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Short-term Construction Investment Forecasting Model in Korea (건설투자(建設投資)의 단기예측모형(短期豫測模型) 비교(比較))

  • Kim, Kwan-young;Lee, Chang-soo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.121-145
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    • 1992
  • This paper examines characteristics of time series data related to the construction investment(stationarity and time series components such as secular trend, cyclical fluctuation, seasonal variation, and random change) and surveys predictibility, fitness, and explicability of independent variables of various models to build a short-term construction investment forecasting model suitable for current economic circumstances. Unit root test, autocorrelation coefficient and spectral density function analysis show that related time series data do not have unit roots, fluctuate cyclically, and are largely explicated by lagged variables. Moreover it is very important for the short-term construction investment forecasting to grasp time lag relation between construction investment series and leading indicators such as building construction permits and value of construction orders received. In chapter 3, we explicate 7 forecasting models; Univariate time series model (ARIMA and multiplicative linear trend model), multivariate time series model using leading indicators (1st order autoregressive model, vector autoregressive model and error correction model) and multivariate time series model using National Accounts data (simple reduced form model disconnected from simultaneous macroeconomic model and VAR model). These models are examined by 4 statistical tools that are average absolute error, root mean square error, adjusted coefficient of determination, and Durbin-Watson statistic. This analysis proves two facts. First, multivariate models are more suitable than univariate models in the point that forecasting error of multivariate models tend to decrease in contrast to the case of latter. Second, VAR model is superior than any other multivariate models; average absolute prediction error and root mean square error of VAR model are quitely low and adjusted coefficient of determination is higher. This conclusion is reasonable when we consider current construction investment has sustained overheating growth more than secular trend.

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Assessment of the proximity between the mandibular third molar and inferior alveolar canal using preoperative 3D-CT to prevent inferior alveolar nerve damage

  • Lee, Byeongmin;Park, Youngju;Ahn, Janghoon;Chun, Jihyun;Park, Suhyun;Kim, Minjin;Jo, Youngserk;Ahn, Somi;Kim, Beulha;Choi, Sungbae
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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    • v.37
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    • pp.30.1-30.7
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    • 2015
  • Background: The inferior alveolar nerve (IAN) may be injured during extraction of the mandibular third molar, causing severe postoperative complications. Many methods have been described for evaluating the relative position between the mandibular third molar and the inferior alveolar canal (IAC) on panoramic radiography and computed tomography, but conventional radiography provides limited information on the proximity of these two structures. The present study assessed the benefits of three-dimensional computed tomography (3D-CT) prior to surgical extraction of the mandibular third molar, to prevent IAN damage. Methods: This retrospective study included 4917 extractions in 3555 patients who presented for extraction of the mandibular third molars. The cases were classified into three groups, according to anatomical relationship between the mandibular third molars and the IAC on panoramic radiography and whether 3D-CT was performed. Symptoms of IAN damage were assessed using the touch-recognition test. Data were compared using the chi-square test and Fisher's exact test. Results: Among the 32 cases of IAN damage, 6 cases were included in group I (0.35 %, n = 1735 cases), 23 cases in group II (1.1 %, n = 2063 cases), and 3 cases in group III (0.27 %, n = 1119 cases). The chi-square test showed a significant difference in the incidence of IAN damage between groups I and II. No significant difference was observed between groups I and III using Fisher's exact test. In the 6 cases of IAN damage in group I, the mandibular third molar roots were located lingual relative to the IAC in 3 cases and middle relative to the IAC in 3 cases. The overlap was ${\geq}2mm$ in 3 of 6 cases and 0-2 mm in the remaining 3 cases. The mean distance between the mandibular third molar and IAC was 2.2 mm, the maximum distance 12 mm, and the minimum distance 0.5 mm. Greater than 80 % recovery was observed in 15 of 32 (46.8 %) cases of IAN damage. Conclusions: 3D-CT may be a useful tool for assessing the three-dimensional anatomical relationship and proximity between the mandibular third molar and IAC in order to prevent IAN damage during extraction of mandibular third molars.

