• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stationary bootstrap

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A Study of Applying Bootstrap Method to Seasonal Data (계절성 데이터의 부트스트랩 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Soo;Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2010
  • The moving block bootstrap, the stationary bootstrap, and the threshold bootstrap are methods of simulation output analysis, which are applicable to autocorrelated data. These bootstrap methods assume the stationarity of data. However, bootstrap methods cannot work if the stationary assumption is not guaranteed because of seasonality or trends in data. In the simulation output analysis, threshold bootstrap method is the best in describing the autocorrelation structure of original data set. The threshold bootstrap makes the cycle based on threshold value. If we apply the bootstrap to seasonality data, we can get similar accuracy of the results. In this paper, we verify the possibility of applying the bootstrap to seasonal data.

Block Bootstrapped Empirical Process for Dependent Sequences

  • Kim, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 1999
  • Conditinal weakly convergence of the blockwise bootstrapped empirical process for stationary sequences to the appropriate Gaussian process is reestablished particularly for severely dependent $\alpha$-mixing sequences. Issue of block size is discussed from the point of validity of bootstrap method.

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Bootstrap of LAD Estimate in Infinite Variance AR(1) Processes

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 1997
  • This paper proves that the standard bootstrap approximation for the least absolute deviation (LAD) estimate of .beta. in AR(1) processes with infinite variance error terms is asymptotically valid in probability when the bootstrap resample size is much smaller than the original sample size. The theoretical validity results are supported by simulation studies.

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REGENERATIVE BOOTSTRAP FOR SIMULATION OUTPUT ANALYSIS

  • Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.169-169
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    • 2001
  • With the aid of fast computing power, resampling techniques are being introduced for simulation output analysis (SOA). Autocorrelation among the output from discrete-event simulation prohibit the direct application of resampling schemes (Threshold bootstrap, Binary bootstrap, Stationary bootstrap, etc) extend its usage to time-series data such as simulation output. We present a new method for inference from a regenerative process, regenerative bootstrap, that equals or exceeds the performance of classical regenerative method and approximation regeneration techniques. Regenerative bootstrap saves computation time and overcomes the problem of scarce regeneration cycles. Computational results are provided using M/M/1 model.

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Asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) models: parametric bootstrap to evaluate forecasting performance (비대칭-비정상 변동성 모형 평가를 위한 모수적-붓스트랩)

  • Choi, Sun Woo;Yoon, Jae Eun;Lee, Sung Duck;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2021
  • With a wide recognition that financial time series typically exhibits asymmetry patterns in volatility so called leverage effects, various asymmetric GARCH(1, 1) processes have been introduced to investigate asymmetric volatilities. A lot of researches have also been directed to non-stationary volatilities to deal with frequent high ups and downs in financial time series. This article is concerned with both asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH-type models. As a subsequent paper of Choi et al. (2020), we review various asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) processes, and in turn propose how to compare competing models using a parametric bootstrap methodology. As an illustration, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is analyzed.

Forecasting interval for the INAR(p) process using sieve bootstrap

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, You-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2005
  • Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modelling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of theses models is the integer-valued autoregressive(INAR) models. However, when modelling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, there is not yet distributional properties of forecasts, since INAR process contain an accrued level of complexity in using the Steutal and Van Harn(1979) thinning operator 'o'. In this study, a manageable expression for the asymptotic mean square error of predicting more than one-step ahead from an estimated poisson INAR(1) model is derived. And, we present a bootstrap methods developed for the calculation of forecast interval limits of INAR(p) model. Extensive finite sample Monte Carlo experiments are carried out to compare the performance of the several bootstrap procedures.

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Bootstrap methods for long-memory processes: a review

  • Kim, Young Min;Kim, Yongku
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2017
  • This manuscript summarized advances in bootstrap methods for long-range dependent time series data. The stationary linear long-memory process is briefly described, which is a target process for bootstrap methodologies on time-domain and frequency-domain in this review. We illustrate time-domain bootstrap under long-range dependence, moving or non-overlapping block bootstraps, and the autoregressive-sieve bootstrap. In particular, block bootstrap methodologies need an adjustment factor for the distribution estimation of the sample mean in contrast to applications to weak dependent time processes. However, the autoregressive-sieve bootstrap does not need any other modification for application to long-memory. The frequency domain bootstrap for Whittle estimation is provided using parametric spectral density estimates because there is no current nonparametric spectral density estimation method using a kernel function for the linear long-range dependent time process.

Bootstrap control limits of process control charts for correlative process data

  • Suzuki Hideo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.174-179
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    • 1998
  • This research explores the application of the bootstrap methods to the construction of control limits for the x charts and the EWMA charts based on single observations with stationary autoregressive processes. The subsample means-based control chars in the presence autocorrelation are also considered. We use a technique for inferring confidence intervals using bootstrap, the percentile method. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the performance of the bootstrap method and that of standard method for constructing control charts under several conditions.

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A New Method of Simulation Output Analysis : Threshold Bootstrap

  • Kim, Yun-Bae-
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.2-2
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    • 1993
  • Inference for discrete event simulations usually relies on either independent replications or, if each simulation run is expensive, the method of batch means applied to a single replications. We present a new method, threshold bootstrap, which equals or exceeds the performance of independent replications or batch means. The method works by resampling runs of data created when a stationary time series crosses a threshold level, such as the sample mean of series. Computational results show that the threshold bootstrap matches or exceeds the performance of these alternative methods in estimating the standard deviation of the sample mean and producing valid confidence intervals.

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Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for the INAR(p) Process

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, You-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.343-358
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    • 2006
  • The distributional properties of forecasts in an integer-valued time series model have not been discovered yet mainly because of the complexity arising from the binomial thinning operator. We propose two bootstrap methods to obtain nonparametric prediction intervals for an integer-valued autoregressive model : one accommodates the variation of estimating parameters and the other does not. Contrary to the results of the continuous ARMA model, we show that the latter is better than the former in forecasting the future values of the integer-valued autoregressive model.