• Title/Summary/Keyword: Snow accumulation

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Simulation of continuous snow accumulation data using stochastic method (추계론적 방법을 통한 연속 적설 자료 모의)

  • Park, Jeongha;Kim, Dongkyun;Lee, Jeonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.60-60
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 적설 추정 알고리즘과 추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용하여 관측 적설의 특성을 재현하는 연속 적설심 자료 모의 방법을 소개한다. 적설 추정 알고리즘은 강수 유형 판단, Snow Ratio 추정, 그리고 적설 깊이 감소량 추정까지 총 3단계로 구성된다. 먼저 강수 발생시 지상기온과 상대습도를 지표로 활용하여 강수 유형을 판단하고, 강수가 적설로 판별되었을 때 강수량을 신적설심으로 환산하는 Snow Ratio를 추정한다. Snow Ratio는 지상 기온과의 sigmoid 함수 회귀분석을 통해 추정하였으며, precipitation rate 조건(5 mm/3hr 미만 및 이상)에 따라 두 가지 함수를 적용하였다. 마지막으로 적설 깊이 감소량은 온도 지표 snowmelt 식을 이용하여 추정하였으며, 매개변수는 적설 깊이 및 온도 관측 자료를 활용하여 보정하였다. 속초 관측소 자료를 활용하여 매개변수를 보정 및 검증하여 높은 NSE(보정기간 : 0.8671, 검증기간 : 0.7432)를 달성하였으며, 이 알고리즘을 추계 일기 생성 모형으로 모의한 합성 기상 자료(강수량, 지상기온, 습도)에 적용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의하였다. 모의 자료는 관측 자료의 통계 및 극한값을 매우 정확하게 재현하였으며, 현행 건축구조기준과도 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 이 모형을 통하여 적설 위험 분석 분야뿐 아니라 기후 전망 자료와의 결합, 미계측 지역에 대한 자료 모의 등에도 광범위하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Frequency analysis for annual maximum of daily snow accumulations using conditional joint probability distribution (적설 자료의 빈도해석을 위한 확률밀도함수 개선 연구)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.627-635
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    • 2019
  • In Korea, snow damage has been happened in the region with no snowfalls in history. Also, casual damage was caused by heavy snow. Therefore, policy about the Natural Disaster Reduction Comprehensive Plan has been changed to include the mitigation measures of snow damage. However, since heavy snow damage was not frequent, studies on snowfall have not been conducted in different points. The characteristics of snow data commonly are not same to the rainfall data. For example, some parts of the southern coastal areas are snowless during the year, so there is often no values or zero values among the annual maximum daily snow accumulation. The characteristics of this type of data is similar to the censored data. Indeed, Busan observation sites have more than 36% of no data or zero data. Despite of the different characteristics, the frequency analysis for snow data has been implemented according to the procedures for rainfall data. The frequency analysis could be implemented in both way to include the zero data or exclude the zero data. The fitness of both results would not be high enough to represent the real data shape. Therefore, in this study, a methodology for selecting a probability density function was suggested considering the characteristics of snow data in Korea. A method to select probability density function using conditional joint probability distribution was proposed. As a result, fitness from the proposed method was higher than the conventional methods. This shows that the conventional methods (includes 0 or excludes 0) overestimated snow depth. The results of this study can affect the design standards of buildings and also contribute to the establishment of measures to reduce snow damage.

Application of K-DRUM Model for Pakistan Kunhar River Basin Considering Long-term Snow Melt and Cover (장기 융·적설을 고려한 파키스탄 Kunhar강 유역 K-DRUM모형 구축 및 적용)

  • Park, Jin Hyeog;Hur, Young Teck;Noh, Joon Woo;Kim, Seo-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2237-2244
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    • 2013
  • In this study, physics based K-DRUM(K-water Distributed RUnoff Model) using GIS spatial hydrologic data as input data was developed to account for the temperature variation according to the altitude change considering snow melt and cover. The model was applied for Pakistan Kunhar River Basin($2,500km^2$) to calculate long-term discharge considering snow melt and cover. Time series analysis of the temperature and rainfall data reveals that temperature and rainfall of the river basin differs significantly according to altitude change compared to domestic basin. Thus, applying temperature and altitude lapse rate during generate input data generation. As a result, calculated discharge shows good agreement with observed ones considering snow melt and accumulation characteristic which has the difference of 4,000 meter elevation above sea level. In addition, the simulated discharge strongly showed snow melting effect associated with temperature rise during the summer season.

