• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.456-460
• /
• 2005

The purpose of this study is to develop a estimation model of migration with only population data using the cohort-survival model which has been used for forecasting future population. The fluctuation of population can be bisected to the natural change which can be occurred by birth and death and the social change which means migration. The factors of the social change are usually very important for establishing rural policies. However, researches using migration data has limitations because the usage of them are restricted. For verifying a estimation model of migration, comparing estimated population in 2000 year and migration quantity between 1996 and 2000 of 25 gu with real values, using population data and death ratio from 1995 to 2000 of the 25 gu in Seoul. Result shows a reliable data that R-square of forecating population model is 0.9755 and migration is 0.9180. So these model are worth to estimate a population and migration quantity to restricted migration data.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
• /
• 제7권12호
• /
• pp.109-114
• /
• 2020

The aim of this study is to develop basic artificial neural network models in forecasting the in-sample gross domestic product (GDP) of Malaysia. GDP is one of the main indicators in presenting the macro economic condition of a country as set by the world authority bodies such as the World Bank. Hence, this study uses an artificial neural network-based approach to make predictions concerning the economic growth of Malaysia. This method has been proposed due to its ability to overcome multicollinearity among variables, as well as the ability to cope with non-linear problems in Malaysia's growth data. The selected inputs and outputs are based on the previous literatures as well as the economic growth theory. Therefore, the selected inputs are exports, imports, private consumption, government expenditure, consumer price index (CPI), inflation rate, foreign direct investment (FDI) and money supply, which includes M1 and M2. Whilst, the output is real gross domestic product growth rate. The results of this study showed that the neural network method gives the smallest value of mean error which is 0.81 percent with a total difference of 0.70 percent. This implies that the neural network model is appropriate and is a relevant method in forecasting the economic growth of Malaysia.

• 비교교육연구
• /
• 제26권4호
• /
• pp.55-80
• /
• 2016

인도의 남서단에 위치하고 있는 케랄라는 낮은 경제수준에도 불구하고 높은 사회발전현상을 보이는 흥미로운 지역으로 많은 학자들의 관심을 받아왔다. 이러한 독특한 발전현상은 케랄라발전모델이라 불려왔으며 이를 설명하기 위해 지역의 역사 및 문화적 배경, 사회주의정당의 사회복지정책 등 다방면의 접근법이 이뤄져왔다. 그중에서도 교육이 케랄라의 사회발전에 중요한 영향을 미쳤다는데 대다수의 학자들이 동의하고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 케랄라의 교육이 어떻게 이뤄져 왔으며, 지역주민들에게 어떠한 영향을 미쳤으며, 사회발전이 어떻게 교육으로부터 시작되어 왔는가에 대해 논의는 거의 이뤄지지 않았다. 케랄라의 교육은 기존의 교육의 외재적 가치, 즉 인간자본창출중심의 경제적 성장을 우선시 하는 개발패러다임의 관점으로는 설명하기 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구는 케랄라의 지역사회발전에 미친 교육의 의미와 가치를 Amartya Sen의 토대역량접근(Capability Approach)에 근거하여 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 케랄라의 교육정책의 특징을 특히 케랄라의 교육개발사례에서 자주 소개되고 있는 소외계층을 위한 교육기회의 확대를 중심으로 살펴보고 이들의 성장과 사회발전의 특징을 분석하고자 한다.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.1-14
• /
• 2011

Objectives: The aim of the present study is to elucidate the relationship of community capacity to health in a metropolitan area in Korea. To do so, a multi-level model to verify the contextual effects of community capacity is presented. Methods: The study materials are the "The 4th Seoul Citizens Health Indicators Surveys" on 404 dong in Seoul. The community capacity indicators were developed in two strata: individual-level indicators with community identity domain; and community-level indicators with participation in community organizations, number of non-profit organizations, degree of organizing of community-based organizations, and volunteer activities. Results: Higher unhealthy probability occurs among those with lower community capacity at the community level, lower individual income, and lower community satisfaction at the individual level. It contributed to explaining self-rated health status and showed that there were contextual effects of the community going beyond the compositional effects of the individual. Conclusions: In the process of building community capacity, a community autonomously finds pending issues and solves related problems, and in so doing, raises the social quality and establishes the conditions for health promotion. Thus, the significance of neighborhood needs to be discovered and created in a new way through the development of community capacity.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제17권2호
• /
• pp.235-254
• /
• 2008

본 연구는 주택시장 모형을 이용하여 그린벨트 축소의 경제적 효과를 분석하였다. 그린벨트는 개발이 제한된 토지의 한 종류로 소비자 후생에 영향을 미치게 된다. 그린벨트는 토지의 개발을 제한함에 따라 주택의 공급에 영향을 미치게 되며, 또 다른 한편으로는 주거환경에 녹지를 공급해 줌으로써 주거환경을 개선하는 효과가 있다. 따라서 그린벨트의 축소는 주택시장의 공급을 증가시켜 임대료의 하락을 일으켜 소비자의 후생을 증가시킬 것으로 예상되는 반면 녹지를 파괴함으로써 주거환경을 악화시켜 소비자의 후생을 감소시킬 것으로 예상된다. 따라서 그린벨트의 축소로 인한 임대료의 하락 효과가 녹지파괴로 인한 주거환경 악화 효과보다 클 경우 소비자의 후생을 증가할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 임대료 하락의 효과가 보다 직접적으로 나타나 주거환경 악화 효과보다 커서 그린벨트 해제로 인해 소비자의 후생은 증가하였다.

