• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatio-temporal prediction

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Multivariate Congestion Prediction using Stacked LSTM Autoencoder based Bidirectional LSTM Model

  • Vijayalakshmi, B;Thanga, Ramya S;Ramar, K
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.216-238
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    • 2023
  • In intelligent transportation systems, traffic management is an important task. The accurate forecasting of traffic characteristics like flow, congestion, and density is still active research because of the non-linear nature and uncertainty of the spatiotemporal data. Inclement weather, such as rain and snow, and other special events such as holidays, accidents, and road closures have a significant impact on driving and the average speed of vehicles on the road, which lowers traffic capacity and causes congestion in a widespread manner. This work designs a model for multivariate short-term traffic congestion prediction using SLSTM_AE-BiLSTM. The proposed design consists of a Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory(BiLSTM) network to predict traffic flow value and a Convolutional Neural network (CNN) model for detecting the congestion status. This model uses spatial static temporal dynamic data. The stacked Long Short Term Memory Autoencoder (SLSTM AE) is used to encode the weather features into a reduced and more informative feature space. BiLSTM model is used to capture the features from the past and present traffic data simultaneously and also to identify the long-term dependencies. It uses the traffic data and encoded weather data to perform the traffic flow prediction. The CNN model is used to predict the recurring congestion status based on the predicted traffic flow value at a particular urban traffic network. In this work, a publicly available Caltrans PEMS dataset with traffic parameters is used. The proposed model generates the congestion prediction with an accuracy rate of 92.74% which is slightly better when compared with other deep learning models for congestion prediction.

Comparative Evaluation of Reproducibility for Spatio-temporal Rainfall Distribution Downscaled Using Different Statistical Methods (통계적 공간상세화 기법의 시공간적 강우분포 재현성 비교평가)

  • Jung, Imgook;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.

An Object-Based Verification Method for Microscale Weather Analysis Module: Application to a Wind Speed Forecasting Model for the Korean Peninsula (미기상해석모듈 출력물의 정확성에 대한 객체기반 검증법: 한반도 풍속예측모형의 정확성 검증에의 응용)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kwak, Hwa-Ryun;Kim, Sang-il;Choi, Young-Jean
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1275-1288
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    • 2015
  • A microscale weather analysis module (about 1km or less) is a microscale numerical weather prediction model designed for operational forecasting and atmospheric research needs such as radiant energy, thermal energy, and humidity. The accuracy of the module is directly related to the usefulness and quality of real-time microscale weather information service in the metropolitan area. This paper suggests an object based verification method useful for spatio-temporal evaluation of the accuracy of the microscale weather analysis module. The method is a graphical method comprised of three steps that constructs a lattice field of evaluation statistics, merges and identifies objects, and evaluates the accuracy of the module. We develop lattice fields using various evaluation spatio-temporal statistics as well as an efficient object identification algorithm that conducts convolution, masking, and merging operations to the lattice fields. A real data application demonstrates the utility of the verification method.

Efficient Methods for Detecting Frame Characteristics and Objects in Video Sequences (내용기반 비디오 검색을 위한 움직임 벡터 특징 추출 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Hyun-Chang;Lee, Jae-Hyun;Jang, Ok-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2008
  • This paper detected the characteristics of motion vector to support efficient content -based video search of video. Traditionally, the present frame of a video was divided into blocks of equal size and BMA (block matching algorithm) was used, which predicts the motion of each block in the reference frame on the time axis. However, BMA has several restrictions and vectors obtained by BMA are sometimes different from actual motions. To solve this problem, the foil search method was applied but this method is disadvantageous in that it has to make a large volume of calculation. Thus, as an alternative, the present study extracted the Spatio-Temporal characteristics of Motion Vector Spatio-Temporal Correlations (MVSTC). As a result, we could predict motion vectors more accurately using the motion vectors of neighboring blocks. However, because there are multiple reference block vectors, such additional information should be sent to the receiving end. Thus, we need to consider how to predict the motion characteristics of each block and how to define the appropriate scope of search. Based on the proposed algorithm, we examined motion prediction techniques for motion compensation and presented results of applying the techniques.

Multi-View Video Coding Using Illumination Change-Adaptive Motion Estimation and 2D Direct Mode (조명변화에 적응적인 움직임 검색 기법과 2차원 다이렉트 모드를 사용한 다시점 비디오 부호화)

  • Lee, Yung Ki;Hur, Jae Ho;Lee, Yung Lyul
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.321-327
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    • 2005
  • A MVC (Multi-view Video Coding) method, which uses both an illumination change-adaptive ME (Motion Estimation)/DC (Motion Compensation) and a 2D (Dimensional) direct mode, is proposed. Firstly, a new SAD (Sum of Absolute Difference) measure for ME/MC is proposed to compensate the Luma pixel value changes for spatio-temporal motion vector prediction. Illumination change-adaptive (ICA) ME/MC uses the new SAD to improve both MV (Motion Vector) accuracy and bit saving. Secondly, The proposed 2D direct mode that can be used in inter-view prediction is an extended version of the temporal direct mode in MPEG-4 AVC. The proposed MVC method obtains approximately 0.8dB PSNR (Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio) increment compared with the MPEG-4 AVC simulcast coding.

