• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.29-43
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• 2024

Legally protected species are one of the crucial considerations in the field of natural ecology when conducting environmental impact assessments (EIAs). The occurrence of legally protected species, especially 'Endangered Wildlife' designated by Ministry of Environment, significantly influences the progression of projects subject to EIA, necessitating clear investigations and presentations of their habitats. In perspective of statistics, a minimum of 30 occurrence coordinates is required for population prediction, but most of endangered wildlife has insufficient coordinates and it posing challenges for distribution prediction through modeling. Consequently, this study aims to propose modeling methodologies applicable when coordinate data are limited, focusing on Rodgersia podophylla, representing characteristics of endangered wildlife and northern plant species. For this methodology, 30 random sampling coordinates were used as input data, assuming little survey data, and modeling was performed using individual models included in BIOMOD2. After that, the modeling results were evaluated by using discrimination capacity and the reality reflection ability. An optimal modeling technique was proposed by ensemble the remaining models except for the MaxEnt model, which was found to be less reliable in the modeling results. Alongside discussions on discrimination capacity metrics(e.g. TSS and AUC) presented in modeling results, this study provides insights and suggestions for improvement, but it has limitations that it is difficult to use universally because it is not a study conducted on various species. By supporting survey site selection in EIA processes, this research is anticipated to contribute to minimizing situations where protected species are overlooked in survey results.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.19-30
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• 2016

The projection of climate-related range shift is critical information for conservation planning of Korean fir (Abies koreana E. H. Wilson). We first modeled the distribution of Korean fir under current climate condition using five single-model species distribution models (SDMs) and the pre-evaluation weighted ensemble method and then predicted the distributions under future climate conditions projected with HadGEM2-AO under four $CO_2$ emission scenarios, the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5. We also investigated the predictive uncertainty stemming from five individual algorithms and four $CO_2$ emission scenarios for better interpretation of SDM projections. Five individual algorithms were Generalized linear model (GLM), Generalized additive model (GAM), Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), Generalized boosted model (GBM) and Random forest (RF). The results showed high variations of model performances among individual SDMs and the wide range of diverging predictions of future distributions of Korean fir in response to RCPs. The ensemble model presented the highest predictive accuracy (TSS = 0.97, AUC = 0.99) and predicted that the climate habitat suitability of Korean fir would increase under climate changes. Accordingly, the fir distribution could expand under future climate conditions. Increasing precipitation may account for increases in the distribution of Korean fir. Increasing precipitation compensates the negative effects of increasing temperature. However, the future distribution of Korean fir is also affected by other ecological processes, such as interactions with co-existing species, adaptation and dispersal limitation, and other environmental factors, such as extreme weather events and land-use changes. Therefore, we need further ecological research and to develop mechanistic and process-based distribution models for improving the predictive accuracy.

• 한국결정성장학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.128-133
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• 2000

Numerical analysis of the transport phenomena in an inductively coupled plasma reactor was conducted with two-dimensional axisymmetric model including the electromagnetic field model, electron and species density models. The spatial distribution of the charged species in the ion flux to the wafer have been calculated to examine the influence of the process conditions including antenna and reactor geometry. The antenna radius had a significant influence on the plasma state and axial ion flux distribution.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.302-315
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• 2023

Distribution characteristics and altitudinal gradient of four species (E. strigata, E. separigata, E. orientalis-sachalinensis group) of the mayfly genus Ephemera (Order Ephemeroptera) were analyzed with probability distribution models (exponential, normal, lognormal, logistic, Weibull, gamma, beta, Gumbel). Data was collected from 23,846 sampling units of 6,787 sites in Korea from 2010 to 2021. The beta distribution model showed the best fit for positively skewed E. orientalis-sachalinensis and little-skewed E. strigata along with altitudinal gradient. The reversed lognormal distribution model showed the best-fit for negatively skewed E. separigata. E. orientalis-sachalinensis distributed at the range of altitude 1~700 m (mean 251 m, median 226 m, mode 124 m, and standard deviation 161 m), E. strigata distributed at the range of altitude 5~871 m (mean 474 m, median 478 m, mode 492 m, and standard deviation 200 m), E. separigata distributed at the range of altitude 7~846 m (mean 620 m, median 659 m, mode 760 m, and standard deviation 181 m). Altitudinal habitat suitability ranges were estimated to be 42~257 m for E. orientalis-sachalinensis, 335~644 m for E. strigata, and 641~824 m for E. separigata. Based on the altitudinal spectrum of suitability and altitude-related temperature analysis results, E. orientalis-sachalinensis was estimated to be thermophilic, E. strigata to be mesophilic, and E. separigata to be thermophobic. This is the first national-scale evaluation of the altitudinal distribution of Ephemera in Korea. These results will be used in a further research study on altitudinal shift of the species of Ephemera under climate change.

