• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial autocorrelation

Search Result 243, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Population Distribution Estimation Using Regression-Kriging Model (Regression-Kriging 모형을 이용한 인구분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sun;Ku, Cha-Yong;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.45 no.6
    • /
    • pp.806-819
    • /
    • 2010
  • Population data has been essential and fundamental in spatial analysis and commonly aggregated into political boundaries. A conventional method for population distribution estimation was a regression model with land use data, but the estimation process has limitation because of spatial autocorrelation of the population data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of population distribution estimation by adopting a Regression-Kriging method, namely RK Model, which combines a regression model with Kriging for the residuals. RK Model was applied to a part of Seoul metropolitan area to estimate population distribution based on the residential zones. Comparative results of regression model and RK model using RMSE, MAE, and G statistics revealed that RK model could substantially improve the accuracy of population distribution. It is expected that RK model could be adopted actively for further population distribution estimation.

Deprivation and Mortality at the Town Level in Busan, Korea: An Ecological Study

  • Choi, Min-Hyeok;Cheong, Kyu-Seok;Cho, Byung-Mann;Hwang, In-Kyung;Kim, Chang-Hun;Kim, Myoung-Hee;Hwang, Seung-Sik;Lim, Jeong-Hun;Yoon, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.44 no.6
    • /
    • pp.242-248
    • /
    • 2011
  • Objectives: Busan is reported to have the highest mortality rate among 16 provinces in Korea, as well as considerable health inequality across its districts. This study sought to examine overall and cause-specific mortality and deprivation at the town level in Busan, thereby identifying towns and causes of deaths to be targeted for improving overall health and alleviating health inequality. Methods: Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for all-cause and four specific leading causes of death were calculated at the town level in Busan for the years 2005 through 2008. To construct a deprivation index, principal components and factor analysis were adopted, using 10% sample data from the 2005 census. Geographic information system (GIS) mapping techniques were applied to compare spatial distributions between the deprivation index and SMRs. We fitted the Gaussian conditional autoregressive model (CAR) to estimate the relative risks of mortality by deprivation level, controlling for both the heterogeneity effect and spatial autocorrelation. Results: The SMRs of towns in Busan averaged 100.3, ranging from 70.7 to 139.8. In old inner cities and towns reclaimed for replaced households, the deprivation index and SMRs were relatively high. CAR modeling showed that gaps in SMRs for heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and physical injury were particularly high. Conclusions: Our findings indicate that more deprived towns are likely to have higher mortality, in particular from cardiovascular disease and physical injury. To improve overall health status and address health inequality, such deprived towns should be targeted.

Spatial Autocorrelation Characteristic Analysis on Bayesian ensemble Precipitation of Nakdong River Basin (낙동강유역 강우의 공간자기상관 특성분석을 통한 베이지안 앙상블 강우 검증)

  • Moon, Soo Jin;Sun, Ho Young;Kang, Boo Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.411-411
    • /
    • 2017
  • 유역 내 발생하는 강우의 공간적인 분포는 인접성 및 거리에 따라 달라질 수 있다. 공간자기상관 분석은 공간단위(유역 또는 행정구역)의 변수(강수 등)가 주변지역과 갖는 관계를 통해 얼마나 분산되어 있는지 혹은 군집되어 있는지를 판별하는 기법으로 최근 많은 연구에서 활성화 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강유역을 대상으로 1980~2000년까지 20개년의 기상청을 통해 수집한 강우자료와 CMIP5(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5)에서 제공하는 기후변화 자료 중 가용할 수 있는 20개 모델의 강우를 수집하였다. 기후변화 자료는 정상성 분위사상법으로 지역오차보정을 실시하고 불확실성을 저감하고자 베이지안 모델 평균기법을 통해 새로운 시계열을 생성하였다. 생성된 시계열의 공간적인 분포를 정량적으로 평가하고자 중권역별 공간자기상관 분석을 수행하였다. 대부분의 연구에서는 GIS를 활용하여 정성적으로 강우의 분포를 나타내고 있지만 본 연구에서는 공간단위의 인접성 또는 거리에 따른 척도를 기반으로 공간자기상관을 탐색할 수 있는 Moran's I와 LISA(Local Indicators of Spatial Association)기법을 적용하였다. Moran's I는 전체 연구지역에 대한 관계를 하나의 값으로 보여주는 전역적인 기법이며, LISA는 상대적으로 넓은 지역을 국지적으로 구분하여 특정지역에 대한 Hot spot 및 Cold spot을 통해 공간자기상관 정도를 나타내는 국지적인 기법이다. 두 기법을 적용하기 위하여 인접성 기반의 공간매트릭스를 산정하고 계절별 관측값과 베이지안 앙상블 강우의 Moran's I 및 LISA 분석을 실시하였다. 관측자료와 베이지안 앙상블 강우의 분석결과가 매우 유사하게 나타남으로써 베이지안 앙상블 강우의 공간적인 분포가 관측강우를 충분히 재현하고 있다고 판단된다.

