• Title/Summary/Keyword: Solar Model

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Development of International Market Selection Models for Solar Power System Industry of Korea (국내 태양광산업의 해외진출을 위한 시장 선택 요인에 대한 분석)

  • Jeon, Jin-Hyo;Oh, Keun-Yeob;Yoo, Jin-Man
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.269-283
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    • 2019
  • Due to environmental issues such as global warming, the importance of renewable energy is growing. Solar Power System is one of the most growing eco-friendly energy industries in the world, but Korea's solar energy industry faces fierce competition due to the trade regulations and changes in energy related laws in the major markets such as the U.S., EU and China. Therefore, Korea needs to diversify its export markets towards emerging markets. This paper analyzed 162 countries in the world and developed a model to measure how promising the countries are. GSMI(Grid connected Solar Market Index) and OSMI(Off-grid Solar Market Index) are invented based on the models. By using the developed model and the data of 162 countries over the 15-year period from 2000 to 2014, the foreign markets are ranked for searching the export market. According to the analysis, China, Japan, U.S, India and Taiwan ranked first to fifth in GSMI and OSMI ranking, which were followed by China, India, Bangladesh, Philippines and Afghanistan. The model developed through this research is expected to provide a more reasonable and scientific approach to the advancement of the Korean solar energy industry into overseas markets.

Comparative Analysis of Decomposition Models with Site-fitted Coefficients for Seoul (서울지역 지역계수가 적용된 직산분리 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Seo, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2019
  • Decomposition models are essential in TMY development and solar energy system design. Up until recently, only a few decomposition model related researches are implemented in Korea due to lack of measured direct normal solar irradiance. In contrast, numerous researches have been conducted in various countries, and some quasi-universal composition models have been recommended by several papers. In this research, three decomposition models - Watanabe model, Reindl-2 model and Engerer1 model - are selected and their site-fitted coefficients are developed using measured direct normal solar irradiance in Seoul. R-squared, RMSE, MBE of the site-fitted models are compared with the case of original coefficients and then each other. The comparison result shows that the Reindl-2 model with site-fitted coefficients is best suitable for Seoul. Further researches will be conducted to find the best model using more various measured data of Korean cities and site-fitting methods.

Beam and Diffuse to Global Solar Irradiation Correlation Coefficients for Daejeon (대전지역 직달 및 산란과 전일사 상관계수)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Song, Doo-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2019
  • The total solar irradiation on horizontal surfaces is separated into the beam and diffuses components. Although horizontal global irradiance is a commonly measured parameter for many sites, horizontal diffuse irradiance is not so readily obtainable. For such sites that measure global irradiation alone, a simple but reasonably accurate method is required to estimate diffuse irradiance from its global counterpart. This study investigates the applicability of correlation coefficients models correlating hourly diffuse and beam fraction and hourly clearness index in Daejeon. The three diffuse to global correlation coefficients models (Orgill and Holland model, CIBSE Guide J model, and Erbs et al. model) are selected and the three modified beam to global correlation coefficients models are generated. MBE, RMSE, r-squared of Daejeon and Daejeon boundary site-fitted models are compared with the case of original coefficients. The comparison result shows that the beam and diffuse to global solar irradiation correlation coefficients models with boundary site-fitted coefficients are best suitable for Daejeon. Further researches will be conducted to find the boundary site-fitting method using measured data of other cities and correlation coefficients models using solar altitude, cloud cover, and sunshine duration.

Mid- and Short-term Power Generation Forecasting using Hybrid Model (하이브리드 모델을 이용하여 중단기 태양발전량 예측)

  • Nam-Rye Son
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.4_2
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    • pp.715-724
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    • 2023
  • Solar energy forecasting is essential for (1) power system planning, management, and operation, requiring accurate predictions. It is crucial for (2) ensuring a continuous and sustainable power supply to customers and (3) optimizing the operation and control of renewable energy systems and the electricity market. Recently, research has been focusing on developing solar energy forecasting models that can provide daily plans for power usage and production and be verified in the electricity market. In these prediction models, various data, including solar energy generation and climate data, are chosen to be utilized in the forecasting process. The most commonly used climate data (such as temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, solar radiation, and wind speed) significantly influence the fluctuations in solar energy generation based on weather conditions. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid forecasting model by combining the strengths of the Prophet model and the GRU model, which exhibits excellent predictive performance. The forecasting periods for solar energy generation are tested in short-term (2 days, 7 days) and medium-term (15 days, 30 days) scenarios. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms the conventional Prophet model by more than twice in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and surpasses the modified GRU model by more than 1.5 times, showcasing superior performance.

Non-linear Regression Model Between Solar Irradiation and PV Power Generation by Using Gompertz Curve (Gompertz 곡선을 이용한 비선형 일사량-태양광 발전량 회귀 모델)

  • Kim, Boyoung;Alba, Vilanova Cortezon;Kim, Chang Ki;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Hyung-Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2019
  • With the opening of the small power brokerage business market in December 2018, the small power trading market has started in Korea. Operators must submit the day-ahead estimates of power output and receive incentives based on its accuracy. Therefore, the accuracy of power generation forecasts is directly affects profits of the operators. The forecasting process for power generation can be divided into two procedure. The first is to forecast solar irradiation and the second is to transform forecasted solar irradiation into power generation. There are two methods for transformation. One is to simulate with physical model, and another is to use regression model. In this study, we found the best-fit regression model by analyzing hourly data of PV output and solar irradiation data during three years for 242 PV plants in Korea. The best model was not a linear model, but a sigmoidal model and specifically a Gompertz model. The combined linear regression and Gompertz curve was proposed because a the curve has non-zero y-intercept. As the result, R2 and RMSE between observed data and the curve was significantly reduced.