Effects of Process Conditions on the Color and Firmness of Salted Radish Root (Danmooji) at Model System (모델 시스템을 이용한 제조 조건이 단무지의 색도 및 경도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ku, Kyung-Hyung;Park, Wan-Soo;Lee, Kyung-A
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.1477-1484
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    • 2005
  • The effects of various seasoning components, pH of seasoning solution, heating time and storage temperature were investigated on the color and textural properties of the salted radish root (nanmooji) The effects of individual seasoning components in the salted radish root, additives of polyphosphate (AD3), citric acid (AD5), malic acid (AD2) delayed the color changes and softening more, compared to control soaked in water. On the other hand, additives of potassium sorbate (AD1), succinic acid (AD7), MSG (AD8), saccharin (AD6) accelerated the color changes and softening of the salted radish roots. The effects of pH of seasoning solution($X_1$), and heating time ($X_2$) were central composite design and response surface analysis. R- square represented dependent variables correlated independent variables ($X_1,\;X_2$), showed over 0.8 in the color and area value calculated thickness and firmness of salted radish root. Especially, R- square of 'b' represented 'yellow-green' was 0.899. And the result of crossing analysis of individual independent variables ($X_1,\;X_2$), showed that both independent variables had significant effects on the color and textural changes of the salted radish root. The salted radish root increased its color changes and softening, rapidly at $40^{\circ}C$, compared to the other storage temperatures at most storage periods.

An Investigation on 'Kwa-Jung';Traditional Korean Confectionery Items, Found in Korean Literatures Prior to the 17th Century (17세기 이전 조선시대 과정류의 문헌적 고찰)

  • Cho, Shin-Ho;Chung, Rak-Won;Choi, Young-Jin;Kim, Eun-Mi;Won, Sun-Im;Cha, Gyung-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Sook;Lee, Hyo-Gee
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.312-324
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we investigated the names and various types of "kwa-jung" along with their recipes and ingredients occurring in Korean cookbooks published before the 17th century. The kwa-jungs were classified into 7 groups including Yoomilkwa, Yookwa, Dasik, Junkwa, Kwapyun, Yutganjung and Dang. A total of 72 kinds of kwa-jung were found. 26 kinds of Yoomilkwa, 18 kinds of Yookwa, 7 kinds of Dasik, 10 kinds of Junkwa, 1 kind of Kwapyun, 3 kinds of Yutganjung and 8 kinds of Dang. Among the types of Yoomilkwa, Yackwa was recognized as the best food according to the references. Also the cooking methods for items had a tendency to become simpler as society became modernized. Original and rare Ingredients were often substituted with other items that could be found more easily where people lived As recorded, the Yookwa group included kangyung, sanja, and bingsakwa. And as society became modernized, people tended to buy Yookwa in the store rather than making it at home due to its complicated and often difficult cooking process. The Dasik items were a kneaded mixture of flour, or the flour of chestnuts, with honey. These were formed into various patterns like birds, animals, butterflies, tree leaves and flowers, or as ki-wha by using printing cooking utensils Honey was used as a sweetener and as a combining material. The Junkwa consisted of roots or fruits that could be easily obtained these cooked or raw foodstuffs were then mixed with sugar and simmered. The Kwapyun used sour fruit juices as a main ingredient. These were then combined with sugar and simmered and allowed to harden. Then they were cut into square shapes after cooling. Yutkangjung was a mixture of yut, chochung, honey or syrup and pine nuts. which was combined over low heat. After mixing and stirring it was cut into square shapes. Finally, the Yut was typically cooked with grains and powdered malt and stirred until thickened.