Simulation of Soil Erosion due to Snow Melt at Alpine Agricultural Lands (고령지 농경지에서 융설에 의한 토양유실량 모의)

  • Heo, Sung-Gu;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Kim, Ki-Sung;Myung, SaGong;An, Jae-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2005
  • Doam watershed is located at alpine areas in the Kangwon province. The annual average precipitation, including snow accumulation during the winter, at the Doam watershed is significantly higher than other areas. Thus, pollutant laden runoff and sediment discharge from the alpine agricultural fields are causing water quality degradation at the Doam watershed. To estimate soil erosion from the agricultural fields, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used because of its simplicity to use. The USLE rainfall erosivity (R) factor is responsible for impacts of rainfall on soil erosion. Thus, use of constant R factor for the Doam watershed cannot reflect variations in precipitation patterns, consequently soil erosion estimation. In the early spring at the Doam watershed, the stream flow increases because of snow melt, which results in erosion of loosened soil experiencing freezing and thaw during the winter. However, the USLE model cannot consider the impacts on soil erosion of freezing and thaw of the soil. Also, it cannot simulate temporal changes in USLE input parameters. Thus, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was investigated for its applicability to estimate soil erosion at the Doam watershed, instead of the widely used USLE model. The SWAT hydrology and erosion/sediment components were validated after calibration of the hydrologic component. The $R^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values are higher enough, thus it was found the SWAT model can be efficiently used to simulate hydrology and sediment yield at the Doam watershed. The effects of snow melt on SWAT estimated stream flow and sediment were investigated using long-term precipitation and temperature data at the Doam watershed. It was found significant amount of flow and sediment in the spring are contributed by melting snow accumulated during the winter. Thus, it is recommend that the SWAT model capable of simulating snow melt and long-term weather data needs to be used in estimating soil erosion at alpine agricultural land instead of the USLE model for successful soil erosion management at the Doam watershed.

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Evaluation of SWMM Snow-melt Module to Secure Bi-Modal Tram Operation (바이모달 트램 운행 안전성 확보를 위한 SWMM 융설 모듈 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Jong-Gun;Park, Young-Kon;Yoon, Hee-Taek;Park, Youn-Shik;Jang, Won-Seok;Yoo, Dong-Seon;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.441-448
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    • 2008
  • Increasing urban sprawl and climate changes have been causing unexpected high-intensity rainfall events. Thus there are needs to enhance conventional disaster management system for comprehensive actions to secure safety. Therefore long-term and comprehensive flood management plans need to be well established. Recently torrential snowfall are occurring frequently, causing have snow traffic jams on the road. To secure safety and on-time operation of the Bi-modal tram system, well-structured disaster management system capable of analyzing the show pack melt/freezing due to unexpected snowfall are needed. To secure safety of the Bi-modal tram system due to torrential snow-fall, the snow melt simulation capability was investigated. The snow accumulation and snow melt were measured to validate the SWMM snow melt component. It showed that there was a good agreement between measured snow melt data and the simulated ones. Therefore, the Bi-modal tram disaster management system will be able to predict snow melt reasonably well to secure safety of the Bi-modal tram system during the winter. The Bi-modal tram disaster management system can be used to identify top priority area for know removal within the tram route in case of torrential snowfall to secure on-time operation of the tram. Also it can be used for detour route in the tram networks based on the disaster management system prediction.

Different Climate Regimes Over the Coastal Regions of the Eastern Antarctic Ice Sheet

