• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Error Model

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Radar rainfall prediction based on deep learning considering temporal consistency (시간 연속성을 고려한 딥러닝 기반 레이더 강우예측)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Yoon, Seongsim;Choi, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we tried to improve the performance of the existing U-net-based deep learning rainfall prediction model, which can weaken the meaning of time series order. For this, ConvLSTM2D U-Net structure model considering temporal consistency of data was applied, and we evaluated accuracy of the ConvLSTM2D U-Net model using a RainNet model and an extrapolation-based advection model. In addition, we tried to improve the uncertainty in the model training process by performing learning not only with a single model but also with 10 ensemble models. The trained neural network rainfall prediction model was optimized to generate 10-minute advance prediction data using four consecutive data of the past 30 minutes from the present. The results of deep learning rainfall prediction models are difficult to identify schematically distinct differences, but with ConvLSTM2D U-Net, the magnitude of the prediction error is the smallest and the location of rainfall is relatively accurate. In particular, the ensemble ConvLSTM2D U-Net showed high CSI, low MAE, and a narrow error range, and predicted rainfall more accurately and stable prediction performance than other models. However, the prediction performance for a specific point was very low compared to the prediction performance for the entire area, and the deep learning rainfall prediction model also had limitations. Through this study, it was confirmed that the ConvLSTM2D U-Net neural network structure to account for the change of time could increase the prediction accuracy, but there is still a limitation of the convolution deep neural network model due to spatial smoothing in the strong rainfall region or detailed rainfall prediction.

A Comparison between Simulation Results of DSSAT CROPGRO-SOYBEAN at US Cornbelt using Different Gridded Weather Forecast Data (격자기상예보자료 종류에 따른 미국 콘벨트 지역 DSSAT CROPGRO-SOYBEAN 모형 구동 결과 비교)

  • Yoo, Byoung Hyun;Kim, Kwang Soo;Hur, Jina;Song, Chan-Yeong;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.164-178
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    • 2022
  • Uncertainties in weather forecasts would affect the reliability of yield prediction using crop models. The objective of this study was to compare uncertainty in crop yield prediction caused by the use of the weather forecast data. Daily weather data were produced at 10 km spatial resolution using W eather Research and Forecasting (W RF) model. The nearest neighbor method was used to downscale these data at the resolution of 5 km (W RF5K). Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) was also applied to the WRF data to produce the weather data at the same resolution. W RF5K and PRISM data were used as inputs to the CROPGRO-SOYBEAN model to predict crop yield. The uncertainties of the gridded data were analyzed using cumulative growing degree days (CGDD) and cumulative solar radiation (CSRAD) during the soybean growing seasons for the crop of interest. The degree of agreement (DOA) statistics including structural similarity index were determined for the crop model outputs. Our results indicated that the DOA statistics for CGDD were correlated with that for the maturity dates predicted using WRF5K and PRISM data. Yield forecasts had small values of the DOA statistics when large spatial disagreement occured between maturity dates predicted using WRF5K and PRISM. These results suggest that the spatial uncertainties in temperature data would affect the reliability of the phenology and, as a result, yield predictions at a greater degree than those in solar radiation data. This merits further studies to assess the uncertainties of crop yield forecasts using a wide range of crop calendars.

Development of a Standard Vector Data Model for Interoperability of River-Geospatial Information (하천공간정보의 상호운용성을 위한 표준벡터데이터 모델 개발)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Chae, Hyo-Sok;Lee, Eul-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.44-58
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a standard vector data model was developed for interoperability of river-geospatial information and for verification purpose the applicability of the standard vector model was evaluated using a model to RIMGIS vector data at Changnyeong-Hapcheon & Gangjung-Goryeong irrigation watershed. The standards from ISO and OGC were analyzed and the river geospatial data model standard was established by applying the standards. The ERD was designed based on the analysis information on data characteristics and relationship. The verification of RIMGIS vector data included points, lines and polygon to develope GDM was carried out by comparing with the data by layer. This conducting comparison of basic spatial data and attribute data to each record and spatial information vertex. The error in the process of conversion was 0 %, indicating no problem with model. Our Geospatial Data Model presented in this study provides a new and consistent format for the storage and retrieval of river geospatial data from connected database. It is designed to facilitators integrated analysis of large data sets collected by multiple institutes.

