• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.227-236
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• 2006

The fractal dimension is a quantitative parameter describing the characteristics of irregular time series. In this study, we use this parameter to analyze the irregular aspects of solar activity and to predict the maximum sunspot number in the following solar cycle by examining time series of the sunspot number. For this, we considered the daily sunspot number since 1850 from SIDC (Solar Influences Data analysis Center) and then estimated cycle variation of the fractal dimension by using Higuchi's method. We examined the relationship between this fractal dimension and the maximum monthly sunspot number in each solar cycle. As a result, we found that there is a strong inverse relationship between the fractal dimension and the maximum monthly sunspot number. By using this relation we predicted the maximum sunspot number in the solar cycle from the fractal dimension of the sunspot numbers during the solar activity increasing phase. The successful prediction is proven by a good correlation (r=0.89) between the observed and predicted maximum sunspot numbers in the solar cycles.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.135-142
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• 2000

The adjusting parameter set which enable control systems to locate on stability limit can be derived from theoretical or trial methods for an existing real system. The data from the results are much available to keep a system in the Proper stability condition even to site engineers who are inexperienced in the control system. In this paper, a general one loop control system was adopted for a model system the process of which was assumed to consist of a time-delay element and a first order-lag element in series. After obtaining the corresponding parameter set for the model system by mathematical procedures, their loci on the parameter space was taken according to frequency change. The parameter set loci of stability limit showed unique pattern, and particularity , the curves on the Kg-Ti parameter space were able to be generalized in the form of, an unique exponential formula. These properties were also compared with the results taken from experimental procedures by Nyquist response method and Ziegler & Nichols method on the time domain, and both results were confirmed to be nearly same.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.485-492
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• 1998

Most forecasting models often fail to produce appropriate forecasts because we build a model based on the assumption of the data being generated from the only one stochastic process. However, in many real problems, the time series data are generated from one stochastic process for a while and then abruptly undergo certain structural changes. In this paper, we assume the basic underlying process is the simple state-space model with random level and deterministic drift but interrupted by three types of exogenous shocks: level shift, drift change, outlier. A Bayesian procedure to detect, estimate and adapt to the structural changes is developed and compared with simple, double and adaptive exponential smoothing using simulated data and the U.S. leading composite index.

• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• 2008.10a
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• pp.406-409
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• 2008

Clustering data streams has an importance over many applications like sensor networks. Existing hierarchical methods follow a semi fuzzy clustering that yields duplicate clusters. In order to solve the problems, we propose an extended online divisive agglomerative clustering on data streams. It builds a tree-like top-down hierarchy of clusters that evolves with data streams using geometric time frame for snapshots. It is an enhancement of the Online Divisive Agglomerative Clustering (ODAC) with a pruning strategy to avoid duplicate clusters. Our main features are providing update time and memory space which is independent of the number of examples on data streams. It can be utilized for clustering sensor data and network monitoring as well as web click streams.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.1037-1044
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• 2020

Since radar wind profiler (RWP) provides wind field data with high time and space resolution in all weather conditions, their verification of the accuracy and quality is essential. The simultaneous wind measurement from rawinsonde is commonly used to evaluate wind vectors from RWP. In this study, the simulation algorithm which produces the spectrum and raw time series (I/Q) data from the average values of moments is presented as a step-by-step verification method for the signal processing algorithm. The possibility of the simulation algorithm was also confirmed through comparison with the raw data of LAP-3000. The Doppler power spectrum was generated by assuming the density function of the skew-normal distribution and by using the moment values as the parameter. The simulated spectrum was generated through random numbers. In addition, the coherent averaged I/Q data was generated by random phase and inverse discrete Fourier transform, and raw I/Q data was generated through the Dirichlet distribution.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.911-917
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• 2023