Spatio-Temporal Error Concealment of I-frame using GOP structure of MPEG-2 (MPEG-2의 GOP 구조를 이용한 I 프레임의 시공간적 오류 은닉)

  • Kang, Min-Jung;Ryu, Chul
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.1C
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes more robust error concealment techniques (ECTs) for MPEG-2 intra coded frame. MPEG-2 source coding algorithm is very sensitive to transmission errors due to the use of variable-length coding. The transmission errors are corrected by error correction scheme, however, they cannot be revised properly. Error concealment (EC) is used to conceal the errors which are not corrected by error correction and to provide minimum visual distortion at the decoder. If errors are generated in intra coded frame, that is the starting frame of GOP, they are propagated to other inter coded frames due to the nature of motion compensated prediction coding. Such propagation of error may cause severe visual distortion. The proposed algorithm in this paper utilizes the spatio-temporal information of neighboring inter coded frames to conceal the successive slices errors occurred in I-frame. The proposed method also overcomes the problems that previous ECTs reside. The proposed algorithm generates consistent performance even in network where the violent transmission errors frequently occur. Algorithm is performed in MPEG-2 video codec and we can confirm that the proposed algorithm provides less visible distortion and higher PSNR than other approaches through simulations.

Prediction of Consumer Propensity to Purchase Using Geo-Lifestyle Clustering and Spatiotemporal Data Cube in GIS-Postal Marketing System (GIS-우편 마케팅 시스템에서 Geo-Lifestyle 군집화 및 시공간 데이터 큐브를 이용한 구매.소비 성향 예측)

  • Lee, Heon-Gyu;Choi, Yong-Hoon;Jung, Hoon;Park, Jong-Heung
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.74-84
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    • 2009
  • GIS based new postal marketing method is presented in this paper with spatiotemporal mining to cope with domestic mail volume decline and to strengthening competitiveness of postal business. Market segmentation technique for socialogy of population and spatiotemporal prediction of consumer propensity to purchase through spatiotemporal multi-dimensional analysis are suggested to provide meaningful and accurate marketing information with customers. Internal postal acceptance & external statistical data of local districts in the Seoul Metropolis are used for the evaluation of geo-lifestyle clustering and spatiotemporal cube mining. Successfully optimal 14 maketing clusters and spatiotemporal patterns are extracted for the prediction of consumer propensity to purchase.

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Predicting Urban Tourism Flow with Tourism Digital Footprints Based on Deep Learning

  • Fangfang Gu;Keshen Jiang;Yu Ding;Xuexiu Fan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1162-1181
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    • 2023
  • Tourism flow is not only the manifestation of tourists' special displacement change, but also an important driving mode of regional connection. It has been considered as one of significantly topics in many applications. The existing research on tourism flow prediction based on tourist number or statistical model is not in-depth enough or ignores the nonlinearity and complexity of tourism flow. In this paper, taking Nanjing as an example, we propose a prediction method of urban tourism flow based on deep learning methods using travel diaries of domestic tourists. Our proposed method can extract the spatio-temporal dependence relationship of tourism flow and further forecast the tourism flow to attractions for every day of the year or for every time period of the day. Experimental results show that our proposed method is slightly better than other benchmark models in terms of prediction accuracy, especially in predicting seasonal trends. The proposed method has practical significance in preventing tourists unnecessary crowding and saving a lot of queuing time.

Parallelization scheme of trajectory index using inertia of moving objects (이동체의 관성을 이용한 궤적 색인의 병렬화 기법)

  • Seo, Young-Duk;Hong, Bong-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.8 no.1 s.16
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    • pp.59-75
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    • 2006
  • One of the most challenging and encouraging applications of state-of-the-art technology is the field of traffic control systems. It combines techniques from the areas of telecommunications and computer science to establish traffic information and various assistance services. The support of the system requires a moving objects database system (MODB) that stores moving objects efficiently and performs spatial or temporal queries with time conditions. In this paper, we propose schemes to distribute an index nodes of trajectory based on spatio-temporal proximity and the characteristics of moving objects. The scheme predicts the extendible MBB of nodes of index through the prediction of moving object, and creates a parallel trajectory index. The experimental evaluation shows that the proposed schemes give us the performance improvement by 15%. This result makes an improvement of performance by 50% per one disk.

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Spatio-Temporal Prediction Filter Design in Interactive Panorama Video Service (인터랙티브 파노라마 비디오 서비스에서 시공간 비디오 스트림 예측 필터 설계)

  • Cho, Yongwoo;Seok, Joomyoung;Suh, Doug Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.406-409
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    • 2011
  • 최근 방송과 통신의 융합으로 방송 통신 융합형 서비스가 활발해지고 있고, 사용자의 요구사항이 높아지고 있는 가운데 무선 채널을 이용한 인터랙티브 비디오 스트리밍 서비스는 가장 큰 서비스로 자리 잡고 있다. 인터랙티브 비디오 서비스중 하나인 파노라마 비디오는 기존의 고정적인 시청환경을 사용자가 능동적으로 선택할 수 있다는 측면에서 발전의 가능성이 큰 분야 중 하나이다. 하지만 넓은 시점을 가진 파노라마 비디오는 높은 대역폭이 요구된다는 단점이 있다. 이에 본 논문은 사용자가 파노라마 비디오 서비스를 받을 때 시청 시점을 변경시키면서 사용되는 비트율을 시공간적 필터를 사용하여 줄일 수 있는 방법을 제안한다. 이를 이용하여 고 대역폭 사용이 불가피한 파노라마 비디오 스트리밍 서비스의 요구 대역폭을 줄임으로서 인터렉티브 비디오의 스트리밍 서비스분야에서 효율적인 대역폭 사용을 위한 기술로 사용될 수 있음을 확인 할 수 있다.

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