• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Economic Models

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Application of GIS-based Probabilistic Empirical and Parametric Models for Landslide Susceptibility Analysis (산사태 취약성 분석을 위한 GIS 기반 확률론적 추정 모델과 모수적 모델의 적용)

  • Park, No-Wook;Chi, Kwang-Hoon;Chung, Chang-Jo F.;Kwon, Byung-Doo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2005
  • Traditional GIS-based probabilistic spatial data integration models for landslide susceptibility analysis have failed to provide the theoretical backgrounds and effective methods for integration of different types of spatial data such as categorical and continuous data. This paper applies two spatial data integration models including non-parametric empirical estimation and parametric predictive discriminant analysis models that can directly use the original continuous data within a likelihood ratio framework. Similarity rates and a prediction rate curve are computed to quantitatively compare those two models. To illustrate the proposed models, two case studies from the Jangheung and Boeun areas were carried out and analyzed. As a result of the Jangheung case study, two models showed similar prediction capabilities. On the other hand, in the Boeun area, the parametric predictive discriminant analysis model showed the better prediction capability than that from the non-parametric empirical estimation model. In conclusion, the proposed models could effectively integrate the continuous data for landslide susceptibility analysis and more case studies should be carried out to support the results from the case studies, since each model has a distinctive feature in continuous data representation.

PREDICTION MODELS FOR SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS: Application to landslide hazard mapping and mineral exploration

  • Chung, Chang-Jo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.9-9
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    • 2000
  • For the planning of future land use for economic activities, an essential component is the identification of the vulnerable areas for natural hazard and environmental impacts from the activities. Also, exploration for mineral and energy resources is carried out by a step by step approach. At each step, a selection of the target area for the next exploration strategy is made based on all the data harnessed from the previous steps. The uncertainty of the selected target area containing undiscovered resources is a critical factor for estimating the exploration risk. We have developed not only spatial prediction models based on adapted artificial intelligence techniques to predict target and vulnerable areas but also validation techniques to estimate the uncertainties associated with the predictions. The prediction models will assist the scientists and decision-makers to make two critical decisions: (i) of the selections of the target or vulnerable areas, and (ii) of estimating the risks associated with the selections.

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Geographical Characteristics of Business Start-up and Closing Business according to the Type of Industry (업종별 창업 및 폐업의 지리적 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Keumsook;Park, Sohyun
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.178-195
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we examine business start-up and closing business in a geographical context. In particular, we analyze the geographical characteristics of business start-up and closing business according to the type of industry. For the purpose, we use the last 10 years data that have been related with current economic situation since the financial crisis. In first, we identify the spatial distribution patterns of business start-up and closing business, We examine the difference between individual businesses and corporations. Finally, we construct general linear regression models and spatial regression models for them, and derive meaningful socioeconomic variables that explain their location distribution. The results of this study could provide basic data for regional planning of national and local governments that activate local economies as well as job creation.

A Study on the Method of Freight Generation Estimation according to Company Size in Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권의 사업체 규모에 따른 화물발생 예측 방법론 연구)

  • Park Sang-Chul;Choi Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.5 s.101
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    • pp.431-437
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    • 2005
  • In korea, Freight generation models developed in korea were estimated by spatial unit method which predict freight flow by traffic zone. But it is difficult to predict freight generation using these models, because there are the difference of the totality method of sampling data on freight volume and the variability of the variables by these models on each case study, This study developed new estimation model to predict freight flow which is generated from each company using the characteristics of each company such as the freight outbound & inbound volume, the number of employee, sales, gross area, land area. This model is simpler than the that of spatial unit and can apply to the other region. The subjects of study were companies in metropolitan area and types of model were exponential regression models. The adequate explanatory variable in the models were sales. this study have a uniqueness apply micro research method to estimate freight generation not use spatial unit method but use flow unit method by each company unit.

A Study on Model of Regional Logistics Requirements Prediction

  • Lu, Bo;Park, Nam-Kyu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.553-559
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    • 2012
  • It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the prediction method is not very significant and the traditional statistical prediction method has the defects of low precision and poor interpretation of the prediction model, which cannot only guarantee the generalization ability of the prediction model theoretically, but also cannot explain the models effectively. Therefore, in combination with the theories of the spatial economics, industrial economics, and neo-classical economics, taking city of Erdos as the research object, the study identifies the leading industry that can produce a large number of cargoes, and further predicts the static logistics generation of the Erdos and hinterlands. By integrating various factors that can affect the regional logistics requirements, this study established a logistics requirements potential model from the aspect of spatial economic principles, and expanded the way of logistics requirements prediction from the single statistical principles to an new area of special and regional economics.