In today's world, we find ourselves facing energy crises due to factors such as war and climate crises. To prepare for these energy crises, many researchers continue to study systems related to energy monitoring and conservation, such as energy management systems, energy monitoring, and energy conservation. In line with these efforts, nations are making it mandatory for energy-consuming facilities to implement these systems. However, these facilities, limited by space and energy constraints, are exploring ways to improve. This research explores the operation of a data collection system using low-performance embedded devices. In this context, it proves that an optimized version of RocksDB, a Key-Value store, outperforms traditional databases when it comes to time-series data. Furthermore, a comprehensive database evaluation tool was employed to assess various databases, including optimized RocksDB and regular RocksDB. In addition, heterogeneous databases and evaluations are conducted using a UD Benchmark tool to evaluate them. As a result, we were able to see that on devices with low performance, the time required was up to 11 times shorter than that of other databases.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.3B
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• pp.279-289
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• 2006

The reconstruction of low dimension nonlinear behavior from the hydrologic time series has been an active area of research in the last decade. In this study, we present the applications of a powerful state space reconstruction methodology using the method of Support Vector Machines (SVM) to the Great Salt Lake (GSL) volume. SVMs are machine learning systems that use a hypothesis space of linear functions in a Kernel induced higher dimensional feature space. SVMs are optimized by minimizing a bound on a generalized error (risk) measure, rather than just the mean square error over a training set. The utility of this SVM regression approach is demonstrated through applications to the short term forecasts of the biweekly GSL volume. The SVM based reconstruction is used to develop time series forecasts for multiple lead times ranging from the period of two weeks to several months. The reliability of the algorithm in learning and forecasting the dynamics is tested using split sample sensitivity analyses, with a particular interest in forecasting extreme states. Unlike previously reported methodologies, SVMs are able to extract the dynamics using only a few past observed data points (Support Vectors, SV) out of the training examples. Considering statistical measures, the prediction model based on SVM demonstrated encouraging and promising results in a short-term prediction. Thus, the SVM method presented in this study suggests a competitive methodology for the forecast of hydrologic time series.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.263-273
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• 2010

Missing values in time series can be treated as unknown parameters and estimated by maximum likelihood or as random variables and predicted by the conditional expectation of the unknown values given the data. The purpose of this study is to impute missing values which are regarded as the maximum likelihood estimator and random variable in incomplete data and to compare with two methods using ARMA and STAR model. For illustration, the Mumps data reported from the national capital region monthly over the years 2001~2009 are used, and estimate precision of missing values and forecast precision of future data are compared with two methods.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.70.1-70.1
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• 2018

The DEEP-South photometric census of small Solar System bodies is producing massive time-series data of variable, transient or moving objects as a by-product. To fully investigate unexplored variable phenomena, we present an application of multi-aperture photometry and FastBit indexing techniques to a portion of the DEEP-South year-one data. Our new pipeline is designed to do automated point source detection, robust high-precision photometry and calibration of non-crowded fields overlapped with area previously surveyed. We also adopt an efficient data indexing algorithm for faster access to the DEEP-South database. In this paper, we show some application examples of catalog-based variability searches to find new variable stars and to recover targeted asteroids. We discovered 21 new periodic variables including two eclipsing binary systems and one white dwarf/M dwarf pair candidate. We also successfully recovered astrometry and photometry of two near-earth asteroids, 2006 DZ169 and 1996 SK, along with the updated properties of their rotational signals (e.g., period and amplitude).

• Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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• 2009.04a
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• pp.243-246
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• 2009

Housing distribution rate in our country has been continuously increased with economic growth, but residential plans satisfying the demands of residents are still not perfect yet. The demands of residents can be predicted by analyzing the housing viewpoint of residents. And also, the housing viewpoint can change according to various environmental changes, so it's important for us to understand the trend of change. Therefore, the housing viewpoints of university students who will be subjective residents of houses in future were analyzed by observing change due to trend of time. Target for this study is female university students in 20s. A portion of previously presented material (Korean Home Economics Association 37,1, 67-78) was used as data for 1998 and a questionnaire with 171 female university students was conducted on December 2008 for data for 2008. The following result was drawn from examination of change in the housing viewpoint due to trend of time by comparing the housing viewpoint of university students between 1998 and 2008. First, importance of was decreased and importance of was increased in functions of residence. Second, Most students thought and regardless of the time passage as their opinions on housing. And also, most students considered a living room as the most important space inside of a house regardless of the time passage and the ratio of considering a living room as the most important space was more increased.