  • Cunde, Xiao;Dahe, Qin;Zhongqin, Li;Jiawen, Ren;Allison, Ian
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.227-236
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    • 2002
  • For ten firn cores, from both the eastern and the western side of Lambert Glacier basin (LGB), snow accumulation rate and isotopic temperature were measured far the recent 50 years. Results show that snow accumulation for five cores over the eastern side of LGB (GC30, GD03, GD15, DT001, and DT085) at Wilks Land and Princess Elizabeth Land increases, whereas it decreases at the western side (Core E, DML05, W200, LGB 16, and MGA) at Dronning Maud Land, Mizuho Plateau and Kamp Land. For the past decades, the increasing rate was $0.34-2.36kg\;m^{-2}a^{-1}$ at the eastern side and the decreasing rate was $-0.01\;-\;-2.36kg\;m^{-2}\;a^{-1}$ at the western side. Temperatures at the eastern LGB were also increased with the rate of $0.02%o\;a^{-l}$. At the western LGB it was difficult to see clear trends, which were confirmed by Instrumental temperature records at coastal stations. Although statistic analysis and modeling results display that both surface temperature and accumulation rate has increased trends in Antarctic ice sheet during 1950-2000, the regional distributions were much more different for different geographic areas. We believe that ice-core records at Wilks Land and Princess Elizabeth Land reflect the real variations of SST and moisture change in the southern India Ocean. For the Kamp Land and Dronning Maud Land, however circulation pattern was different, by which the climate was more complicated. The International Trans-Antarctic Scientific Expedition (ITASE) aimed to reveal an overall spatial pattern of climate change over Antarctic ice sheet for the past 200 years. This study points the importance of continental to regional circulation to annual-decadal scale climate change in Antarctica.

Long Terms Runoff Analysis with Snow Accumulation and Snow Melt (적설 및 융설을 고려한 장기유출분석에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Suk;Oh, Tae-Suk;Cha, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1767-1771
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    • 2006
  • 수자원 개발과 계획 및 최적의 관리를 위해서는 댐지점의 수자원부존량 평가가 선행되어야 하며, 이를 위해서는 장기간의 유출량(저수지 유입량) 자료계열의 획득이 필요하다. 장기유출은 저수지의 저수용량결정, 저수지관개용수의 이용, 갈수기의 이수계획수립, 하천유지용수량결정 등에 이용되며, 장기 수자원 계획을 수립하기 위해서는 장기유출량의 정확한 추정이 매우 중요한 사항이다. 특히 동절기에 보다 정확한 유출해석을 하기 위해서는 융설에 관한 사항을 고려가 필수적이다. 그러나 국내에서는 아직 융설에 관한 실험이나 수치모형에 대한 연구가 거의 없는 실정이며 모형의 매개변수 추정 및 검증을 위한 융설 자료를 측정하기에는 매우 어려운 점이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 비교적 지역적 영향을 적게 받는 개념적 융설모형과 유출모형을 결합하여 안동댐 유역에 적용하였다. 융설을 고려한 경우 융설 고려전보다 3월과 4월 사이의 유출 모의 결과가 크게 개선된 것으로 나타났다. 향후 수자원 계획 수립시 겨울철의 적설과 융설을 고려한 유출분석을 적용한다면 기후변화에 따른 수자원 확보의 불확실성이 크게 줄어들 것으로 기대한다.

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A Study on High-Resolution Seasonal Variations of Major Ionic Species in Recent Snow Near the Antarctic Jang Bogo Station (남극 장보고과학기지 인근에서 채취한 눈시료 내의 주요 이온성분들의 고해상도 계절변동성 연구)

  • Kwak, Hoje;Kang, Jung-Ho;Hong, Sang-Bum;Lee, Jeonghoon;Chang, Chaewon;Hur, Soon Do;Hong, Sungmin
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 2015
  • A continuous series of 60 snow samples was collected at a 2.5-cm interval from a 1.5-m snow pit at a site on the Styx Glacier Plateau in Victoria Land, Antarctica, during the 2011/2012 austral summer season. Various chemical components (${\delta}D$, ${\delta}^{18}O$, $Na^+$, $K^+$, $Mg^{2+}$, $Ca^{2+}$, $Cl^-$, $SO_4{^2-}$, $NO_3{^-}$, $F^-$, $CH_3SO_3{^-}$, $CH_3CO_2{^-}$ and $HCO_2{^-}$) were determined to understand the highly resolved seasonal variations of these species in the coastal atmosphere near the Antarctic Jang Bogo station. Based on vertical profiles of ${\delta}^{18}O$, $NO_3{^-}$and MSA, which showed prominent seasonal changes in concentrations, the snow samples were dated to cover the time period from 2009 austral winter to 2012 austral summer with a mean accumulation rate of $226kgH_2Om^{-2}yr^{-1}$. Our snow profiles show pronounced seasonal variations for all the measured chemical species with a different pattern between different species. The distinctive feature of the occurrence patterns of the seasonal variations is clearly linked to changes in the relative strength of contributions from various natural sources (sea salt spray, volcanoes, crust-derived dust, and marine biogenic activities) during different short-term periods. The results allow us to understand the transport pathways and input mechanisms for each species and provide valuable information that will be useful for investigating long-term (decades to century scale periods) climate and environmental changes that can be deduced from an ice core to be retrieved from the Styx Glacier Plateau in the near future.