  • PDF

How the Pattern Recognition Ability of Deep Learning Enhances Housing Price Estimation (딥러닝의 패턴 인식능력을 활용한 주택가격 추정)

  • Kim, Jinseok;Kim, Kyung-Min
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.183-201
    • /
    • 2022
  • Estimating the implicit value of housing assets is a very important task for participants in the housing market. Until now, such estimations were usually carried out using multiple regression analysis based on the inherent characteristics of the estate. However, in this paper, we examine the estimation capabilities of the Artificial Neural Network(ANN) and its 'Deep Learning' faculty. To make use of the strength of the neural network model, which allows the recognition of patterns in data by modeling non-linear and complex relationships between variables, this study utilizes geographic coordinates (i.e. longitudinal/latitudinal points) as the locational factor of housing prices. Specifically, we built a dataset including structural and spatiotemporal factors based on the hedonic price model and compared the estimation performance of the models with and without geographic coordinate variables. The results show that high estimation performance can be achieved in ANN by explaining the spatial effect on housing prices through the geographic location.

Effects of Seasonal Cycle on Yin-Yang Five-States (계절이 오행의 상태에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, SuBin;Kang, Jung Im;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Kim, An Na;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.136-145
    • /
    • 2013
  • Objectives: Recently, Korean medicine has been explored by employing mathematical methods, which is an effort to raise Korean medicine to a higher level of scientific research. In that vein, we propose a mathematical model, analyzing the effects of seasonal cycle as an external factor in addition to the internal interactions of five-states, the engendering and the restraining. Methods: Some modified differential equations with 5-state variables were given to describe the interactions of the engendering and the restraining, and effect of seasonal cycle, and are numerically analyzed by Runge-Kutta method. We then simulated it along with time and dynamically analyzed it by Moran's I, a spatial autocorrelation. Results: We showed the effects of seasonal cycle on yin-yang five-states and applied it to the human life cycle. Conclusions: Our result is comparable to previous results in the respect that we consider the seasonal cycle and its effect on five-states, unlike others' mainly focusing on internal interaction. Furthermore, we suggest some follow-up study taking into consideration the complexity and diversity of external factors.

Evaluation of Visiting Nursing Care Using Geographical Information System(GIS) Technology (Geographical Information System 기법을 이용한 방문간호 중재 평가)

  • Lee, Suk-Jeong;Park, Jeong-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.36 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1042-1054
    • /
    • 2006
  • Purpose: Previous evaluation studies of the visiting nursing program explained an average change of the participants' health status, without considering socio-ecological characteristics and their impacts. However, these factors must affect individual health problems and lifestyles. For effective and appropriate community based programs, the Geographical Information System(GIS) can be utilized. GIS is a computer-based tool for mapping and analyzing things that happen on earth, and integrates statistical analysis with unique visualization. The purpose of this study was to evaluate visiting nursing care and to advocate the usefulness of planning and evaluating visiting nursing programs using Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) with GIS technology. Methods: One hundred eighty-four elderly participants with cerebrovascular risk factors who lived in 13 areas of one community received visiting nursing care. The data analyzed characteristics of pre-post change and autocorrelation by ESDA using GIS technology. Results: Visiting nursing care showed an improvement in the participants' lifestyle habits, and family management ability and stress level, while the improvements were different depending on the regions. The change of family management ability and stress level correlated with neighborhoods (Morgan's I=0.1841, 0.1675). Conclusions: Community health providers need to consider the individual participant's health status as well as socio-ecological factors. Analysis using GIS technology will contribute to the effective monitoring, evaluation and design of a visiting nursing program.

