• 품질경영학회지
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.199-208
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• 2014

Purpose: This paper explains how to obtain the Bayes estimates of the whole launch vehicle and of a vehicle stage, respectively, for a newly developed expendable launch vehicle. Methods: We determine the parameters of the beta prior distribution using the upper bound of the 60% Clopper-Pearson confidence interval of failure probability which is calculated from previous launch data considering the experience of the developer. Results: Probability that a launch vehicle developed from an inexperienced developer succeeds in the first launch is obtained by about one third, which is much smaller than that estimated from the previous research. Conclusion: The proposed approach provides a more conservative estimate than the previous noninformative prior, which is more reasonable especially for the initial reliability of a new vehicle which is developed by an inexperienced developer.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.25-39
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• 1987

The purpose of this research is to develop the Automatic Fingerprint Verfication System by digital computer based on specially in PC level. Fingerprint is used as means of personal identity verification in view of that it has the high reliability and safety. Fingerprint pattern recognition algorithm is constitute of 3 stages, namely of the preprocessing, the feature extraction and the recognition. The preprocessing stage includes smoothing, binarization, thinning and restoration. The feature extraction stage includes the extraction of minutiae and its features. The recognition stage includes the registration and the matching score calculation which measures the similarity between two images. Tests for this study with 325 pairs of fingerprint resulted in 100% of separation which which in turn is turned out to be the reliability of this algorithm.

• 산업공학
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.214-222
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• 2009

In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.164-168
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• 2003

Bayes theorem, suggested by the British Mathematician Bayes (18th century), enables the prior estimate of the probability of an event under the condition given by a specific This theorem has been frequently used to revise the failure probability of a component or system. 2-Stage Bayesian procedure was firstly published by Shultis et al. (1981) and Kaplan (1983), and was further developed based on the studies of Hora & Iman (1990) Papazpgolou et al., Porn(1993). For a small observed failure number (below 12), the estimated reliability of a system or component is not reliable. In the case in which the reliability data of the corresponding system or component can be found in a generic reliability reference book, however, a reliable estimation of the failure probability can be realized by using Bayes theorem, which jointly makes use of the observed data (specific data) and the data found in reference book (generic data).

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.27-43
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• 2024

This study investigated technological and managerial barriers in technology startups through a survey of 151 companies, yielding 118 responses (78.1% response rate). Factor and multivariate analyses identified two distinct barriers: technological and managerial. Reliability analysis validated the measurement tool. Using MANCOVA, 12 hypotheses were tested, incorporating six independent variables. Results revealed significant disparities in technological and managerial barriers based on establishment type, commercialization goals, growth stage, and commercialization stage, with 5 hypotheses supported. This study highlights the crucial role of these variables in understanding barriers within technology-based startups.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.280-288
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• 2017

Purpose: PBA buried in underwater requires high reliability because of its mission critical characteristic and harsh operational environment during its life cycle. Therefore, various reliability improvement activities are necessary. The defect on PBA manufacturing process have been studied, as a result, many activities and standards have been presented. However, there are less studies regarding failure pattern on physical features based on design. In this paper, we studied a possible failure patten based on physical features that is related with manufacturing process of PBA. And reliability improvement design based on PoF (Physical of Failure) were intruduced in this paper. Methods: A reliability prediction simulation were performed on the components A and B of the H system using Sherlock Software which is a PoF commercial tool from DFR solution. Solder fatigue and PTH fatigue analysis based on thermal cycling profiles and random vibration was analyzed on three earthquake response spectrum. Result: It was validated that life time and reliability improvement design through solder fatigue and PTH fatigue analysis in case of component. For compoenet B, random vibration fatigue was additionally analyzed and validated reliability for earthquakes profile. Conclusion: In design stage prior to manufacturing, PoF can be analyzed, and it is possible to make a reliability improvement/validated design using design data. This study can be applied in every design step and contribute to make more stable development product.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1327-1335
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• 2011

Recently, also in railway vehicles, related products are being designed and manufactured through RAMS activities in order to secure their reliability, availability, maintainability & safety. Subway operators are conducting R&D on various preventive maintenance methods and applying them to the field so as to establish a reliability centered maintenance(RCM) system. In this connection, manufacturers shall carry out R&D based on reliability from the first design stage of development to provide high quality products to subway operators. And operators shall have the products operated properly to their particular operating environment and managed based on the standard maintenance manual. Not only that, but the related field data shall be fed back into the manufacturers to upgrade upcoming products by organic cooperation between manufacturer and operators. However, the mutually beneficial cooperative relationship is not still developed in the domestic railway industry. In terms of methodology for life prediction, this study was intended to analyze field data on relays used for rolling stocks considering operational characteristics in the position of subway operators and predict parts reliability using reliability prediction program from the standpoint of manufacturers as well.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제55권3호
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• pp.222-235
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• 2018

The hydrocarbon gas leak in the offshore plant can cause large accidents and lead to significant damages to human, property and environment. For prevention of fire or explosion accidents from gas leak, a SIS(Safety Instrumented System) should be installed. In the early stage of the offshore design, required SIL(Safety Integrated Level) is determined and reliability analysis is performed to verify the design in reliability aspects. This study collected data, information related to reliability analysis and created knowledge model of safety design for the offshore system with MBSE(Model-Based Systems Engineering) concept. Knowledge model could support safety engineer's design tasks as the guidance of reliability analysis procedure of safety design and make good conversation with other engineers in yard, class, company, etc.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제38권5호
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• pp.43-50
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• 2023

With the advent of industrialization, consumers and end-users demand more reliable products. Meeting these demands requires a comprehensive approach, involving tasks such as market information collection, planning, reliable raw material procurement, accurate reliability design, and prediction, including various reliability tests. Moreover, this encompasses aspects like reliability management during manufacturing, operational maintenance, and systematic failure information collection, interpretation, and feedback. Improving product reliability requires prioritizing it from the initial development stage. Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) is a widely used method to increase product reliability. In this study, we reanalyzed using the FMEA method and proposed an improved method. Domestic railways lack an accurate measurement method or system for maintenance, so maintenance decisions rely on the opinions of experienced personnel, based on their experience with past faults. However, the current selection method is flawed as it relies on human experience and memory capacity, which are limited and ineffective. Therefore, in this study, we further specify qualitative contents to systematically accumulate failure modes based on the Failure Modes Table and create a standardized form based on the Master FMEA form to newly systematize it.

• 한국BIM학회 논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.23-34
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• 2022

In the current 2D-based design, design reliability is lowered due to interference and inconsistency between plans, errors in drawings and quantities, etc. At the time of transition to BIM-based 3D design, it is necessary to expand the reliability and usability of BIM by eliminating these errors from the design stage through securing the quality of the BIM digital model. Therefore, in the railway infrastructure design stage, the quality management process and standards of the BIM digital model were defined and quality management index were developed. Based on the rule extracted from the quality management index, a pilot quality management was conducted in connection with the commercial Model-Checker rule, problems and improvement plans were derived, and a rule-based automated quality management plan was prepared.