Radiation Measurements at Fukushima Medical University over a Period of 12 Years Following the Nuclear Power Plant Accident

  • Ryo Ozawa
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2023
  • Background: Fukushima Medical University (FMU) is located 57 km northwest of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant. Our laboratory has been conducting environmental radiation measurements continuously before and after the nuclear accident. We aimed to report the observed behavior of radiation originating from the released radioactive materials due to the accident, predict future trends, and disseminate the results to the local residents. Materials and Methods: Measurements of the counting rate by a diameter of 76 mm and a length of 76 mm thallium-doped sodium iodide (NaI[Tl]) scintillation detector (S-1211-T; Teledyne Brown Engineering Environmental Services) in the central part of the laboratory, and the dose rate outward at the window by NaI(Tl) scintillation detector and digital processor (EMF211; EMF Japan Co. Ltd.) were conducted. Results and Discussion: Measurements by Teledyne S-1211-T showed that in the early stages, radiation from radioactive isotopes with short half-lives was dominant, while radiation from radioactive isotopes with longer half-lives became dominant as the measurement period became longer. Through nonlinear least squares regression, both short and long half-lives were successfully determined. It was also possible to predict how the radiation dose would decrease. The environmental radiation trends around FMU were measured by the EMF211. Both measurements were affected by rainfall and snow accumulation. Decontamination work on the FMU campus impacted measurements by the EMF211 especially. Conclusion: The results of two types of measurements, one at the center and the other at the window side of the laboratory, were presented. By applying a simplified model, radiation from radioactive isotopes with short and long half-lives was identified. Based on these results, future trends were predicted, and the information was used for public communication with the local residents.

Evaluation of SWAT Applicability to Simulate Soil Erosion at Highland Agricultural Lands (고랭지 농경지의 토양유실모의를 위한 SWAT 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Heo, Sung-Gu;Kim, Ki-Sung;Sa, Gong-Myong;Ahn, Jce-Hun;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.11 no.4 s.29
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2005
  • The Doam watershed is located at alpine areas and the annual average precipitation, including snow accumulation, is significant higher than other areas. Thus, pollutant laden runoff and sediment discharge from the alpine agricultural fields are causing water quality degradation at the Doam watershed. To estimate soil erosion from the agricultural fields, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used because of its simplicity to use. In the early spring at the Doam watershed, the stream flow increases because of snow melt, which results in erosion of loosened soil experiencing freezing and thaw during the winter. Also, extremely torrential rainfall, such as the typhoons 'RUSA' in 2002 and 'MAEMI' in 2003, caused significant amounts of soil erosion and sediment at the Doam watershed. However, the USLE model cannot simulate impacts on soil erosion of freezing and thaw of the soil. It cannot estimate sediment yield from a single torrential rainfall event. Also, it cannot simulate temporal changes in USLE input parameters. Thus, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was investigated for its applicability to estimate soil erosion at the Doam watershed, instead of the widely used USLE model. The SWAT hydrology and erosion/sediment components were validated after calibration of the hydrologic component. The R$^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values are higher enough, thus it is found the SWAT model can be efficiently used to simulate hydrology and sediment yield at the Doam watershed. The effects of snow melt on SWAT estimated stream flow and sediment were investigated using long-term precipitation and temperature data at the Doam watershed. It was found significant amount of flow and sediment in the spring are contributed by melting snow accumulated during the winter. Two typhoons in 2002 and 2003, MAEMI and RUSA, caused 33% and 22% of total sediment yields at the Doam watershed, respectively. Thus, it is recommended that the SWAT model, capable of simulating snow melt, sediment yield from a single storm event, and long-term weather data, needs to be used in estimating soil erosion at alpine agricultural areas to develop successful soil erosion management instead of the USLE.