Projecting the Potential Distribution of Abies koreana in Korea Under the Climate Change Based on RCP Scenarios |
Koo, Kyung Ah
(National Institute of Ecology)
Kim, Jaeuk (Korea Environment Institute) Kong, Woo-seok (Department of Geography, Kyung Hee University) Jung, Huicheul (Korea Environment Institute) Kim, Geunhan (Korea Environment Institute) |
1 | Allouche, O..A. Tsoar and R. Kadmon. 2006. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). Journal of Applied Ecology 43(6): 1223-1232. DOI |
2 | Becker, M..G. Landmann and G. Levy. 1989. Silver fir decline in the vosges mountains (France): Role of climate and silviculture. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 48(1): 77-86. DOI |
3 | Bell, D. M..J. B. Bradford and W. K. Lauenroth. 2014. Mountain landscapes offer few opportunities for high-elevation tree species migration. Global Change Biology 20(5): 1441-1451. DOI |
4 | Camarero, J. J..C. Bigler.J. C. Linares and E. Gil-Pelegrin. 2011. Synergistic effects of past historical logging and drought on the decline of Pyrenean silver fir forests. Forest Ecology and Management 262(5): 759-769. DOI |
5 | Diaz-Varela, R. A..R. Colombo.M. Meroni.M. S. Calvo-Iglesias.A. Buffoni and A. Tagliaferri. 2010. Spatio-temporal analysis of alpine ecotones: A spatial explicit model targeting altitudinal vegetation shifts. Ecological Modelling 221(4): 621-633. DOI |
6 | Elith, J. and J. R. Leathwick. 2009. Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and predict- ion across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 40: 677-697. DOI |
7 | Ernakovich, J. G..K. A. Hopping.A. B. Berdanier.R. T. Simpson.E. J. Kachergis.H. Steltzer and M. D. Wallenstein. 2014. Predicted responses of arctic and alpine ecosystems to altered seasonality under climate change. Global Change Biology 20(10): 3256-3269. DOI |
8 | Feeley, K. J..M. R. Silman.M. B. Bush.W. Farfan.K. G. Cabrera.Y. Malhi.P. Meir.N. S. Revilla.M. N. R. Quisiyupanqui and S. Saatchi. 2011. Upslope migration of Andean trees. Journal of Biogeography 38(4): 783-791. DOI |
9 | Franklin, J. 2009. Mapping Species Distributions Spatial Inference and Prediction. New York: Cambridge University Press. |
10 | Guisan, A. and W. Thuiller. 2005. Predicting species distribution: offering more than sim- ple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8(9): 993-1009. DOI |
11 | Hampe, A. and A.S. Jump. 2011. Climate relicts: past, present, future. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 42: 313-333. DOI |
12 | IPCC. 2013. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin.G.-K. Plattner.M. Tignor, S. K. Allen.J. Boschung.A. Nauels.Y. Xia.V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. |
13 | Koo KA.Park WK and Kong WS. 2001. Dendrochronological analysis of Abies koreana W. at Mt. Halla, Korea-Effects of climate change on the growths. Journal of Ecology and Environment 24(5): 281-288. (in Korean with English summary) |
14 | Kim YS.Chang CS.Kim CS and M. Gardner. 2011. Abies koreana . The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2011: e.T31244A9618913. |
15 | Kong WS.Kim KO.Lee SG.Park HN and Cho SH. 2014. Distribution of high mountain plants and species vulnerability against climate change. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 23(2): 119-136. (in Korean with English summary) DOI |
16 | Koo KA.Kong WS.N. P. Nibbelink.C. S. Hopkinson and Lee JH. 2015. Potential effects of climate change on the distribution of cold-tolerant evergreen broadleaved woody plants in the Korean Peninsula. PLoS ONE 10(8): e0134043. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0134043 DOI |
17 | Korea National Arboretum. 2004. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; South-Coast Province. (in Korean) |
18 | Korea National Arboretum. 2005. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; South Province (Jeolla-do & Jirisan). (in Korean) |
19 | Korea National Arboretum. 2006. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; Central & South Province (Chungcheong-do). (in Korean) |
20 | Korea National Arboretum. 2007. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; Central Province (Gyeonggi-do). (in Korean) |