A Study on the Vegetation Pattern Using Two-Dimensional Spectral Analysis (2 次元 스펙트럼法을 이용한 植生類型에 대한 硏究)

  • Park, Seung Tai
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.83-92
    • /
    • 1990
  • Two-dimensional analysis provides a comprehensive description of the structure, scales of pattern and directional components in a spatial data set. In spectral analysisi, four functions are illustrated,; the autocorrelation, the periodogram, the R-spectrum and the $\theta$ -spectrum. The R-spectrum and $\theta$ -spectrum function respectively summarize the periodogram in term of scale of pattern and directional components. Sampling is measured in the Naejang National Park area where the Daphniphyllum trees grow. 320 contiguous (15$\times$15)m plots are located along the transect and density of all trees over DBH 3 cm recorded respectively. 12 species of vascular plant are recorded in this survey area. The trend surface of density of all plant are estimated using polynomial regression and are exhibited in 3-dimensional graph and density contour map. Transformation to the corresponding polar spectrum from the periodogram emphasized the directional components and the scales to pattern. R-spectrum corresponding to the scale of pattern of periodogram showed a large peak 15.47 in the interval 9$\theta$-spectrum corresponding to directional components have two peaks 8.28 and 11.05 in the interval $35^{\circ}\theta <45^{\circ}and 125^{\circ}\theta< <135^{\circ}, respectively. Programs to compute all the analyses described in this study was obtained from Dr. Ranshow and was translated to BASIC by the author.

  • PDF

Estimation of Radial Spectrum for Orographic Storm (산지성호우의 환상스팩트럼 추정)

  • Lee, Jae Hyoung;Sonu, Jung Ho;Kim, Min Hwan;Shim, Myung Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.53-66
    • /
    • 1990
  • Rainfall is a phenomenon that shows a high variability both in space and time, Hy drologists are usually interested in the description of spatial distribution of rainfall over watershed. The theory of Kriging, generalized covariance technique using nonstationary mean in the regions under orographic effect, was chosen to construct random surface of total storm depth. For the constructed random surface, the double Fourier analysis of the total storm depths was performed, and the principal harmonics of storm were determined. The local component, or storm residuals was obtained by subtracting the periodic component of the storm from total storm depths. It is assumed that the residuals are a sample function of a homogeneous random field. This random field can be characterized by an isotropic one dimensional autocorrelation function or its corresponding spectral density function. Under this assumption, this study proposed a theorectical model for spectral density function adapted to two watersheds.

  • PDF

Tensile strength prediction of corroded steel plates by using machine learning approach

  • Karina, Cindy N.N.;Chun, Pang-jo;Okubo, Kazuaki
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.635-641
    • /
    • 2017
  • Safety service improvement and development of efficient maintenance strategies for corroded steel structures are undeniably essential. Therefore, understanding the influence of damage caused by corrosion on the remaining load-carrying capacities such as tensile strength is required. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) approach is proposed in order to produce a simple, accurate, and inexpensive method developed by using tensile test results, material properties and finite element method (FEM) results to train the ANN model. Initially in reproducing corroded model process, FEM was used to obtain tensile strength of artificial corroded plates, for which surface is developed by a spatial autocorrelation model. By using the corroded surface data and material properties as input data, with tensile strength as the output data, the ANN model could be trained. The accuracy of the ANN result was then verified by using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). As a result, it was confirmed that the accuracy of the ANN approach and the final output equation was developed for predicting tensile strength without tensile test results and FEM in further work. Though previous studies have been conducted, the accuracy results are still lower than the proposed ANN approach. Hence, the proposed ANN model now enables us to have a simple, rapid, and inexpensive method to predict residual tensile strength more accurately due to corrosion in steel structures.

Error Budget Analysis of Pseudorange for Improving the GPS Positioning Accuracy (GPS 위치정확도 향상을 위한 의사거리 오차의 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Il;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Byung-Guk
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.4 no.2 s.8
    • /
    • pp.79-90
    • /
    • 1996
  • It is well known that point positioning using a C/A-code receiver is severely biased by errors in pseudorange. This paper shows the procedures of quantitive analysis for several error elements and that some methods to monitor SA(selective availability) of witch process is not opened are proposed. It is possible to verify the effects of SA in the Doppler shift and receiver clock drift variation. Easy methods to reduce SA effects are to fit second order polynomials for the one and a linear function for the other. With periodic autocorrelation functions. SA effects are analyzed and first order Gauss-Markov process parameters are decided.

  • PDF