• Title/Summary/Keyword: Solar Flare

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An Implementation of the Disaster Management Systems on the Space and Terrestrial System Damages by Solar Maximum (태양폭풍 영향 우주 및 육상시스템 피해에 관한 재난안전정보시스템 구현)

  • Oh, Jongwoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.419-431
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    • 2012
  • This paper takes precautions proposals against prospective disasters from the space weather maximum in 2013. A geomagnetic space storm sparked by a solar maximum like the one that flared toward earth is bound to strike again and could wreak havoc across the modern world. The purpose of the study is that the disaster reduction and safety service implementation study on the ultimate space weather systems by the information systems of the space weather. The process methods of the study are that an implementation of preparation for the smart IT and GIS based disaster management systems of the solar maximum deal with analysis on the flare, solar proton event, and geomagnetic storm from space blasters, These approach and methods for the solar maximin display national policy implementation of the pattern of the radio wave disasters from the protection and preparation methods. This research can provide affective methods for the saving lives and property protections that implementation of the disaster prediction and disaster prevention systems adapts the smart IT systems and converged decision making support systems using uGIS methodology.

MODIFIED CONVOLUTIONAL NEURAL NETWORK WITH TRANSFER LEARNING FOR SOLAR FLARE PREDICTION

  • Zheng, Yanfang;Li, Xuebao;Wang, Xinshuo;Zhou, Ta
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2019
  • We apply a modified Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model in conjunction with transfer learning to predict whether an active region (AR) would produce a ≥C-class or ≥M-class flare within the next 24 hours. We collect line-of-sight magnetogram samples of ARs provided by the SHARP from May 2010 to September 2018, which is a new data product from the HMI onboard the SDO. Based on these AR samples, we adopt the approach of shuffle-and-split cross-validation (CV) to build a database that includes 10 separate data sets. Each of the 10 data sets is segregated by NOAA AR number into a training and a testing data set. After training, validating, and testing our model, we compare the results with previous studies using predictive performance metrics, with a focus on the true skill statistic (TSS). The main results from this study are summarized as follows. First, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that the CNN model with transfer learning is used in solar physics to make binary class predictions for both ≥C-class and ≥M-class flares, without manually engineered features extracted from the observational data. Second, our model achieves relatively high scores of TSS = 0.640±0.075 and TSS = 0.526±0.052 for ≥M-class prediction and ≥C-class prediction, respectively, which is comparable to that of previous models. Third, our model also obtains quite good scores in five other metrics for both ≥C-class and ≥M-class flare prediction. Our results demonstrate that our modified CNN model with transfer learning is an effective method for flare forecasting with reasonable prediction performance.

SPECTRAL DIAGNOSTICS OF NON-THERMAL PARTICLES IN THE SOLAR CHROMOSPHERE

  • FANG C.;XU Z.;DING M. D.
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.spc1
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2003
  • There are at least three effects of the non-thermal particle bombardment on the solar atmosphere: (1) non-thermal ionization and excitation; (2) proton-hydrogen charge exchange; (3) impact line polarization. Due to the non-thermal ionization and excitation effects of electron bombardments in flares, H$\alpha$ line is widely broadened and shows a strong central reversal. Significant enhancements at the line wings of Ly$\alpha$ and Ly$\beta$ are also predicted. In the case of proton bombardment, less strong broadening and no large central reversal are expected. However, due to proton-hydrogen charge exchange, the enhancements at the red wings of Ly$\alpha$ and especially of Ly$\beta$ lines at the early impulsive phase of flares are significant. Electron beam can also in some cases generates visible and UV continuum emission in white-light flares. However, at the onset phase, a negative 'black' flare may appear in several seconds, due to the increase of the $H^-$ opacity. The impact polarization of atomic lines can provide complementary information on the energetic particles, the energy transport and deposit in the solar chromosphere. New results of spectropolarimetric analysis for the major flare on July 23, 2002 are also given in the paper.

CALIBRATION OF VECTOR MAGNETOGRAMS BY SOLAR FLARE TELESCOPE OF BOAO

  • MOON YONG-JAE;PARK YOUNG DEUK;YUN HONG SIK
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 1999
  • In this study we present a new improved nonlinear calibration method for vector magnetograms made by the Solar Flare Telescope of BOAO. To identify Fe I 6302.5 line, we have scanned monochromatic images of the line integrated over filter passband, changing the location of the central transmission wavelength of a Lyot filter. Then we obtained a filter-convolved line profile, which is in good agreement with spectral atlas data provided by the Sacramento Peak Solar Observatory. The line profile has been used to derive calibration coefficients of longitudinal and transverse fields, employing the conventional line slope method under the weak field approximation. Our improved nonlinear calibration method has also been used to calculate theoretical Stokes polarization signals with various angles of inclination of magnetic fields. For its numerical test, we have compared input magnetic fields with the calibrated ones, which have been derived from the new improved non-linear method and the conventional method respectively. The numerical test shows that the calibrated fields obtained from the improved method are consistent with the input fields, but not with those from the conventional method. Finally, we applied our new improved method to a dipole model which characterizes a typical field configuration of a single, round sunspot. It is noted that the conventional method remarkably underestimates the transverse field component near the inner penumbra.

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Variation of Solar, Interplanetary and Geomagnetic Parameters during Solar Cycles 21-24

  • Oh, Suyeon;Kim, Bogyeong
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2013
  • The length of solar cycle 23 has been prolonged up to about 13 years. Many studies have speculated that the solar cycle 23/24 minimum will indicate the onset of a grand minimum of solar activity, such as the Maunder Minimum. We check the trends of solar (sunspot number, solar magnetic fields, total solar irradiance, solar radio flux, and frequency of solar X-ray flare), interplanetary (interplanetary magnetic field, solar wind and galactic cosmic ray intensity), and geomagnetic (Ap index) parameters (SIG parameters) during solar cycles 21-24. Most SIG parameters during the period of the solar cycle 23/24 minimum have remarkably low values. Since the 1970s, the space environment has been monitored by ground observatories and satellites. Such prevalently low values of SIG parameters have never been seen. We suggest that these unprecedented conditions of SIG parameters originate from the weakened solar magnetic fields. Meanwhile, the deep 23/24 solar cycle minimum might be the portent of a grand minimum in which the global mean temperature of the lower atmosphere is as low as in the period of Dalton or Maunder minimum.

Recent Progress in Understanding Solar Magnetic Reconnection

  • Lee, Jeongwoo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2015
  • Magnetic reconnection is a fundamental process occurring in a wide range of astrophysical, heliospheric and laboratory plasmas. This process alters magnetic topology and triggers rapid conversion of magnetic energy into thermal heating and nonthermal particle acceleration. Efforts to understand the physics of magnetic reconnection have been made across multiple disciplines using remote observations of solar flares and in-situ measurements of geomagnetic storms and substorms as well as laboratory and numerical experiments. This review focuses on the progress achieved with solar flare observations in which most reconnection-related signatures could be resolved in both space and time. The emphasis is on various observable emission features in the low solar atmosphere which manifest the coronal magnetic reconnection because these two regions are magnetically connected to each other. The research and application perspectives of solar magnetic reconnection are briefly discussed and compared with those in other plasma environments.