• 한국사회복지학
• /
• 제44권
• /
• pp.288-317
• /
• 2001

The purpose of this study is to develop the group program model for reinforcing family relations of single-mother families as one approach to family welfare service. As previous research findings about problems of single parent families were reviewed and the framework for the program development was identified, a 6 sessions group program was planned and applied to 9 single-mother families from June 2nd to July 7th. Program evaluation questionnaire, Scales measuring powerlessness and FACESIII for family relations, social support network tool, and group process recording were used for the evaluation of this program. The participants evaluated this program as very supportive, useful, and educational. The powerlessness was reduced in a statistically meaningful way before and after the program and the result was found to be maintained for 4 months in the follow-up session. The family relations according to FACES III were mostly balanced and didn't show some significant change after the termination of this program. The single mothers had little concrete supports from others, if any, had some from relatives. They rather had to give supports for the other family members and reciprocally gave and took emotional or informational supports with friends or neighbors. Based on these results, the 2 step model consisted of brief group program and long term support group was developed and the practical methods were suggested for the single-mother families with low income.

• International Journal of Quality Innovation
• /
• 제9권2호
• /
• pp.11-30
• /
• 2008

The purpose of this study is to develop BSC model of social enterprise. Performance analysis tool of BSC have been brought over from the business world, designed and created from the perspectives of profit-based businesses. The BSC is a strategic performance measurement and management tool designed for the private sector acting as a communication/information and learning system, to measure 'where we are now' and 'where to aim for next'. It prescribes a plan for translating 'vision' and 'strategy' into concrete action across four perspectives at different stages, depending on the business. These perspectives are 'financial', 'customer', 'internal processes' and 'learning and growth', each of which is connected by cause-and-effect relationships that reflect the firm's strategy. Social aims of social enterprise are to accomplish desired outcomes which are to employ vulnerable people and to provide social services. The measurement factors of financial perspective are stable funding, efficiency of budgeting, stakeholders' financial supports, and trade profit. The measurement factors of customer perspective are government, social service users, employees, local communities, sup plier, social activity company, and partnership with external organizations. The measurement factors of internal process perspective are organizational culture, organizational structure/management, internal/external communication, quality of products and services, information sharing. The measurement factors of learning and growth perspective are training and development, management participation, knowledge sharing, leadership of CEO and manager, and learning culture.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
• /
• 제26권4호
• /
• pp.107-135
• /
• 2017

Purpose Along with the growth of smart phones and social networking service (SNS), social commerce continues to expand. Although online reviews have become an important source of the information that consumers use to make purchasing decisions, theoretical development and empirical testing in this area are still limited. Thus, there is a need to develop further understanding about the influence of electronic word-of-mouth (eWOM). Drawing upon the heuristic - systematic model (HSM) which is one of the dual-process theories, this study develops a research model that explains key factors influencing consumers' eWOM credibility. Furthermore, this study verifies that consumer's eWOM credibility is a key determinant of eWOM and purchase intentions. Design/methodology/approach The proposed model is empirically tested with 493 users who have experience in WeChat-based social commerce. The structural equation model (SEM) analysis is used to evaluate the research model and hypotheses. Findings The major findings are as follows. First, argument quality of eWOM (a systematic factor) has a positive effect on eWOM credibility. Second, source credibility and recommendation consistency of eWOM (heuristic factors) are positively associated with eWOM credibility. Finally, purchase and eWOM intentions greatly depend on eWOM credibility. These results confirm the effectiveness of HSM in explaining eWOM mechanisms in SNS-based social commerce. The details of findings and implications are presented.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
• /
• 제38권2호
• /
• pp.87-101
• /
• 2016

A person's life consists of two important stages: the first stage as a student and the second stage as a worker. In an integrated model of education and career concerns, I analyze the welfare effects of education. In Spence's job market signaling model, education as a sorting device improves efficiency by mitigating the lemon market problem. In contrast, in the integrated model, education as a sorting device can be detrimental to social welfare, as it eliminates work incentives generated by career concerns.

• Human Ecology Research
• /
• 제52권6호
• /
• pp.587-600
• /
• 2014

The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of family resources on social exclusion and the resilience of low-income families. To be more specific, this study categorized the level of social exclusion into five dimensions: work, housing, health, education, and social participation. Further, family resources were categorized into the two dimensions of "internal resources of the family" and "external resources of the family" in order to evaluate the effects of the two differentiated dimensions on social exclusion and the resilience of low-income families. The data of low-income families for the period of August 23 to September 28, 2012, were collected from community welfare centers that manage individual development accounts and local self-sufficiency centers; 302 cases were considered. The main results of this study were as follows: firstly, the model analysis proved that family resources as a parameter was significant, not only statistically but also theoretically and practically. Secondly, while a negative relationship was found between social exclusion and family resources, a positive relationship was found between family resources and resilience. This implied that the alleviation of a low-income family's social exclusion level could become an important intervention for the improvement of the family's functioning and strengths. Further, it implied that the qualitative improvement of the family's resources that affected the promotion of the resilience could be a basis for another practical intervention. These results suggested crucial implications for the development of comprehensive policies for addressing poverty issues.