EFFECT OF CANAL TAPERING IN TEETH OF VARIOUS APICAL SIZE & CROSS-SECTIONAL CONFIGURATION ON MICROLEAKAGE (다양한 치근단공 크기와 근관단면의 형태를 가지는 치아에서 taper의 정도가 미세누출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jung-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Ha;Lee, Se-Joon;Yu, Mi-Kyung;Lee, Kwang-Won
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2005
  • The aim of this study was to evaluate the microleakage of teeth according to root canal preparation with & without apical enlargement in various size of apical foramen. 60 extracted one canal roots were cross-cutted at 5 mm from root apex and divided into two groups according to their apical foramen size of large (L) and small (S). Each group was subdivided into two groups accordance with their cross-sectional configuration at 5 mm from apex, round (R) and ovoid (O); SR Group, SO Group LR Group, LO Group. Each group was shaped in .02 taper by Quantec series Nickel-Titanium (NiTi) rotary file, obturated by lateral condensation method. Leakage was measured using a fluid transport model under 40 $cmH_2O$ pressure. After the leakage test, blocks which had showed the leakage retreated with .04 taper and ,06 taper and evaluated the degree of fluid filtration in each group. The data was analysed statistically using chi-square test and fisher's exact test. The results obtained were as follows : 1. Significant difference in leakage was found in groups which had different apical foramen size in .02 taper instrumentation (p < 0.05), but not in .04 taper instrumentation (p > 0.05) 2. The difference in microleakage according to the shape of canal was not evident at 5 mm from apex (p > 0.05). 3. There was correlation between .02 taper instrumentation and .04 taper instrumentation in LR group, LO group (p < 0.05).

Inheritance of Isoenzymes in Root Tips of Trembling Aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) (북미(北美)사시나무 trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) 근단조직내(根端組織內)의 동위효소들의 유전)

  • Hyun, Jung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.20-25
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    • 1984
  • The inheritance of isoenzymes in young coat tissues of trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) was studied by electrophoretically analysing five parental clones and their full-sib progenies obtained by crossing one female clone to four male clones. The distal 2cm section of vigorous young roots of 70 seedlings per family were subjected to horizontal starch gel electrophoresis. The resulting gels were tested for activity of 7 enzyme systems. Evidences for the inheritance of isoenzymes observed indicated that the isoenzyme variants of every isoenzyme zone were under control of codominant alleles at a single locus. Chi-square test of joint segregation data of the two loci, 6-PGD-2 and PGI-2, indicated that the pair of loci was not linked.

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Apical periodontitis of endodontically treated maxillary first molar: Cone-Beam Computed Tomography study (근관치료된 상악 제1대구치의 치근단 병소: CBCT 연구)

  • Hwang, Soo-Jeong;Jeon, Su-Jin;Seo, Min-Seock
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.58 no.10
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    • pp.604-614
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The purpose of this study was to analyze the Cone-beam computed tomograghy(CBCT) scan of endodontically treated maxillary first molars and investigate how second mesiobuccal (MB2) canal is treated, how the prognosis of mesiobuccal (MB) root is different compared to other roots and the prognosis factor on apical periodontitis. Methods: Subjects were endodontically treated maxillary first molars whose were collected from CBCT scans taken from January 2018 until December 2019. A total of 525 maxillary first molars were analyzed by an endodontist to determine the presence of the MB2 canal, the quality of the root canal filling, and the presence of apical periodontitis. The chi square test and Fisher's exact test was used to examine the relationship between each variable. Results: MB2 canals were found in 46.3%, of which 76.5% were not treated. The more main canal of mesiobuccal root (MB1 canal) was well filled, the more significantly MB2 canal was well filled (p<0.001). The apical periodontitis of MB root was not related to the filling quality of MB1 canal (p=0.370) and was related to the filling quality of MB2 canal (p=0.004). The apical periodontitis of MB root was related to the quality of canal filling of MB2 canal and the apical periodontitis of DB and P root. Conclusions: It was found that the majority of MB2 canals were not treated. The apical periodontitis of MB root was analyzed to be related to the quality of canal filling of MB2 canal. The apical lesion of the MB root was not correlated with the treatment of the MB1 canal, but it was significantly related to the quality of filling of MB2 canal.

