• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.139-149
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• 1997

For split plot designs exact univariate F tests of the within-subjects main effect are based on the assumption of multisample sphericity. Type I error rates and power are reported for the F test and two tests designed for use when multisample sphericity is violated: the $\widetilde{\xi}$-adjusted test and the Corrected Improved General Approximation(CIGA) test.The results indicate that even though the F test and the $\widetilde{\xi}$-adjusted test have better power than the CIGA test in some conditions, the F test and the $\widetilde{\xi}$-adjusted test do not control Type I error rates when the design is unbalanced and the F test dose not have a good control of Type I error rates when sphericity assumption is severely violated.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.89-99
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• 2003

The primary purpose of this paper is to estimate the wealth effect. We establish a linear relationships between household consumption, labor income, and stock price index. Each variable is nonstationary. And so, it contains a unit root. However, as the result of the test about cointegrating relations, the variables are cointegrated which implies the error term is stationary. The cointegrating parameter that the marginal propensity to consume out of stock price is 0.08%. The result of estimation shows the error correction is -0.62 and the significant level is also high. The error correction term indicates a rather rapid adjustment to deviations from the long run equilibrium relations.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.85-92
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• 2003

We consider the partially linear model E(Y) : X$^{t}$ $\beta$＋η(Z) when the X's are measured with additive error. The semiparametric likelihood estimation ignoring the measurement error gives inconsistent estimator for both $\beta$ and η(.). In this paper we suggest the SIMEX estimator for f to correct the bias induced by measurement error, and explore its properties. We show that the rational linear extrapolant is proper in extrapolation step in the sense that the SIMEX method under this extrapolant gives consistent estimator It is also shown that the SIMEX estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the semiparametric version of the usual parametric correction for attenuation suggested by Liang et al. (1999) A simulation study is given to compare two variance estimating methods for SIMEX estimator.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.273-289
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• 2023

In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.63-75
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• 1985

This paper considers a statistical calibration problem in which the standard as wel as the nonstandard measurement is subject to error. Since the classicla approach cannot handle this situation properly, a functional relationship model with additional feature of prediction is proposed. For the analysis of the problem four different approaches-two estimation techniques (ordinary and grouping least squares) combined with two prediction methods (classical and inverse prediction)-are considered. By Monte Carlo simulation the perromance of each approach is assessed in term of the probability of concentration. The simulation results indicate that the ordinary least squares with inverse prediction is generally preferred in interpolation while the grouping least squares with classical prediction turns out to be better in extrapolation.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.510-520
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• 1988

In this paper, the output error variance due to the differential vcariation of the state-space coefficient [ABCD], which is the coefficient quentization error, is normalized on the variance for cases that infinite wordlength state-space digital filter is realized by the finite one. That is, defining S as the statistical sensitivity and extending controllability gramian, observability gramian, and 2nd order mode analysis method to the state space digital filter, we synthesize the realization structure with the minimum statistical sensitivity and prove the effecency of the minimum statistical sensitivity structure synthesis by the simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.230-234
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• 2009

As concrete ages, the surrounding environment is expected to have growing influences on the concrete. As all the impacts of the environment cannot be considered in the strength-estimating model of a nondestructive concrete test, the increase in concrete age leads to growing uncertainty in the strength-estimating model. Therefore, the variation of the model error increases. It is necessary to include those impacts in the probability model of concrete strength attained from the nondestructive tests so as to build a more accurate reliability model for structural performance evaluation. This paper reviews and categorizes the existing strength-estimating statistical models of nondestructive concrete test, and suggests a new form of the strength-estimating statistical models to properly reflect the model uncertainty due to aging of the concrete. This new form of the statistical models will lay foundation for more accurate structural performance evaluation.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.9-23
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• 1988

The classicla theory of statistical calibration assumes that the standard measurement is exact. From a realistic point of view, however, this assumption needs to be relaxed so that more meaningful calibration procedures may be developed. This paper presents a model which explicitly considers errors in both standard and nonstandard measurements. Under the assumption that replicated observations are available in the calibration experiment, three estimation techniques (ordinary least squares, grouping least squares, and maximum likelihood estimation) combined with two prediction methods (direct and inverse prediction) are compared in terms of the asymptotic mean square error of prediction.

• Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.657-667
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• 2001

We propose a statistical interpolation approximate solution for a nonlinear stochastic integral equation of a stock price process. The proposed method has the order O(h$^2$) of local error under the weaker conditions of $\mu$ and $\sigma$ than those of Milstein' scheme.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.107-113
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• 1984

In a linear regression model the idependent variables are frequently subject to measurement errors. For this case, the problem of estimating unknown parameters has been extensively discussed in the literature while very few has been concerned with the effect of measurement errors on prediction. This paper investigates the behavior of the predicted values of the dependent variable in terms of the average mean square error of prediction (AMSEP). AMSEP may be used as a criterion for selecting an appropriate estimation method, for designing an estimation experiment, and for developing cost-effective future sampling schemes.