Analysis of Functional Autocorrelation and Development of Functional Econometric Model through Urban Interactions - Focusing on Economic Growth of Small and Medium Sized Cities - (도시 상호작용에 따른 기능적 자기상관분석 및 기능계량경제모형 개발 - 중소도시의 경제성장을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dohyeong;Woo, Myungje
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2019
  • Korean government has implemented policies to strengthen the competitiveness of small and medium sized cities. However, since it is often difficult to enhance the competitiveness through individual projects, many local governments in metropolitan areas are working together to pursue local growth. On the other hand, small and medium sized cities that are not included in metropolitan areas due to their spatial limitations have difficulties in implementing effective growth policies. Given this background, the purpose of this study is to identify the functional correlation based on urban interactions and develop functional econometric model for the economic growth of small and medium sized cities. This study uses spatial econometrics models and functional weight matrix to identify the effects of functional networks on small and medium sized cities. The results show the effect of functional networks on the growth of small and medium sized cities and provide policy implications for regional spatial planning that addresses effective management of small and medium sized cities.

Using Spatial Data and Land Surface Modeling to Monitor Evapotranspiration across Geographic Areas in South Korea (공간자료와 지면모형을 이용한 면적증발산 추정)

  • Yun J. I.;Nam J. C.;Hong S. Y.;Kim J.;Kim K. S.;Chung U.;Chae N. Y.;Choi T. J
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2004
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is a critical component of the hydrologic cycle which influences economic activities as well as the natural ecosystem. While there have been numerous studies on ET estimation for homogeneous areas using point measurements of meteorological variables, monitoring of spatial ET has not been possible at landscape - or watershed - scales. We propose a site-specific application of the land surface model, which is enabled by spatially interpolated input data at the desired resolution. Gyunggi Province of South Korea was divided into a regular grid of 10 million cells with 30m spacing and hourly temperature, humidity, wind, precipitation and solar irradiance were estimated for each grid cell by spatial interpolation of synoptic weather data. Topoclimatology models were used to accommodate effects of topography in a spatial interpolation procedure, including cold air drainage on nocturnal temperature and solar irradiance on daytime temperature. Satellite remote sensing data were used to classify the vegetation type of each grid cell, and corresponding spatial attributes including soil texture, canopy structure, and phenological features were identified. All data were fed into a standalone version of SiB2(Simple Biosphere Model 2) to simulate latent heat flux at each grid cell. A computer program was written for data management in the cell - based SiB2 operation such as extracting input data for SiB2 from grid matrices and recombining the output data back to the grid format. ET estimates at selected grid cells were validated against the actual measurement of latent heat fluxes by eddy covariance measurement. We applied this system to obtain the spatial ET of the study area on a continuous basis for the 2001-2003 period. The results showed a strong feasibility of using spatial - data driven land surface models for operational monitoring of regional ET.

The Spatial Distribution of Elderly Welfare Service in South Korea

  • PARK, Yoonhwan;LIM, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to not only measure the elderly welfare supply index but investigate spatial patterns and determinants of local elderly welfare services in South Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: The index for local elderly welfare services is measured by employing standardized scores for critical variables related to elderly welfare. The present study utilized the GIS technique and Moran's I index to examine spatial patterns of elderly welfare services. The determinants of local elderly welfare service are analyzed by a series of regression models using R. Results: Spatial imbalance and asymmetric distribution were serious in the supply of elderly welfare service. It was also confirmed that the factors affecting the level of welfare services for the elderly vary depending on the type of service. In particular, the higher the proportion of the elderly population and the social welfare budget, the lower the level of welfare services for the elderly. Conclusions: Given the circumstance of spatial mismatch between supply and demand for elderly welfare services, it is necessary to consider and provide policy tactics about how the economic benefits and welfare budgets generated in the region can contribute to strengthening the welfare service system for the elderly.

DEVS Simulation of Purchase Strategies for Material Stock Control System (DEVS 시뮬레이션을 이용한 자재 재고 관리의 발주 전략에 관한 연구)

  • 문성진
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 1995
  • One of many factors that influences the profit of an enterprise is the amount of the stock in an enterprise. When the stock amounts are optimal the economic burden of the enterprise decreases which in turn results in the optimum number of employment and spatial utilization of storages. The purpose of this study is the simulation modeling of a material stock control system using DEVS models in order to get the most suitable stock amounts. The stock within an enterprise is built by the orders from outside world. The effect on the stock by the factors such as order, delivery, and production components has been analyzed based on simulation results.

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2D Flood Simulation for Estimating the Economic Loss in the Building Areas

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.397-406
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    • 2007
  • 2D hydraulic models of urban areas are at the forefront of current research of flood inundation mechanisms, but they are constrained by inadequate parameters of topography and insufficient data. In this paper a numerical model based on DEMs is presented to represent overflow waters due to bank break in urban areas. The surface flow in the building areas is assumed to be properly modeled by solving Saint-Venant equation. In order to represent flooding broken out in Samcheok city, 2002, hydraulic model test using tracer has been carried out and validated. These efforts will serve for making flood hazard map and for estimating economic loss due to inundation of personal properties in urban areas.

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