• 대한공간정보학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.59-64
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• 2008

우리나라의 야생동식물 조사가 시간적, 경제적 이유로 주로 출현지역만을 대상으로 하고 있어 종분포모형을 개발할 때 각 모형의 장점을 최대한 이용하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구는 위치자료의 종류(출현/비출현자료)에 따라 가장 대표적인 출현/비출현모형(presence-absence model)인 GAM(Generalized Additive Model)과 출현모형(presence-only model)인 Maxent(Maximum Entropy Model)를 이용하여 비교 검토하였다. 본 연구의 대상종으로는 캘리포니아의 보호종인 피셔(Martes pennanti)를 선정하고 대상지를 지역에 따라 나누었으며, 서식지환경을 설명하는 지형, 기후, 식생변수들을 이용하여 모형을 적용하였다. 그 결과 첫째, 실제 출현/비출현자료를 사용한 GAM이 임의 비출현자료를 사용한 GAM과 출현자료만을 사용한 Maxent보다 전체적으로 나은 것을 볼 수 있었다. 둘째, 실제 출현자료만을 이용한 모형을 개발할 경우 임의 비출현자료를 이용한 GAM보다 출현자료만을 이용한 Maxent가 더 나은 것을 알 수 있었다. 마지막으로 세부지역에서 개발된 모형(Klamath/Shasta, Sourthern Sierra)은 서로 서식환경이 다를 경우 다른 지역의 서식지를 잘 예측하지 못함을 알 수 있었고, 대상지 외부지역에 대해 과추정하는 경향을 보였다. 위 결과를 바탕으로 위치자료의 종류, 공간적 분포 등을 감안하여 대상지의 환경에 알맞은 모형을 선택하는 것이 바람직할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제111권1호
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• pp.50-60
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• 2022

본 연구는 백두대간에 자생하는 주요 밀원수종 3종(음나무, 피나무, 쪽동백나무)을 대상으로 서식지 적합성 분석을 수행하였다. 백두대간 내 밀원수종 서식지 적합도 분석을 MaxEnt를 이용하여 수행한 결과, 모형의 예측정확도 AUC값은 음나무 0.747, 피나무 0.790, 쪽동백나무 0.755로 나타났다. 밀원수종의 서식지 적합도에 가장 영향을 많이 미치는 변수로 음나무와 피나무는 고도, 연평균 기온, 경사도 순으로 나타났으며, 쪽동백나무는 연평균 기온, 고도, 연평균 강수량 순으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 분석된 대상수종 모두 지형인자인 고도와 기후인자인 연평균 기온이 가장 중요한 인자로 나타났으며, 이는 고도와 기온이 대상 수종의 분포 패턴을 설명하는데 매우 핵심적인 인자임을 나타낸다. 본 연구는 임업소득 향상을 위한 고부가가치 아이템인 산림양봉의 필수자원인 주요 밀원수종들의 서식지 적합성 분석을 통해, 백두대간 내 주요 밀원수종의 관리와 밀원림을 조성할 수 있는 잠재력이 높은 중요 적합지들에 대한 자료를 제공한다. 향후 밀원수종 분포에 영향을 미치는 토양, 건조도 등의 무생물적 인자와 종간경쟁 등의 생물적 인자를 종합적으로 고려하여 모형의 정확도를 높이는 연구가 추가로 진행되어야 할 필요가 있다.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.173-184
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• 2016

생물종의 경쟁과 공간적 분포, 생태적 지위의 관계에 대한 정보는 생물지리학적 분포형태를 이해하는 데 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 연구에서는 한국에 서식하고 있는 살모사과 3종(Gloydius ussuriensis, G. brevicaudus, G. saxatilis)에 대해 관찰자료와 종 분포 모델 기법을 바탕으로 분포 특성과 종의 생태적 지위를 산출하였고, 예측된 종 분포 모델들을 바탕으로 지리적 분포와 생태적 지위의 분화에 대한 종간 경쟁 관계의 영향을 추론하였다. 연구 결과 고도가 살모사들의 분포에 가장 중요한 환경변수로 나타났으며, 그들이 분포한 고도는 그 지역의 기후와 상관관계를 나타냈다. 종간 생태적 지위는 비교적 높게 중첩되어 있었지만, 예측된 3종의 분포형태는 태백산맥을 기준으로 차이를 나타냈다. 분포모델들을 중첩한 결과, 종간 중첩된 지역의 서식지는 대부분 산림지역으로, 전체 조사 지역에 비해 비교적 작은 범위가 중첩되어 접소적인 분포형태가 예측되었다. 또한 중첩된 지역에 분포한 개체수는 종간 양의 상관관계를 나타내고 있어, 이 지역에서 종간 경쟁이 심하지 않다는 것을 암시하고 있다. 결론적으로 한국에 서식하고 있는 살모사과 3종은 유사한 생태적 지위를 차지하고 있지만, 직접적인 경쟁 없이 접소적인 분포형태를 띠고 있는 것으로 보인다. 향후 접소적인 분포형태를 일으키는 직접적인 요인을 알아내기 위해, 보다 자세한 생태학적, 행동학적 연구와 더불어 비교적 세밀한 격자 크기를 통한 다양한 지형변수(고도, 미소서식지 특성 등)들에 대한 연구가 진행될 필요가 있다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.219-230
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• 2013