Sensitivity Analysis of Wind-Wave Growth Parameter during Typhoon Season in Summer for Developing an Integrated Global/Regional/Coastal Wave Prediction System (전지구·지역·국지연안 통합 파랑예측시스템 개발을 위한 여름철 태풍시기 풍파성장 파라미터 민감도 분석)

  • Oh, Youjung;Oh, Sang Meong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kang, KiRyong;Moon, Il-Ju
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2021
  • In this study, an integrated wave model from global to coastal scales was developed to improve the operational wave prediction performance of the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). In this system, the wave model was upgraded to the WaveWatch III version 6.07 with the improved parameterization of the source term. Considering the increased resolution of the wind input field and the introduction of the high-performance KMA 5th Supercomputer, the spatial resolution of global and regional wave models has been doubled compared to the operational model. The physical processes and coefficients of the wave model were optimized for the current KMA global atmospheric forecasting system, the Korean Integrated Model (KIM), which is being operated since April 2020. Based on the sensitivity experiment results, the wind-wave growth parameter (βmax) for the global wave model was determined to be 1.33 with the lowest root mean square errors (RMSE). The value of βmax showed the lowest error when applied to regional/coastal wave models for the period of the typhoon season when strong winds occur. Applying the new system to the case of August 2020, the RMSE for the 48-hour significant wave height prediction was reduced by 13.4 to 17.7% compared to the existing KMA operating model. The new integrated wave prediction system plans to replace the KMA operating model after long-term verification.

Precise System Models using Crystal Penetration Error Compensation for Iterative Image Reconstruction of Preclinical Quad-Head PET

  • Lee, Sooyoung;Bae, Seungbin;Lee, Hakjae;Kim, Kwangdon;Lee, Kisung;Kim, Kyeong-Min;Bae, Jaekeon
    • Journal of the Korean Physical Society
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    • v.73 no.11
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    • pp.1764-1773
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    • 2018
  • A-PET is a quad-head PET scanner developed for use in small-animal imaging. The dimensions of its volumetric field of view (FOV) are $46.1{\times}46.1{\times}46.1mm^3$ and the gap between the detector modules has been minimized in order to provide a highly sensitive system. However, such a small FOV together with the quad-head geometry causes image quality degradation. The main factor related to image degradation for the quad-head PET is the mispositioning of events caused by the penetration effect in the detector. In this paper, we propose a precise method for modelling the system at the high spatial resolution of the A-PET using a LOR (line of response) based ML-EM (maximum likelihood expectation maximization) that allows for penetration effects. The proposed system model provides the detection probability of every possible ray-path via crystal sampling methods. For the ray-path sampling, the sub-LORs are defined by connecting the sampling points of the crystal pair. We incorporate the detection probability of each sub-LOR into the model by calculating the penetration effect. For comparison, we used a standard LOR-based model and a Monte Carlo-based modeling approach, and evaluated the reconstructed images using both the National Electrical Manufacturers Association NU 4-2008 standards and the Geant4 Application for Tomographic Emission simulation toolkit (GATE). An average full width at half maximum (FWHM) at different locations of 1.77 mm and 1.79 mm are obtained using the proposed system model and standard LOR system model, which does not include penetration effects, respectively. The standard deviation of the uniform region in the NEMA image quality phantom is 2.14% for the proposed method and 14.3% for the LOR system model, indicating that the proposed model out-performs the standard LOR-based model.

Numerical Dispersion and Its Control for 1-D Finite Element Simulation of Stress Wave Propagation (응력파 전파 수치모의를 위한 일차원 유한요소모형의 분산 특성 및 제어)

  • 이종세;유한규;윤성범
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2004
  • With an aim at eliminating the numerical dispersion error arising from the numerical simulation of stress wave propagation, numerical dispersion characteristics of the wave equation based one-dimensional finite element model are analyzed and some dispersion control scheme are proposed in this paper The dispersion analyses are carried out for two types of mass matrix, namely the consistent and the lumped mass matrices. Based on the finding of the analyses, dispersion correction techniques are developed for both the implicit and explicit schemes. For the implicit scheme, either the weighting factor for the spatial derivatives of each time level or the lumping coefficient for mass matrix is adjusted to minimize the numerical dispersion. In the case of the explicit scheme an artificial dispersion term is introduced in the governing equation. The validity of the dispersion correction techniques proposed in this study is demonstrated by comparing the numerical solutions obtained using the Present techniques with the analytical ones.

