• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.35 no.9
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• pp.735-740
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• 2011

It is necessary to develop the one stop system in order to protect our marine environment rapidly from oil spill accident. The purpose of this study is to develop real time database for oil spill prediction modeling and implement real time prediction modelling with ESI and server-client GIS based user interface. The existing oil spill prediction model cannot provide one stop information system for public and government who should protect sea from oil spill accident. The development of multi user based information system permits integrated handling of real time meteorological data from external ftp. A server-client GIS based model is integrated on the basis of real time database and ESI map to provide the result of the oil spill prediction model. End users can access through the client interface and request analysis such as oil spill prediction and GIS functions on the network as their own purpose.

• Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.41-49
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• 1997

We reviewed various oil-spill models and condensed the integrated information into a prediction model, “Green Sea Ranger”which is applicable to Korean coastal area. The developed software consists of pre- and post-modules for environment setup and display of results and main module for the prediction of oil\`s fate. In the pre-module target areas can be selected from the included geographic information system and various environmental and optional numerical data for the prediction can be input through easy GUI or imported from the database we established. For the fate of the spilt oil we included effects of spreading, advection, evaporation, and emulsification. Preliminary numerical experiment has proved that the developed oil-spill prediction system can be easily utilized in on-site oil recovery operations which usually require a quick and reasonable prediction.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.375-382
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• 2011

There is no system to obtain the basic data and proceed data and user input interface is complex, thus there are some limitation to utilize the oil spill prediction model. It is difficult to build the scientific response strategy in order to respond oil spill accident rapidly because it is impossible to operate the oil spill prediction model any time. In this study, the optimum operational system for oil spil prediction model has been developed considering the present system. External real time data has been linked because of impossibility of building all basic data and minimum database has been build in this study. Through this data system, real time oil spill prediction model can be utilized. And the user interface has been designed to reduce the error of the interface between user and model and the output interface has been proposed to analyze the result of modeling at multidimensional aspect. While the system for oil spill prediction model as the result of this study has some uncertainties because of depending on external data, the thing that we can predict oil spill using operate the model rapidly as soon as the accident occurred can be meaning in the response field.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.9-18
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• 1999

To predict the oil spill dispersion phenomena in the ocean, the oil spill response model, which can be used for strategic purpose on the oil spill site, based on Lagrangian particle-tracking method was formulated and applied to the neighboring area with Pusan port where the oil spill incident occurred when the tanker ship No.1 Youil struck on a small rock near the Namhyungjeto on September 21, 1995. The real-time tidal currents to be required as input data of the oil spill model were obtained by the two-dimensional hydrodynamic model and the tide prediction model. Evaluation of tidal currents using observation data was successful. For wind data, other input data of oil spill model, observed data on the spot were used. To verify the oil spill model, the oil spill modelling results were compared with the field data obtained from the spill site. Compared the modelling results with the observation data, there exist some discrepancies but the general pattern of modelling results was similar to that of field observation. The modelling results on 7 days after spill occurred showed that the 40% of spilled oil is in floating, 36% in evaporated, 23% at shore, and 1% in out of boundary, respectively. According to the evaluation of weighting curves of effective components to the dispersion of oil, the winds make a 37% of contribution to the dispersion of oil, turbulent diffusion 39.5%, and tidal currents 23.5%, respectively. Provided the more accurate wind data are supported, more favorable results might be obtained.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.435-444
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• 2009

In the case of oil spill accident at sea, information concerning the movement of spilled oil is important in making response strategies. Aircrafts and the satellites have been utilized for monitoring of spilled oil. In these days, numerical models are using to predict the movement of the spilled oil. In the future a coupling method of modeling and remote sensing data should be needed to predict more correctly the spilled oil. The purpose of this paper is to present an application of satellite image data to an oil spill prediction model as an initial condition. Environmental Fluid Dynamics Computer Code (EFDC) was used to predict the movement of the oil spilled from Hebei Spirit incident occurred in Taean coastal area on December 7,2007. In order to make the model initial condition and to compare the model results, two satellite images, KOMPSAT-2 MSC and ENVISAT ASAR obtained on December 8 and 11, were used during the period of the oil spill incident. The model results showed an improvement for the prediction of the spilled oil by using the initial condition deduced from satellite image data than the initial condition specified at the oil spill incident site in the respects of the distributed spilled area.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.56-65
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• 1998