Species distribution modeling is one of the most effective habitat analysis methods for wildlife conservation. This study was for evaluating the suitability of species distribution to distance between forest patches in Seoul city using tits. We analyzed the distribution of the four species of tits: varied tit (Parus varius), marsh tit (P. palustris), great tit (P. major) and coal tit (P. ater), using the landscape indexes and connectivity indexes, and compared the resulting suitability indexes from 100m to 1,000m. As factors affecting to the distribution of tits, we calculated landscape indices by separating them into intra-patch indices (i.e. logged patch area (PA), area-weighted mean patch shape index (PSI), tree rate (TR)) and inter-patch indices (i.e. patch degree (PD), patch betweenness (PB), difference probability of connectivity (DPC)), to analyze the internal properties of the patches and their connectivity by tits occurrence data using logistic regression modeling. The models were evaluated by AICc (Akaike Information Criteria with a correction for finite sample sizes) and AUC (Area Under Curve of ROC). The results of AICc and AUC showed DPC, PA, PSI, and TR were important factors of the habitat models for great tit and marsh tit at the level of distance 500~800m. In contrast, habitat models for coal tit and varied tit, which are known as forest interior species, reflected PA, PSI, and TR as intra-patch indices rather than connectivity. These mean that coal tit and varied tit are more likely to find a large circular forest patch than a small and long-shaped forest patch, which are higher rate of forest. Therefore, different strategies are required in order to enhance the habitats of the forest birds, tits, in a region that has fragmented forest patches such as Seoul city. It is important to manage forest interior areas for coal tit and varied tit, which are known as forest interior species and to manage not only forest interior areas but also connectivity of the forest patches in the threshold distance for great tit and marsh tit as adapted species to the urban ecosystem for sustainable ecosystem management.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.170-178
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• 2012

Dipterocarps or Dipterocarpaceae is a commercially important timber producing and dominant keystone tree family in the rain forests of Borneo. Borneo's landscape is changing at an unprecedented rate in recent years which affects this important biodiversity. This paper attempts to model the natural occurrence (distribution including those areas with natural forests before being converted to other land uses as opposed to current distribution) of dipterocarp species in Sarawak which is important for forest biodiversity conservation and management. Local modeling method of Inverse Distance Weighting was compared with commonly used statistical method (Binary Logistic Regression) to build the best natural distribution models for three genera (12 species) of dipterocarps. Database of species occurrence data and pseudoabsence data were constructed and divided into two halves for model building and validation. For logistic regression modeling, climatic, topographical and edaphic parameters were used. Proxy variables were used to represent the parameters which were highly (p>0.75) correlated to avoid over-fitting. The results show that Inverse Distance Weighting produced the best and consistent prediction with an average accuracy of over 80%. This study demonstrates that local interpolation method can be used for the modeling of natural distribution of dipterocarp species. The Inverse Distance Weighted was proven a better method and the possible reasons are discussed.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제39권5호
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• pp.396-412
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• 2023

Species from the mayfly genus Ephemera (Order Ephemeroptera) was assessed for their physical microhabitat suitability (namely E. strigata, E. separigata, and E. orientalis-sachalinensis). Probability distribution models (Exponential, Normal, Lognormal, Logistic, Weibull, Gamma, Beta, and Gumbel) based on the data collected from 23,957 sampling units of 6,787 sites in Korea from 2010 to 2021 were used. Mode and standard deviation calculated from the best-fitting models to species distribution along a water depth gradient were 265 cm and 159 cm in E. orientalis-sachalinensis; 10 cm and 83 cm in E. strigata; 20 cm and 15 cm in E. separigata, respectively. The current velocity gradient was 22 cm/s and 40 cm/s in E. orientalis-sachalinensis; 60 cm/s and 53 cm/s in E. strigata; 82 cm/s and 25 cm/s in E. separigata, respectively. The mean diameter (phi scale) of substrate grains were -3.6 and 2.2 in E. orientalis-sachalinensis; -7.4 and 1.5 in E. strigata; -5.8 and 0.9 in E. separigata, respectively. Habitat suitability range of E. orientalis-sachalinensis was estimated to be 161~369 cm (water depth), 5~44 cm/s (current velocity), -5.2~-2.0 (mean diameter); 3~34 cm (water depth), 36~94 cm/s (current velocity), -8.1~-6.3 (mean diameter) for E. strigata; 12~32 cm (water depth), 63~96 cm/s (current velocity), -6.3~-5.2 (mean diameter) for E. separigata. In relative comparison, E. orientalis-sachalinensis was estimated to be rheophobic, eurybathophilic, and eurypsephophilic; E. strigata to be euryrheophilic, bathophobic, and lithophilic; E. separigata to be stenomesorheophilic, stenobathophobic, stenolithophilic.