• 제목/요약/키워드: Spline Logistic Regression

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스플라인을 이용한 신용 평점화 (Credit Scoring Using Splines)

  • 구자용;최대우;최민성
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2005
  • 선형 로지스틱 모형은 신용위험 관리를 위한 신용평점 모형 구축에 있어서 널리 쓰이고 있는 방법론이다. 본 논문에서는 신용평점화를 위하여 로지스틱 회귀 방법에 기초한 스플라인 방법론을 다루고자 한다. 선형 스플라인과 자동적인 변수선택 방법을 채택하였다. 모의 실험을 통하여 스플라인 방법의 성능을 규명하였다.

강제환기식 돈사의 환기량 추정을 위한 회귀모델의 비교 (Comparison of Regression Models for Estimating Ventilation Rate of Mechanically Ventilated Swine Farm)

  • 조광곤;하태환;윤상후;장유나;정민웅
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권1호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2020
  • To estimate the ventilation volume of mechanically ventilated swine farms, various regression models were applied, and errors were compared to select the regression model that can best simulate actual data. Linear regression, linear spline, polynomial regression (degrees 2 and 3), logistic curve, generalized additive model (GAM), and gompertz curve were compared. Overfitting models were excluded even when the error rate was small. The evaluation criteria were root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The evaluation results indicated that degree 3 exhibited the lowest error rate; however, an overestimation contradiction was observed in a certain section. The logistic curve was the most stable and superior to all the models. In the estimation of ventilation volume by all of the models, the estimated ventilation volume of the logistic curve was the smallest except for the model with a large error rate and the overestimated model.

Evaluating seismic liquefaction potential using multivariate adaptive regression splines and logistic regression

  • Zhang, Wengang;Goh, Anthony T.C.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.269-284
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    • 2016
  • Simplified techniques based on in situ testing methods are commonly used to assess seismic liquefaction potential. Many of these simplified methods were developed by analyzing liquefaction case histories from which the liquefaction boundary (limit state) separating two categories (the occurrence or non-occurrence of liquefaction) is determined. As the liquefaction classification problem is highly nonlinear in nature, it is difficult to develop a comprehensive model using conventional modeling techniques that take into consideration all the independent variables, such as the seismic and soil properties. In this study, a modification of the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach based on Logistic Regression (LR) LR_MARS is used to evaluate seismic liquefaction potential based on actual field records. Three different LR_MARS models were used to analyze three different field liquefaction databases and the results are compared with the neural network approaches. The developed spline functions and the limit state functions obtained reveal that the LR_MARS models can capture and describe the intrinsic, complex relationship between seismic parameters, soil parameters, and the liquefaction potential without having to make any assumptions about the underlying relationship between the various variables. Considering its computational efficiency, simplicity of interpretation, predictive accuracy, its data-driven and adaptive nature and its ability to map the interaction between variables, the use of LR_MARS model in assessing seismic liquefaction potential is promising.

생애주기별 주택소유와 주거유형: 연령대별 손바뀜 현상에 대한 실증분석 (Life-Cycle Home Ownership and Residential Patterns: An Empirical Analysis of Home Ownership Across Generations)

  • 심승규;지인엽
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 연령에 따른 주택수요의 비단조성에 착안하여 주택 소유 및 거주 형태를 추정하였다. 이를 위해 스플라인 로짓 모형을 채택하였고 생애주기에 따라 주택소유수요가 비단조적임을 밝혀내었다. 우리나라 가구의 무주택 확률은 생애주기에 따라 가변적이다. 청년층일 때 소형 무주택으로 시작하여 중장년 때 중대형 주택을 소유하게 되고 노년층에는 주택을 처분하고 소형주택을 선호하게 되는 것으로 나타났다.