A Measurement Allocation for Reliable Data Gathering in Spatially Corrected Sensor Networks (공간상관 센서네트워크에서 신뢰성 있는 데이터 수집을 위한 측정의 분배)

  • Byun, Sang-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.434-437
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we consider a measurement allocation problem for gathering reliable data from a spatially correlated sensor field. We allocate the probability of each sensor's being measured considering its marginal contribution in entire data gathering; higher measurement probability is given to a sensor that gives higher reilable data. First we establish a correlation model considering limit in each sensor's transmission power, noise in the process of measurement and transmission, and attenutations in wireless channel. Then we evaluate the reliability of gathered data by estimating distortion error in sink node. We model the measurement allocation problem in spatially correlated sensor field into a cooperative game, and quantifiy each sensor's marginal contribution using Shapley Value. Then, the probability of each sensor's being measured is given in proportion to the Shapley Value.

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Analyses of the Meteorological Characteristics over South Korea for Wind Power Applications Using KMAPP (고해상도 규모상세화 수치자료 산출체계를 이용한 남한의 풍력기상자원 특성 분석)

  • Yun, Jinah;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Choi, Hee-Wook
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2021
  • High-resolution wind resources maps (maps, here after) with spatial and temporal resolutions of 100 m and 3-hours, respectively, over South Korea have been produced and evaluated for the period from July 2016 to June 2017 using Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Post Processing (KMAPP). Evaluation of the 10 m- and 80 m-level wind speed in the new maps (KMAPP-Wind) and the 1.5 km-resolution KMA NWP model, Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), shows that the new high-resolution maps improves of the LDAPS winds in estimating the 10m wind speed as the new data reduces the mean bias (MBE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 33.3% and 14.3%, respectively. In particular, the result of evaluation of the wind at 80 m which is directly related with power turbine shows that the new maps has significantly smaller error compared to the LDAPS wind. Analyses of the new maps for the seasonal average, maximum wind speed, and the prevailing wind direction shows that the wind resources over South Korea are most abundant during winter, and that the prevailing wind direction is strongly affected by synoptic weather systems except over mountainous regions. Wind speed generally increases with altitude and the proximity to the coast. In conclusion, the evaluation results show that the new maps provides significantly more accurate wind speeds than the lower resolution NWP model output, especially over complex terrains, coastal areas, and the Jeju island where wind-energy resources are most abundant.

An Analysis of Vertical Position Accuracy for the Three-Dimensional Spatial Data Object Utilizing the Public Information (공공데이터를 활용한 3차원 공간정보 객체의 수직위치 정확도 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong Taek;Yi, Su Hyun;Kim, Jong Il;Bae, Sang Won
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2014
  • Recently, as new paradigm for government operation called government 3.0, government is actively operating policy opening and sharing public data. In addition, the Ministry of Land are operating an open platform integrated map service (the VWorld) which provides a variety of video contents such as the country's national spatial information, traffic information and three-dimensional building for the public. According to W3C Foundation's Open Data Status Report(2013), our country has the evaluated results that the part of the government's policy support and planning is good while the part of the data management is vulnerable. So our country needs the quality improvement for the data management. In addition, a digital aerial photograph image data is required to be up-to-date for the three-dimensional spatial object data. In this paper, we present the method for enhancement of the accuracy of vertical position and for maintainment of up-to-date vertical position. Our methods evaluate the data quality and analyze the cause of error of measurement utilizing the national standard quality assessment method. The result of research shows that the accuracy of vertical position is improved if the height of the building captain is adjusted by the quality assessment values and a three-dimensional model has up-to-date data if reconstruction and extension information of construction register is utilized.

Automated Geo-registration for Massive Satellite Image Processing

  • Heo, Joon;Park, Wan-Yong;Bang, Soo-Nam
    • 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.345-349
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    • 2005
  • Massive amount of satellite image processing such asglobal/continental-level analysis and monitoring requires automated and speedy georegistration. There could be two major automated approaches: (1) rigid mathematical modeling using sensor model and ephemeris data; (2) heuristic co-registration approach with respect to existing reference image. In case of ETM+, the accuracy of the first approach is known as RMSE 250m, which is far below requested accuracy level for most of satellite image processing. On the other hands, the second approach is to find identical points between new image and reference image and use heuristic regression model for registration. The latter shows better accuracy but has problems with expensive computation. To improve efficiency of the coregistration approach, the author proposed a pre-qualified matching algorithm which is composed of feature extraction with canny operator and area matching algorithm with correlation coefficient. Throughout the pre-qualification approach, the computation time was significantly improved and make the registration accuracy is improved. A prototype was implemented and tested with the proposed algorithm. The performance test of 14 TM/ETM+ images in the U.S. showed: (1) average RMSE error of the approach was 0.47 dependent upon terrain and features; (2) the number average matching points were over 15,000; (3) the time complexity was 12 min per image with 3.2GHz Intel Pentium 4 and 1G Ram.

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