• Title/Summary/Keyword: Speed Prediction

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A Study on the Estimation of the Form Factor of Full-Scale Ship by the Experimental Data of Geosim Models (상사 모형선들의 실험결과를 이용한 실선의 형상계수 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Yoon-Jin;Lee, Young-Gill;Kang, Bong Han
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.291-297
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    • 2013
  • Generally, form factor is determined through ITTC method. Determining the form factor from ITTC method includes the assumption that the form factor of a full-scale ship is the same value as its model ship. In other words, the form factor is independent on Reynolds number. However, for the more appropriate prediction of the resistance performance of a full-scale ship, the form factor must be determined with the consideration of the variation attendant on Reynolds number. In this research, several Geosim ship models are adopted to investigate the scale effect, and correlation lines of form factor are improved to suggest the better extrapolation method for the prediction of the form factor of full-scale ship. The corrected form factors using the correlation lines are compared with those determined from the results of low-speed resistance tests. To consider the influence of hull form, the correlation lines are determined for the group of high-speed ships and the group of low-speed ships, respectively. The corrected form factors have shown good agreement among the prediction results from each Geosim ship model to the full-scale ship.

Development of the Driving Pump for the Super-cavitation & High-speed Cavitation Tunnel (초공동 고속 캐비테이션 터널 구동펌프 개발)

  • Ahn, Jong-Woo;Kim, Gun-Do;Paik, Bu-Geun;Kim, Kyoung-Youl
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2018
  • In order to develop the driving pump for High-speed Cavitation Tunnel(HCT) which can experiment the super-cavitating submerged body, KRISO decided on the pump specification, designed the mixed-flow pump on the basis of the existing pump data and predicted the performance of the design pump using commercial CFD code (CFX-10). After the manufacture and installation of the driving pump, KRISO conducted the trial-test for HCT, analyzed the pump performance and compared trial-test results to those of design stage. The trial-test items for the HCT driving pump are measurements of output current/voltage at the inverter of the driving pump and the flow velocity in the HCT test section. The trial-test results showed the decrease in the flow rate of about 4.6% and the increase in pump head of about 8%, compared with those of the pump prediction. After the trial-test, the performance of the driving pump is predicted using CFX-10 with measured flowrates and pump rotational velocities. Though there is some difference between trial-test and prediction results due to inadequate motor data, it is thought that the tendency is reasonable. It is found that CFX-10 is useful to predict a mixed-flow pump.

Variation of AEP to wind direction variability (풍향의 변동성에 따른 연간에너지 발전량의 변화)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Kim, Byeong-Min;Paek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we performed a sensitivity analysis to see how the true north error of a wind direction vane installed to a meteorological mast affects predictions of the annual-average wind speed and the annual energy production. For this study, two meteorological masts were installed with a distance of about 4km on the ridge in complex terrain and the wind speed and direction were measured for one year. Cross predictions of the wind speed and the AEP of a virtual wind turbine for two sites in complex terrain were performed by changing the wind direction from $-45^{\circ}$ to $45^{\circ}$with an interval of $5^{\circ}$. A commercial wind resource prediction program, WindPRO, was used for the study. It was found that the prediction errors in the AEP caused by the wind direction errors occurred up to more than 20% depending on the orography and the main wind direction at that site.

Nonlinear Kalman filter bias correction for wind ramp event forecasts at wind turbine height

  • Xu, Jing-Jing;Xiao, Zi-Niu;Lin, Zhao-Hui
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2020
  • One of the growing concerns of the wind energy production is wind ramp events. To improve the wind ramp event forecasts, the nonlinear Kalman filter bias correction method was applied to 24-h wind speed forecasts issued from the WRF model at 70-m height in Zhangbei wind farm, Hebei Province, China for a two-year period. The Kalman filter shows the remarkable ability of improving forecast skill for real-time wind speed forecasts by decreasing RMSE by 32% from 3.26 m s-1 to 2.21 m s-1, reducing BIAS almost to zero, and improving correlation from 0.58 to 0.82. The bias correction improves the forecast skill especially in wind speed intervals sensitive to wind power prediction. The fact shows that the Kalman filter is especially suitable for wind power prediction. Moreover, the bias correction method performs well under abrupt weather transition. As to the overall performance for improving the forecast skill of ramp events, the Kalman filter shows noticeable improvements based on POD and TSS. The bias correction increases the POD score of up-ramps from 0.27 to 0.39 and from 0.26 to 0.38 for down-ramps. After bias correction, the TSS score is significantly promoted from 0.12 to 0.26 for up-ramps and from 0.13 to 0.25 for down-ramps.

