• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical Discrete Distribution

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Analysis of Consolidation considering Uncertainties of Geotechnical Parameters and Reliability method (지반특성의 불확실성과 신뢰성 기법을 고려한 압밀해석)

  • Lee, Kyu-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.138-146
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    • 2007
  • Geotechnical performance at the soft ground is strongly dependent on the properties of the soil beneath and adjacent to the structure of interest. These soil properties can be described using deterministic and/or probabilistic models. Deterministic models typically use a single discrete descriptor for the parameter of interest. Probabilistic models describe parameters by using discrete statistical descriptors or probability distribution density functions. The consolidation process depends on several uncertain parameters including the coefficients of consolidation and coefficients of permeability in vertical and horizontal directions. The implication of this uncertain parameter in the design of prefabricated vertical drains for soil improvement is discussed. A sensitivity analysis of the degree of consolidation and calculation of settlements to these uncertain parameters is presented for clayey deposits.

Fragility analysis of R/C frame buildings based on different types of hysteretic model

  • Borekci, Muzaffer;Kircil, Murat S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.795-812
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    • 2011
  • Estimation of damage probability of buildings under a future earthquake is an essential issue to ensure the seismic reliability. Fragility curves are useful tools for showing the probability of structural damage due to earthquakes as a function of ground motion indices. The purpose of this study is to compare the damage probability of R/C buildings with low and high level of strength and ductility through fragility analysis. Two different types of sample buildings have been considered which represent the building types mentioned above. The first one was designed according to TEC-2007 and the latter was designed according to TEC-1975. The pushover curves of sample buildings were obtained via pushover analyses. Using 60 ground motion records, nonlinear time-history analyses of equivalent single degree of freedom systems were performed using bilinear hysteretic model and peak-oriented hysteretic model with stiffness - strength deterioration for each scaled elastic spectral displacement. The damage measure is maximum inter-story drift ratio and each performance level considered in this study has an assumed limit value of damage measure. Discrete damage probabilities were calculated using statistical methods for each considered performance level and elastic spectral displacement. Consequently, continuous fragility curves have been constructed based on the lognormal distribution assumption. Furthermore, the effect of hysteresis model parameters on the damage probability is investigated.

Feature Extraction of Partial Discharge for Stator Winding of High Voltage Motor (고압전동기 고정자권선의 부분방전 특징추출)

  • Park, Jae-Jun
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2004
  • On-line monitoring of fault discharge is an important approach for indicating the condition of electrical insulation of stator winding in high voltage motor. In this paper, several key aspects of on-line monitoring system are discussed, involving the characteristics of fault discharge of stator winding in high voltage motor, spectrum analysis of four simulation fault signals, feature extraction of internal fault discharge from apply voltage to breakdown. The study of the partial discharge activities allows to highlight the ageing stage in the winding fault under test. During the life of the winding insulation fault, the shape of PD signal change relating to the ageing stage. The ageing of stator winding insulation fault of high voltage motor is investigated based on the characteristics of partial discharge pulse distribution and statistical parameters, such as maximum, skewness and kurtosis using discrete wavelet trnasform coefficients.

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A New Watermarking Algorithm Using the Edge and PN Code (에지와 대역확산기술을 이용한 디지털 워터마킹 기법)

  • Song Sang-Ju;Lee Doo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.9 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we proposed a new digital watermarking technique. It uses frequency domain of discrete wavelet transform(DWT). watermarking technique is one of the most important tools for DRM(Digital Right Management) We proposed a new algorithm watermark insertion and detection. This technique cleats the watermark sequence using the edge image, spread spectrum technique and DWT. We tested the technique with various attacks. and found that it satisfies the watermarking evaluation criteria. Cox similarity measurement value is more than 6 on the Lena image and PSNR is more than 40dB on JPEG, Collusion. Clopping and Scatting. By the result, we proved that the new technique satisfies the requirement of Digital contents distribution, which are undeletablility tenacity, statistical undetectablility.

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Statistical Modeling Methods for Analyzing Human Gait Structure (휴먼 보행 동작 구조 분석을 위한 통계적 모델링 방법)

  • Sin, Bong Kee
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2012
  • Today we are witnessing an increasingly widespread use of cameras in our lives for video surveillance, robot vision, and mobile phones. This has led to a renewed interest in computer vision in general and an on-going boom in human activity recognition in particular. Although not particularly fancy per se, human gait is inarguably the most common and frequent action. Early on this decade there has been a passing interest in human gait recognition, but it soon declined before we came up with a systematic analysis and understanding of walking motion. This paper presents a set of DBN-based models for the analysis of human gait in sequence of increasing complexity and modeling power. The discussion centers around HMM-based statistical methods capable of modeling the variability and incompleteness of input video signals. Finally a novel idea of extending the discrete state Markov chain with a continuous density function is proposed in order to better characterize the gait direction. The proposed modeling framework allows us to recognize pedestrian up to 91.67% and to elegantly decode out two independent gait components of direction and posture through a sequence of experiments.

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Average run length calculation of the EWMA control chart using the first passage time of the Markov process (Markov 과정의 최초통과시간을 이용한 지수가중 이동평균 관리도의 평균런길이의 계산)

  • Park, Changsoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2017
  • Many stochastic processes satisfy the Markov property exactly or at least approximately. An interested property in the Markov process is the first passage time. Since the sequential analysis by Wald, the approximation of the first passage time has been studied extensively. The Statistical computing technique due to the development of high-speed computers made it possible to calculate the values of the properties close to the true ones. This article introduces an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart as an example of the Markov process, and studied how to calculate the average run length with problematic issues that should be cautioned for correct calculation. The results derived for approximation of the first passage time in this research can be applied to any of the Markov processes. Especially the approximation of the continuous time Markov process to the discrete time Markov chain is useful for the studies of the properties of the stochastic process and makes computational approaches easy.

