화 파레토 모형을 활용하는 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 서울특별시에 대한 1973년부터 2011년까지 매 7월 일별강우량 자료를 가지고 일반화 파레토 모형을 사용하여 강우량의 임계값(70mm) 이상의 분포가 어떻게 되는지 연구한다. 모수의 사전분포는 감마분포랑 역감마분포를 정의하고, 또는 제프리의 정보가 없는 사전분포를 두고, 깁스 표본방법을 통해 베이지안 사후예측분포를 구하고 얻어진 결과를 비교해 본다.

확산모형 전이확률밀도의 급수근사법과 그 계수 (A Note on Series Approximation of Transition Density of Diffusion Processes)

  • 이은경;최영수;이윤동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2010
  • 확산모형은 최근 금융현상의 연구 등에 자주 사용되는 모형이다. 본 연구에서는 확산모형의 추정에서 중요한 역할을 하는 전이확률밀도를 구하는 방법과 이를 급수전개 방식으로 근사하는 기존 연구들을 검토하여 보고, 급수전개법에서의 계수를 손쉽게 구할 수 있는 방법을 고려하게 된다. 급수전개법 계산과정에서 중요한 허밋다항식에 딘킨연산자를 반복적으로 적용하는 과정을 손쉽게 계산할 수 있는 알고리즘을 제안한다.

공중폭발 탄용 후막 발진회로의 수신감도 안정화 모델 (The Stabilization Model of Receive Sensitivity of Thick Film Oscillation Circuit for Air Explosion Shell)

  • 임영철;김관우;최진봉;정영국
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 군용 공중폭발탄에 사용하는 발진기의 에러를 최소화 하고, 그 효율을 극대화하기 위하여 시뮬레이션과 매우 유사한 형태의 통계적 모델링 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 일정하고 안정된 출력을 내는 실제 모델에서 실험 계획에 의하여 얻은 데이터로부터 통계적인 해석을 통하여 새로운 형태의 방정식을 구하였다. 그리고 그것을 바탕으로 각각의 전자 부품들을 출력과 일치되도록 모델링 한 후, 출력 예측이 가능한 시뮬레이션을 수행하고, 실제 모델의 출력 데이터와 비교하여 그 유용성, 정확도 및 정밀도를 입증하였다.

커피전문점 브랜드의 연예인 광고모델 적합도, 기업·고객 관계품질, 브랜드 충성도 간의 구조적 관계 고찰 (The Relationships among Suitability of the Entertainer Advertising Model, Relationship Quality and Brand Loyalty in Coffee Shop)

  • 김영국;박현규;남장현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was to identify the structural relationships among suitability of entertainer advertising model, relationship quality and brand loyalty in coffee shop. Methods: This study collected data from those who visited two reputed franchised coffee shops. A variety of statistical methods were used; descriptive analysis, exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation modelling analysis. Results: The research results from this study are as follows: First, only credibility factor has a positive impact on relationship quality; second credibility and expertness factors positively influence brand loyalty; and third, there is a positive relationship between relationship quality and brand loyalty. Conclusion: The results of this research are useful for identifying the role of advertising models's suitability in estimating relationship quality and brand loyalty and strategies for strengthening brand loyalty for coffee shops.

함수형 ARCH 분석 및 다변량 변동성을 통한 일중 로그 수익률 시간 간격 선택 (Functional ARCH analysis for a choice of time interval in intraday return via multivariate volatility)

  • 김다희;윤재은;황선영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.297-308
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 고빈도 함수적 ARCH 모형을 소개하고 근사모형으로써 다변량 변동성 모형을 고려하였다. 이를 기반으로 함수형 변동성 분석에서 중요한 요소인 일중 로그 수익률의 적절한 시간 간격을 찾아보았다. 또한 함수적 ARCH 모형에서 l-시차 후 변동성 예측식을 제시하고 고빈도 KOSPI 자료에 적합하여 예시하였다.