Simulation and Model Validation of a Parabolic Trough Solar Collector for Water Heating

  • Euh, Seung-Hee;Kim, Dae Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the performance of a parabolic trough solar collector (PTC) for water heating and to validate the model performance. The simulated model was compared, calibrated and verified with the experimental results. RMSE (Root mean square error) was used to calibrate the convective heat transfer coefficient between the absorber pipe and the ambient air which was the main factor affecting the heat transfer associated with the PTC. The calibrated model was better fitted with the experimental model. The maximum, minimum and mean deviation between the measured and predicted water temperatures differed only $0.81^{\circ}C$, $0.09^{\circ}C$ and $0.31^{\circ}C$ respectively in the calibrated model. RMSE values were decreased from 0.5389 to 0.4910, 0.0134 to 0.0125 and R-squared was increased from 0.9955 to 0.9956 after calibration. The temperature of water was increased from $33.7^{\circ}C$ to $48^{\circ}C$ in 12hour test. The thermal efficiency of the collector was calculated to be 55%. The calibrated model showed good agreement with the experimental data for model validation.

A Study on Dynamic Simulation of a Hybrid Parallel Absorption Chiller (병렬식 하이브리드 흡수식 냉온수기 동특성 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Shin, Young-Gy;Seo, Jung-A;Woo, Sung-Min;Kim, Hyo-Sang
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.630-635
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    • 2008
  • A dynamic model has been developed to investigate the operability of a single and double-effect solar energy assisted parallel type absorption chiller. In the study, main components and fluid transport mechanism have been modeled. Flow discharge coefficients of the valves and the pumps were optimized for the double-effect mode with solar-heated water circulated. The model was run for the single mode with solar energy supply only and the solar/gas driving double effect mode. And the cases of the double mode with and without the solar energy were compared. From the simulation results, it was found that the present configuration of the chiller is not capable of regulating solution flow rates according to variable solar energy input. And the single mode utilizing the solar energy only is not practical. It is suggested to operate the system in the double mode and the flow rate control system adaptive to variable solar energy input has to be developed.

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Analysis of the Transmissivities of Direct and Diffuse Solar Radiation in Multispan Glasshouse (연동 유리온실내의 직달일사 및 산란일사 투과율 해석)

  • 김용현;이석건
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.439-444
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    • 1998
  • Effects of the number of spans, orientation and latitude on the transmissivities of direct and diffuse solar radiation in multispan glasshouse were analyzed using a computer simulation model (Kim and Lee, 1997). The number of spans did not affect the transmissivity of diffuse solar radiation, ranging 60∼61%. The transmissivities of direct solar radiation were 55∼64% for E-W orientation and 47∼70% for N-S orientation in ten multispan glasshouse. There was no effect of the latitude on the transmissivity of direct solar radiation in domestic regions. Differences in the transmissivity of direct solar radiation between single-span and multispan glasshouse were significant for E-W orientation during winter season; however, those were relatively small for N-S orientation throughout the year. Transmissivity of direct solar radiation decreased with the increasing number of spans for E-W glasshouse, whereas those for N-S glasshouse was hardly affected by the number of spans.

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Optimal Design of a High-Agility Satellite with Composite Solar Panels

  • Kim, Yongha;Kim, Myungjun;Kim, Pyeunghwa;Kim, Hwiyeop;Park, Jungsun;Roh, Jin-Ho;Bae, Jaesung
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.476-490
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    • 2016
  • This paper defines mode shape function of a composite solar panel assumed as Kirchhoff-Love plate for considering a torsional mode of composite solar panel. It then goes on to define dynamic model of a high-agility satellite considering the flexibility of composite solar panel as well as stiffness of a solar panel's hinge using Lagrange's theorem, Ritz method and the mode shape function. Furthermore, this paper verifies the validity of dynamic model by comparing numerical results from the finite element analysis. In addition, this paper performs a dynamic response analysis of a rigid satellite which includes only natural modes for solar panel's hinges and a flexible satellite which includes not only natural modes of solar panel's hinges, but also structural modes of composite solar panels. According to the results, we confirm that the torsional mode of solar panel should be considered for the structural design of high-agility satellite. Finally, we performed optimization of high-agility satellite for minimizing mass with solar panel's area limit using the defined dynamic model. Consequently, we observed that the defined dynamic model for a high-agility satellite and result of the optimal design are very useful not only because of their optimal structural design but also because of the dynamic analysis of the satellite.

Denoising solar SDO/HMI magnetograms using Deep Learning

  • Park, Eunsu;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lim, Daye;Lee, Harim
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.43.1-43.1
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we apply a deep learning model to denoising solar magnetograms. For this, we design a model based on conditional generative adversarial network, which is one of the deep learning algorithms, for the image-to-image translation from a single magnetogram to a denoised magnetogram. For the single magnetogram, we use SDO/HMI line-of-sight magnetograms at the center of solar disk. For the denoised magnetogram, we make 21-frame-stacked magnetograms at the center of solar disk considering solar rotation. We train a model using 7004 paris of the single and denoised magnetograms from 2013 January to 2013 October and test the model using 1432 pairs from 2013 November to 2013 December. Our results from this study are as follows. First, our model successfully denoise SDO/HMI magnetograms and the denoised magnetograms from our model are similar to the stacked magnetograms. Second, the average pixel-to-pixel correlation coefficient value between denoised magnetograms from our model and stacked magnetogrmas is larger than 0.93. Third, the average noise level of denoised magnetograms from our model is greatly reduced from 10.29 G to 3.89 G, and it is consistent with or smaller than that of stacked magnetograms 4.11 G. Our results can be applied to many scientific field in which the integration of many frames are used to improve the signal-to-noise ratio.

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