21 | Korea National Arboretum. 2009. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; Central Province (Gangwon-do). (in Korean) |
22 | Korea National Arboretum. 2010a. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; South Province (Gyeongsangnam-do) and Ulleung-do province. (in Korean) |
23 | Kwon HS. 2014. Applying ensemble model for identifying uncertainty in the species distribution models. Journal of the Korean Society for Geospatial Information System 22(4): 47-52. (in Korean with English summary) DOI |
24 | Korea National Arboretum. 2010b. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; Jeju-do Province. (in Korean) |
25 | Korea National Arboretum. 2011. Distribution Maps of Vascular Plants of Korean Peninsula; Western & Southern Coastal Area. (in Korean) |
26 | Korea National Arboretum. 2015. Forest of Korea(I)-Conservation of Korean fir(Abies Koreana) in a Changing Environment. (in Korean) |
27 | Landis, J. R. and G. G. Koch. 1977. The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics 33(1): 159-174. DOI |
28 | Lee CS and Cho HJ. 1993. Structure and dynamics of Abies koreana Wilson community in Mt. Gaya. Journal of Ecology and Environment 16(1): 75-91. (in Korean with English summary) |
29 | Lee YW and Hong SC. 1995. Ecological studies on the vegetational characteristics of the Abies koreana forest. Journal of Korean Forestry Society 84(2): 247-257. (in Korean with English summary) |
30 | Linares, J. C. and J. J. Camarero. 2012a. Growth patterns and sensitivity to climate predict silver fir decline in the Spanish Pyrenees. European Journal of Forest Research 131(4): 1001-1012. DOI |
31 | Linares, J. C. and J. J. Camarero. 2012b. From pattern to process: linking intrinsic water-use efficiency to drought-induced forest decline. Global Change Biology 18(3): 1000-1015. DOI |
32 | Pearson, R. G.. 2007. Species' distribution modeling for conservation educators and practitioners. Lessons in Conservation (LinC) Developing the capacity to sustain the earth's diversity: 54-89. |
33 | Lobo, J. M..A. Jimenez-Valverde and R. Real. 2008. AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Global Ecology and Biogeography 17(2): 145-151. DOI |
34 | Park JH. 1990. Phytosociological Study on the Abies koreana Forest in Banyabong of Mt. Chiri, Korea. Master thesis, Chung-Ang University. (in Korean) |
35 | Pauli et al. 2012. Recent plant diversity changes on Europe's mountain summits. Science 336(6079): 353-355. DOI |
36 | Randin, C. F..R. Engler.S. Normand.M. Zappa.N. E. Zimmermann.P. B. Pearman.P. Vittoz.W. Thuiller and A. Guisan. 2009. Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology 15(6): 1557-1569. DOI |
37 | Song KM. 2011. Vegetation Structure and Dynamics of Abies koreana Forests on Mt. Halla. Ph.D dissertation, Jeju National University. (in Korean) |
38 | Sergent, A. S..P. Rozenberg and N. Breda. 2014. Douglas-fir is vulnerable to exceptional and recurrent drought episodes and recovers less well on less fertile sites. Annals of Forest Science 71(6): 697-708. DOI |
39 | Sevanto, S..T. Suni.J. Pumpanen.T. Gronholm.P. Kolari.E. Nikinmaa.P. Hari and T. Vesala. 2006. Wintertime photosynthesis and water uptake in a boreal forest. Tree Physiology 26(6): 749-757. DOI |
40 | Shin YH and Jung HC. 2015. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 24(3): 205-216. (in Korean with English summary) DOI |
41 | Woo SY. 2009. Forest decline of the world: A linkage with air pollution and global warming. African Journal of Biotechnology 8(25): 7409-7414. |
42 | Sproull, G. J..M. F. Quigley.A. Sher and E. Gonzalez. 2015. Long-term changes in composition, diversity and distribution patterns in four herbaceous plant communities along an elevational gradient. Journal of Vegetation Science 6(3): 552-563. |
43 | Stockli, V..S. Wipf.C. Nilsson and C. Rixen. 2011. Using historical plant surveys to track biodiversity on mountain summits. Plant Ecology & Diversity 4(4): 415-425. DOI |
44 | Thuiller, W..D. Georges and R. Engler. 2013. Biomod2: Ensemble Platform for Species Distribution Modeling. R Package Version 2.7. |