지반공학적 재해 및 산사태 위험도 분석에 관한 연구 (International Research on Geotechnical Risk & Landslide Hazards)

  • 윤길림;윤여원;김홍연
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.444-455
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    • 2009
  • Great concerns on geotechnical risk & hazard assessment have been increased due to human and economic damage by natural disasters with recent global climate changes. In this paper, geotechnical problems in particular, landslides which is interested in European countries and North America, were mainly discussed. For these, 18 key topics on geotechnical risk and hazards which had been discussed at the LARAM 2008 workshop in Italy were analyzed after grouping by subjects. Main topic contents consisted of applications such as field measurement, early warning systems, uncertainty analysis of parameters using radar, optical data and statistical theory and so on. And the problems related to analysis of vulnerability and deformation due to earthquakes, investigation of gas zone using seismic reflection data in a landslide area, risk quantification and hazard assessment of landslide movements and multi-dimensional analysis for stability of complex slopes were attracted. Also, there were studies on risk matters of cultural heritage, the blockglide of clayey ground, simulations of debris flows based on GIS, quantification of the failure processes of rock slopes, a meshless method for 3D crack modelling, and finally risk assessment for cryological processes due to global warming.

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직무만족도가 근로자의 질병결근에 미치는 영향 : 불건강증상 경험수의 조절효과 (Sickness absence and job satisfaction)

  • 이경용;박원열
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2014
  • Sickness absence is one of the most important indicators for worker's health and occupational safety and health performance. Sickness absence is primarily depended upon sickness but psycho-social factors in workplace may moderate sickness absence. Even though worker is falling into illness, sickness absence can be prevented by job satisfaction. In Korea it is very difficult to find research output about the association of sickness absence with job satisfaction. This study is planned to investigate the effect of job satisfaction on sickness absence. The third Korean Working Conditions Survey done by Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute in 2011 was used to analyze by logistic regression analysis. The result has shown that job satisfaction has statistically significant effect on sickness absence and simultaneously diminish the effect of symptoms experience on sickness absence. The effect of job satisfaction is greater in short term sickness absence than in long term sickness absence. This study has some limitation because of the cross sectional data of Korean Working Conditions Survey. In future, sophisticated statistical analysis may be done with modelling.

Factors Affecting Employees' Organizational Commitment in Foreign Direct Investment Enterprises

  • NGUYEN, Thi Viet Nga;DO, Thanh Quang;DINH, Cong Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권10호
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    • pp.413-421
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to develop a research framework to investigate the factors affecting organizational commitment among employees who are working in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) enterprises in Vietnam. The authors designed an online survey distributed to employees in FDI enterprises, collecting the data from 312 employees. All scales in this study are adopted from previous studies; tools employed include Cronbach's Alpha, Exploratory Factor Analysis, and Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) to examine the internal consistency, reliability, dimensionality, and validity of each variable. Then, the structural equation modelling (SEM) was utilized in order to estimate path correlations between variables. Results indicate that the leadership style has the strongest effect on organizational commitment, followed by job satisfaction and working performance. Moreover, working performance and job satisfaction are also influenced by leadership style. However, there is no statistical evidence to show that job satisfaction has an impact on working performance. In addition, bootstrapping method is used to show the indirect effect of variables; results reveal that leadership style, though, does not have indirect effect on working performance via job satisfaction, but it indirectly affects organizational commitment throughout working performance. In other words, the study finds that working performance mediates the link between leadership style and organizational commitment.

Treatment of Rice Mill Wastewater Using Continuous Electrocoagulation Technique: Optimization and Modelling

  • Karichappan, Thirugnanasambandham;Venkatachalam, Sivakumar;Jeganathan, Prakash Maran;Sengodan, Kandasamy
    • 대한화학회지
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    • 제57권6호
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    • pp.761-768
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    • 2013
  • Removal of COD and TSS from rice mill wastewater was investigated using continuous electrocoagulation method (CEC). The electrical energy consumption (EEC) of the process was also examined in order to evaluate the economic viability. The Box-Behnken statistical experiment design (BBD) and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to investigate the effects of major operating variables. Initial pH, current density, electrode distance and flow rate were selected as independent variables in BBD while COD removal, TSS removal and EEC were considered as the response functions. The predicted values of responses obtained using the response function was in good agreement with the experimental data. Optimum operating conditions were found to be pH of 7, current density of 15 mA $cm^{-2}$, electrode distance of 5 cm and flow rate of 70 ml/min. Under these conditions, greater than 89% removal of COD and TSS were obtained with EEC value of 7 KWh.