An oil spill model, Green Sea Ranger(GSR) based on trajectory and fate modeling of spilt oil behavior is introduced. The various physical models on weathering processes are reviewed and those adopted by GSR are described. A database for currents, which is necessary for the real-time simulation of oil spill, is generated on the south sea of Korea. The real-time prediction of tidal currents in the South Sea of Korea is carried out. Four major constituents (M₂, S₂, K₁, O₁ tide) are employed in the prediction, and those angular speeds and phases are determined from the astronomical arguments. The harmonic constants of the constituents are computed by solving shallow-water tide equations. The GSR has user-freiendly GUI and flexible framework which makes it easy to expand the database for sea environments in Korean coastal waters. The GSR is validated by the simulation of O-Sung oil spill caused by a grounded oil tanker in coastal sea near Maemol-do. The simulated trajectory is compared with observed one and it is shown that the GSR gives reasonable estimation on spilt oil bahavior.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.249-261
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• 2003

A three-dimensional mesoscale atmospheric dispersion modeling system consisting of the Lagrangian particle dispersion model (LPDM) and the meteorological mesoscale model (MM5) was employed to simulate the transport and dispersion of non-reactive pollutant during the nuclear spill event occurred from Sep. 31 to Oct. 3, 1999 in Tokaimura city, Japan. For the comparative analysis of numerical experiment, two more sets of foreign mesoscale modeling system; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) and DWD (Deutscher Wetter Dienst) were also applied to address the applicability of air pollution dispersion predictions. We noticed that the simulated results of horizontal wind direction and wind velocity from three meteorological modeling showed remarkably different spatial variations, mainly due to the different horizontal resolutions. How-ever, the dispersion process by LPDM was well characterized by meteorological wind fields, and the time-dependent dilution factors ($\chi$/Q) were found to be qualitatively simulated in accordance with each mesocale meteorogical wind field, suggesting that LPDM has the potential for the use of the real time control at optimization of the urban air pollution provided detailed meteorological wind fields. This paper mainly pertains to the mesoscale modeling approaches, but the results imply that the resolution of meteorological model and the implementation of the relevant scale of air quality model lead to better prediction capabilities in local or urban scale air pollution modeling.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.52-59
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• 1998

Many concerns are placed on preservation of coastal environment from the spilled oil contaminant in the coastal area. And the use of computer simulation model to combat with oil spill has come to play mote important role in forecasting the oil spill trajectory so as to protect coastal area and minimize the damage from oil contaminants. The main concerns of this study is how the movements of spilled oil are affected by currents including tidal, oceanic, and wind-driven currents. Especially, in the present paper, the oil spill trajectory can be predicted by a real-time system that allows prediction of circulation and wind field. The harmonic methods are adopted to simulate the tidal currents as well as it can be possible to achieve the wind-field data and oceanic current data from the established database. System performance is illustrated by the simulation of oil spill in the south-eastern coastal area of Korea. Simulation results are compared with the observed one.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.182-192
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• 2008

In oder to develop a decision supporting system for oil spill response, the prototype of pollution response support system which has integrated oil spill prediction system and pollution risk prediction system has developed for Incheon-Daesan area. Spill prediction system calculates oil spill aspects based on real-time wind data and real-time water flow and the residual volume of spilt oil and spread pattern are calculated considering the characteristic of spilt oil. In this study, real-time data is created from results of real-time meteorological forecasting model(National Institute of Environmental Research) using ftp, real-time tidal currents datasets are built using CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) model and real-time wind-driven currents are calculated applying the correlation function between wind and wind-driven currents. In order to model the feature which is spilt oil spreading according to real-time water flow is weathered, the decrease ratio by oil kinds was used. These real-time data and real-time prediction information have been integrated with ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) and response resources and then these are provided using GIS as a whole system to make the response strategy.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.8 no.10
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• pp.1-8
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• 2017

Accurate forecasting enables to effectively prepare for future phenomenon. Especially, meteorological phenomenon is closely related with human life, and it can prevent from damage such as human life and property through forecasting of weather and disaster that can occur. To respond quickly and effectively to oil spill accidents, it is important to accurately predict the movement of oil spills and the weather in the surrounding waters. In this paper, we selected four representative machine learning techniques: support vector machine, Gaussian process, multilayer perceptron, and radial basis function network that have shown good performance and predictability in the previous studies related to oil spill detection and prediction in meteorology such as wind, rainfall and ozone. we suggest the applicability of oil spill prediction model based on machine learning.