A Hardware Cache Prefetching Scheme for Multimedia Data with Intermittently Irregular Strides (단속적(斷續的) 불규칙 주소간격을 갖는 멀티미디어 데이타를 위한 하드웨어 캐시 선인출 방법)

  • Chon Young-Suk;Moon Hyun-Ju;Jeon Joongnam;Kim Sukil
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.31 no.11
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    • pp.658-672
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    • 2004
  • Multimedia applications are required to process the huge amount of data at high speed in real time. The memory reference instructions such as loads and stores are the main factor which limits the high speed execution of processor. To enhance the memory reference speed, cache prefetch schemes are used so as to reduce the cache miss ratio and the total execution time by previously fetching data into cache that is expected to be referenced in the future. In this study, we present an advanced data cache prefetching scheme that improves the conventional RPT (reference prediction table) based scheme. We considers the cache line size in calculation of the address stride referenced by the same instruction, and enhances the prefetching algorithm so that the effect of prefetching could be maintained even if an irregular address stride is inserted into the series of uniform strides. According to experiment results on multimedia benchmark programs, the cache miss ratio has been improved 29% in average compared to the conventional RPT scheme while the bus usage has increased relatively small amount (0.03%).

Comparative Study of the Supervised Learning Model for Rate of Penetration Prediction Using Drilling Efficiency Parameters (시추효율매개변수를 이용한 굴진율 예측 지도학습 모델 비교 연구)

  • Han, Dong-Kwon;Sung, Yu-Jeong;Yang, Yun-Jeong;Kwon, Sun-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.1032-1038
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    • 2021
  • Rate of penetration(ROP) is one of the important variables for maximizing the drilling performance. In order to maximize drilling efficiency, it is necessary to increase the drilling speed, and real-time ROP prediction is important so that the driller can identify problems during drilling. The ROP has a high correlation with the drillstring rotational speed, weight on bit, and flow rate. In this paper, the ROP was predicted using a data-driven supervised learning model trained from the drilling efficiency parameters. As a result of comparison through the performance evaluation metrics of the regression model, the root mean square error(RMSE) of the RF model was 4.20 and the mean absolute percentage error(MAPE) was 9.08%, confirming the best predictive performance. The proposed method can be used as a base model for ROP prediction when constructing a real-time drilling operation guide system.

Prediction of Draft Force of Moldboard Plow according to Travel Speed in Cohesive Soil using Discrete Element Method (이산요소법을 활용한 점성토 환경에서의 작업 속도에 따른 몰드보드 플라우 견인력 예측)

  • Bo Min Bae;Dae Wi Jung;Dong Hyung Ryu;Jang Hyeon An;Se O Choi;Yeon Soo Kim;Yong Joo Kim
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2023
  • In the field of agricultural machinery, various on-field tests are conducted to measure design load for optimal design of agricultural equipment. However, field test procedures are costly and time-consuming, and there are many constraints on field soil conditions due to weather, so research on utilizing simulation to overcome these shortcomings is needed. Therefore, this study aimed to model agricultural soils using discrete element method (DEM) software. To simulate draft force, predictions are made according to travel speed and compared to field test results to validate the prediction accuracy. The measured soil properties are used for DEM modeling. In this study, the soil property measurement procedure was designed to measure the physical and mechanical properties. DEM soil model calibration was performed using a virtual vane shear test instead of the repose angle test. The DEM simulation results showed that the prediction accuracy of the draft force was within 4.8% (2.16~6.71%) when compared to the draft force measured by the field test. In addition, it was confirmed that the result was up to 72.51% more accurate than those obtained through theoretical methods for predicting draft force. This study provides useful information for the DEM soil modeling process that considers the working speed from the perspective of agricultural machinery research and it is expected to be utilized in agricultural machinery design research.