여자 청소년 및 젊은 여성의 비타민 D 결핍과 빈혈과의 연관성 분석 (Association between vitamin D deficiency and anemia among Korean adolescent girls and young women)

  • 장하은;박성희;박경
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.552-558
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 2008 ~ 2014년까지 수행된 국민건강영양조사 자료를 활용하였다. 본 분석 대상자는 12 ~ 29세 여자 청소년 및 젊은 여성이며, 이들을 대상으로 비타민 D 결핍 여부에 따른 빈혈 및 철 결핍성 빈혈과의 연관성 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과, 교란인자를 보정한 다중 로지스틱 회귀분석 모델에서 비타민 D 결핍군이 충분군보다 빈혈 및 철 결핍성 빈혈의 유병률이 유의적으로 높았다. 또한 혈청 25(OH)D 농도가 증가함에 따라 빈혈 및 철 결핍성 빈혈의 유병률이 낮아지는 선형 관계가 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 청소년 및 젊은 여성에서 문제가 되고 있는 비타민 D 결핍과 빈혈에 대한 예방 및 관리에 기초자료를 제공할 수 있다고 기대된다. 추후 전향적인 코호트 연구 및 임상시험 연구 설계를 이용한 후속 연구를 수행하여 비타민 D와 빈혈 사이의 명확한 인과관계를 확인할 필요가 있다고 사료된다.

한국 성인의 고혈압 유병 관련 영양소 섭취 및 생활습관 위험 요인 분석: 2007-2008년 국민건강영양조사 결과 활용 (Nutrient Intake, Lifestyle Factors and Prevalent Hypertension in Korean Adults: Results from 2007-2008 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey)

  • 구슬;김영옥;김미경;윤진숙;박경
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.329-340
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    • 2012
  • Hypertension is a well-known risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Previous studies have shown that changes in diet and lifestyle factors can prevent the development of hypertension, but the combined effects of these modifiable factors on hypertension are not well established. The objective of this study is to investigate associations of diet and lifestyle factors, evaluated both individually and in combination, with prevalent hypertension among Korean adults. We analyzed data obtained from the 2007-2008 Korean National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey, a nationwide cross-sectional study using a stratified, multistage probability sampling design. The associations of 12 nutrient intakes and lifestyle factors with risk of hypertension were explored using restricted cubic spline regression and logistic regression models among 6,351 adults. Total energy and several nutrients and minerals, including, calcium, vitamin A, vitamin C, and sodium, showed non-linear relationships with the risk of prevalent hypertension. In multivariate logistic regression models, dietary score, obesity and alcohol intake were independently associated with the risk of prevalent hypertension, but smoking and physical activity were not. Overall, participants whose dietary habits and lifestyle factors were all in the low-risk group had 68% lower prevalence of hypertension (OR: 0.32, 95 CI: 0.14-0.74) compared to those who were at least one in the high-risk group of any dietary or lifestyle factors. The result suggests that combined optimal lifestyle habits are strongly associated with lower prevalence of hypertension among Korean adults.

Effective Computation for Odds Ratio Estimation in Nonparametric Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Young-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.713-722
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    • 2009
  • The estimation of odds ratio and corresponding confidence intervals for case-control data have been done by traditional generalized linear models which assumed that the logarithm of odds ratio is linearly related to risk factors. We adapt a lower-dimensional approximation of Gu and Kim (2002) to provide a faster computation in nonparametric method for the estimation of odds ratio by allowing flexibility of the estimating function and its Bayesian confidence interval under the Bayes model for the lower-dimensional approximations. Simulation studies showed that taking larger samples with the lower-dimensional approximations help to improve the smoothing spline estimates of odds ratio in this settings. The proposed method can be used to analyze case-control data in medical studies.

Association between dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake and depression in postmenopausal women

  • Chae, Minjeong;Park, Kyong
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.468-478
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    • 2021
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to analyze the association between dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake and depression in postmenopausal women using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) VI. SUBJECTS/METHODS: The KNHANES is a cross-sectional nationwide health and nutrition survey. Dietary data, including omega-3 fatty acids, were assessed using the 24-h recall method. Depression was evaluated using a survey questionnaire. The association between dietary omega-3 fatty acids and depression was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Depression, according to the dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake, was expressed as the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). A total of 4,150 postmenopausal women were included in the analysis. RESULTS: In the fully-adjusted model, the group with the highest dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake significantly showed lower prevalence of depression than the group with the lowest intake (OR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.33-0.83); a significant linear trend was detected (P for trend = 0.04). According to the dose-response analysis using cubic restricted spline regression, this association was linear and monotonic (P for non-linearity = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake in postmenopausal women was inversely proportional to depression in a dose-response manner. Large cohort studies are needed to verify the causality between omega-3 fatty acids and depression in Korean postmenopausal women.