Comparison of Deterministic and Probabilistic Approaches through Cases of Exposure Assessment of Child Products (어린이용품 노출평가 연구에서의 결정론적 및 확률론적 방법론 사용실태 분석 및 고찰)

  • Jang, Bo Youn;Jeong, Da-In;Lee, Hunjoo
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.223-232
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: In response to increased interest in the safety of children's products, a risk management system is being prepared through exposure assessment of hazardous chemicals. To estimate exposure levels, risk assessors are using deterministic and probabilistic approaches to statistical methodology and a commercialized Monte Carlo simulation based on tools (MCTool) to efficiently support calculation of the probability density functions. This study was conducted to analyze and discuss the usage patterns and problems associated with the results of these two approaches and MCTools used in the case of probabilistic approaches by reviewing research reports related to exposure assessment for children's products. Methods: We collected six research reports on exposure and risk assessment of children's products and summarized the deterministic results and corresponding underlying distributions for exposure dose and concentration results estimated through deterministic and probabilistic approaches. We focused on mechanisms and differences in the MCTools used for decision making with probabilistic distributions to validate the simulation adequacy in detail. Results: The estimation results of exposure dose and concentration from the deterministic approaches were 0.19-3.98 times higher than the results from the probabilistic approach. For the probabilistic approach, the use of lognormal, Student's T, and Weibull distributions had the highest frequency as underlying distributions of the input parameters. However, we could not examine the reasons for the selection of each distribution because of the absence of test-statistics. In addition, there were some cases estimating the discrete probability distribution model as the underlying distribution for continuous variables, such as weight. To find the cause of abnormal simulations, we applied two MCTools used for all reports and described the improper usage routes of MCTools. Conclusions: For transparent and realistic exposure assessment, it is necessary to 1) establish standardized guidelines for the proper use of the two statistical approaches, including notes by MCTool and 2) consider the development of a new software tool with proper configurations and features specialized for risk assessment. Such guidelines and software will make exposure assessment more user-friendly, consistent, and rapid in the future.

Development of Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain (동질성 Hidden Markov Chain 모형을 이용한 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1861-1870
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    • 2013
  • A climate change-driven increased hydrological variability has been widely acknowledged over the past decades. In this regards, rainfall simulation techniques are being applied in many countries to consider the increased variability. This study proposed a Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) designed to recognize rather complex patterns of rainfall with discrete hidden states and underlying distribution characteristics via mixture probability density function. The proposed approach was applied to Seoul and Jeonju station to verify model's performance. Statistical moments(e.g. mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis) derived by daily and seasonal rainfall were compared with observation. It was found that the proposed HMM showed better performance in terms of reproducing underlying distribution characteristics. Especially, the HMM was much better than the existing Markov Chain model in reproducing extremes. In this regard, the proposed HMM could be used to evaluate a long-term runoff and design flood as inputs.

An Efficient Knowledge Base Management Using Hybrid SOM (하이브리드 SOM을 이용한 효율적인 지식 베이스 관리)

  • Yoon, Kyung-Bae;Choi, Jun-Hyeog;Wang, Chang-Jong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.9B no.5
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    • pp.635-642
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    • 2002
  • There is a rapidly growing demand for the intellectualization of information technology. Especially, in the area of KDD (Knowledge Discovery in Database) which should make an optimal decision of finding knowledge from a large amount of data, the demand is enormous. A large volume of Knowledge Base should be efficiently managed for a more intellectual choice. This study is proposing a Hybrid SOM for an efficient search and renewal of knowledge base, which combines a self-study nerve network, Self-Organization Map with a probable distribution theory in order to get knowledge needed for decision-making management from the Knowledge Base. The efficient knowledge base management through this proposed method is carried out by a stimulation test. This test confirmed that the proposed Hybrid SOM can manage with efficiency Knowledge Base.

A study on Locational and Regional Pattern of Leisure Facilities at Kangnam-gu, Seoul (서울시의 활동여가시설의 입지유형에 관한 연구 - 강남구를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Woun-Sik;Kim, Min
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 1994
  • This study attempts to examine the regional distribution and the locational pattern of leisure facilities at Kangnam-gu in Seoul. For the convenience of the analysis the facilities are classified into public and private sector and then the facilities are classified into 11 types: mineral spring resort, play ground, neighborhood park, swimming pool, gymnasium, bowling, pingpong, aerobic, golf practice, health, and billiard facilities. For the purpose data was collected from statistical yearbook in 1993 and lists of registered facility at department of living physics of Kangnam-gu office. The data of the density of facilities and the opportunity of facilities per facilities type and per region are analysed with the technology of GIS. Results may be summarized as follows. First of all, correlation between the results of Location-Allocation model and the results of Interaction model is very high. Secondly, on comparing the density of facilities with the opportunity of the facility use per eleven facility types, three discrete spatial pattems are found. The mineral spring resort facility type with the highest unbalanced density and opportunity of facility use is to be found. Play ground, neighborhood park, swimming pool, gymnasium, bowling, pingpong, and aerobic facility types have the high unbalanced density and opportunity of facility use. The golf practice, health, and billiard facility types have spatially balanced density and opportunity of facility use. Thirdly, as comparing the density and the opportunity of the facility use per 'dong' administration unit, the spatial patterns of the public and the private facilities are different in density of the facility use and otherwise two are similar in the opportunity of the facility use. Fourthly, patterns of facilities users have different charateristics based on facility use time, expense, residence, and access time and four regional patterns are to be found ; user favorable, facility profitable, user balanced, and unfavorable.

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