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Qualitative and quantitative evaluation of root injury risk potentially burdening insertion of miniscrew implants

  • Antoszewska, Joanna;Trzesniewska, Paulina;Kawala, Beata;Ludwig, Bjorn;Park, Hyo-Sang
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2011
  • Objective: Microscrew implants (MSls) offer many advantages, but some complications are known to occur during their insertion. One of the most commonly reported complications is root injury. Our aim was to identify factors associated with root injury and to evaluate their qualitative and quantitative values. Methods: Thirty-five orthodontists placed MSls (AbsoAnchor$AbsoAnchor^{(R)}$, Dentos Co. Ltd, Daegu, Korea) in the upper jaw of typodonts, labially between the second premolar and the first molar, in low and high vertical positions. Root contacts were counted, and distances between MSI apices and roots were measured. Fear level of the orthodontists was surveyed before and after the experiment. Wilcoxon's test, chi-square test, and Mann-Whitney test were used for statistical analysis. Results: Overall root contact rate of MSI insertion was 23.57%. The root contact rate was significantly higher in MSls inserted at $90^{\circ}$ (45.71%) than at $30^{\circ}$ (1.43%). The distance between the dental root and MSI also increased significantly in MSls inserted at $30^{\circ}$. Mean fear level before MSI insertion (4.6) significantly decreased after insertion (3.2); the causative factors were risk of injury to dental root and maxillary sinus or mandibular canal. Conclusions: Root injury is relatively rare, and oblique angulation reduces the risk of root and MSI contact.

Coherent Understanding on Addition/Subtraction from the Viewpoint of Measuring (측정의 관점에서 본 덧.뺄셈의 통합적 이해)

  • Byun, Hee-Hyun
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.307-319
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    • 2009
  • Current school mathematics introduces addition/subtraction between natural numbers, fractions, decimal fractions, and square roots, step-by-step in order. It seems that, however, school mathematics focuses too much on learning the calculation method of addition/subtraction between each stages of numbers, to lead most of students to understand the coherent principle, lying in addition/subtraction algorithm between real numbers in all. This paper raises questions on this problematic approach of current school mathematics, in learning addition/subtraction. This paper intends to clarify the fact that, if we recognize addition/subtraction between numbers from the viewpoint of 'measuring' and 'common measure', as Dewey did when he argued that the psychological origin of the concept of number was measuring, then we could find some common principles of addition/subtraction operation, beyond the superficial differences among algorithms of addition/subtraction between each stages of numbers. At the end, this paper suggests the necessity of improving the methods of learning addition/subtraction in current school mathematics.

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Idiopathic bone cavity: clinical and radiological features of 90 retrospective cases and surgical treatment

  • Ryu, Jihye;Nam, Inhye;Shin, Sang-Hun;Kim, Yong-Deok;Lee, Jae-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.360-364
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the clinical and radiographic characteristics of idiopathic bone cavity (IBC) to determine the effect of surgical intervention on the process of healing. Materials and Methods: All cases diagnosed with IBC during the period of 2011 to 2020 at our Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery were searched. Ninety cases were retrieved. The features evaluated were sex, age, contour of the lesion, number of teeth involved, site, history of trauma, and postoperative healing pattern. The significance of differences was assessed by Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test. Results: The female:male ratio showed no predilection toward either sex (0.9:0.8). The mean age of the collected sample was 22.05±14.38 years, and the age ranged from 10 to 58 years. All cases presented in the mandible and showed well-circumscribed radiolucency. Margins were either scalloped or round in shape, and the size varied from one tooth to six teeth involvement. Seventy cases involved three or fewer roots. Three cases showed bilateral lesion. Four cases had a history of trauma at the area of the lesion. Fifty-one cases were followed for six months after surgery, and all showed increased bone density at the lesion. Conclusion: There is no definitive radiological or clinical feature of IBC. Considering the diversity of clinical and radiological features, such a diagnosis relies primarily on surgical findings of an empty bone cavity with no epithelial lining. Our data suggest that surgical intervention be the first choice of treatment as opposed to observation.