A study on the performance improvement of the quality prediction neural network of injection molded products reflecting the process conditions and quality characteristics of molded products by process step based on multi-tasking learning structure (다중 작업 학습 구조 기반 공정단계별 공정조건 및 성형품의 품질 특성을 반영한 사출성형품 품질 예측 신경망의 성능 개선에 대한 연구)

  • Hyo-Eun Lee;Jun-Han Lee;Jong-Sun Kim;Gu-Young Cho
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.72-78
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    • 2023
  • Injection molding is a process widely used in various industries because of its high production speed and ease of mass production during the plastic manufacturing process, and the product is molded by injecting molten plastic into the mold at high speed and pressure. Since process conditions such as resin and mold temperature mutually affect the process and the quality of the molded product, it is difficult to accurately predict quality through mathematical or statistical methods. Recently, studies to predict the quality of injection molded products by applying artificial neural networks, which are known to be very useful for analyzing nonlinear types of problems, are actively underway. In this study, structural optimization of neural networks was conducted by applying multi-task learning techniques according to the characteristics of the input and output parameters of the artificial neural network. A structure reflecting the characteristics of each process step was applied to the input parameters, and a structure reflecting the quality characteristics of the injection molded part was applied to the output parameters using multi-tasking learning. Building an artificial neural network to predict the three qualities (mass, diameter, height) of injection-molded product under six process conditions (melt temperature, mold temperature, injection speed, packing pressure, pacing time, cooling time) and comparing its performance with the existing neural network, we observed enhancements in prediction accuracy for mass, diameter, and height by approximately 69.38%, 24.87%, and 39.87%, respectively.

A Numerical Simulation Study of Strong Wind Events at Jangbogo Station, Antarctica (남극 장보고기지 주변 강풍사례 모의 연구)

  • Kwon, Hataek;Kim, Shin-Woo;Lee, Solji;Park, Sang-Jong;Choi, Taejin;Jeong, Jee-Hoon;Kim, Seong-Joong;Kim, Baek-Min
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.617-633
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    • 2016
  • Jangbogo station is located in Terra Nova Bay over the East Antarctica, which is often affected by individual storms moving along nearby storm tracks and a katabatic flow from the continental interior towards the coast. A numerical simulation for two strong wind events of maximum instantaneous wind speed ($41.17m\;s^{-1}$) and daily mean wind speed ($23.92m\;s^{-1}$) at Jangbogo station are conducted using the polar-optimized version of Weather Research and Forecasting model (Polar WRF). Verifying model results from 3 km grid resolution simulation against AWS observation at Jangbogo station, the case of maximum instantaneous wind speed is relatively simulated well with high skill in wind with a bias of $-3.3m\;s^{-1}$ and standard deviation of $5.4m\;s^{-1}$. The case of maximum daily mean wind speed showed comparatively lower accuracy for the simulation of wind speed with a bias of -7.0 m/s and standard deviation of $8.6m\;s^{-1}$. From the analysis, it is revealed that the each case has different origins for strong wind. The highest maximum instantaneous wind case is caused by the approach of the strong synoptic low pressure system moving toward Terra Nova Bay from North and the other daily wind maximum speed case is mainly caused by the katabatic flow from the interiors of Terra Nova Bay towards the coast. Our evaluation suggests that the Polar WRF can be used as a useful dynamic downscaling tool for the simulation and investigation of high wind events at Jangbogo station. However, additional efforts in utilizing the high resolution terrain is required to reduce the simulation error of high wind mainly caused by katabatic flow, which is received a lot of influence of the surrounding terrain.

Prediction of High Level Ozone Concentration in Seoul by Using Multivariate Statistical Analyses (다변량 통계분석을 이용한 서울시 고농도 오존의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 허정숙;김동술
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 1993
  • In order to statistically predict $O_3$ levels in Seoul, the study used the TMS (telemeted air monitoring system) data from the Department of Environment, which have monitored at 20 sites in 1989 and 1990. Each data in each site was characterized by 6 major criteria pollutants ($SO_2, TSP, CO, NO_2, THC, and O_3$) and 2 meteorological parameters, such as wind speed and wind direction. To select proper variables and to determine each pollutant's behavior, univariate statistical analyses were extensively studied in the beginning, and then various applied statistical techniques like cluster analysis, regression analysis, and expert system have been intensively examined. For the initial study of high level $O_3$ prediction, the raw data set in each site was separated into 2 group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ level. A hierarchical cluster analysis was applied to classify the group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ into small calsses. Each class in each site has its own pattern. Next, multiple regression for each class was repeatedly applied to determine an $O_3$ prediction submodel and to determine outliers in each class based on a certain level of standardized redisual. Thus, a prediction submodel for each homogeneous class could be obtained. The study was extended to model $O_3$ prediction for both on-time basis and 1-hr after basis. Finally, an expect system was used to build a unified classification rule based on examples of the homogenous classes for all of sites. Thus, a concept of high level $O_3$ prediction model was developed for one of $O_3$ alert systems.

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